{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2773423932","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1109/smc.2017.8122628","title":"Predicting volcanic eruptions: Case study of rare events in chaotic systems with delay","display_name":"Predicting volcanic eruptions: Case study of rare events in chaotic systems with delay","publication_year":2017,"publication_date":"2017-10-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2773423932","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1109/smc.2017.8122628","mag":"2773423932"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1109/smc.2017.8122628","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1109/smc.2017.8122628","pdf_url":null,"source":null,"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"2017 IEEE International Conference on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics (SMC)","raw_type":"proceedings-article"},"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5029281721","display_name":"Justin Parra","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I164936912","display_name":"The University of Texas at El Paso","ror":"https://ror.org/04d5vba33","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I164936912"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Justin Parra","raw_affiliation_strings":["Departments of Computer Science and Geological Sciences, El Paso, TX, USA"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Departments of Computer Science and Geological Sciences, El Paso, TX, USA","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I164936912"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5055407937","display_name":"Olac Fuentes","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2406-7245"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I164936912","display_name":"The University of Texas at El Paso","ror":"https://ror.org/04d5vba33","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I164936912"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Olac Fuentes","raw_affiliation_strings":["Departments of Computer Science and Geological Sciences, El Paso, TX, USA"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Departments of Computer Science and Geological Sciences, El Paso, TX, USA","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I164936912"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5034409761","display_name":"Elizabeth Anthony","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7951-1724"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I164936912","display_name":"The University of Texas at El Paso","ror":"https://ror.org/04d5vba33","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I164936912"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Elizabeth Anthony","raw_affiliation_strings":["University of Texas at El Paso, 500W. University, El Paso, TX, USA"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"University of Texas at El Paso, 500W. University, El Paso, TX, USA","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I164936912"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5061275811","display_name":"\u0412\u043b\u0430\u0434\u0438\u043a \u041a\u0440\u0435\u0439\u043d\u043e\u0432\u0438\u0447","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1244-1650"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I164936912","display_name":"The University of Texas at El Paso","ror":"https://ror.org/04d5vba33","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I164936912"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Vladik Kreinovich","raw_affiliation_strings":["University of Texas at El Paso, El Paso, TX, US"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"University of Texas at El Paso, El Paso, TX, US","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I164936912"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":4,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5029281721"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I164936912"],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":1.1386,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":3,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.90357818,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":true},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":89,"max":94},"biblio":{"volume":null,"issue":null,"first_page":"351","last_page":"356"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11270","display_name":"Complex Systems and Time Series Analysis","score":0.9710999727249146,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2002","display_name":"Economics and Econometrics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11270","display_name":"Complex Systems and Time Series Analysis","score":0.9710999727249146,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2002","display_name":"Economics and Econometrics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T13650","display_name":"Computational Physics and Python Applications","score":0.9495000243186951,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1702","display_name":"Artificial Intelligence"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/17","display_name":"Computer Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12424","display_name":"Earthquake Detection and Analysis","score":0.9150000214576721,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1908","display_name":"Geophysics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/19","display_name":"Earth and Planetary Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/volcano","display_name":"Volcano","score":0.8543047904968262},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/chaotic","display_name":"Chaotic","score":0.8155804872512817},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computation","display_name":"Computation","score":0.7671387195587158},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-science","display_name":"Computer science","score":0.708078920841217},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/character","display_name":"Character (mathematics)","score":0.6599248051643372},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/geology","display_name":"Geology","score":0.39321640133857727},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/distributed-computing","display_name":"Distributed computing","score":0.34771209955215454},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/artificial-intelligence","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","score":0.33168309926986694},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/algorithm","display_name":"Algorithm","score":0.2667430639266968},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/seismology","display_name":"Seismology","score":0.179438978433609},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/mathematics","display_name":"Mathematics","score":0.1297309398651123}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C120806208","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8072","display_name":"Volcano","level":2,"score":0.8543047904968262},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2777052490","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5072826","display_name":"Chaotic","level":2,"score":0.8155804872512817},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C45374587","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12525525","display_name":"Computation","level":2,"score":0.7671387195587158},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.708078920841217},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2780861071","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1062934","display_name":"Character (mathematics)","level":2,"score":0.6599248051643372},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127313418","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1069","display_name":"Geology","level":0,"score":0.39321640133857727},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C120314980","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q180634","display_name":"Distributed computing","level":1,"score":0.34771209955215454},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C154945302","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11660","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","level":1,"score":0.33168309926986694},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C11413529","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8366","display_name":"Algorithm","level":1,"score":0.2667430639266968},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C165205528","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q83371","display_name":"Seismology","level":1,"score":0.179438978433609},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.1297309398651123},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2524010","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8087","display_name":"Geometry","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1109/smc.2017.8122628","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1109/smc.2017.8122628","pdf_url":null,"source":null,"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"2017 IEEE International Conference on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics (SMC)","raw_type":"proceedings-article"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[{"score":0.5,"display_name":"Climate action","id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/13"}],"awards":[],"funders":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320306076","display_name":"National Science Foundation","ror":"https://ror.org/021nxhr62"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320333121","display_name":"University of Texas at El Paso","ror":"https://ror.org/04d5vba33"}],"has_content":{"pdf":false,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":20,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W171402297","https://openalex.org/W1493518289","https://openalex.org/W1601795611","https://openalex.org/W1663973292","https://openalex.org/W1876456565","https://openalex.org/W1963899048","https://openalex.org/W2018870949","https://openalex.org/W2029247811","https://openalex.org/W2034401558","https://openalex.org/W2041404167","https://openalex.org/W2103463156","https://openalex.org/W2113781888","https://openalex.org/W2160260207","https://openalex.org/W2212848973","https://openalex.org/W2327768229","https://openalex.org/W2558609463","https://openalex.org/W2605543710","https://openalex.org/W2795918043","https://openalex.org/W4254572943","https://openalex.org/W6730862555"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W4251972423","https://openalex.org/W1503216044","https://openalex.org/W2393609567","https://openalex.org/W2369369044","https://openalex.org/W2354143083","https://openalex.org/W2372906645","https://openalex.org/W4319998713","https://openalex.org/W2366269494","https://openalex.org/W2353650902","https://openalex.org/W2347884623"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Volcanic":[0],"eruptions":[1],"can":[2,21,96],"be":[3,10],"disastrous;":[4],"it":[5],"is":[6,48],"therefore":[7,49],"important":[8],"to":[9,12,51,60],"able":[11],"predict":[13],"them":[14],"as":[15,17],"accurately":[16],"possible.":[18],"Theoretically,":[19],"we":[20,69,95,103],"use":[22],"the":[23,63,75,99,112],"general":[24,88],"machine":[25],"learning":[26],"techniques":[27],"for":[28,53],"such":[29,38],"predictions.":[30],"However,":[31],"in":[32,87,90,93],"general,":[33],"without":[34],"any":[35],"prior":[36],"information,":[37],"methods":[39],"require":[40],"an":[41,71],"unrealistic":[42],"amount":[43],"of":[44,111],"computation":[45],"time.":[46],"It":[47],"desirable":[50],"look":[52],"additional":[54],"information":[55],"that":[56,74,86],"would":[57],"enable":[58],"us":[59],"speed":[61,97],"up":[62,98],"corresponding":[64,100,113],"computations.":[65],"In":[66],"this":[67],"paper,":[68],"provide":[70],"empirical":[72],"evidence":[73],"volcanic":[76,91],"system":[77],"exhibit":[78],"chaotic":[79,107],"and":[80,108],"delayed":[81,109],"character.":[82],"We":[83],"also":[84],"show":[85],"(and":[89],"predictions":[92,101],"particular),":[94],"if":[102],"take":[104],"into":[105],"account":[106],"character":[110],"system.":[114]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2020,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2025-11-06T03:46:38.306776","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}