{"id":"https://openalex.org/W4402830275","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1109/tits.2024.3461210","title":"AIS Data-Based Hybrid Predictor for Short-Term Ship Trajectory Prediction Considering Uncertainties","display_name":"AIS Data-Based Hybrid Predictor for Short-Term Ship Trajectory Prediction Considering Uncertainties","publication_year":2024,"publication_date":"2024-09-25","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W4402830275","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1109/tits.2024.3461210"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1109/tits.2024.3461210","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1109/tits.2024.3461210","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S144771191","display_name":"IEEE Transactions on Intelligent Transportation Systems","issn_l":"1524-9050","issn":["1524-9050","1558-0016"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319808","host_organization_name":"Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319808"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"IEEE Transactions on Intelligent Transportation Systems","raw_type":"journal-article"},"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5100683864","display_name":"Chun\u2010Lin Wang","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8120-8003"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I204778367","display_name":"Norwegian University of Science and Technology","ror":"https://ror.org/05xg72x27","country_code":"NO","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I204778367"]}],"countries":["NO"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Chunlin Wang","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Ocean Operations and Civil Engineering, Norwegian University of Science and Technology, &#x00C5;lesund, Norway"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Ocean Operations and Civil Engineering, Norwegian University of Science and Technology, &#x00C5;lesund, Norway","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I204778367"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5087571281","display_name":"Peihua Han","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2990-5896"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I204778367","display_name":"Norwegian University of Science and Technology","ror":"https://ror.org/05xg72x27","country_code":"NO","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I204778367"]}],"countries":["NO"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Peihua Han","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Ocean Operations and Civil Engineering, Norwegian University of Science and Technology, &#x00C5;lesund, Norway"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Ocean Operations and Civil Engineering, Norwegian University of Science and Technology, &#x00C5;lesund, Norway","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I204778367"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5014514020","display_name":"Mingda Zhu","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0009-0005-4676-9493"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I204778367","display_name":"Norwegian University of Science and Technology","ror":"https://ror.org/05xg72x27","country_code":"NO","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I204778367"]}],"countries":["NO"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Mingda Zhu","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Ocean Operations and Civil Engineering, Norwegian University of Science and Technology, &#x00C5;lesund, Norway"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Ocean Operations and Civil Engineering, Norwegian University of Science and Technology, &#x00C5;lesund, Norway","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I204778367"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5012925161","display_name":"Ottar L. Osen","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4664-3047"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I204778367","display_name":"Norwegian University of Science and Technology","ror":"https://ror.org/05xg72x27","country_code":"NO","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I204778367"]}],"countries":["NO"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Ottar Osen","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of ICT and Natural Sciences, Norwegian University of Science and Technology, &#x00C5;lesund, Norway"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of ICT and Natural Sciences, Norwegian University of Science and Technology, &#x00C5;lesund, Norway","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I204778367"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5105892072","display_name":"Houxiang Zhang","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I204778367","display_name":"Norwegian University of Science and Technology","ror":"https://ror.org/05xg72x27","country_code":"NO","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I204778367"]}],"countries":["NO"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Houxiang Zhang","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Ocean Operations and Civil Engineering, Norwegian University of Science and Technology, &#x00C5;lesund, Norway"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Ocean Operations and Civil Engineering, Norwegian University of Science and Technology, &#x00C5;lesund, Norway","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I204778367"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5084479139","display_name":"Guoyuan Li","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7553-0899"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I204778367","display_name":"Norwegian University of Science and Technology","ror":"https://ror.org/05xg72x27","country_code":"NO","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I204778367"]}],"countries":["NO"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Guoyuan Li","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Ocean Operations and Civil Engineering, Norwegian University of Science and Technology, &#x00C5;lesund, Norway"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Ocean Operations and Civil Engineering, Norwegian University of Science and Technology, &#x00C5;lesund, Norway","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I204778367"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":6,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5100683864"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I204778367"],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":3.1914,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":9,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.91623686,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":true},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":90,"max":100},"biblio":{"volume":"25","issue":"12","first_page":"20268","last_page":"20279"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11622","display_name":"Maritime Navigation and Safety","score":0.9940000176429749,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2212","display_name":"Ocean Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11622","display_name":"Maritime Navigation and Safety","score":0.9940000176429749,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2212","display_name":"Ocean Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12126","display_name":"Maritime Transport Emissions and Efficiency","score":0.9876999855041504,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2305","display_name":"Environmental Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/23","display_name":"Environmental Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T14412","display_name":"Marine and Coastal Research","score":0.961899995803833,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2212","display_name":"Ocean Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/trajectory","display_name":"Trajectory","score":0.7459245324134827},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/term","display_name":"Term (time)","score":0.6740647554397583},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/long-term-prediction","display_name":"Long-term prediction","score":0.5582305788993835},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-science","display_name":"Computer science","score":0.4481625556945801},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/physics","display_name":"Physics","score":0.10674628615379333}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C13662910","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q193139","display_name":"Trajectory","level":2,"score":0.7459245324134827},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C61797465","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1188986","display_name":"Term (time)","level":2,"score":0.6740647554397583},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2776537626","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q4047883","display_name":"Long-term prediction","level":2,"score":0.5582305788993835},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.4481625556945801},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C121332964","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q413","display_name":"Physics","level":0,"score":0.10674628615379333},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C76155785","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q418","display_name":"Telecommunications","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C62520636","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q944","display_name":"Quantum mechanics","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C1276947","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q333","display_name":"Astronomy","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1109/tits.2024.3461210","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1109/tits.2024.3461210","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S144771191","display_name":"IEEE Transactions on Intelligent Transportation Systems","issn_l":"1524-9050","issn":["1524-9050","1558-0016"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319808","host_organization_name":"Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319808"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"IEEE Transactions on Intelligent Transportation Systems","raw_type":"journal-article"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":false,"pdf":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":29,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W1995661408","https://openalex.org/W2008598469","https://openalex.org/W2112514992","https://openalex.org/W2215617441","https://openalex.org/W2430590623","https://openalex.org/W2620438329","https://openalex.org/W2726420371","https://openalex.org/W2744006307","https://openalex.org/W2766390799","https://openalex.org/W2767232159","https://openalex.org/W2772935591","https://openalex.org/W2890403672","https://openalex.org/W2905283274","https://openalex.org/W2911245743","https://openalex.org/W2912934741","https://openalex.org/W2944791333","https://openalex.org/W2990868438","https://openalex.org/W3015432363","https://openalex.org/W3049095400","https://openalex.org/W3083334415","https://openalex.org/W3165782304","https://openalex.org/W3200599341","https://openalex.org/W4296295802","https://openalex.org/W4361265561","https://openalex.org/W6610850723","https://openalex.org/W6637968757","https://openalex.org/W6677658955","https://openalex.org/W6755463424","https://openalex.org/W6849303964"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W4401082298","https://openalex.org/W2990600680","https://openalex.org/W2125784081","https://openalex.org/W1485535213","https://openalex.org/W4226346536","https://openalex.org/W4401943316","https://openalex.org/W4312663240","https://openalex.org/W2575223333","https://openalex.org/W2990285450","https://openalex.org/W757796128"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"To":[0],"decrease":[1],"the":[2,32,80,91,107,126,146,182,198,204],"risk":[3],"of":[4,35,75,82,128,173,197],"collisions":[5],"and":[6,27,85,114,165,176,190,194],"ensure":[7],"safe":[8],"navigation,":[9],"an":[10,163],"Automatic":[11],"Identification":[12],"System":[13],"(AIS)":[14],"was":[15],"developed":[16],"to":[17,31,44,87,102,124],"broadcast":[18],"real-time":[19,33],"ship":[20,25,50,93,142,150,155,199],"states":[21],"information,":[22],"such":[23],"as":[24],"position":[26,200,206],"sailing":[28],"speed.":[29],"Due":[30],"characteristic":[34],"AIS":[36,65,76],"data,":[37],"it,":[38],"hence,":[39],"has":[40,191],"been":[41],"widely":[42],"used":[43],"construct":[45],"a":[46,99,149,158,168],"data-driven":[47,83,159,188],"model":[48,101,112,130,133,185],"for":[49,59,203],"trajectory":[51,116,143,169],"prediction,":[52,207],"which":[53],"can":[54,78],"provide":[55,120],"onboard":[56],"decision":[57],"support":[58],"navigators.":[60],"However,":[61],"data":[62,77],"provided":[63],"by":[64,105,162,170],"is":[66,134,151,210],"sometimes":[67],"partially":[68],"missing":[69],"or":[70],"simply":[71],"wrong.":[72],"Poor":[73],"quality":[74],"degrade":[79],"performance":[81,127],"models":[84,189],"lead":[86],"large":[88],"uncertainty":[89,104,195],"in":[90],"predicted":[92,177],"positions.":[94],"Therefore,":[95],"this":[96],"paper":[97],"proposes":[98],"hybrid":[100,184],"reduce":[103],"integrating":[106],"multi-output":[108],"Gaussian":[109],"process":[110],"(MOGP)":[111],"predictions":[113],"historical":[115,141,174],"information.":[117],"Historical":[118],"trajectories":[119],"useful":[121],"prior":[122],"knowledge":[123,171],"calibrate":[125],"MOGP":[129],"predictions.":[131],"This":[132],"built":[135,161],"through":[136],"three":[137],"steps:":[138],"1)":[139],"extracting":[140],"information":[144,175],"from":[145],"route":[147],"that":[148],"following;":[152],"2)":[153],"predicting":[154],"positions":[156],"with":[157],"predictor":[160],"MOGP;":[164],"3)":[166],"obtaining":[167],"fusion":[172],"results.":[178],"The":[179],"experiment":[180],"shows":[181],"proposed":[183],"outperforms":[186],"other":[187,216],"small":[192],"errors":[193],"quantification":[196],"prediction.":[201],"Especially":[202],"6-minute":[205],"its":[208],"RMSE":[209],"over":[211],"100":[212],"meters":[213],"smaller":[214],"than":[215],"methods.":[217]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2026,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":6},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2025-12-27T23:08:20.325037","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}
