{"id":"https://openalex.org/W4403276988","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1109/is61756.2024.10705270","title":"Neurocomputational Forecasting of Economic Shocks","display_name":"Neurocomputational Forecasting of Economic Shocks","publication_year":2024,"publication_date":"2024-08-29","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W4403276988","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1109/is61756.2024.10705270"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1109/is61756.2024.10705270","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1109/is61756.2024.10705270","pdf_url":null,"source":null,"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"2024 IEEE 12th International Conference on Intelligent Systems (IS)","raw_type":"proceedings-article"},"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5014589697","display_name":"George Mengov","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8157-3246"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I58918642","display_name":"Sofia University \"St. Kliment Ohridski\"","ror":"https://ror.org/02jv3k292","country_code":"BG","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I58918642"]}],"countries":["BG"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"George Mengov","raw_affiliation_strings":["Sofia University St. Kliment Ohridski,Faculty of Economics and Business Administration,Sofia,Bulgaria"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Sofia University St. Kliment Ohridski,Faculty of Economics and Business Administration,Sofia,Bulgaria","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I58918642"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5062222309","display_name":"Iliyan Nenov","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4991-0094"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I58918642","display_name":"Sofia University \"St. Kliment Ohridski\"","ror":"https://ror.org/02jv3k292","country_code":"BG","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I58918642"]}],"countries":["BG"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Iliyan Nenov","raw_affiliation_strings":["Sofia University St. Kliment Ohridski,Faculty of Economics and Business Administration,Sofia,Bulgaria"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Sofia University St. Kliment Ohridski,Faculty of Economics and Business Administration,Sofia,Bulgaria","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I58918642"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5034834731","display_name":"Kaloyan Ganev","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2966-6303"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I58918642","display_name":"Sofia University \"St. Kliment Ohridski\"","ror":"https://ror.org/02jv3k292","country_code":"BG","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I58918642"]}],"countries":["BG"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Kaloyan Ganev","raw_affiliation_strings":["Sofia University St. Kliment Ohridski,Faculty of Economics and Business Administration,Sofia,Bulgaria"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Sofia University St. Kliment Ohridski,Faculty of Economics and Business Administration,Sofia,Bulgaria","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I58918642"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5009977852","display_name":"Ralitsa Simeonova\u2013Ganeva","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5309-546X"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I58918642","display_name":"Sofia University \"St. Kliment Ohridski\"","ror":"https://ror.org/02jv3k292","country_code":"BG","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I58918642"]}],"countries":["BG"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Ralitsa Simeonova-Ganeva","raw_affiliation_strings":["Sofia University St. Kliment Ohridski,Faculty of Economics and Business Administration,Sofia,Bulgaria"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Sofia University St. Kliment Ohridski,Faculty of Economics and Business Administration,Sofia,Bulgaria","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I58918642"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":4,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5014589697"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I58918642"],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":0.0,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":0,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.14136884,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":null,"biblio":{"volume":null,"issue":null,"first_page":"1","last_page":"5"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11270","display_name":"Complex Systems and Time Series Analysis","score":0.9142000079154968,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2002","display_name":"Economics and Econometrics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11270","display_name":"Complex Systems and Time Series Analysis","score":0.9142000079154968,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2002","display_name":"Economics and Econometrics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/economic-forecasting","display_name":"Economic forecasting","score":0.6801101565361023},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-science","display_name":"Computer science","score":0.49923229217529297},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/technology-forecasting","display_name":"Technology forecasting","score":0.43922159075737},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/economics","display_name":"Economics","score":0.41722601652145386},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/artificial-intelligence","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","score":0.3825191557407379},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/econometrics","display_name":"Econometrics","score":0.25689172744750977}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C163068380","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3409313","display_name":"Economic forecasting","level":2,"score":0.6801101565361023},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.49923229217529297},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C161657586","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1203326","display_name":"Technology forecasting","level":2,"score":0.43922159075737},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.41722601652145386},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C154945302","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11660","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","level":1,"score":0.3825191557407379},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149782125","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q160039","display_name":"Econometrics","level":1,"score":0.25689172744750977}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1109/is61756.2024.10705270","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1109/is61756.2024.10705270","pdf_url":null,"source":null,"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"2024 IEEE 12th International Conference on Intelligent Systems (IS)","raw_type":"proceedings-article"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[{"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/8","score":0.44999998807907104,"display_name":"Decent work and economic growth"}],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"pdf":false,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":13,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W1982803639","https://openalex.org/W1983737282","https://openalex.org/W1990973103","https://openalex.org/W2009335190","https://openalex.org/W2067818211","https://openalex.org/W2801394824","https://openalex.org/W3122068597","https://openalex.org/W3188110374","https://openalex.org/W3209323594","https://openalex.org/W4206658094","https://openalex.org/W4232046141","https://openalex.org/W4249791740","https://openalex.org/W4312995486"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W4391375266","https://openalex.org/W2005989288","https://openalex.org/W2793850532","https://openalex.org/W640037861","https://openalex.org/W4403094403","https://openalex.org/W4388279521","https://openalex.org/W565080390","https://openalex.org/W222102113","https://openalex.org/W263839649","https://openalex.org/W2631945561"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Economic":[0],"forecasting":[1],"in":[2],"turbulent":[3],"times":[4],"is":[5],"a":[6,16],"challenge":[7],"requiring":[8],"utilization":[9],"of":[10,34,56,65,71],"innovative":[11],"methods.":[12],"Here":[13],"we":[14],"present":[15],"model":[17,61],"from":[18],"computational":[19],"neuroscience":[20],"and":[21,54,58],"show":[22],"its":[23,30],"usefulness":[24],"for":[25,45,68],"macroeconomic":[26,43],"forecasting.":[27],"We":[28],"compare":[29],"accuracy":[31],"with":[32],"that":[33],"the":[35,42,49,63,66,72],"European":[36],"Commission":[37,67],"toolkit,":[38],"used":[39],"to":[40],"prepare":[41],"outlook":[44],"EU27":[46],"countries":[47],"during":[48],"2020":[50],"pandemic.":[51],"On":[52],"import":[53],"export":[55],"goods":[57],"services,":[59],"our":[60],"outperforms":[62],"forecasts":[64],"almost":[69],"half":[70],"countries.":[73]},"counts_by_year":[],"updated_date":"2025-12-27T23:08:20.325037","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}