{"id":"https://openalex.org/W4411232076","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1109/ojcs.2025.3579522","title":"ABMF-Net: An Attentive Bayesian Multi-Stage Deep Learning Model for Robust Forecasting of Electricity Price and Demand","display_name":"ABMF-Net: An Attentive Bayesian Multi-Stage Deep Learning Model for Robust Forecasting of Electricity Price and Demand","publication_year":2025,"publication_date":"2025-01-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W4411232076","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1109/ojcs.2025.3579522"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1109/ojcs.2025.3579522","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1109/ojcs.2025.3579522","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210176459","display_name":"IEEE Open Journal of the Computer Society","issn_l":"2644-1268","issn":["2644-1268"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319808","host_organization_name":"Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319808"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"IEEE Open Journal of the Computer Society","raw_type":"journal-article"},"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref","doaj"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"gold","oa_url":"https://doi.org/10.1109/ojcs.2025.3579522","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5102505571","display_name":"MD Nazmul Hossain Mir","orcid":null},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"MD Nazmul Hossain Mir","raw_affiliation_strings":["Washington University of Science and Technology, Alexandria, VA, USA"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0009-0001-7390-3046","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Washington University of Science and Technology, Alexandria, VA, USA","institution_ids":[]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5059036373","display_name":"Arindam Kishor Biswas","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I276309446","display_name":"University of the Cumberlands","ror":"https://ror.org/05jz3sn81","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I276309446"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Arindam Kishor Biswas","raw_affiliation_strings":["University of the Cumberlands, Williamsburg, KY, USA"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0009-0005-9139-3261","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"University of the Cumberlands, Williamsburg, KY, USA","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I276309446"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5089259623","display_name":"Mohammad Shamsul Alam Bhuiyan","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1525-2182"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I165075387","display_name":"Trine University","ror":"https://ror.org/038e0dv78","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I165075387"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Md Shariful Alam Bhuiyan","raw_affiliation_strings":["Ketner School of Business, Trine University, Angola, IN, USA"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Ketner School of Business, Trine University, Angola, IN, USA","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I165075387"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5111333170","display_name":"Md. Golam Rabbani Abir","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210147955","display_name":"Bangladesh University of Business and Technology","ror":"https://ror.org/0400am365","country_code":"BD","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210147955"]}],"countries":["BD"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Md. Golam Rabbani Abir","raw_affiliation_strings":["Bangladesh University of Business and Technology, Dhaka, Bangladesh"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0009-0002-9462-5484","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Bangladesh University of Business and Technology, Dhaka, Bangladesh","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210147955"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5071208302","display_name":"M. F. Mridha","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5738-1631"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I103434671","display_name":"American International University-Bangladesh","ror":"https://ror.org/02j8ga255","country_code":"BD","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I103434671"]}],"countries":["BD"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"M. F. Mridha","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Computer Science and Engineering, American International University-Bangladesh, Dhaka, Bangladesh"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5738-1631","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Computer Science and Engineering, American International University-Bangladesh, Dhaka, Bangladesh","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I103434671"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5041704835","display_name":"Md. Jakir Hossen","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9978-7987"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I173029219","display_name":"Multimedia University","ror":"https://ror.org/04zrbnc33","country_code":"MY","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I173029219"]}],"countries":["MY"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Md. Jakir Hossen","raw_affiliation_strings":["Center for Advanced Analytics (CAA), COE for Artificial Intelligence Faculty of Engineering & Technology (FET), Multimedia University, Melaka, Malaysia"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9978-7987","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Center for Advanced Analytics (CAA), COE for Artificial Intelligence Faculty of Engineering & Technology (FET), Multimedia University, Melaka, Malaysia","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I173029219"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":3,"institutions_distinct_count":6,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5102505571"],"corresponding_institution_ids":[],"apc_list":{"value":1750,"currency":"USD","value_usd":1750},"apc_paid":{"value":1750,"currency":"USD","value_usd":1750},"fwci":0.6252,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":1,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.69912854,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":96,"max":98},"biblio":{"volume":"6","issue":null,"first_page":"896","last_page":"907"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11052","display_name":"Energy Load and Power Forecasting","score":0.9998999834060669,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2208","display_name":"Electrical and Electronic Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11052","display_name":"Energy Load and Power Forecasting","score":0.9998999834060669,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2208","display_name":"Electrical and Electronic Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11954","display_name":"Energy Efficiency and Management","score":0.989300012588501,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2105","display_name":"Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/21","display_name":"Energy"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10424","display_name":"Electric Power System Optimization","score":0.9840999841690063,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2208","display_name":"Electrical and Electronic Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/electricity-demand","display_name":"Electricity demand","score":0.5465469360351562},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/stage","display_name":"Stage (stratigraphy)","score":0.5384990572929382},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/artificial-intelligence","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","score":0.5246505737304688},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/electricity","display_name":"Electricity","score":0.5019683837890625},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/bayesian-probability","display_name":"Bayesian probability","score":0.5016069412231445},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/electricity-price-forecasting","display_name":"Electricity price forecasting","score":0.4953871965408325},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/demand-forecasting","display_name":"Demand forecasting","score":0.472536563873291},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/economics","display_name":"Economics","score":0.4474695026874542},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-science","display_name":"Computer science","score":0.43797844648361206},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/econometrics","display_name":"Econometrics","score":0.4337427616119385},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/bayesian-inference","display_name":"Bayesian inference","score":0.4208522439002991},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/electricity-market","display_name":"Electricity market","score":0.3826351761817932},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/machine-learning","display_name":"Machine learning","score":0.3460579216480255},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/electricity-generation","display_name":"Electricity generation","score":0.1969567835330963},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/engineering","display_name":"Engineering","score":0.18495604395866394},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/power","display_name":"Power (physics)","score":0.15240934491157532},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/operations-management","display_name":"Operations management","score":0.14203283190727234}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2988649059","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1853339","display_name":"Electricity demand","level":4,"score":0.5465469360351562},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C146357865","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1123245","display_name":"Stage (stratigraphy)","level":2,"score":0.5384990572929382},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C154945302","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11660","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","level":1,"score":0.5246505737304688},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C206658404","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12725","display_name":"Electricity","level":2,"score":0.5019683837890625},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C107673813","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q812534","display_name":"Bayesian probability","level":2,"score":0.5016069412231445},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2781104810","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q23580049","display_name":"Electricity price forecasting","level":4,"score":0.4953871965408325},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C193809577","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3409300","display_name":"Demand forecasting","level":2,"score":0.472536563873291},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.4474695026874542},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.43797844648361206},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149782125","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q160039","display_name":"Econometrics","level":1,"score":0.4337427616119385},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C160234255","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q812535","display_name":"Bayesian inference","level":3,"score":0.4208522439002991},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C146733006","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q676081","display_name":"Electricity market","level":3,"score":0.3826351761817932},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C119857082","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2539","display_name":"Machine learning","level":1,"score":0.3460579216480255},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C423512","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q383973","display_name":"Electricity generation","level":3,"score":0.1969567835330963},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127413603","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11023","display_name":"Engineering","level":0,"score":0.18495604395866394},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C163258240","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q25342","display_name":"Power (physics)","level":2,"score":0.15240934491157532},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C21547014","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1423657","display_name":"Operations management","level":1,"score":0.14203283190727234},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C119599485","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q43035","display_name":"Electrical engineering","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C151730666","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7205","display_name":"Paleontology","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C121332964","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q413","display_name":"Physics","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C86803240","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q420","display_name":"Biology","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C62520636","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q944","display_name":"Quantum mechanics","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":3,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1109/ojcs.2025.3579522","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1109/ojcs.2025.3579522","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210176459","display_name":"IEEE Open Journal of the Computer Society","issn_l":"2644-1268","issn":["2644-1268"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319808","host_organization_name":"Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319808"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"IEEE Open Journal of the Computer Society","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:shdl.mmu.edu.my:14094","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":null,"pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4377196753","display_name":"Siti Hasmah Digital Library-MMU Institutiona Repository (Multimedia University)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I173029219","host_organization_name":"Multimedia University","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I173029219"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"acceptedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"NonPeerReviewed"},{"id":"pmh:oai:doaj.org/article:c3a75efae8ba48ff878aea155e948d27","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doaj.org/article/c3a75efae8ba48ff878aea155e948d27","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401280","display_name":"DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by-sa","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by-sa","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"IEEE Open Journal of the Computer Society, Vol 6, Pp 896-907 (2025)","raw_type":"article"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.1109/ojcs.2025.3579522","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1109/ojcs.2025.3579522","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210176459","display_name":"IEEE Open Journal of the Computer Society","issn_l":"2644-1268","issn":["2644-1268"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319808","host_organization_name":"Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319808"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"IEEE Open Journal of the Computer Society","raw_type":"journal-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"pdf":false,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":34,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W2075299467","https://openalex.org/W2089217930","https://openalex.org/W2113244375","https://openalex.org/W2120390927","https://openalex.org/W2280712870","https://openalex.org/W2576683119","https://openalex.org/W2900100559","https://openalex.org/W2900946119","https://openalex.org/W2907780353","https://openalex.org/W2963148318","https://openalex.org/W2994602700","https://openalex.org/W3035725276","https://openalex.org/W3109365969","https://openalex.org/W3124309035","https://openalex.org/W3126170988","https://openalex.org/W3154546263","https://openalex.org/W4210530162","https://openalex.org/W4296482870","https://openalex.org/W4382203079","https://openalex.org/W4385245566","https://openalex.org/W4385763767","https://openalex.org/W4390499820","https://openalex.org/W4394570556","https://openalex.org/W4394699135","https://openalex.org/W4403765407","https://openalex.org/W4403883004","https://openalex.org/W4403964214","https://openalex.org/W4404069782","https://openalex.org/W4404275914","https://openalex.org/W6790346436","https://openalex.org/W6843020581","https://openalex.org/W6872720988","https://openalex.org/W6873909424","https://openalex.org/W7049147302"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W4400555014","https://openalex.org/W2347295811","https://openalex.org/W2028449551","https://openalex.org/W2088353375","https://openalex.org/W4399254721","https://openalex.org/W1996619742","https://openalex.org/W2536605339","https://openalex.org/W2048290207","https://openalex.org/W4389989272","https://openalex.org/W2546062147"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"This":[0],"paper":[1],"presents":[2],"a":[3,42,54,83,119],"novel":[4],"deep":[5],"learning":[6],"model,":[7],"the":[8,75,108],"Attentive":[9],"Bayesian":[10,43],"Multi-Stage":[11],"Forecasting":[12],"Network":[13],"(ABMF-Net),":[14],"designed":[15],"for":[16,125],"robust":[17],"forecasting":[18,64,123],"of":[19,90,93,97],"electricity":[20,77,127],"price":[21],"(USD/MWh)":[22],"and":[23,41,50,66,95,102,121],"demand":[24],"(MW).":[25],"The":[26],"model":[27,124],"incorporates":[28],"an":[29,34],"attention-based":[30],"data":[31],"selection":[32],"mechanism,":[33],"encoder-decoder":[35],"structure":[36],"with":[37],"masked":[38],"time-series":[39],"prediction,":[40],"neural":[44],"network":[45],"to":[46,62],"generate":[47],"both":[48],"point":[49],"interval":[51],"forecasts.":[52],"Furthermore,":[53],"multi-objective":[55],"Salp":[56],"Swarm":[57],"Algorithm":[58],"(MSSA)":[59],"is":[60],"used":[61],"optimize":[63],"accuracy":[65],"stability.":[67],"Experimental":[68],"evaluation":[69],"on":[70],"four":[71],"real-world":[72],"datasets":[73],"from":[74],"Australian":[76],"market":[78],"demonstrates":[79],"that":[80],"ABMF-Net":[81,117],"achieves":[82],"MAPE":[84],"as":[85,87,118],"low":[86],"1.89%,":[88],"MAE":[89],"0.67,":[91],"RMSE":[92],"0.98,":[94,98],"FICP":[96],"outperforming":[99],"LSTM,":[100],"GRU,":[101],"Transformer":[103],"models.":[104],"Seasonal":[105],"evaluations":[106],"confirm":[107],"model's":[109],"robustness":[110],"across":[111],"high-variability":[112],"conditions.":[113],"These":[114],"results":[115],"position":[116],"high-performing":[120],"reliable":[122],"modern":[126],"markets.":[128]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2026,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2026-05-06T08:25:59.206177","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}