{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2810528239","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1109/jsyst.2018.2843727","title":"Forecasting System Capability Using the Scenario-Based Experimental-Design Test Approach","display_name":"Forecasting System Capability Using the Scenario-Based Experimental-Design Test Approach","publication_year":2018,"publication_date":"2018-06-27","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2810528239","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1109/jsyst.2018.2843727","mag":"2810528239"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1109/jsyst.2018.2843727","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1109/jsyst.2018.2843727","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S95999327","display_name":"IEEE Systems Journal","issn_l":"1932-8184","issn":["1932-8184","1937-9234","2373-7816"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319808","host_organization_name":"Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319808"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"IEEE Systems Journal","raw_type":"journal-article"},"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5067793449","display_name":"Ya Lun Li","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3227-9400"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I193531525","display_name":"George Washington University","ror":"https://ror.org/00y4zzh67","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I193531525"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Ya Lun Li","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Engineering Management and Systems Engineering, The George Washington University, Washington, DC, USA"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3227-9400","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Engineering Management and Systems Engineering, The George Washington University, Washington, DC, USA","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I193531525"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5008247471","display_name":"Blake Roberts","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8708-8014"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I193531525","display_name":"George Washington University","ror":"https://ror.org/00y4zzh67","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I193531525"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Blake Roberts","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Engineering Management and Systems Engineering, The George Washington University, Washington, DC, USA"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Engineering Management and Systems Engineering, The George Washington University, Washington, DC, USA","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I193531525"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5007302950","display_name":"Michael Grenn","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I193531525","display_name":"George Washington University","ror":"https://ror.org/00y4zzh67","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I193531525"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Michael W. Grenn","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Engineering Management and Systems Engineering, The George Washington University, Washington, DC, USA"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Engineering Management and Systems Engineering, The George Washington University, Washington, DC, USA","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I193531525"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":1,"corresponding_author_ids":[],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I193531525"],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":0.0,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":1,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.09584921,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":91,"max":95},"biblio":{"volume":"13","issue":"3","first_page":"2142","last_page":"2153"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12423","display_name":"Software Reliability and Analysis Research","score":0.9965999722480774,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1712","display_name":"Software"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/17","display_name":"Computer Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12423","display_name":"Software Reliability and Analysis Research","score":0.9965999722480774,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1712","display_name":"Software"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/17","display_name":"Computer Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T13295","display_name":"Safety Systems Engineering in Autonomy","score":0.9901999831199646,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2213","display_name":"Safety, Risk, Reliability and Quality"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12000","display_name":"Systems Engineering Methodologies and Applications","score":0.9896000027656555,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2207","display_name":"Control and Systems Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-science","display_name":"Computer science","score":0.5458623766899109},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/payload","display_name":"Payload (computing)","score":0.5304673910140991},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/matching","display_name":"Matching (statistics)","score":0.49927687644958496},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/experimental-data","display_name":"Experimental data","score":0.48692214488983154},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/element","display_name":"Element (criminal law)","score":0.48126643896102905},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/test-data","display_name":"Test data","score":0.4603789150714874},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/data-mining","display_name":"Data mining","score":0.4346206486225128},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/mathematics","display_name":"Mathematics","score":0.19497734308242798},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/programming-language","display_name":"Programming language","score":0.18838900327682495},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/statistics","display_name":"Statistics","score":0.12195494771003723}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.5458623766899109},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C134066672","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1424639","display_name":"Payload (computing)","level":3,"score":0.5304673910140991},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C165064840","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1321061","display_name":"Matching (statistics)","level":2,"score":0.49927687644958496},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C55037315","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5421151","display_name":"Experimental data","level":2,"score":0.48692214488983154},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C200288055","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2621792","display_name":"Element (criminal law)","level":2,"score":0.48126643896102905},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C16910744","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7705759","display_name":"Test data","level":2,"score":0.4603789150714874},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C124101348","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q172491","display_name":"Data mining","level":1,"score":0.4346206486225128},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.19497734308242798},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C199360897","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9143","display_name":"Programming language","level":1,"score":0.18838900327682495},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C105795698","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12483","display_name":"Statistics","level":1,"score":0.12195494771003723},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C17744445","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q36442","display_name":"Political science","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C199539241","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7748","display_name":"Law","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C31258907","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1301371","display_name":"Computer network","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C158379750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q214111","display_name":"Network packet","level":2,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1109/jsyst.2018.2843727","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1109/jsyst.2018.2843727","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S95999327","display_name":"IEEE Systems Journal","issn_l":"1932-8184","issn":["1932-8184","1937-9234","2373-7816"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319808","host_organization_name":"Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319808"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"IEEE Systems Journal","raw_type":"journal-article"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"pdf":false,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":26,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W22256754","https://openalex.org/W156761077","https://openalex.org/W1481379379","https://openalex.org/W1556189547","https://openalex.org/W1580090600","https://openalex.org/W1970347532","https://openalex.org/W1978618517","https://openalex.org/W1999513851","https://openalex.org/W2026776425","https://openalex.org/W2028263671","https://openalex.org/W2049809234","https://openalex.org/W2055225546","https://openalex.org/W2065717858","https://openalex.org/W2066947166","https://openalex.org/W2075036374","https://openalex.org/W2088927456","https://openalex.org/W2132384806","https://openalex.org/W2159337603","https://openalex.org/W2171647769","https://openalex.org/W2213712035","https://openalex.org/W2320826054","https://openalex.org/W2329082787","https://openalex.org/W4251692722","https://openalex.org/W6600910407","https://openalex.org/W6643030865","https://openalex.org/W6687910769"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W1535080110","https://openalex.org/W306312984","https://openalex.org/W857189463","https://openalex.org/W2113103369","https://openalex.org/W3000185620","https://openalex.org/W2002650509","https://openalex.org/W1980585784","https://openalex.org/W2028267849","https://openalex.org/W1999506221","https://openalex.org/W3091114275"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"During":[0],"the":[1,56,118,160,189,207,226,250,257,275,293,300],"requirement-based":[2],"test":[3,115,152,162,220],"approach":[4,116,163],"(RBT":[5],"&E),":[6],"it":[7],"is":[8],"difficult":[9],"to":[10,20,54,105,120,138,177,249,262,282],"objectively":[11,121],"and":[12,51,98,122,127,136,143,154,166,219,221,232,264,269,291],"quantitatively":[13,106,123],"forecast":[14,107,124,236],"system-of-interest":[15],"(SOI)":[16],"capabilities":[17],"(or":[18,175],"ability":[19,119,176],"achieve":[21],"system":[22],"requirements":[23,59],"under":[24,47,70],"its":[25],"stated":[26],"operational":[27,253],"environment)":[28],"through":[29,194],"interpretations":[30],"and/or":[31],"analysis":[32,280],"of":[33,83,150,196,205,229],"obtained":[34],"element":[35,58,61,79,130,168,179],"verification":[36,43,49,76,131,169],"data.":[37],"This":[38],"challenge":[39],"remains":[40],"because":[41],"RBT&E":[42],"data":[44,132,170,279],"are":[45],"collected":[46],"unique":[48],"conditions":[50],"measurements":[52],"specific":[53],"only":[55],"allocated":[57],"(e.g.,":[60],"A's":[62],"demonstrated":[63,81],"y":[64,84],"<sub":[65,72,85,91],"xmlns:mml=\"http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML\"":[66,73,86,92],"xmlns:xlink=\"http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink\">1</sub>":[67,74],"-mi/h":[68],"speed":[69],"x":[71,90],"\u00b0C":[75],"condition":[77,259],"versus":[78],"B's":[80],"payload":[82],"xmlns:xlink=\"http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink\">2</sub>":[87,93],"-tons":[88],"at":[89],"-m":[94],"altitude).":[95],"Such":[96],"mismatched":[97],"conditional":[99],"variables":[100],"cannot":[101],"be":[102],"mathematically":[103],"amalgamated":[104],"SOI":[108,125,183,190,234,252,266,296],"capability.":[109],"The":[110],"proposed":[111],"scenario-based":[112],"experimental-design":[113],"(SBED)":[114],"provides":[117],"capability":[126,191,235,297],"obtain":[128],"matching":[129],"(i.e.,":[133],"all":[134,197,206],"normalized":[135],"standardized":[137],"a":[139,144,201],"common":[140,145],"input":[141],"domain":[142],"unit).":[146],"By":[147],"applying":[148],"design":[149,267],"experiments":[151],"methods":[153],"response":[155,212],"surface":[156],"methodology":[157],"statistical":[158],"techniques,":[159],"SBED":[161,214],"can":[164],"model":[165],"output":[167],"as":[171],"\u201csystem-element":[172,210],"capability\u201d":[173,211],"responses":[174],"fulfill":[178],"requirements)":[180],"influenced":[181],"by":[182,200],"operational-environment's":[184],"parameters.":[185],"It":[186],"then":[187],"forecasts":[188,298],"(as":[192],"depicted":[193],"sequencing":[195],"elements'":[198],"interactions)":[199],"Boolean":[202],"algebraic":[203],"sum":[204],"(now":[208],"matching)":[209],"models.":[213],"introduces":[215],"two":[216],"systems":[217],"engineering":[218],"evaluation":[222],"(T&E)":[223],"benefits.":[224],"First,":[225],"early":[227],"delivery":[228],"an":[230,283],"objective":[231],"quantitative":[233,295],"that":[237],"has":[238],"been":[239],"previously":[240],"unobtainable;":[241],"second,":[242],"more-descriptive":[243],"element-capability":[244],"regression":[245],"models":[246],"(with":[247],"respect":[248],"entire":[251],"environment":[254],"vice":[255],"just":[256],"requirement-specific":[258],"per":[260],"RBT&E)":[261],"assess":[263],"mitigate":[265],"risks":[268],"uncertainties.":[270],"To":[271],"demonstrate":[272],"these":[273],"advantages,":[274],"authors":[276],"apply":[277],"SBED's":[278],"techniques":[281],"existing":[284],"U.S.":[285],"Air":[286],"Force":[287],"flight":[288],"test's":[289,301],"dataset":[290],"compare":[292],"SBED-produced":[294],"against":[299],"original":[302],"qualitative":[303],"conclusions.":[304]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2026-06-26T08:34:08.712188","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}