{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2099365903","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1109/jstars.2009.2020300","title":"Irradiance Forecasting for the Power Prediction of Grid-Connected Photovoltaic Systems","display_name":"Irradiance Forecasting for the Power Prediction of Grid-Connected Photovoltaic Systems","publication_year":2009,"publication_date":"2009-03-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2099365903","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1109/jstars.2009.2020300","mag":"2099365903"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1109/jstars.2009.2020300","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1109/jstars.2009.2020300","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S117727964","display_name":"IEEE Journal of Selected Topics in Applied Earth Observations and Remote Sensing","issn_l":"1939-1404","issn":["1939-1404","2151-1535"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319808","host_organization_name":"Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319808"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"IEEE Journal of Selected Topics in Applied Earth Observations and Remote Sensing","raw_type":"journal-article"},"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref","doaj"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5083701286","display_name":"Elke Lorenz","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7475-1048"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I129877168","display_name":"Carl von Ossietzky Universit\u00e4t Oldenburg","ror":"https://ror.org/033n9gh91","country_code":"DE","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I129877168"]}],"countries":["DE"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Elke Lorenz","raw_affiliation_strings":["Institute of Physics, Energy and Semiconductor Research Laboratory, Energy Meteorology Group, University of Oldenburg, Oldenburg, Germany","Energy Meteorol. Group, Univ. of Oldenburg, Oldenburg"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Institute of Physics, Energy and Semiconductor Research Laboratory, Energy Meteorology Group, University of Oldenburg, Oldenburg, Germany","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I129877168"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Energy Meteorol. Group, Univ. of Oldenburg, Oldenburg","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I129877168"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5015974601","display_name":"Johannes Hurka","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I129877168","display_name":"Carl von Ossietzky Universit\u00e4t Oldenburg","ror":"https://ror.org/033n9gh91","country_code":"DE","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I129877168"]}],"countries":["DE"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Johannes Hurka","raw_affiliation_strings":["Institute of Physics, Energy and Semiconductor Research Laboratory, Energy Meteorology Group, University of Oldenburg, Oldenburg, Germany","Energy Meteorol. Group, Univ. of Oldenburg, Oldenburg"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Institute of Physics, Energy and Semiconductor Research Laboratory, Energy Meteorology Group, University of Oldenburg, Oldenburg, Germany","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I129877168"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Energy Meteorol. Group, Univ. of Oldenburg, Oldenburg","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I129877168"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5062736622","display_name":"Detlev Heinemann","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I129877168","display_name":"Carl von Ossietzky Universit\u00e4t Oldenburg","ror":"https://ror.org/033n9gh91","country_code":"DE","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I129877168"]}],"countries":["DE"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Detlev Heinemann","raw_affiliation_strings":["Institute of Physics, Energy and Semiconductor Research Laboratory, Energy Meteorology Group, University of Oldenburg, Oldenburg, Germany","Energy Meteorol. Group, Univ. of Oldenburg, Oldenburg"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Institute of Physics, Energy and Semiconductor Research Laboratory, Energy Meteorology Group, University of Oldenburg, Oldenburg, Germany","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I129877168"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Energy Meteorol. Group, Univ. of Oldenburg, Oldenburg","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I129877168"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5049536593","display_name":"Hans Georg Beyer","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1713-465X"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210151080","display_name":"Hochschule Magdeburg-Stendal","ror":"https://ror.org/04vjfp916","country_code":"DE","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210151080"]}],"countries":["DE"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Hans Georg Beyer","raw_affiliation_strings":["Institute of Electrical Engineering, University of Applied Sciences Magdeburg-Stendal, Magdeburg, Germany","Inst. of Electr. Eng., Univ. of Appl. Sci. Magdeburg-Stendal, Magdeburg"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Institute of Electrical Engineering, University of Applied Sciences Magdeburg-Stendal, Magdeburg, Germany","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210151080"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Inst. of Electr. Eng., Univ. of Appl. Sci. Magdeburg-Stendal, Magdeburg","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210151080"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":2,"corresponding_author_ids":[],"corresponding_institution_ids":[],"apc_list":{"value":1250,"currency":"USD","value_usd":1250},"apc_paid":null,"fwci":37.9345,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":720,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.9977713,"is_in_top_1_percent":true,"is_in_top_10_percent":true},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":99,"max":100},"biblio":{"volume":"2","issue":"1","first_page":"2","last_page":"10"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11276","display_name":"Solar Radiation and Photovoltaics","score":0.9991999864578247,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1702","display_name":"Artificial Intelligence"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/17","display_name":"Computer Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11276","display_name":"Solar Radiation and Photovoltaics","score":0.9991999864578247,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1702","display_name":"Artificial Intelligence"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/17","display_name":"Computer Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10466","display_name":"Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations","score":0.9983000159263611,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1902","display_name":"Atmospheric Science"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/19","display_name":"Earth and Planetary Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11588","display_name":"Atmospheric and Environmental Gas Dynamics","score":0.9926999807357788,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2306","display_name":"Global and Planetary Change"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/23","display_name":"Environmental Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/photovoltaic-system","display_name":"Photovoltaic system","score":0.7978683114051819},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/irradiance","display_name":"Irradiance","score":0.7367470264434814},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/solar-irradiance","display_name":"Solar irradiance","score":0.7142554521560669},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/meteorology","display_name":"Meteorology","score":0.6425172686576843},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/environmental-science","display_name":"Environmental science","score":0.620907187461853},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/electricity","display_name":"Electricity","score":0.511751651763916},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/numerical-weather-prediction","display_name":"Numerical weather prediction","score":0.4829270541667938},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/electricity-generation","display_name":"Electricity generation","score":0.47078102827072144},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/north-american-mesoscale-model","display_name":"North American Mesoscale Model","score":0.4616471827030182},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/solar-power","display_name":"Solar power","score":0.46017470955848694},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/solar-resource","display_name":"Solar Resource","score":0.4535239636898041},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/grid-parity","display_name":"Grid parity","score":0.44328808784484863},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-science","display_name":"Computer science","score":0.4273187816143036},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/probabilistic-forecasting","display_name":"Probabilistic forecasting","score":0.42489200830459595},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/electric-power-system","display_name":"Electric power system","score":0.42328715324401855},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/power","display_name":"Power (physics)","score":0.3707723617553711},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/global-forecast-system","display_name":"Global Forecast System","score":0.2957592010498047},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/photovoltaics","display_name":"Photovoltaics","score":0.19579929113388062},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/engineering","display_name":"Engineering","score":0.11926418542861938},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/geography","display_name":"Geography","score":0.07714217901229858}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41291067","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1897785","display_name":"Photovoltaic system","level":2,"score":0.7978683114051819},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C46423501","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q830654","display_name":"Irradiance","level":2,"score":0.7367470264434814},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C9695528","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7556707","display_name":"Solar irradiance","level":2,"score":0.7142554521560669},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C153294291","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q25261","display_name":"Meteorology","level":1,"score":0.6425172686576843},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C39432304","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q188847","display_name":"Environmental science","level":0,"score":0.620907187461853},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C206658404","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12725","display_name":"Electricity","level":2,"score":0.511751651763916},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C147947694","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q837552","display_name":"Numerical weather prediction","level":2,"score":0.4829270541667938},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C423512","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q383973","display_name":"Electricity generation","level":3,"score":0.47078102827072144},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C197661373","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7053811","display_name":"North American Mesoscale Model","level":4,"score":0.4616471827030182},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2777618391","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1483757","display_name":"Solar power","level":3,"score":0.46017470955848694},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2778676262","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7555952","display_name":"Solar Resource","level":3,"score":0.4535239636898041},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C186503672","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q761847","display_name":"Grid parity","level":4,"score":0.44328808784484863},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.4273187816143036},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C122282355","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7246855","display_name":"Probabilistic forecasting","level":3,"score":0.42489200830459595},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C89227174","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2388981","display_name":"Electric power system","level":3,"score":0.42328715324401855},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C163258240","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q25342","display_name":"Power (physics)","level":2,"score":0.3707723617553711},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C163109420","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q287011","display_name":"Global Forecast System","level":3,"score":0.2957592010498047},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C542589376","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q192127","display_name":"Photovoltaics","level":3,"score":0.19579929113388062},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127413603","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11023","display_name":"Engineering","level":0,"score":0.11926418542861938},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C205649164","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1071","display_name":"Geography","level":0,"score":0.07714217901229858},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C49937458","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2599292","display_name":"Probabilistic logic","level":2,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C121332964","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q413","display_name":"Physics","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C62520636","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q944","display_name":"Quantum mechanics","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C154945302","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11660","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C119599485","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q43035","display_name":"Electrical engineering","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1109/jstars.2009.2020300","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1109/jstars.2009.2020300","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S117727964","display_name":"IEEE Journal of Selected Topics in Applied Earth Observations and Remote Sensing","issn_l":"1939-1404","issn":["1939-1404","2151-1535"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319808","host_organization_name":"Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319808"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"IEEE Journal of Selected Topics in Applied Earth Observations and Remote Sensing","raw_type":"journal-article"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[{"display_name":"Affordable and clean energy","score":0.75,"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/7"}],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":false,"pdf":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":17,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W7674414","https://openalex.org/W373046421","https://openalex.org/W1502812137","https://openalex.org/W1972950941","https://openalex.org/W1983494316","https://openalex.org/W2023024416","https://openalex.org/W2065532584","https://openalex.org/W2071653169","https://openalex.org/W2120793724","https://openalex.org/W2172622149","https://openalex.org/W2530380023","https://openalex.org/W2565207737","https://openalex.org/W2623593934","https://openalex.org/W2906921594","https://openalex.org/W3155895847","https://openalex.org/W4248370127","https://openalex.org/W4285719527"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2175665444","https://openalex.org/W2607339923","https://openalex.org/W2137007565","https://openalex.org/W2155971453","https://openalex.org/W3171477952","https://openalex.org/W1974348588","https://openalex.org/W2321020009","https://openalex.org/W4248085828","https://openalex.org/W4309030289","https://openalex.org/W2901316757"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"The":[0,179],"contribution":[1],"of":[2,19,44,83,91,94,117,131,138,152,181],"power":[3,23,34,62,103,183],"production":[4,24],"by":[5,73],"photovoltaic":[6],"(PV)":[7],"systems":[8],"to":[9,58,68,143,170],"the":[10,20,32,42,45,74,84,87,92,99,129,132,135,140,146,150,153],"electricity":[11,46],"supply":[12],"is":[13,39,86,98,124,156,185],"constantly":[14],"increasing.":[15],"An":[16],"efficient":[17],"use":[18],"fluctuating":[21],"solar":[22,50],"will":[25],"highly":[26],"benefit":[27],"from":[28],"forecast":[29,37,122,147,154],"information":[30,38],"on":[31,65,128],"expected":[33],"production.":[35],"This":[36,53],"necessary":[40],"for":[41,49,77,101,109,160,176],"management":[43],"grids":[47],"and":[48,89,166],"energy":[51],"trading.":[52],"paper":[54,85],"presents":[55],"an":[56,157,161,168],"approach":[57,93,169],"predict":[59],"regional":[60,120],"PV":[61,102,182],"output":[63],"based":[64],"forecasts":[66,108],"up":[67],"three":[69],"days":[70],"ahead":[71],"provided":[72],"European":[75],"Centre":[76],"Medium-Range":[78],"Weather":[79],"Forecasts":[80],"(ECMWF).":[81],"Focus":[82],"description":[88],"evaluation":[90],"irradiance":[95,107,177],"forecasting,":[96],"which":[97],"basis":[100],"prediction.":[104],"One":[105],"day-ahead":[106],"single":[110],"stations":[111],"in":[112,126,187],"Germany":[113],"show":[114],"a":[115,188],"rRMSE":[116,141],"36%.":[118],"For":[119,134],"forecasts,":[121],"accuracy":[123,180],"increasing":[125],"dependency":[127],"size":[130],"region.":[133],"complete":[136],"area":[137],"Germany,":[139],"amounts":[142],"13%.":[144],"Besides":[145],"accuracy,":[148],"also":[149],"specification":[151],"uncertainty":[155],"important":[158],"issue":[159],"effective":[162],"application.":[163],"We":[164],"present":[165],"evaluate":[167],"derive":[171],"weather":[172],"specific":[173],"prediction":[174,184],"intervals":[175],"forecasts.":[178],"investigated":[186],"case":[189],"study.":[190]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2026,"cited_by_count":28},{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":32},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":25},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":34},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":41},{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":39},{"year":2020,"cited_by_count":53},{"year":2019,"cited_by_count":56},{"year":2018,"cited_by_count":61},{"year":2017,"cited_by_count":56},{"year":2016,"cited_by_count":67},{"year":2015,"cited_by_count":49},{"year":2014,"cited_by_count":56},{"year":2013,"cited_by_count":47},{"year":2012,"cited_by_count":38}],"updated_date":"2026-08-12T21:12:35.861297","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}