{"id":"https://openalex.org/W3200097036","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1109/ijcnn52387.2021.9534422","title":"Mixture Density Networks for Tropical Cyclone Tracks Prediction in South China Sea","display_name":"Mixture Density Networks for Tropical Cyclone Tracks Prediction in South China Sea","publication_year":2021,"publication_date":"2021-07-18","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W3200097036","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1109/ijcnn52387.2021.9534422","mag":"3200097036"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1109/ijcnn52387.2021.9534422","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1109/ijcnn52387.2021.9534422","pdf_url":null,"source":null,"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"2021 International Joint Conference on Neural Networks (IJCNN)","raw_type":"proceedings-article"},"type":"conference-paper","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5054706625","display_name":"Fengyun Hao","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I66867065","display_name":"East China Normal University","ror":"https://ror.org/02n96ep67","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I66867065"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Fengyun Hao","raw_affiliation_strings":["School of Computer Science and Technology, East China Normal University, Shanghai, P.R.China"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"School of Computer Science and Technology, East China Normal University, Shanghai, P.R.China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I66867065"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5100668340","display_name":"Liang Dou","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3044-3841"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I66867065","display_name":"East China Normal University","ror":"https://ror.org/02n96ep67","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I66867065"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Liang Dou","raw_affiliation_strings":["School of Computer Science and Technology, East China Normal University, Shanghai, P.R.China"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"School of Computer Science and Technology, East China Normal University, Shanghai, P.R.China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I66867065"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5101463994","display_name":"Jian Jin","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2109-4961"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I66867065","display_name":"East China Normal University","ror":"https://ror.org/02n96ep67","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I66867065"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Jian Jin","raw_affiliation_strings":["School of Computer Science and Technology, East China Normal University, Shanghai, P.R.China"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"School of Computer Science and Technology, East China Normal University, Shanghai, P.R.China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I66867065"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":1,"corresponding_author_ids":[],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I66867065"],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":null,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":1,"citation_normalized_percentile":null,"cited_by_percentile_year":null,"biblio":{"volume":"24","issue":null,"first_page":"1","last_page":"8"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11483","display_name":"Tropical and Extratropical Cyclones Research","score":0.9977999925613403,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1902","display_name":"Atmospheric Science"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/19","display_name":"Earth and Planetary Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11483","display_name":"Tropical and Extratropical Cyclones Research","score":0.9977999925613403,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1902","display_name":"Atmospheric Science"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/19","display_name":"Earth and Planetary Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10255","display_name":"Oceanographic and Atmospheric Processes","score":0.9394999742507935,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1910","display_name":"Oceanography"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/19","display_name":"Earth and Planetary Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11061","display_name":"Ocean Waves and Remote Sensing","score":0.9386000037193298,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1910","display_name":"Oceanography"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/19","display_name":"Earth and Planetary Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/meteorology","display_name":"Meteorology","score":0.6246026158332825},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/longitude","display_name":"Longitude","score":0.6168327927589417},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/tropical-cyclone-forecast-model","display_name":"Tropical cyclone forecast model","score":0.5457576513290405},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/geographic-coordinate-system","display_name":"Geographic coordinate system","score":0.5224096775054932},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/tropical-cyclone","display_name":"Tropical cyclone","score":0.5175275206565857},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/track","display_name":"Track (disk drive)","score":0.5129932761192322},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/latitude","display_name":"Latitude","score":0.4968750774860382},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/joint-probability-distribution","display_name":"Joint probability distribution","score":0.46747350692749023},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/probability-distribution","display_name":"Probability distribution","score":0.45539799332618713},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/weather-forecasting","display_name":"Weather forecasting","score":0.45309123396873474},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/environmental-science","display_name":"Environmental science","score":0.4380396902561188},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/position","display_name":"Position (finance)","score":0.42872220277786255},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-science","display_name":"Computer science","score":0.4269682765007019},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/sea-surface-temperature","display_name":"Sea surface temperature","score":0.4267524480819702},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/conditional-probability-distribution","display_name":"Conditional probability distribution","score":0.41746559739112854},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/conditional-probability","display_name":"Conditional probability","score":0.4142773747444153},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/climatology","display_name":"Climatology","score":0.36232447624206543},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/geography","display_name":"Geography","score":0.29127785563468933},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/statistics","display_name":"Statistics","score":0.26132631301879883},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/mathematics","display_name":"Mathematics","score":0.1793915033340454},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/geodesy","display_name":"Geodesy","score":0.14062932133674622},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/geology","display_name":"Geology","score":0.1309121549129486}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C153294291","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q25261","display_name":"Meteorology","level":1,"score":0.6246026158332825},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2780554747","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q36477","display_name":"Longitude","level":3,"score":0.6168327927589417},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C102561126","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q17164865","display_name":"Tropical cyclone forecast model","level":3,"score":0.5457576513290405},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C123046963","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q22664","display_name":"Geographic coordinate system","level":2,"score":0.5224096775054932},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C29141058","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8092","display_name":"Tropical cyclone","level":2,"score":0.5175275206565857},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C89992363","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5961558","display_name":"Track (disk drive)","level":2,"score":0.5129932761192322},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C122523270","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q34027","display_name":"Latitude","level":2,"score":0.4968750774860382},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C18653775","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1333358","display_name":"Joint probability distribution","level":2,"score":0.46747350692749023},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149441793","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q200726","display_name":"Probability distribution","level":2,"score":0.45539799332618713},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C21001229","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q182868","display_name":"Weather forecasting","level":2,"score":0.45309123396873474},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C39432304","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q188847","display_name":"Environmental science","level":0,"score":0.4380396902561188},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C198082294","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3399648","display_name":"Position (finance)","level":2,"score":0.42872220277786255},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.4269682765007019},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C134097258","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1507383","display_name":"Sea surface temperature","level":2,"score":0.4267524480819702},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C43555835","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2300258","display_name":"Conditional probability distribution","level":2,"score":0.41746559739112854},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C44492722","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q327069","display_name":"Conditional probability","level":2,"score":0.4142773747444153},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C49204034","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q52139","display_name":"Climatology","level":1,"score":0.36232447624206543},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C205649164","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1071","display_name":"Geography","level":0,"score":0.29127785563468933},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C105795698","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12483","display_name":"Statistics","level":1,"score":0.26132631301879883},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.1793915033340454},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C13280743","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q131089","display_name":"Geodesy","level":1,"score":0.14062932133674622},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127313418","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1069","display_name":"Geology","level":0,"score":0.1309121549129486},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C10138342","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q43015","display_name":"Finance","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C111919701","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9135","display_name":"Operating system","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1109/ijcnn52387.2021.9534422","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1109/ijcnn52387.2021.9534422","pdf_url":null,"source":null,"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"2021 International Joint Conference on Neural Networks (IJCNN)","raw_type":"proceedings-article"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[{"display_name":"Life below water","score":0.7699999809265137,"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/14"}],"awards":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/G4583577178","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"61907015,42065004","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320321001","funder_display_name":"National Natural Science Foundation of China"}],"funders":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320321001","display_name":"National Natural Science Foundation of China","ror":"https://ror.org/01h0zpd94"}],"has_content":{"pdf":false,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":24,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W1043332136","https://openalex.org/W1579853615","https://openalex.org/W1586750592","https://openalex.org/W1966635871","https://openalex.org/W1988538286","https://openalex.org/W1996421621","https://openalex.org/W2122823404","https://openalex.org/W2172795377","https://openalex.org/W2175294811","https://openalex.org/W2175389419","https://openalex.org/W2177161849","https://openalex.org/W2374962771","https://openalex.org/W2380699167","https://openalex.org/W2526104260","https://openalex.org/W2795330014","https://openalex.org/W2900080072","https://openalex.org/W2948479456","https://openalex.org/W2962730596","https://openalex.org/W2963209451","https://openalex.org/W2963842958","https://openalex.org/W2982627166","https://openalex.org/W3007601803","https://openalex.org/W6634817459","https://openalex.org/W6635348499"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W4233361406","https://openalex.org/W1523756637","https://openalex.org/W2094114678","https://openalex.org/W2136165559","https://openalex.org/W2348834827","https://openalex.org/W2366186655","https://openalex.org/W2794906962","https://openalex.org/W1964363270","https://openalex.org/W475112967","https://openalex.org/W4210738546"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"The":[0,33,57,77],"forecasting":[1,23],"of":[2,49,88,94,110,137,141,176],"Tropical":[3],"Cyclone":[4],"(TC)":[5],"Tracks":[6,51,66,79,166],"in":[7,36,60,144,164,186],"the":[8,17,37,53,64,72,84,106,111,115,128,131,156,170,173,187],"South":[9,54],"China":[10,55],"Sea":[11],"is":[12,25,40,63,101,124,148,161],"important":[13],"to":[14,30,41,44,155],"cope":[15],"with":[16],"associated":[18],"disasters.":[19],"But":[20],"increasing":[21],"its":[22],"accuracy":[24],"a":[26,102],"hard":[27],"thing":[28],"due":[29],"many":[31],"factors.":[32],"main":[34],"objective":[35],"presented":[38],"study":[39,62],"develop":[42],"models":[43,105],"deliver":[45],"more":[46],"accurate":[47],"forecasts":[48],"TC":[50,65,78,165,188],"over":[52],"Sea.":[56],"model":[58,153,171],"proposed":[59,152],"this":[61],"Probability":[67,80],"Forecasting":[68,81],"Framework":[69,82],"based":[70],"on":[71],"Mixture":[73],"Density":[74],"Network":[75],"(MDN).":[76],"calculates":[83],"joint":[85],"probability":[86,108,174],"distribution":[87,109,175],"latitude":[89,95],"and":[90,92,97,119,134],"longitude":[91,98],"consists":[93],"MDN":[96,100],"MDN.":[99],"method":[103],"that":[104],"conditional":[107],"target":[112],"data":[113],"by":[114,126,150],"conventional":[116],"neural":[117],"network":[118],"mixture":[120],"model.":[121],"Forecast":[122],"error":[123,147],"measured":[125],"calculating":[127],"distance":[129],"between":[130],"real":[132],"position":[133,136],"forecast":[135,146,190],"TC.":[138],"A":[139],"decrease":[140],"19.49":[142],"km":[143],"mean":[145],"obtained":[149],"our":[151],"compared":[154],"stepwise":[157],"regression":[158],"model,":[159],"which":[160],"widely":[162],"used":[163,184],"forecast.":[167],"What's":[168],"more,":[169],"gives":[172],"each":[177],"track":[178,189],"prediction.":[179],"This":[180],"message":[181],"can":[182],"be":[183],"well":[185],"cone.":[191]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2026-07-14T23:27:15.235271","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}