{"id":"https://openalex.org/W1998382295","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1109/tcyb.2014.2326888","title":"Fuzzy Forecasting Based on Two-Factors Second-Order Fuzzy-Trend Logical Relationship Groups and the Probabilities of Trends of Fuzzy Logical Relationships","display_name":"Fuzzy Forecasting Based on Two-Factors Second-Order Fuzzy-Trend Logical Relationship Groups and the Probabilities of Trends of Fuzzy Logical Relationships","publication_year":2014,"publication_date":"2014-07-09","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W1998382295","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1109/tcyb.2014.2326888","mag":"1998382295","pmid":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/25020224"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1109/tcyb.2014.2326888","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1109/tcyb.2014.2326888","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210191041","display_name":"IEEE Transactions on Cybernetics","issn_l":"2168-2267","issn":["2168-2267","2168-2275"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319808","host_organization_name":"Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319808"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"IEEE Transactions on Cybernetics","raw_type":"journal-article"},"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref","pubmed"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5061831201","display_name":"Shyi\u2010Ming Chen","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8648-631X"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I154864474","display_name":"National Taiwan University of Science and Technology","ror":"https://ror.org/00q09pe49","country_code":"TW","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I154864474"]}],"countries":["TW"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Shyi-Ming Chen","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Computer Science and Information Engineering, National Taiwan University of Science and Technology, Taipei, Taiwan","Department of Computer Science and Information Engineering, National Taiwan University of Science and Technology, Taipei, Taiwan.#TAB#"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Computer Science and Information Engineering, National Taiwan University of Science and Technology, Taipei, Taiwan","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I154864474"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Computer Science and Information Engineering, National Taiwan University of Science and Technology, Taipei, Taiwan.#TAB#","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I154864474"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5066820783","display_name":"Shen-Wen Chen","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I154864474","display_name":"National Taiwan University of Science and Technology","ror":"https://ror.org/00q09pe49","country_code":"TW","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I154864474"]}],"countries":["TW"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Shen-Wen Chen","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Computer Science and Information Engineering, National Taiwan University of Science and Technology, Taipei, Taiwan","Department of Computer Science and Information Engineering, National Taiwan University of Science and Technology, Taipei, Taiwan.#TAB#"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Computer Science and Information Engineering, National Taiwan University of Science and Technology, Taipei, Taiwan","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I154864474"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Computer Science and Information Engineering, National Taiwan University of Science and Technology, Taipei, Taiwan.#TAB#","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I154864474"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":2,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5061831201"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I154864474"],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":11.3532,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":136,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.98502245,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":true},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":96,"max":100},"biblio":{"volume":"45","issue":"3","first_page":"391","last_page":"403"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11326","display_name":"Stock Market Forecasting Methods","score":0.9995999932289124,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11326","display_name":"Stock Market Forecasting Methods","score":0.9995999932289124,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11918","display_name":"Forecasting Techniques and Applications","score":0.991599977016449,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11052","display_name":"Energy Load and Power Forecasting","score":0.9886000156402588,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2208","display_name":"Electrical and Electronic Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/fuzzy-logic","display_name":"Fuzzy logic","score":0.7148759365081787},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/mathematics","display_name":"Mathematics","score":0.5328660011291504},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/fuzzy-number","display_name":"Fuzzy number","score":0.5254563093185425},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/defuzzification","display_name":"Defuzzification","score":0.47081905603408813},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/order","display_name":"Order (exchange)","score":0.4660068154335022},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/logical-conjunction","display_name":"Logical conjunction","score":0.44637733697891235},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/fuzzy-classification","display_name":"Fuzzy classification","score":0.42568519711494446},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/data-mining","display_name":"Data mining","score":0.42197418212890625},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/fuzzy-set","display_name":"Fuzzy set","score":0.3909335434436798},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/artificial-intelligence","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","score":0.3791092038154602},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/statistics","display_name":"Statistics","score":0.34519386291503906},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-science","display_name":"Computer science","score":0.3391469717025757},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/econometrics","display_name":"Econometrics","score":0.33605140447616577},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/economics","display_name":"Economics","score":0.11301910877227783},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/finance","display_name":"Finance","score":0.049274951219558716}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C58166","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q224821","display_name":"Fuzzy logic","level":2,"score":0.7148759365081787},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.5328660011291504},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C1883856","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3407463","display_name":"Fuzzy number","level":4,"score":0.5254563093185425},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C170260401","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5251735","display_name":"Defuzzification","level":5,"score":0.47081905603408813},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C182306322","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1779371","display_name":"Order (exchange)","level":2,"score":0.4660068154335022},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C21847791","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q191081","display_name":"Logical conjunction","level":2,"score":0.44637733697891235},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127385683","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1475696","display_name":"Fuzzy classification","level":4,"score":0.42568519711494446},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C124101348","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q172491","display_name":"Data mining","level":1,"score":0.42197418212890625},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C42011625","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1055058","display_name":"Fuzzy set","level":3,"score":0.3909335434436798},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C154945302","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11660","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","level":1,"score":0.3791092038154602},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C105795698","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12483","display_name":"Statistics","level":1,"score":0.34519386291503906},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.3391469717025757},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149782125","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q160039","display_name":"Econometrics","level":1,"score":0.33605140447616577},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.11301910877227783},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C10138342","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q43015","display_name":"Finance","level":1,"score":0.049274951219558716},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C199360897","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9143","display_name":"Programming language","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":2,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1109/tcyb.2014.2326888","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1109/tcyb.2014.2326888","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210191041","display_name":"IEEE Transactions on Cybernetics","issn_l":"2168-2267","issn":["2168-2267","2168-2275"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319808","host_organization_name":"Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319808"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"IEEE Transactions on Cybernetics","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmid:25020224","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/25020224","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306525036","display_name":"PubMed","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I1299303238","host_organization_name":"National Institutes of Health","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1299303238"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"IEEE transactions on cybernetics","raw_type":null}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"pdf":false,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":39,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W424268064","https://openalex.org/W1947426542","https://openalex.org/W1966295073","https://openalex.org/W1971869067","https://openalex.org/W1985209041","https://openalex.org/W1987509628","https://openalex.org/W1993641947","https://openalex.org/W2004157188","https://openalex.org/W2017954768","https://openalex.org/W2021447957","https://openalex.org/W2024850745","https://openalex.org/W2025426031","https://openalex.org/W2027182449","https://openalex.org/W2035699206","https://openalex.org/W2041723679","https://openalex.org/W2049636482","https://openalex.org/W2051893130","https://openalex.org/W2052946472","https://openalex.org/W2065410941","https://openalex.org/W2067043306","https://openalex.org/W2069454342","https://openalex.org/W2069803859","https://openalex.org/W2075513664","https://openalex.org/W2081876825","https://openalex.org/W2082133475","https://openalex.org/W2085752583","https://openalex.org/W2088184801","https://openalex.org/W2097325952","https://openalex.org/W2127817155","https://openalex.org/W2130519559","https://openalex.org/W2131453387","https://openalex.org/W2134676383","https://openalex.org/W2136103712","https://openalex.org/W2149320615","https://openalex.org/W2168577773","https://openalex.org/W2912565176","https://openalex.org/W4211007335","https://openalex.org/W4241443503","https://openalex.org/W6640681280"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2184441312","https://openalex.org/W3176863924","https://openalex.org/W4242970302","https://openalex.org/W1485268022","https://openalex.org/W2060361571","https://openalex.org/W1975005191","https://openalex.org/W2571050636","https://openalex.org/W4388451300","https://openalex.org/W2331106272","https://openalex.org/W4361984403"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"In":[0],"this":[1],"paper,":[2],"we":[3],"present":[4],"a":[5],"new":[6],"method":[7,31,145,169],"for":[8],"fuzzy":[9,46,53,63],"forecasting":[10,112],"based":[11,113],"on":[12,114],"two-factors":[13,51,61,67,94,101,127,134],"second-order":[14,52,62,68,95,102,128,135],"fuzzy-trend":[15,25,69,96,103,129,136],"logical":[16,26,54,64,70,97,104,130,137],"relationship":[17,71,105,138],"groups":[18,58],"and":[19,41,86,122,157],"the":[20,29,33,38,42,59,76,79,81,84,87,90,93,111,115,118,120,123,126,143,148,158,167,171],"probabilities":[21,116],"of":[22,24,37,78,83,89,92,117,125],"trends":[23],"relationships.":[27,55],"Firstly,":[28],"proposed":[30,144,168],"fuzzifies":[32],"historical":[34],"training":[35],"data":[36],"main":[39],"factor":[40,44],"secondary":[43],"into":[45,66],"sets,":[47],"respectively,":[48],"to":[49,146],"form":[50],"Then,":[56,73],"it":[57,74,109],"obtained":[60],"relationships":[65,98,131],"groups.":[72],"calculates":[75],"probability":[77,82,88],"\"down-trend,\"":[80],"\"equal-trend\"":[85],"\"up-trend\"":[91],"in":[99,132],"each":[100,133],"group,":[106],"respectively.":[107],"Finally,":[108],"performs":[110],"down-trend,":[119],"equal-trend,":[121],"up-trend":[124],"group.":[139],"We":[140],"also":[141],"apply":[142],"forecast":[147],"Taiwan":[149],"Stock":[150,154],"Exchange":[151],"Capitalization":[152],"Weighted":[153],"Index":[155],"(TAIEX)":[156],"NTD/USD":[159],"exchange":[160],"rates.":[161],"The":[162],"experimental":[163],"results":[164],"show":[165],"that":[166],"outperforms":[170],"existing":[172],"methods.":[173]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2026,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":5},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":4},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":10},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":11},{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":15},{"year":2020,"cited_by_count":35},{"year":2019,"cited_by_count":18},{"year":2018,"cited_by_count":10},{"year":2017,"cited_by_count":11},{"year":2016,"cited_by_count":10},{"year":2015,"cited_by_count":6}],"updated_date":"2026-04-27T08:22:11.395708","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}