{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2168122416","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1109/ondm.2012.6210193","title":"Economic modelling of uncertain next-generation network evolution","display_name":"Economic modelling of uncertain next-generation network evolution","publication_year":2012,"publication_date":"2012-04-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2168122416","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1109/ondm.2012.6210193","mag":"2168122416"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1109/ondm.2012.6210193","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1109/ondm.2012.6210193","pdf_url":null,"source":null,"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"2012 16th International Conference on Optical Network Design and Modelling (ONDM)","raw_type":"proceedings-article"},"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5038296307","display_name":"Cs. Kiss Kallo","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210149589","display_name":"Intune Networks (Ireland)","ror":"https://ror.org/041w3g952","country_code":"IE","type":"company","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210149589"]}],"countries":["IE"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Cs. Kiss Kallo","raw_affiliation_strings":["Intune Networks Limited, Dublin, Ireland"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Intune Networks Limited, Dublin, Ireland","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210149589"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5054804837","display_name":"John Dunne","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210149589","display_name":"Intune Networks (Ireland)","ror":"https://ror.org/041w3g952","country_code":"IE","type":"company","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210149589"]}],"countries":["IE"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"J. Dunne","raw_affiliation_strings":["Intune Networks Limited, Dublin, Ireland"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Intune Networks Limited, Dublin, Ireland","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210149589"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5018349553","display_name":"R. Carley","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210149589","display_name":"Intune Networks (Ireland)","ror":"https://ror.org/041w3g952","country_code":"IE","type":"company","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210149589"]}],"countries":["IE"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Raymond Carley","raw_affiliation_strings":["Intune Networks Limited, Dublin, Ireland"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Intune Networks Limited, Dublin, Ireland","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210149589"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5001511935","display_name":"Conor O'Malley","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210149589","display_name":"Intune Networks (Ireland)","ror":"https://ror.org/041w3g952","country_code":"IE","type":"company","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210149589"]}],"countries":["IE"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Conor O'Malley","raw_affiliation_strings":["Intune Networks Limited, Dublin, Ireland"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Intune Networks Limited, Dublin, Ireland","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210149589"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5101884331","display_name":"V\u0131\u0301ctor L\u00f3pez","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6950-3314"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210134591","display_name":"Telefonica Research and Development","ror":"https://ror.org/03qgzzb04","country_code":"ES","type":"company","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210097190","https://openalex.org/I4210134591"]}],"countries":["ES"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Victor Lopez","raw_affiliation_strings":["Telef\u00f2nica I D, Madrid, Spain"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Telef\u00f2nica I D, Madrid, Spain","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210134591"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5035631505","display_name":"Juan Pedro Fern\u00e1ndez-Palacios","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0009-0006-1672-6449"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210134591","display_name":"Telefonica Research and Development","ror":"https://ror.org/03qgzzb04","country_code":"ES","type":"company","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210097190","https://openalex.org/I4210134591"]}],"countries":["ES"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"J. P. Fernandez-Palacios","raw_affiliation_strings":["Telef\u00f2nica I D, Madrid, Spain"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Telef\u00f2nica I D, Madrid, Spain","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210134591"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":2,"institutions_distinct_count":6,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5038296307"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210149589"],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":0.491,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":3,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.70828971,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":89,"max":94},"biblio":{"volume":null,"issue":null,"first_page":"1","last_page":"6"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10847","display_name":"Advanced Optical Network Technologies","score":0.9998000264167786,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2208","display_name":"Electrical and Electronic Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10847","display_name":"Advanced Optical Network Technologies","score":0.9998000264167786,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2208","display_name":"Electrical and Electronic Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10232","display_name":"Optical Network Technologies","score":0.9976999759674072,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2208","display_name":"Electrical and Electronic Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11429","display_name":"Semiconductor Lasers and Optical Devices","score":0.9836999773979187,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2208","display_name":"Electrical and Electronic Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-science","display_name":"Computer science","score":0.6835946440696716},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/network-architecture","display_name":"Network architecture","score":0.611146092414856},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/software-deployment","display_name":"Software deployment","score":0.5519855618476868},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/network-planning-and-design","display_name":"Network planning and design","score":0.5284388065338135},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/core-network","display_name":"Core network","score":0.5035530924797058},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-network","display_name":"Computer network","score":0.5031406283378601},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/monte-carlo-method","display_name":"Monte Carlo method","score":0.4998011589050293},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/network-packet","display_name":"Network packet","score":0.49188780784606934},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/network-economics","display_name":"Network economics","score":0.4426993131637573},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/next-generation-network","display_name":"Next-generation network","score":0.43582063913345337},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/capital-cost","display_name":"Capital cost","score":0.4284823536872864},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/network-topology","display_name":"Network topology","score":0.4183557629585266},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/distributed-computing","display_name":"Distributed computing","score":0.3917919993400574},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/the-internet","display_name":"The Internet","score":0.2735522389411926},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/engineering","display_name":"Engineering","score":0.20359620451927185}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.6835946440696716},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C193415008","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q639681","display_name":"Network architecture","level":2,"score":0.611146092414856},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C105339364","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2297740","display_name":"Software deployment","level":2,"score":0.5519855618476868},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C114563136","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q19725982","display_name":"Network planning and design","level":2,"score":0.5284388065338135},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C5038329","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1142907","display_name":"Core network","level":2,"score":0.5035530924797058},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C31258907","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1301371","display_name":"Computer network","level":1,"score":0.5031406283378601},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C19499675","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q232207","display_name":"Monte Carlo method","level":2,"score":0.4998011589050293},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C158379750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q214111","display_name":"Network packet","level":2,"score":0.49188780784606934},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2777926032","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q649124","display_name":"Network economics","level":2,"score":0.4426993131637573},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C110994511","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q661020","display_name":"Next-generation network","level":3,"score":0.43582063913345337},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C157062255","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5035697","display_name":"Capital cost","level":2,"score":0.4284823536872864},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C199845137","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q145490","display_name":"Network topology","level":2,"score":0.4183557629585266},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C120314980","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q180634","display_name":"Distributed computing","level":1,"score":0.3917919993400574},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C110875604","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q75","display_name":"The Internet","level":2,"score":0.2735522389411926},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127413603","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11023","display_name":"Engineering","level":0,"score":0.20359620451927185},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C105795698","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12483","display_name":"Statistics","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C136264566","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q159810","display_name":"Economy","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C119599485","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q43035","display_name":"Electrical engineering","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C111919701","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9135","display_name":"Operating system","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C136764020","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q466","display_name":"World Wide Web","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1109/ondm.2012.6210193","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1109/ondm.2012.6210193","pdf_url":null,"source":null,"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"2012 16th International Conference on Optical Network Design and Modelling (ONDM)","raw_type":"proceedings-article"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[{"display_name":"Industry, innovation and infrastructure","score":0.6399999856948853,"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/9"}],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":false,"pdf":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":6,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W2045343027","https://openalex.org/W2051203581","https://openalex.org/W2053284846","https://openalex.org/W2143655104","https://openalex.org/W2260948787","https://openalex.org/W2484180630"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2544365975","https://openalex.org/W2350840850","https://openalex.org/W2475336774","https://openalex.org/W1523110029","https://openalex.org/W944950733","https://openalex.org/W1546332185","https://openalex.org/W1977572169","https://openalex.org/W2366044687","https://openalex.org/W2389775709","https://openalex.org/W1593475724"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"In":[0],"this":[1,100],"paper":[2],"the":[3,6,79,96,129,139,144,154],"uncertainties":[4],"and":[5,48,141],"implied":[7],"level":[8,81],"of":[9,31,57,67,99,153],"risk":[10,80],"associated":[11],"with":[12],"next-generation":[13,120],"network":[14,25,32,37,42,71,88,112,127],"architectures":[15],"is":[16,59,102],"modelled":[17],"using":[18],"Monte":[19],"Carlo":[20],"simulation,":[21],"aimed":[22],"at":[23],"understanding":[24,66],"economics":[26],"evolution.":[27],"A":[28,54],"high":[29],"number":[30],"parameters":[33,63],"-":[34,51],"like":[35],"incremental":[36],"deployment,":[38],"data":[39],"centre":[40],"location,":[41],"architecture,":[43],"service":[44],"mix,":[45],"traffic":[46],"growth":[47],"subscriber":[49],"take-up":[50],"are":[52],"modelled.":[53],"wide":[55],"range":[56],"values":[58],"used":[60],"for":[61,151],"these":[62],"to":[64,118,158],"gain":[65],"their":[68,87],"impact":[69],"on":[70,91,138],"cost.":[72],"Such":[73],"an":[74,159],"approach":[75,146],"provides":[76,133],"insight":[77],"into":[78],"undertaken":[82],"by":[83,114],"operators":[84],"when":[85,116,156],"building":[86],"infrastructure":[89],"based":[90],"a":[92,104,119,125,148],"specific":[93],"forecast.":[94],"Thus,":[95],"core":[97],"result":[98],"analysis":[101],"that":[103],"sub-wavelength":[105,130,145],"optical":[106],"packet":[107],"forwarding":[108],"technology":[109],"can":[110],"de-risk":[111],"investments":[113],"500%":[115],"compared":[117,157],"IPoDWDM":[121,160],"solution.":[122],"Second,":[123],"in":[124],"scaled":[126],"scenario":[128],"solution":[131],"also":[132],"150%":[134],"capital":[135],"savings.":[136],"Finally,":[137],"medium":[140],"long":[142],"term":[143],"yields":[147],"cost":[149],"benefit":[150],"99.8%":[152],"configurations,":[155],"architecture.":[161]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2016,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2015,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2012,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2025-11-06T03:46:38.306776","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}
