{"id":"https://openalex.org/W3138812870","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1109/isgt49243.2021.9372158","title":"Next-day Electricity Demand Forecast: A New Ensemble Recommendation System Using Peak and Valley","display_name":"Next-day Electricity Demand Forecast: A New Ensemble Recommendation System Using Peak and Valley","publication_year":2021,"publication_date":"2021-02-16","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W3138812870","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1109/isgt49243.2021.9372158","mag":"3138812870"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1109/isgt49243.2021.9372158","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1109/isgt49243.2021.9372158","pdf_url":null,"source":null,"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"2021 IEEE Power & Energy Society Innovative Smart Grid Technologies Conference (ISGT)","raw_type":"proceedings-article"},"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5003630401","display_name":"Bader Alaskar","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210116219","display_name":"Engineering Systems (United States)","ror":"https://ror.org/02qg60849","country_code":"US","type":"company","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210116219"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Bader Alaskar","raw_affiliation_strings":["The Center for Complex Engineering Systems at KACST and MIT","The Center for Complex Engineering Systems at KACST and MIT, Cambridge, MA"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"The Center for Complex Engineering Systems at KACST and MIT","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210116219"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"The Center for Complex Engineering Systems at KACST and MIT, Cambridge, MA","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210116219"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5085221094","display_name":"Abdullah Alhadlaq","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210116219","display_name":"Engineering Systems (United States)","ror":"https://ror.org/02qg60849","country_code":"US","type":"company","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210116219"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Abdullah Alhadlaq","raw_affiliation_strings":["The Center for Complex Engineering Systems at KACST and MIT","The Center for Complex Engineering Systems at KACST and MIT, Cambridge, MA"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"The Center for Complex Engineering Systems at KACST and MIT","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210116219"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"The Center for Complex Engineering Systems at KACST and MIT, Cambridge, MA","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210116219"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5030642341","display_name":"Meshal Alharbi","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7697-0519"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210116219","display_name":"Engineering Systems (United States)","ror":"https://ror.org/02qg60849","country_code":"US","type":"company","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210116219"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Meshal Alharbi","raw_affiliation_strings":["The Center for Complex Engineering Systems at KACST and MIT","The Center for Complex Engineering Systems at KACST and MIT, Cambridge, MA"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"The Center for Complex Engineering Systems at KACST and MIT","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210116219"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"The Center for Complex Engineering Systems at KACST and MIT, Cambridge, MA","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210116219"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5074984426","display_name":"Saud Alghumayjan","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210116219","display_name":"Engineering Systems (United States)","ror":"https://ror.org/02qg60849","country_code":"US","type":"company","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210116219"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Saud Alghumayjan","raw_affiliation_strings":["The Center for Complex Engineering Systems at KACST and MIT","The Center for Complex Engineering Systems at KACST and MIT, Cambridge, MA"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"The Center for Complex Engineering Systems at KACST and MIT","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210116219"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"The Center for Complex Engineering Systems at KACST and MIT, Cambridge, MA","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210116219"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5102756489","display_name":"Ahmad Alabdulkareem","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210116219","display_name":"Engineering Systems (United States)","ror":"https://ror.org/02qg60849","country_code":"US","type":"company","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210116219"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Ahmad Alabdulkareem","raw_affiliation_strings":["The Center for Complex Engineering Systems at KACST and MIT","The Center for Complex Engineering Systems at KACST and MIT, Cambridge, MA"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"The Center for Complex Engineering Systems at KACST and MIT","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210116219"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"The Center for Complex Engineering Systems at KACST and MIT, Cambridge, MA","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210116219"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5115598991","display_name":"Mansour Alsaleh","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0920-7561"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210116219","display_name":"Engineering Systems (United States)","ror":"https://ror.org/02qg60849","country_code":"US","type":"company","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210116219"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Mansour Alsaleh","raw_affiliation_strings":["The Center for Complex Engineering Systems at KACST and MIT","The Center for Complex Engineering Systems at KACST and MIT, Cambridge, MA"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"The Center for Complex Engineering Systems at KACST and MIT","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210116219"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"The Center for Complex Engineering Systems at KACST and MIT, Cambridge, MA","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210116219"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5029499294","display_name":"Devavrat Shah","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0737-3259"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I63966007","display_name":"Massachusetts Institute of Technology","ror":"https://ror.org/042nb2s44","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I63966007"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Devavrat Shah","raw_affiliation_strings":["Massachusetts Institute of Technology,Cambridge,MA","Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Massachusetts Institute of Technology,Cambridge,MA","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I63966007"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I63966007"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":7,"corresponding_author_ids":[],"corresponding_institution_ids":[],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":0.4068,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":4,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.59529411,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":89,"max":96},"biblio":{"volume":null,"issue":null,"first_page":"1","last_page":"5"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11052","display_name":"Energy Load and Power Forecasting","score":1.0,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2208","display_name":"Electrical and Electronic Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11052","display_name":"Energy Load and Power Forecasting","score":1.0,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2208","display_name":"Electrical and Electronic Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10424","display_name":"Electric Power System Optimization","score":0.9984999895095825,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2208","display_name":"Electrical and Electronic Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11326","display_name":"Stock Market Forecasting Methods","score":0.98580002784729,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-science","display_name":"Computer science","score":0.6995036602020264},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/ensemble-forecasting","display_name":"Ensemble forecasting","score":0.6744905710220337},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/demand-forecasting","display_name":"Demand forecasting","score":0.595096230506897},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/electricity","display_name":"Electricity","score":0.507473886013031},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/artificial-neural-network","display_name":"Artificial neural network","score":0.48895275592803955},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computation","display_name":"Computation","score":0.4877234399318695},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/ensemble-learning","display_name":"Ensemble learning","score":0.4805307984352112},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/mean-absolute-percentage-error","display_name":"Mean absolute percentage error","score":0.4800635278224945},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/time-series","display_name":"Time series","score":0.4441155195236206},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/machine-learning","display_name":"Machine learning","score":0.3463748097419739},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/artificial-intelligence","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","score":0.32481637597084045},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/operations-research","display_name":"Operations research","score":0.24560928344726562},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/algorithm","display_name":"Algorithm","score":0.16573891043663025},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/engineering","display_name":"Engineering","score":0.1344909369945526}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.6995036602020264},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C119898033","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3433888","display_name":"Ensemble forecasting","level":2,"score":0.6744905710220337},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C193809577","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3409300","display_name":"Demand forecasting","level":2,"score":0.595096230506897},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C206658404","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12725","display_name":"Electricity","level":2,"score":0.507473886013031},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C50644808","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q192776","display_name":"Artificial neural network","level":2,"score":0.48895275592803955},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C45374587","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12525525","display_name":"Computation","level":2,"score":0.4877234399318695},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C45942800","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q245652","display_name":"Ensemble learning","level":2,"score":0.4805307984352112},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C150217764","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q6803607","display_name":"Mean absolute percentage error","level":3,"score":0.4800635278224945},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C151406439","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q186588","display_name":"Time series","level":2,"score":0.4441155195236206},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C119857082","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2539","display_name":"Machine learning","level":1,"score":0.3463748097419739},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C154945302","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11660","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","level":1,"score":0.32481637597084045},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C42475967","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q194292","display_name":"Operations research","level":1,"score":0.24560928344726562},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C11413529","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8366","display_name":"Algorithm","level":1,"score":0.16573891043663025},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127413603","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11023","display_name":"Engineering","level":0,"score":0.1344909369945526},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C119599485","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q43035","display_name":"Electrical engineering","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1109/isgt49243.2021.9372158","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1109/isgt49243.2021.9372158","pdf_url":null,"source":null,"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"2021 IEEE Power & Energy Society Innovative Smart Grid Technologies Conference (ISGT)","raw_type":"proceedings-article"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"pdf":false,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":14,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W1968446395","https://openalex.org/W2058031098","https://openalex.org/W2140848341","https://openalex.org/W2160797005","https://openalex.org/W2538879765","https://openalex.org/W2766843231","https://openalex.org/W2771018930","https://openalex.org/W2773753967","https://openalex.org/W2929100927","https://openalex.org/W2990622714","https://openalex.org/W3017071442","https://openalex.org/W3132534611","https://openalex.org/W4387635252","https://openalex.org/W6761148443"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2794896638","https://openalex.org/W1807784185","https://openalex.org/W4390905871","https://openalex.org/W3175454233","https://openalex.org/W3202800081","https://openalex.org/W1909207154","https://openalex.org/W3124390867","https://openalex.org/W3101614107","https://openalex.org/W3204228978","https://openalex.org/W1514365828"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Electricity":[0],"demand":[1,24,67,169],"forecast":[2],"plays":[3],"a":[4,76,108,149,153,160],"major":[5],"role":[6],"in":[7,183,205],"the":[8,31,40,85,92,98,117,123,127,143,168,171,184,190,195,206],"planning":[9],"and":[10,21,36,120,130,159,181,197],"resource":[11],"allocation":[12],"phase":[13],"of":[14,126,138,145,170,179,189],"utility":[15],"companies.":[16],"In":[17,45],"particular,":[18],"predicted":[19],"peak":[20],"valley":[22],"(PaV)":[23],"points":[25,193],"seems":[26],"critical,":[27],"as":[28,201],"they":[29],"determine":[30],"maximum":[32],"required":[33,100],"generation":[34],"capacity":[35],"baseload":[37],"to":[38,52,63,90,107,115,121],"meet":[39],"minimum":[41],"underlying":[42],"demand,":[43],"respectively.":[44],"this":[46],"paper,":[47],"we":[48],"propose":[49],"multiple":[50,103],"techniques":[51,71],"enhance":[53,91,122],"day-ahead":[54,93,128,208],"forecasting":[55,119,139],"models":[56],"by":[57],"leveraging":[58],"independent":[59],"daily":[60],"PaV":[61,118,192],"predictors":[62],"ensemble":[64,70,78,88,104,110],"short-term":[65],"electricity":[66],"forecasters.":[68],"These":[69],"are":[72],"then":[73],"incorporated":[74],"into":[75],"novel":[77],"recommendation":[79],"system":[80],"(ERS).":[81],"The":[82,174],"ERS":[83],"suggests":[84],"most":[86],"appropriate":[87],"technique":[89],"predictor's":[94],"performance":[95],"while":[96],"minimizing":[97],"computation":[99],"for":[101,166],"testing":[102],"algorithms,":[105],"relative":[106],"single":[109],"algorithm.":[111],"This":[112],"approach":[113,147],"aims":[114],"improve":[116],"overall":[124,207],"accuracy":[125],"forecaster":[129],"it":[131],"can":[132],"be":[133],"used":[134],"with":[135],"any":[136],"combination":[137],"models.":[140],"We":[141],"demonstrate":[142],"effectiveness":[144],"our":[146],"through":[148],"case":[150],"study":[151],"using":[152,194],"time-series":[154],"prediction":[155],"database":[156],"model":[157,165],"(tspDB)":[158],"deep":[161],"neural":[162],"network":[163],"(DNN)":[164],"predicting":[167],"next":[172],"day.":[173],"results":[175],"show":[176],"an":[177],"improvement":[178],"33%":[180],"12%":[182],"mean":[185],"absolute":[186],"percentage":[187],"error":[188],"forecasted":[191],"tspDB":[196],"DNN":[198],"models,":[199],"respectively,":[200],"well":[202],"as,":[203],"enhancement":[204],"forecast.":[209]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2026-06-11T09:08:48.828518","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}