{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2133088983","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1109/ijcnn.2014.6889425","title":"A dynamic forecasting method for small scale residential electrical demand","display_name":"A dynamic forecasting method for small scale residential electrical demand","publication_year":2014,"publication_date":"2014-07-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2133088983","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1109/ijcnn.2014.6889425","mag":"2133088983"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1109/ijcnn.2014.6889425","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1109/ijcnn.2014.6889425","pdf_url":null,"source":null,"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"2014 International Joint Conference on Neural Networks (IJCNN)","raw_type":"proceedings-article"},"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5102750532","display_name":"Andrei Marinescu","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3455-0348"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I205274468","display_name":"Trinity College Dublin","ror":"https://ror.org/02tyrky19","country_code":"IE","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I205274468"]}],"countries":["IE"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Andrei Marinescu","raw_affiliation_strings":["Trinity College, School of Computer Science and Statistics, Dublin, Ireland","Sch. of Comput. Sci. & Stat., Trinity Coll. Dublin, Dublin, , Ireland"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Trinity College, School of Computer Science and Statistics, Dublin, Ireland","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I205274468"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Sch. of Comput. Sci. & Stat., Trinity Coll. Dublin, Dublin, , Ireland","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I205274468"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5059738292","display_name":"Ivana Duspari\u0107","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0621-5400"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I205274468","display_name":"Trinity College Dublin","ror":"https://ror.org/02tyrky19","country_code":"IE","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I205274468"]}],"countries":["IE"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Ivana Dusparic","raw_affiliation_strings":["Trinity College, School of Computer Science and Statistics, Dublin, Ireland","Sch. of Comput. Sci. & Stat., Trinity Coll. Dublin, Dublin, , Ireland"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Trinity College, School of Computer Science and Statistics, Dublin, Ireland","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I205274468"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Sch. of Comput. Sci. & Stat., Trinity Coll. Dublin, Dublin, , Ireland","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I205274468"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5012286648","display_name":"Colin Harris","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I205274468","display_name":"Trinity College Dublin","ror":"https://ror.org/02tyrky19","country_code":"IE","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I205274468"]}],"countries":["IE"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Colin Harris","raw_affiliation_strings":["Trinity College, School of Computer Science and Statistics, Dublin, Ireland","Sch. of Comput. Sci. & Stat., Trinity Coll. Dublin, Dublin, , Ireland"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Trinity College, School of Computer Science and Statistics, Dublin, Ireland","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I205274468"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Sch. of Comput. Sci. & Stat., Trinity Coll. Dublin, Dublin, , Ireland","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I205274468"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5046960870","display_name":"Vinny Cahill","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I205274468","display_name":"Trinity College Dublin","ror":"https://ror.org/02tyrky19","country_code":"IE","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I205274468"]}],"countries":["IE"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Vinny Cahill","raw_affiliation_strings":["Trinity College, School of Computer Science and Statistics, Dublin, Ireland","Sch. of Comput. Sci. & Stat., Trinity Coll. Dublin, Dublin, , Ireland"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Trinity College, School of Computer Science and Statistics, Dublin, Ireland","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I205274468"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Sch. of Comput. Sci. & Stat., Trinity Coll. Dublin, Dublin, , Ireland","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I205274468"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5047083691","display_name":"Siobh\u00e1n Clarke","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5721-9976"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I205274468","display_name":"Trinity College Dublin","ror":"https://ror.org/02tyrky19","country_code":"IE","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I205274468"]}],"countries":["IE"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Siobhan Clarke","raw_affiliation_strings":["Trinity College, School of Computer Science and Statistics, Dublin, Ireland","Sch. of Comput. Sci. & Stat., Trinity Coll. Dublin, Dublin, , Ireland"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Trinity College, School of Computer Science and Statistics, Dublin, Ireland","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I205274468"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Sch. of Comput. Sci. & Stat., Trinity Coll. Dublin, Dublin, , Ireland","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I205274468"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":5,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5102750532"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I205274468"],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":2.0933,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":18,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.88901453,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":89,"max":98},"biblio":{"volume":null,"issue":null,"first_page":"3767","last_page":"3774"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11052","display_name":"Energy Load and Power Forecasting","score":1.0,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2208","display_name":"Electrical and Electronic Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11052","display_name":"Energy Load and Power Forecasting","score":1.0,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2208","display_name":"Electrical and Electronic Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10603","display_name":"Smart Grid Energy Management","score":0.9900000095367432,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2208","display_name":"Electrical and Electronic Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11276","display_name":"Solar Radiation and Photovoltaics","score":0.9872000217437744,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1702","display_name":"Artificial Intelligence"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/17","display_name":"Computer Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/anomaly-detection","display_name":"Anomaly detection","score":0.6316753029823303},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-science","display_name":"Computer science","score":0.5862422585487366},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/anomaly","display_name":"Anomaly (physics)","score":0.5356037020683289},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/scale","display_name":"Scale (ratio)","score":0.5021708011627197},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/electric-power-system","display_name":"Electric power system","score":0.4993405342102051},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/renewable-energy","display_name":"Renewable energy","score":0.43825873732566833},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/data-mining","display_name":"Data mining","score":0.3188727796077728},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/power","display_name":"Power (physics)","score":0.25654321908950806},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/engineering","display_name":"Engineering","score":0.17752060294151306},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/electrical-engineering","display_name":"Electrical engineering","score":0.13489022850990295},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/geography","display_name":"Geography","score":0.1043461263179779},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/cartography","display_name":"Cartography","score":0.09306630492210388}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C739882","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3560506","display_name":"Anomaly detection","level":2,"score":0.6316753029823303},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.5862422585487366},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C12997251","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q567560","display_name":"Anomaly (physics)","level":2,"score":0.5356037020683289},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2778755073","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q10858537","display_name":"Scale (ratio)","level":2,"score":0.5021708011627197},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C89227174","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2388981","display_name":"Electric power system","level":3,"score":0.4993405342102051},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C188573790","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12705","display_name":"Renewable energy","level":2,"score":0.43825873732566833},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C124101348","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q172491","display_name":"Data mining","level":1,"score":0.3188727796077728},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C163258240","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q25342","display_name":"Power (physics)","level":2,"score":0.25654321908950806},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127413603","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11023","display_name":"Engineering","level":0,"score":0.17752060294151306},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C119599485","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q43035","display_name":"Electrical engineering","level":1,"score":0.13489022850990295},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C205649164","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1071","display_name":"Geography","level":0,"score":0.1043461263179779},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C58640448","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q42515","display_name":"Cartography","level":1,"score":0.09306630492210388},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C62520636","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q944","display_name":"Quantum mechanics","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C121332964","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q413","display_name":"Physics","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C26873012","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q214781","display_name":"Condensed matter physics","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1109/ijcnn.2014.6889425","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1109/ijcnn.2014.6889425","pdf_url":null,"source":null,"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"2014 International Joint Conference on Neural Networks (IJCNN)","raw_type":"proceedings-article"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[{"score":0.8799999952316284,"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/7","display_name":"Affordable and clean energy"}],"awards":[],"funders":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320320847","display_name":"Science Foundation Ireland","ror":"https://ror.org/0271asj38"}],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":false,"pdf":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":23,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W1968806673","https://openalex.org/W1999042872","https://openalex.org/W2004929551","https://openalex.org/W2005898567","https://openalex.org/W2016166216","https://openalex.org/W2042152172","https://openalex.org/W2044188978","https://openalex.org/W2049751389","https://openalex.org/W2078019988","https://openalex.org/W2098142388","https://openalex.org/W2103226621","https://openalex.org/W2106030832","https://openalex.org/W2106712543","https://openalex.org/W2108432983","https://openalex.org/W2114014700","https://openalex.org/W2124058921","https://openalex.org/W2145005786","https://openalex.org/W2146588145","https://openalex.org/W2151767444","https://openalex.org/W2153051849","https://openalex.org/W2165680375","https://openalex.org/W2185679071","https://openalex.org/W2544544682"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2806741695","https://openalex.org/W4290647774","https://openalex.org/W3189286258","https://openalex.org/W3207797160","https://openalex.org/W3210364259","https://openalex.org/W4300558037","https://openalex.org/W2912112202","https://openalex.org/W2667207928","https://openalex.org/W4377864969","https://openalex.org/W2972971679"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Small":[0],"scale":[1,39,213],"electrical":[2,125,215],"demand":[3,126,140],"forecasting":[4,31,40,46,119,230],"is":[5,147,159],"an":[6,106,157],"emerging":[7],"field":[8],"motivated":[9],"by":[10,243,252],"the":[11,18,35,142,190,235,240,244,249],"penetration":[12],"of":[13,20,52,68,141,183,217,234],"renewable":[14],"energy":[15],"sources":[16],"and":[17,22,55,131,176,209,248],"growth":[19],"microgrids":[21],"virtual":[23],"power":[24,199],"plants.":[25],"These":[26],"advances":[27],"pose":[28],"more":[29],"complex":[30],"challenges":[32],"compared":[33],"to":[34,96,149,172,188,219],"already":[36],"established":[37],"large":[38],"approaches.":[41],"Current":[42],"short":[43],"term":[44],"load":[45],"methods":[47],"deal":[48],"with":[49],"two":[50],"types":[51],"day,":[53,130],"normal":[54,101],"anomalous,":[56],"which":[57,85],"are":[58,63,81,86,195],"predicted":[59,139],"separately.":[60],"Anomalous":[61],"days":[62,84,152,224],"classified":[64],"as":[65,76,153],"such":[66,75],"ahead":[67,93],"time,":[69],"based":[70,164,196],"on":[71,90,197,211],"key":[72],"calendar":[73],"events":[74],"public":[77],"holidays.":[78],"However,":[79],"there":[80],"some":[82],"anomalous":[83,107,133,151,184,191,223],"not":[87],"always":[88],"predictable":[89],"a":[91,99,116,128,137,161,173,181],"day":[92,102,192],"basis.":[94],"Due":[95],"unforeseen":[97],"events,":[98],"seemingly":[100],"can":[103],"progress":[104],"towards":[105],"case":[108],"causing":[109],"high":[110],"errors":[111],"in":[112,180,186,202],"prediction.":[113,193],"We":[114],"propose":[115],"new":[117],"dynamic":[118,226],"mechanism":[120],"that":[121],"actively":[122],"monitors":[123],"residential":[124,214],"along":[127],"forecasted":[129],"detects":[132],"pattern":[134,256],"changes":[135,167],"from":[136,204,239],"previously":[138,174],"day.":[143],"A":[144],"self-organising":[145],"map":[146],"employed":[148],"detect":[150],"they":[154],"progress.":[155],"Once":[156],"anomaly":[158],"detected,":[160],"neural":[162],"network":[163],"prediction":[165,227,246],"system":[166],"its":[168],"input":[169],"neurons":[170],"according":[171],"detected":[175],"recorded":[177,201],"match":[178],"found":[179],"database":[182],"days,":[185],"order":[187],"accommodate":[189],"Results":[194],"measured":[198],"demands":[200,216],"Ireland":[203],"domestic":[205],"smart-meters":[206],"between":[207],"2009-2011,":[208],"focus":[210],"small":[212],"up":[218],"350":[220],"kWh.":[221],"During":[222],"our":[225],"approach":[228],"achieves":[229],"results":[231],"within":[232],"3.63%":[233],"real":[236],"load,":[237],"down":[238],"7.37%":[241],"obtained":[242],"initial":[245],"algorithm":[247],"5.41%":[250],"achieved":[251],"standalone":[253],"re-prediction,":[254],"without":[255],"matching.":[257]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2020,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2019,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2018,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2017,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2016,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2015,"cited_by_count":4},{"year":2014,"cited_by_count":2}],"updated_date":"2025-11-06T03:46:38.306776","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}