{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2024774719","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1109/tbme.2012.2210715","title":"Forecasting Depression in Bipolar Disorder","display_name":"Forecasting Depression in Bipolar Disorder","publication_year":2012,"publication_date":"2012-07-28","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2024774719","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1109/tbme.2012.2210715","mag":"2024774719","pmid":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/22855220"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1109/tbme.2012.2210715","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1109/tbme.2012.2210715","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S5240358","display_name":"IEEE Transactions on Biomedical Engineering","issn_l":"0018-9294","issn":["0018-9294","1558-2531"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319808","host_organization_name":"Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319808"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"IEEE Transactions on Biomedical Engineering","raw_type":"journal-article"},"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref","pubmed"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5018237642","display_name":"Paul J. Moore","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6171-4072"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I40120149","display_name":"University of Oxford","ror":"https://ror.org/052gg0110","country_code":"GB","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I40120149"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210120676","display_name":"Mathematical Institute of the Slovak Academy of Sciences","ror":"https://ror.org/02fhy7464","country_code":"SK","type":"facility","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I207624831","https://openalex.org/I4210120676"]}],"countries":["GB","SK"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"P. J. Moore","raw_affiliation_strings":["Oxford Centre for Industrial and Applied Mathematics (OCIAM), Mathematical Institute, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK. moorep@maths.ox.ac.uk","Oxford Centre for Industrial and Applied Mathematics (OCIAM), Mathematical Institute, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Oxford Centre for Industrial and Applied Mathematics (OCIAM), Mathematical Institute, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK. moorep@maths.ox.ac.uk","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210120676"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Oxford Centre for Industrial and Applied Mathematics (OCIAM), Mathematical Institute, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I40120149"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5018028924","display_name":"Max A. Little","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1507-3822"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I2802123492","display_name":"Oxford Research Group","ror":"https://ror.org/00z4w4f29","country_code":"GB","type":"nonprofit","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I2802123492"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I40120149","display_name":"University of Oxford","ror":"https://ror.org/052gg0110","country_code":"GB","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I40120149"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210122954","display_name":"MIT Lincoln Laboratory","ror":"https://ror.org/022z6jk58","country_code":"US","type":"facility","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210122954","https://openalex.org/I63966007"]}],"countries":["GB","US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"M. A. Little","raw_affiliation_strings":["MIT Media Laboratory, Cambridge, MA, USA","Systems Group, Oxford University, Oxford, UK"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"MIT Media Laboratory, Cambridge, MA, USA","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210122954"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Systems Group, Oxford University, Oxford, UK","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I2802123492","https://openalex.org/I40120149"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5053305605","display_name":"Patrick McSharry","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4663-970X"},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"P. E. McSharry","raw_affiliation_strings":["Smith School of Enterprise and the Environment, Oxford, UK"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Smith School of Enterprise and the Environment, Oxford, UK","institution_ids":[]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5074939684","display_name":"John Geddes","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5281-5960"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I40120149","display_name":"University of Oxford","ror":"https://ror.org/052gg0110","country_code":"GB","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I40120149"]}],"countries":["GB"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"J. R. Geddes","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I40120149"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5037628078","display_name":"Guy M. Goodwin","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1426-2816"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I40120149","display_name":"University of Oxford","ror":"https://ror.org/052gg0110","country_code":"GB","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I40120149"]}],"countries":["GB"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"G. M. Goodwin","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I40120149"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":3,"institutions_distinct_count":5,"corresponding_author_ids":[],"corresponding_institution_ids":[],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":4.3331,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":51,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.93668861,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":true},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":90,"max":99},"biblio":{"volume":"59","issue":"10","first_page":"2801","last_page":"2807"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T13283","display_name":"Mental Health Research Topics","score":0.9984999895095825,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3205","display_name":"Experimental and Cognitive Psychology"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/32","display_name":"Psychology"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T13283","display_name":"Mental Health Research Topics","score":0.9984999895095825,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3205","display_name":"Experimental and Cognitive Psychology"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/32","display_name":"Psychology"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12814","display_name":"Gaussian Processes and Bayesian Inference","score":0.9369000196456909,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1702","display_name":"Artificial Intelligence"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/17","display_name":"Computer Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12659","display_name":"Innovation Diffusion and Forecasting","score":0.9319999814033508,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/bipolar-disorder","display_name":"Bipolar disorder","score":0.7681635022163391},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/mania","display_name":"Mania","score":0.6946240067481995},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/mood","display_name":"Mood","score":0.6296320557594299},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/depression","display_name":"Depression (economics)","score":0.6186845898628235},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/exponential-smoothing","display_name":"Exponential smoothing","score":0.5704163908958435},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/population","display_name":"Population","score":0.489510178565979},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/psychology","display_name":"Psychology","score":0.48639968037605286},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/correlation","display_name":"Correlation","score":0.47441595792770386},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/mood-disorders","display_name":"Mood disorders","score":0.4595140516757965},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/persistence","display_name":"Persistence (discontinuity)","score":0.44438132643699646},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/statistics","display_name":"Statistics","score":0.41035908460617065},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-science","display_name":"Computer science","score":0.34551727771759033},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/clinical-psychology","display_name":"Clinical psychology","score":0.34038323163986206},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/psychiatry","display_name":"Psychiatry","score":0.3069697618484497},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/mathematics","display_name":"Mathematics","score":0.21819478273391724},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/medicine","display_name":"Medicine","score":0.21312275528907776},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/anxiety","display_name":"Anxiety","score":0.10590681433677673},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/engineering","display_name":"Engineering","score":0.08857056498527527}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2776174506","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q131755","display_name":"Bipolar disorder","level":3,"score":0.7681635022163391},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2776809841","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q185935","display_name":"Mania","level":4,"score":0.6946240067481995},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2780733359","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q331769","display_name":"Mood","level":2,"score":0.6296320557594299},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2776867660","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1814941","display_name":"Depression (economics)","level":2,"score":0.6186845898628235},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C133710760","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q775837","display_name":"Exponential smoothing","level":2,"score":0.5704163908958435},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2908647359","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2625603","display_name":"Population","level":2,"score":0.489510178565979},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C15744967","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9418","display_name":"Psychology","level":0,"score":0.48639968037605286},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C117220453","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5172842","display_name":"Correlation","level":2,"score":0.47441595792770386},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2777134132","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q188638","display_name":"Mood disorders","level":3,"score":0.4595140516757965},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2781009140","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7170389","display_name":"Persistence (discontinuity)","level":2,"score":0.44438132643699646},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C105795698","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12483","display_name":"Statistics","level":1,"score":0.41035908460617065},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.34551727771759033},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C70410870","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q199906","display_name":"Clinical psychology","level":1,"score":0.34038323163986206},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C118552586","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7867","display_name":"Psychiatry","level":1,"score":0.3069697618484497},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.21819478273391724},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C71924100","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11190","display_name":"Medicine","level":0,"score":0.21312275528907776},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C558461103","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q154430","display_name":"Anxiety","level":2,"score":0.10590681433677673},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127413603","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11023","display_name":"Engineering","level":0,"score":0.08857056498527527},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C99454951","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q932068","display_name":"Environmental health","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C139719470","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q39680","display_name":"Macroeconomics","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2524010","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8087","display_name":"Geometry","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C187320778","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1349130","display_name":"Geotechnical engineering","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[{"descriptor_ui":"D000328","descriptor_name":"Adult","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D000328","descriptor_name":"Adult","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D000328","descriptor_name":"Adult","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D000328","descriptor_name":"Adult","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D000339","descriptor_name":"Affect","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D000339","descriptor_name":"Affect","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D000339","descriptor_name":"Affect","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D000339","descriptor_name":"Affect","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D000368","descriptor_name":"Aged","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D000368","descriptor_name":"Aged","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D000368","descriptor_name":"Aged","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D000368","descriptor_name":"Aged","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D000465","descriptor_name":"Algorithms","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D000465","descriptor_name":"Algorithms","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D000465","descriptor_name":"Algorithms","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D000465","descriptor_name":"Algorithms","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D001714","descriptor_name":"Bipolar Disorder","qualifier_ui":"Q000175","qualifier_name":"diagnosis","is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D001714","descriptor_name":"Bipolar Disorder","qualifier_ui":"Q000175","qualifier_name":"diagnosis","is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D001714","descriptor_name":"Bipolar Disorder","qualifier_ui":"Q000175","qualifier_name":"diagnosis","is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D001714","descriptor_name":"Bipolar Disorder","qualifier_ui":"Q000175","qualifier_name":"diagnosis","is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D001714","descriptor_name":"Bipolar Disorder","qualifier_ui":"Q000523","qualifier_name":"psychology","is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D001714","descriptor_name":"Bipolar Disorder","qualifier_ui":"Q000523","qualifier_name":"psychology","is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D001714","descriptor_name":"Bipolar Disorder","qualifier_ui":"Q000523","qualifier_name":"psychology","is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D001714","descriptor_name":"Bipolar Disorder","qualifier_ui":"Q000523","qualifier_name":"psychology","is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D003863","descriptor_name":"Depression","qualifier_ui":"Q000175","qualifier_name":"diagnosis","is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D003863","descriptor_name":"Depression","qualifier_ui":"Q000175","qualifier_name":"diagnosis","is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D003863","descriptor_name":"Depression","qualifier_ui":"Q000175","qualifier_name":"diagnosis","is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D003863","descriptor_name":"Depression","qualifier_ui":"Q000175","qualifier_name":"diagnosis","is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D003863","descriptor_name":"Depression","qualifier_ui":"Q000523","qualifier_name":"psychology","is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D003863","descriptor_name":"Depression","qualifier_ui":"Q000523","qualifier_name":"psychology","is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D003863","descriptor_name":"Depression","qualifier_ui":"Q000523","qualifier_name":"psychology","is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D003863","descriptor_name":"Depression","qualifier_ui":"Q000523","qualifier_name":"psychology","is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D005260","descriptor_name":"Female","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D005260","descriptor_name":"Female","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D005260","descriptor_name":"Female","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D005260","descriptor_name":"Female","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D006801","descriptor_name":"Humans","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D006801","descriptor_name":"Humans","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D006801","descriptor_name":"Humans","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D006801","descriptor_name":"Humans","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D008297","descriptor_name":"Male","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D008297","descriptor_name":"Male","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D008297","descriptor_name":"Male","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D008297","descriptor_name":"Male","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D008875","descriptor_name":"Middle Aged","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D008875","descriptor_name":"Middle Aged","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D008875","descriptor_name":"Middle Aged","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D008875","descriptor_name":"Middle Aged","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D008960","descriptor_name":"Models, Psychological","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":true},{"descriptor_ui":"D008960","descriptor_name":"Models, Psychological","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":true},{"descriptor_ui":"D008960","descriptor_name":"Models, Psychological","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":true},{"descriptor_ui":"D008960","descriptor_name":"Models, Psychological","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":true},{"descriptor_ui":"D011795","descriptor_name":"Surveys and Questionnaires","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D011795","descriptor_name":"Surveys and Questionnaires","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D011795","descriptor_name":"Surveys and Questionnaires","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D011795","descriptor_name":"Surveys and Questionnaires","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D015233","descriptor_name":"Models, Statistical","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D015233","descriptor_name":"Models, Statistical","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D015233","descriptor_name":"Models, Statistical","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D015233","descriptor_name":"Models, Statistical","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false}],"locations_count":3,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1109/tbme.2012.2210715","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1109/tbme.2012.2210715","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S5240358","display_name":"IEEE Transactions on Biomedical Engineering","issn_l":"0018-9294","issn":["0018-9294","1558-2531"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319808","host_organization_name":"Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319808"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"IEEE Transactions on Biomedical Engineering","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmid:22855220","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/22855220","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306525036","display_name":"PubMed","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I1299303238","host_organization_name":"National Institutes of Health","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1299303238"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"IEEE transactions on bio-medical engineering","raw_type":null},{"id":"pmh:oai:ora.ox.ac.uk:uuid:1b9998ae-ef97-4ec1-80a1-f43efa13a1ae","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://ora.ox.ac.uk/objects/uuid:1b9998ae-ef97-4ec1-80a1-f43efa13a1ae","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306402636","display_name":"Oxford University Research Archive (ORA) (University of Oxford)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I40120149","host_organization_name":"University of Oxford","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I40120149"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"PubMed (http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/)","raw_type":"Journal article"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[{"display_name":"Good health and well-being","score":0.5299999713897705,"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/3"}],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"pdf":false,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":38,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W638887343","https://openalex.org/W1523966875","https://openalex.org/W1550570395","https://openalex.org/W1606326889","https://openalex.org/W1746819321","https://openalex.org/W1970133878","https://openalex.org/W1975375688","https://openalex.org/W2004053619","https://openalex.org/W2018316544","https://openalex.org/W2023731405","https://openalex.org/W2025347948","https://openalex.org/W2072114650","https://openalex.org/W2077204677","https://openalex.org/W2081765058","https://openalex.org/W2085866051","https://openalex.org/W2100260805","https://openalex.org/W2101895618","https://openalex.org/W2103297114","https://openalex.org/W2116908123","https://openalex.org/W2117829824","https://openalex.org/W2135691157","https://openalex.org/W2142292396","https://openalex.org/W2146084671","https://openalex.org/W2153467075","https://openalex.org/W2160825712","https://openalex.org/W2161282771","https://openalex.org/W2162840817","https://openalex.org/W2165469512","https://openalex.org/W2167036165","https://openalex.org/W2171950477","https://openalex.org/W2221831393","https://openalex.org/W2313953460","https://openalex.org/W2904816695","https://openalex.org/W3124661333","https://openalex.org/W4211049957","https://openalex.org/W4230410911","https://openalex.org/W4233879403","https://openalex.org/W4292483811"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2462983098","https://openalex.org/W2132014094","https://openalex.org/W2390951968","https://openalex.org/W3198313168","https://openalex.org/W1992641180","https://openalex.org/W3176398639","https://openalex.org/W1562927327","https://openalex.org/W2414753374","https://openalex.org/W2102123970","https://openalex.org/W4232489090"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Bipolar":[0],"disorder":[1,159],"is":[2,33,106,181],"characterized":[3],"by":[4,121,125],"recurrent":[5],"episodes":[6],"of":[7,15,39,49,78,114,169,176],"mania":[8],"and":[9,11,32,73,104,135,163,185,198],"depression":[10,58,152],"affects":[12],"about":[13],"1%":[14],"the":[16,47,55,64,101,115,151,167,174,179],"adult":[17],"population.":[18],"The":[19,60],"condition":[20],"can":[21],"have":[22,66],"a":[23,36,88,95,107,145,182],"major":[24],"impact":[25],"on":[26,46],"an":[27,142],"individual's":[28],"ability":[29],"to":[30,53,188],"function":[31],"associated":[34],"with":[35,157],"long-term":[37],"risk":[38],"suicide.":[40],"In":[41],"this":[42,165],"paper,":[43],"we":[44],"report":[45],"use":[48],"self-rated":[50],"mood":[51,81,171],"data":[52,61],"forecast":[54,119],"next":[56],"week's":[57],"ratings.":[59],"used":[62],"in":[63,98,109,194],"study":[65],"been":[67],"collected":[68],"using":[69],"SMS":[70],"text":[71],"messaging":[72],"comprises":[74],"one":[75],"time":[76,116,153],"series":[77,117,154],"approximately":[79],"weekly":[80],"ratings":[82],"for":[83,131],"each":[84],"patient.":[85],"We":[86,148],"find":[87],"wide":[89],"variation":[90,108],"between":[91],"series:":[92],"some":[93],"exhibit":[94],"large":[96],"change":[97],"mean":[99,123],"over":[100,144],"monitored":[102],"period":[103],"there":[105],"correlation":[110],"structure.":[111],"Almost":[112],"half":[113],"are":[118,129,160],"better":[120],"unconditional":[122],"than":[124],"persistence.":[126],"Two":[127],"methods":[128],"employed":[130],"forecasting:":[132],"exponential":[133],"smoothing":[134],"Gaussian":[136],"process":[137],"regression.":[138],"Neither":[139],"approach":[140],"gives":[141],"improvement":[143],"persistence":[146],"baseline.":[147],"conclude":[149],"that":[150,164,191],"from":[155],"patients":[156],"bipolar":[158],"very":[161],"heterogeneous":[162],"constrains":[166],"accuracy":[168],"automated":[170],"forecasting":[172],"across":[173],"set":[175],"patients.":[177],"However,":[178],"dataset":[180],"valuable":[183],"resource":[184],"work":[186],"remains":[187],"be":[189],"done":[190],"might":[192],"result":[193],"clinically":[195],"useful":[196],"information":[197],"tools.":[199]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2026,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":8},{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2020,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2019,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2018,"cited_by_count":5},{"year":2017,"cited_by_count":4},{"year":2016,"cited_by_count":4},{"year":2015,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2014,"cited_by_count":9},{"year":2013,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2012,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2026-06-11T09:08:48.828518","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}