{"id":"https://openalex.org/W4412082355","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1109/jstars.2025.3586351","title":"A Novel Optimized Hybrid VMD-PCA-XGBoost Model for Forecasting Precipitation: Exemplified by the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Study Region in China","display_name":"A Novel Optimized Hybrid VMD-PCA-XGBoost Model for Forecasting Precipitation: Exemplified by the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Study Region in China","publication_year":2025,"publication_date":"2025-01-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W4412082355","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1109/jstars.2025.3586351"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1109/jstars.2025.3586351","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1109/jstars.2025.3586351","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S117727964","display_name":"IEEE Journal of Selected Topics in Applied Earth Observations and Remote Sensing","issn_l":"1939-1404","issn":["1939-1404","2151-1535"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319808","host_organization_name":"Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319808"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"IEEE Journal of Selected Topics in Applied Earth Observations and Remote Sensing","raw_type":"journal-article"},"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref","doaj"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"gold","oa_url":"https://doi.org/10.1109/jstars.2025.3586351","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":null,"display_name":"Qiaoli Kong","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0009-0004-0522-0392"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I80143920","display_name":"Shandong University of Science and Technology","ror":"https://ror.org/04gtjhw98","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I80143920"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Qiaoli Kong","raw_affiliation_strings":["College of Geodesy and Geomatics, Shandong University of Science and Technology, Qingdao, China"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0009-0004-0522-0392","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"College of Geodesy and Geomatics, Shandong University of Science and Technology, Qingdao, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I80143920"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":null,"display_name":"Qian Li","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0009-0005-0588-6829"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I80143920","display_name":"Shandong University of Science and Technology","ror":"https://ror.org/04gtjhw98","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I80143920"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Qian Li","raw_affiliation_strings":["College of Geodesy and Geomatics, Shandong University of Science and Technology, Qingdao, China"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0009-0005-0588-6829","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"College of Geodesy and Geomatics, Shandong University of Science and Technology, Qingdao, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I80143920"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":null,"display_name":"Qi Bai","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0009-0009-6729-0800"},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Qi Bai","raw_affiliation_strings":["Shanghai Chart Center, Eastern Navigation Service Center, Maritime Safety Administration, Shanghai, China"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0009-0009-6729-0800","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Shanghai Chart Center, Eastern Navigation Service Center, Maritime Safety Administration, Shanghai, China","institution_ids":[]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5025470306","display_name":"Xiaolong Mi","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2950-3472"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I14243506","display_name":"Hong Kong Polytechnic University","ror":"https://ror.org/0030zas98","country_code":"HK","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I14243506"]}],"countries":["HK"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Xiaolong Mi","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Land Surveying and Geo-Informatics, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hong Kong","Department of Land Surveying and Geo-Informatics, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hong Kong, China"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2950-3472","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Land Surveying and Geo-Informatics, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hong Kong","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I14243506"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Land Surveying and Geo-Informatics, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hong Kong, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I14243506"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5118845852","display_name":"Joseph Awenge","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I14243506","display_name":"Hong Kong Polytechnic University","ror":"https://ror.org/0030zas98","country_code":"HK","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I14243506"]}],"countries":["HK"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Joseph Awange","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Land Surveying and Geo-Informatics, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hong Kong","Department of Land Surveying and Geo-Informatics, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hong Kong, China"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Land Surveying and Geo-Informatics, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hong Kong","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I14243506"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Land Surveying and Geo-Informatics, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hong Kong, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I14243506"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":null,"display_name":"Shi Wang","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0009-0009-8373-1370"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I80143920","display_name":"Shandong University of Science and Technology","ror":"https://ror.org/04gtjhw98","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I80143920"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Shi Wang","raw_affiliation_strings":["College of Geodesy and Geomatics, Shandong University of Science and Technology, Qingdao, China"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0009-0009-8373-1370","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"College of Geodesy and Geomatics, Shandong University of Science and Technology, Qingdao, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I80143920"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":null,"display_name":"Yi Yang","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0009-0005-8978-428X"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I80143920","display_name":"Shandong University of Science and Technology","ror":"https://ror.org/04gtjhw98","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I80143920"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Yi Yang","raw_affiliation_strings":["College of Geodesy and Geomatics, Shandong University of Science and Technology, Qingdao, China"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0009-0005-8978-428X","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"College of Geodesy and Geomatics, Shandong University of Science and Technology, Qingdao, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I80143920"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5109242397","display_name":"G. M. Bo","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I80143920","display_name":"Shandong University of Science and Technology","ror":"https://ror.org/04gtjhw98","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I80143920"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Guoli Bo","raw_affiliation_strings":["College of Geodesy and Geomatics, Shandong University of Science and Technology, Qingdao, China"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0009-0005-8253-0682","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"College of Geodesy and Geomatics, Shandong University of Science and Technology, Qingdao, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I80143920"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":2,"institutions_distinct_count":8,"corresponding_author_ids":[],"corresponding_institution_ids":[],"apc_list":{"value":1250,"currency":"USD","value_usd":1250},"apc_paid":{"value":1250,"currency":"USD","value_usd":1250},"fwci":0.0,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":0,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.19016632,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":null,"biblio":{"volume":"18","issue":null,"first_page":"17154","last_page":"17165"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10466","display_name":"Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations","score":0.98580002784729,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1902","display_name":"Atmospheric Science"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/19","display_name":"Earth and Planetary Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10466","display_name":"Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations","score":0.98580002784729,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1902","display_name":"Atmospheric Science"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/19","display_name":"Earth and Planetary Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10029","display_name":"Climate variability and models","score":0.9596999883651733,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2306","display_name":"Global and Planetary Change"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/23","display_name":"Environmental Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11234","display_name":"Precipitation Measurement and Analysis","score":0.9490000009536743,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1902","display_name":"Atmospheric Science"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/19","display_name":"Earth and Planetary Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/beijing","display_name":"Beijing","score":0.8796955347061157},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/china","display_name":"China","score":0.6187064051628113},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/precipitation","display_name":"Precipitation","score":0.5548169612884521},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/meteorology","display_name":"Meteorology","score":0.5018589496612549},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/atmospheric-model","display_name":"Atmospheric model","score":0.4521227180957794},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/environmental-science","display_name":"Environmental science","score":0.40673285722732544},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/remote-sensing","display_name":"Remote sensing","score":0.3574084937572479},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-science","display_name":"Computer science","score":0.3504209518432617},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/geography","display_name":"Geography","score":0.21730557084083557}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2778304055","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q657474","display_name":"Beijing","level":3,"score":0.8796955347061157},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C191935318","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q148","display_name":"China","level":2,"score":0.6187064051628113},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C107054158","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q25257","display_name":"Precipitation","level":2,"score":0.5548169612884521},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C153294291","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q25261","display_name":"Meteorology","level":1,"score":0.5018589496612549},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C118365302","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q4817115","display_name":"Atmospheric model","level":2,"score":0.4521227180957794},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C39432304","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q188847","display_name":"Environmental science","level":0,"score":0.40673285722732544},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C62649853","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q199687","display_name":"Remote sensing","level":1,"score":0.3574084937572479},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.3504209518432617},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C205649164","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1071","display_name":"Geography","level":0,"score":0.21730557084083557},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C166957645","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q23498","display_name":"Archaeology","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":2,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1109/jstars.2025.3586351","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1109/jstars.2025.3586351","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S117727964","display_name":"IEEE Journal of Selected Topics in Applied Earth Observations and Remote Sensing","issn_l":"1939-1404","issn":["1939-1404","2151-1535"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319808","host_organization_name":"Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319808"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"IEEE Journal of Selected Topics in Applied Earth Observations and Remote Sensing","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:doaj.org/article:bdafac24658840afae0a1d4b410745fd","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doaj.org/article/bdafac24658840afae0a1d4b410745fd","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401280","display_name":"DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by-sa","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by-sa","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"IEEE Journal of Selected Topics in Applied Earth Observations and Remote Sensing, Vol 18, Pp 17154-17165 (2025)","raw_type":"article"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.1109/jstars.2025.3586351","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1109/jstars.2025.3586351","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S117727964","display_name":"IEEE Journal of Selected Topics in Applied Earth Observations and Remote Sensing","issn_l":"1939-1404","issn":["1939-1404","2151-1535"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319808","host_organization_name":"Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319808"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"IEEE Journal of Selected Topics in Applied Earth Observations and Remote Sensing","raw_type":"journal-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[{"display_name":"Climate action","score":0.8600000143051147,"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/13"}],"awards":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/G1624293376","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"42271436","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320321001","funder_display_name":"National Natural Science Foundation of China"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G275226873","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"41704015","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320321001","funder_display_name":"National Natural Science Foundation of China"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G8178565883","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"42374038","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320321001","funder_display_name":"National Natural Science Foundation of China"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G8672422547","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"42404052","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320321001","funder_display_name":"National Natural Science Foundation of China"}],"funders":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320321001","display_name":"National Natural Science Foundation of China","ror":"https://ror.org/01h0zpd94"}],"has_content":{"pdf":false,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":45,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W1132441553","https://openalex.org/W1590065089","https://openalex.org/W1597280107","https://openalex.org/W2000982976","https://openalex.org/W2003207159","https://openalex.org/W2007221293","https://openalex.org/W2014953946","https://openalex.org/W2019295213","https://openalex.org/W2073298425","https://openalex.org/W2083029259","https://openalex.org/W2100956194","https://openalex.org/W2112306707","https://openalex.org/W2194644153","https://openalex.org/W2328573691","https://openalex.org/W2345663800","https://openalex.org/W2593051926","https://openalex.org/W2730087402","https://openalex.org/W2769367609","https://openalex.org/W2898796705","https://openalex.org/W2955413675","https://openalex.org/W2963631414","https://openalex.org/W3001364574","https://openalex.org/W3025949386","https://openalex.org/W3093785987","https://openalex.org/W3156780169","https://openalex.org/W3159897038","https://openalex.org/W3194252960","https://openalex.org/W3197444934","https://openalex.org/W4200386520","https://openalex.org/W4225310696","https://openalex.org/W4226265245","https://openalex.org/W4255771273","https://openalex.org/W4280529124","https://openalex.org/W4283641177","https://openalex.org/W4289839945","https://openalex.org/W4294068833","https://openalex.org/W4309195576","https://openalex.org/W4309574514","https://openalex.org/W4310289008","https://openalex.org/W4313233163","https://openalex.org/W4386700800","https://openalex.org/W4388899768","https://openalex.org/W4390863775","https://openalex.org/W4402570348","https://openalex.org/W6628877408"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2899084033","https://openalex.org/W2748952813","https://openalex.org/W2015747722","https://openalex.org/W2362050182","https://openalex.org/W2382418233","https://openalex.org/W2369897927","https://openalex.org/W3031731056","https://openalex.org/W4327918537","https://openalex.org/W4200592460","https://openalex.org/W238624893"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Extreme":[0],"precipitation":[1,144],"events":[2],"pose":[3],"significant":[4],"challenges":[5],"to":[6,37],"societal":[7],"infrastructure":[8],"and":[9,74,91,103,120,127,136,166],"environmental":[10],"stability,":[11],"particularly":[12],"in":[13,169],"vulnerable":[14],"regions":[15],"like":[16],"the":[17,39,81,133,151],"Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei":[18],"area":[19],"of":[20,43,101,118,124],"China.":[21],"Traditional":[22],"forecasting":[23,156],"methods,":[24],"such":[25,44],"as":[26],"numerical":[27],"weather":[28],"prediction,":[29],"radar":[30],"nowcasting,":[31],"downscaling":[32],"techniques":[33],"etc.":[34],"frequently":[35],"fail":[36],"capture":[38],"complex":[40],"nonlinear":[41],"dynamics":[42],"events.":[45],"In":[46],"this":[47],"study,":[48],"we":[49],"propose":[50],"a":[51,139],"novel":[52],"hybrid":[53],"model,":[54,95],"Variational":[55],"Mode":[56,105],"Decomposition-Principal":[57],"Component":[58],"Analysis-Extreme":[59],"Gradient":[60],"Boosting":[61],"(VMD-PCA-XGBoost),":[62],"which":[63],"integrates":[64],"VMD":[65],"for":[66,71,76,142,154,162],"effective":[67],"signal":[68],"processing,":[69],"PCA":[70],"dimensionality":[72],"reduction,":[73],"XGBoost":[75,102],"enhancing":[77,163],"predictive":[78],"accuracy.":[79],"Utilizing":[80],"2023":[82],"data":[83],"from":[84],"13":[85],"Global":[86],"Navigation":[87],"Satellite":[88],"System":[89],"(GNSS)":[90],"meteorological":[92],"stations,":[93],"our":[94],"when":[96],"rigorously":[97],"compared":[98],"with":[99,112],"those":[100],"Empirical":[104],"Decomposition":[106],"(EMD)-based":[107],"models,":[108],"achieves":[109],"superior":[110],"performance,":[111],"average":[113],"Critical":[114],"Success":[115],"Index,":[116],"Probability":[117],"Detection,":[119],"False":[121],"Alarm":[122],"Rate":[123],"52.14%,":[125],"73.07%,":[126],"35.98%,":[128],"respectively.":[129],"These":[130],"findings":[131],"underscore":[132],"model's":[134],"robustness":[135],"precision,":[137],"offering":[138],"promising":[140],"tool":[141],"improving":[143],"forecasts.":[145],"This":[146],"study":[147],"not":[148],"only":[149],"advances":[150],"methodological":[152],"framework":[153],"atmospheric":[155],"but":[157],"also":[158],"provides":[159],"critical":[160],"insights":[161],"disaster":[164],"preparedness":[165],"mitigation":[167],"strategies":[168],"climate-sensitive":[170],"regions.":[171]},"counts_by_year":[],"updated_date":"2026-06-11T09:08:48.828518","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}
