{"id":"https://openalex.org/W4377861579","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1109/tcst.2023.3274955","title":"Day-Ahead and Intra-Day Building Load Forecast With Uncertainty Bounds Using Small Data Batches","display_name":"Day-Ahead and Intra-Day Building Load Forecast With Uncertainty Bounds Using Small Data Batches","publication_year":2023,"publication_date":"2023-05-23","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W4377861579","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1109/tcst.2023.3274955"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1109/tcst.2023.3274955","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1109/tcst.2023.3274955","pdf_url":"https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/ielx7/87/4389040/10132004.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S133363738","display_name":"IEEE Transactions on Control Systems Technology","issn_l":"1063-6536","issn":["1063-6536","1558-0865","2374-0159"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319808","host_organization_name":"Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319808"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"IEEE Transactions on Control Systems Technology","raw_type":"journal-article"},"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"hybrid","oa_url":"https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/ielx7/87/4389040/10132004.pdf","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5025156401","display_name":"Marco Lauricella","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5756-1963"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210166982","display_name":"ABB (Germany)","ror":"https://ror.org/05yeg2858","country_code":"DE","type":"company","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210166982","https://openalex.org/I885143765"]}],"countries":["DE"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Marco Lauricella","raw_affiliation_strings":["ABB Corporate Research, ABB AG, Ladenburg, Germany"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5756-1963","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"ABB Corporate Research, ABB AG, Ladenburg, Germany","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210166982"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5083174589","display_name":"Lorenzo Fagiano","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0109-6484"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I93860229","display_name":"Politecnico di Milano","ror":"https://ror.org/01nffqt88","country_code":"IT","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I93860229"]}],"countries":["IT"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Lorenzo Fagiano","raw_affiliation_strings":["Dipartimento di Elettronica, Informazione e Bioingegneria, Politecnico di Milano, Milan, Italy"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0109-6484","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Dipartimento di Elettronica, Informazione e Bioingegneria, Politecnico di Milano, Milan, Italy","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I93860229"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":2,"institutions_distinct_count":2,"corresponding_author_ids":[],"corresponding_institution_ids":[],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":0.9817,"has_fulltext":true,"cited_by_count":8,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.74931945,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":91,"max":98},"biblio":{"volume":"31","issue":"6","first_page":"2584","last_page":"2595"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11052","display_name":"Energy Load and Power Forecasting","score":0.9998000264167786,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2208","display_name":"Electrical and Electronic Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11052","display_name":"Energy Load and Power Forecasting","score":0.9998000264167786,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2208","display_name":"Electrical and Electronic Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10121","display_name":"Building Energy and Comfort Optimization","score":0.9984999895095825,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2215","display_name":"Building and Construction"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11954","display_name":"Energy Efficiency and Management","score":0.982200026512146,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2105","display_name":"Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/21","display_name":"Energy"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-science","display_name":"Computer science","score":0.5691224336624146},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/interval","display_name":"Interval (graph theory)","score":0.5662778615951538},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/set","display_name":"Set (abstract data type)","score":0.5364234447479248},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/power-consumption","display_name":"Power consumption","score":0.5231027603149414},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/power","display_name":"Power (physics)","score":0.4846804440021515},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/data-set","display_name":"Data set","score":0.44746994972229004},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/value","display_name":"Value (mathematics)","score":0.43799370527267456},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/time-horizon","display_name":"Time horizon","score":0.4212358295917511},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/algorithm","display_name":"Algorithm","score":0.41522324085235596},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/forecast-error","display_name":"Forecast error","score":0.41145333647727966},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/mathematical-optimization","display_name":"Mathematical optimization","score":0.4113893508911133},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/mathematics","display_name":"Mathematics","score":0.33591991662979126},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/control-theory","display_name":"Control theory (sociology)","score":0.3347247242927551},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/econometrics","display_name":"Econometrics","score":0.162783682346344},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/artificial-intelligence","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","score":0.13478758931159973},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/machine-learning","display_name":"Machine learning","score":0.09148114919662476}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.5691224336624146},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2778067643","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q166507","display_name":"Interval (graph theory)","level":2,"score":0.5662778615951538},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C177264268","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1514741","display_name":"Set (abstract data type)","level":2,"score":0.5364234447479248},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2984118289","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q29954","display_name":"Power consumption","level":3,"score":0.5231027603149414},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C163258240","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q25342","display_name":"Power (physics)","level":2,"score":0.4846804440021515},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C58489278","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1172284","display_name":"Data set","level":2,"score":0.44746994972229004},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2776291640","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2912517","display_name":"Value (mathematics)","level":2,"score":0.43799370527267456},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C28761237","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7805321","display_name":"Time horizon","level":2,"score":0.4212358295917511},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C11413529","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8366","display_name":"Algorithm","level":1,"score":0.41522324085235596},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C174303752","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3624438","display_name":"Forecast error","level":2,"score":0.41145333647727966},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C126255220","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q141495","display_name":"Mathematical optimization","level":1,"score":0.4113893508911133},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.33591991662979126},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C47446073","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5165890","display_name":"Control theory (sociology)","level":3,"score":0.3347247242927551},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149782125","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q160039","display_name":"Econometrics","level":1,"score":0.162783682346344},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C154945302","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11660","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","level":1,"score":0.13478758931159973},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C119857082","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2539","display_name":"Machine learning","level":1,"score":0.09148114919662476},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C62520636","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q944","display_name":"Quantum mechanics","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2775924081","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q55608371","display_name":"Control (management)","level":2,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C121332964","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q413","display_name":"Physics","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C114614502","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q76592","display_name":"Combinatorics","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C199360897","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9143","display_name":"Programming language","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":2,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1109/tcst.2023.3274955","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1109/tcst.2023.3274955","pdf_url":"https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/ielx7/87/4389040/10132004.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S133363738","display_name":"IEEE Transactions on Control Systems Technology","issn_l":"1063-6536","issn":["1063-6536","1558-0865","2374-0159"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319808","host_organization_name":"Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319808"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"IEEE Transactions on Control Systems Technology","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:re.public.polimi.it:11311/1248278","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://hdl.handle.net/11311/1248278","pdf_url":"https://re.public.polimi.it/bitstream/11311/1248278/1/Day-Ahead_and_Intra-Day_Building_Load_Forecast_With_Uncertainty_Bounds_Using_Small_Data_Batches.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306400312","display_name":"Virtual Community of Pathological Anatomy (University of Castilla La Mancha)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I79189158","host_organization_name":"University of Castilla-La Mancha","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I79189158"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"info:eu-repo/semantics/article"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.1109/tcst.2023.3274955","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1109/tcst.2023.3274955","pdf_url":"https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/ielx7/87/4389040/10132004.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S133363738","display_name":"IEEE Transactions on Control Systems Technology","issn_l":"1063-6536","issn":["1063-6536","1558-0865","2374-0159"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319808","host_organization_name":"Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319808"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"IEEE Transactions on Control Systems Technology","raw_type":"journal-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[{"display_name":"Affordable and clean energy","score":0.800000011920929,"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/7"}],"awards":[],"funders":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320321397","display_name":"ABB","ror":"https://ror.org/00ks5vt51"}],"has_content":{"pdf":true,"grobid_xml":true},"content_urls":{"pdf":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W4377861579.pdf","grobid_xml":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W4377861579.grobid-xml"},"referenced_works_count":38,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W1720804347","https://openalex.org/W1982363472","https://openalex.org/W1984998090","https://openalex.org/W1990910451","https://openalex.org/W2001165499","https://openalex.org/W2017515939","https://openalex.org/W2047288670","https://openalex.org/W2055717104","https://openalex.org/W2075795701","https://openalex.org/W2079784202","https://openalex.org/W2091693228","https://openalex.org/W2103226621","https://openalex.org/W2114534220","https://openalex.org/W2146588145","https://openalex.org/W2151767444","https://openalex.org/W2155512577","https://openalex.org/W2159514557","https://openalex.org/W2168138569","https://openalex.org/W2175143722","https://openalex.org/W2586259521","https://openalex.org/W2592453717","https://openalex.org/W2625455447","https://openalex.org/W2754029504","https://openalex.org/W2906033034","https://openalex.org/W2913226484","https://openalex.org/W2936343203","https://openalex.org/W2981071796","https://openalex.org/W2983101598","https://openalex.org/W3002619089","https://openalex.org/W3008104091","https://openalex.org/W3083176882","https://openalex.org/W3104562023","https://openalex.org/W3118587272","https://openalex.org/W3156998580","https://openalex.org/W3162962255","https://openalex.org/W3163329282","https://openalex.org/W3171186964","https://openalex.org/W4301014524"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W3086618278","https://openalex.org/W2006100586","https://openalex.org/W4300809132","https://openalex.org/W2103373899","https://openalex.org/W2367223136","https://openalex.org/W2362280412","https://openalex.org/W3111373190","https://openalex.org/W2039972010","https://openalex.org/W2796568981","https://openalex.org/W2075234505"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"An":[0],"approach":[1,91],"to":[2,23,75,99,184,227],"provide":[3],"day-ahead":[4],"and":[5,28,79,106,132,165,195,221],"intra-day":[6],"load":[7,110],"forecasts":[8],"of":[9,36,55,109,127,160,170,187,191,196,200,213],"buildings,":[10],"such":[11],"as":[12],"electrical":[13,188],"or":[14,57,62,68,82],"thermal":[15],"power":[16,189,198],"consumption,":[17],"is":[18,149,177],"presented.":[19],"The":[20,90],"method":[21,176],"aims":[22],"obtain":[24],"a":[25,45,94,124,175,192,201,211,231],"nominal":[26],"forecast":[27,148],"associated":[29,134],"error":[30,137,158,217],"bounds":[31,138,159,218],"with":[32,87,116,123,225,230],"small":[33,125],"data":[34,186],"batches":[35],"two":[37],"weeks":[38],"for":[39,151,180],"the":[40,101,128,133,147,157,161,167,171,181,207,214],"training":[41],"phase,":[42],"resulting":[43],"in":[44,77],"ready-to-go":[46],"algorithm":[47],"that":[48,72],"can":[49],"be":[50],"employed":[51],"whenever":[52],"large":[53,202],"datasets":[54],"months":[56],"years":[58],"are":[59,73,120,139],"not":[60],"available":[61],"manageable.":[63],"These":[64],"cases":[65],"include":[66],"new":[67],"renovated":[69],"constructions,":[70],"buildings":[71],"subject":[74],"changes":[76],"purpose":[78],"occupants\u2019":[80],"behavior,":[81],"applications":[83],"on":[84,93,104,223],"local":[85],"devices":[86],"memory":[88],"limits.":[89],"relies":[92],"so-called":[95],"\u201cfictitious":[96],"input\u201d":[97],"signal":[98],"capture":[100],"prior":[102],"information":[103],"seasonal":[105],"periodic":[107],"trends":[108],"consumption.":[111],"Then,":[112],"linear":[113,233],"multistep":[114,163],"predictors":[115],"different":[117,162],"horizon":[118],"lengths":[119],"trained":[121],"periodically":[122],"batch":[126],"most":[129],"recent":[130],"data,":[131],"worst":[135,215],"case":[136,216],"derived,":[140],"using":[141],"set":[142],"membership":[143],"(SM)":[144],"methods.":[145],"Finally,":[146],"computed,":[150],"each":[152],"time":[153,183],"step,":[154],"by":[155],"intersecting":[156],"predictions":[164],"taking":[166],"central":[168],"value":[169],"obtained":[172,208,229],"interval.":[173],"Such":[174],"applied":[178],"here":[179],"first":[182],"real-world":[185],"consumption":[190,199],"medium-size":[193],"building":[194],"cooling":[197],"complex.":[203],"In":[204],"both":[205],"cases,":[206],"results":[209],"indicate":[210],"tightening":[212],"between":[219],"15%":[220],"25%":[222],"average":[224],"respect":[226],"those":[228],"standard":[232],"SM":[234],"approach.":[235]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2026,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":4}],"updated_date":"2026-06-11T09:08:48.828518","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}
