{"id":"https://openalex.org/W4377968379","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1109/icps58381.2023.10128081","title":"Short - Term Prediction of Coke Pushing Current Peak Based on Improved ARIMA Model","display_name":"Short - Term Prediction of Coke Pushing Current Peak Based on Improved ARIMA Model","publication_year":2023,"publication_date":"2023-05-08","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W4377968379","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1109/icps58381.2023.10128081"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1109/icps58381.2023.10128081","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1109/icps58381.2023.10128081","pdf_url":null,"source":null,"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"2023 IEEE 6th International Conference on Industrial Cyber-Physical Systems (ICPS)","raw_type":"proceedings-article"},"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5109608335","display_name":"Haiyang Wei","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I1327237609","display_name":"Ministry of Education of the People's Republic of China","ror":"https://ror.org/01mv9t934","country_code":"CN","type":"government","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1327237609","https://openalex.org/I4210127390"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I3124059619","display_name":"China University of Geosciences","ror":"https://ror.org/04gcegc37","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I3124059619"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210094879","display_name":"Shandong Institute of Automation","ror":"https://ror.org/00qdtba35","country_code":"CN","type":"facility","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210094879","https://openalex.org/I4210142748"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Haiyang Wei","raw_affiliation_strings":["School of Automation, China University of Geosciences,Wuhan,China,430074","Hubei Key Laboratory of Advanced Control and Intelligent Automation for Complex Systems, Wuhan, China","Engineering Research Center of Intelligent Technology for Geo-Exploration, Ministry of Education, Wuhan, China"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"School of Automation, China University of Geosciences,Wuhan,China,430074","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I3124059619"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Hubei Key Laboratory of Advanced Control and Intelligent Automation for Complex Systems, Wuhan, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210094879"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Engineering Research Center of Intelligent Technology for Geo-Exploration, Ministry of Education, Wuhan, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I1327237609"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5029643093","display_name":"Luefeng Chen","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3571-7493"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I1327237609","display_name":"Ministry of Education of the People's Republic of China","ror":"https://ror.org/01mv9t934","country_code":"CN","type":"government","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1327237609","https://openalex.org/I4210127390"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I3124059619","display_name":"China University of Geosciences","ror":"https://ror.org/04gcegc37","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I3124059619"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210094879","display_name":"Shandong Institute of Automation","ror":"https://ror.org/00qdtba35","country_code":"CN","type":"facility","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210094879","https://openalex.org/I4210142748"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Luefeng Chen","raw_affiliation_strings":["School of Automation, China University of Geosciences,Wuhan,China,430074","Engineering Research Center of Intelligent Technology for Geo-Exploration, Ministry of Education, Wuhan, China","Hubei Key Laboratory of Advanced Control and Intelligent Automation for Complex Systems, Wuhan, China"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"School of Automation, China University of Geosciences,Wuhan,China,430074","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I3124059619"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Engineering Research Center of Intelligent Technology for Geo-Exploration, Ministry of Education, Wuhan, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I1327237609"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Hubei Key Laboratory of Advanced Control and Intelligent Automation for Complex Systems, Wuhan, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210094879"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5091260655","display_name":"Jie Hu","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1725-6366"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I1327237609","display_name":"Ministry of Education of the People's Republic of China","ror":"https://ror.org/01mv9t934","country_code":"CN","type":"government","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1327237609","https://openalex.org/I4210127390"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I3124059619","display_name":"China University of Geosciences","ror":"https://ror.org/04gcegc37","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I3124059619"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210094879","display_name":"Shandong Institute of Automation","ror":"https://ror.org/00qdtba35","country_code":"CN","type":"facility","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210094879","https://openalex.org/I4210142748"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Jie Hu","raw_affiliation_strings":["School of Automation, China University of Geosciences,Wuhan,China,430074","Engineering Research Center of Intelligent Technology for Geo-Exploration, Ministry of Education, Wuhan, China","Hubei Key Laboratory of Advanced Control and Intelligent Automation for Complex Systems, Wuhan, China"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"School of Automation, China University of Geosciences,Wuhan,China,430074","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I3124059619"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Engineering Research Center of Intelligent Technology for Geo-Exploration, Ministry of Education, Wuhan, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I1327237609"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Hubei Key Laboratory of Advanced Control and Intelligent Automation for Complex Systems, Wuhan, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210094879"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5101375380","display_name":"Yi Ren","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0491-5745"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I1327237609","display_name":"Ministry of Education of the People's Republic of China","ror":"https://ror.org/01mv9t934","country_code":"CN","type":"government","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1327237609","https://openalex.org/I4210127390"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I3124059619","display_name":"China University of Geosciences","ror":"https://ror.org/04gcegc37","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I3124059619"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210094879","display_name":"Shandong Institute of Automation","ror":"https://ror.org/00qdtba35","country_code":"CN","type":"facility","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210094879","https://openalex.org/I4210142748"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Yi Ren","raw_affiliation_strings":["School of Automation, China University of Geosciences,Wuhan,China,430074","Hubei Key Laboratory of Advanced Control and Intelligent Automation for Complex Systems, Wuhan, China","Engineering Research Center of Intelligent Technology for Geo-Exploration, Ministry of Education, Wuhan, China"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"School of Automation, China University of Geosciences,Wuhan,China,430074","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I3124059619"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Hubei Key Laboratory of Advanced Control and Intelligent Automation for Complex Systems, Wuhan, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210094879"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Engineering Research Center of Intelligent Technology for Geo-Exploration, Ministry of Education, Wuhan, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I1327237609"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5074710425","display_name":"Min Wu","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0668-8315"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I1327237609","display_name":"Ministry of Education of the People's Republic of China","ror":"https://ror.org/01mv9t934","country_code":"CN","type":"government","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1327237609","https://openalex.org/I4210127390"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I3124059619","display_name":"China University of Geosciences","ror":"https://ror.org/04gcegc37","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I3124059619"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210094879","display_name":"Shandong Institute of Automation","ror":"https://ror.org/00qdtba35","country_code":"CN","type":"facility","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210094879","https://openalex.org/I4210142748"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Min Wu","raw_affiliation_strings":["School of Automation, China University of Geosciences,Wuhan,China,430074","Engineering Research Center of Intelligent Technology for Geo-Exploration, Ministry of Education, Wuhan, China","Hubei Key Laboratory of Advanced Control and Intelligent Automation for Complex Systems, Wuhan, China"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"School of Automation, China University of Geosciences,Wuhan,China,430074","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I3124059619"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Engineering Research Center of Intelligent Technology for Geo-Exploration, Ministry of Education, Wuhan, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I1327237609"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Hubei Key Laboratory of Advanced Control and Intelligent Automation for Complex Systems, Wuhan, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210094879"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5003799782","display_name":"Witold Pedrycz","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9335-9930"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I154425047","display_name":"University of Alberta","ror":"https://ror.org/0160cpw27","country_code":"CA","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I154425047"]}],"countries":["CA"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Witold Pedrycz","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering, University of Alberta,Edmonton,Canada,AB T6R 2G7"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering, University of Alberta,Edmonton,Canada,AB T6R 2G7","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I154425047"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5065389686","display_name":"Kaoru Hirota","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8118-9815"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I114531698","display_name":"Tokyo Institute of Technology","ror":"https://ror.org/0112mx960","country_code":"JP","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I114531698"]}],"countries":["JP"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Kaoru Hirota","raw_affiliation_strings":["Tokyo Institute of Technology,Yokohama,Japan,226-8502"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Tokyo Institute of Technology,Yokohama,Japan,226-8502","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I114531698"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":3,"institutions_distinct_count":7,"corresponding_author_ids":[],"corresponding_institution_ids":[],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":0.0,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":0,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.17752101,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":null,"biblio":{"volume":null,"issue":null,"first_page":"1","last_page":"6"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T14428","display_name":"Coal and Coke Industries Research","score":0.9742000102996826,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2103","display_name":"Fuel Technology"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/21","display_name":"Energy"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T14428","display_name":"Coal and Coke Industries Research","score":0.9742000102996826,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2103","display_name":"Fuel Technology"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/21","display_name":"Energy"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T14444","display_name":"Power Systems and Renewable Energy","score":0.9562000036239624,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2102","display_name":"Energy Engineering and Power Technology"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/21","display_name":"Energy"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11052","display_name":"Energy Load and Power Forecasting","score":0.9532999992370605,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2208","display_name":"Electrical and Electronic Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/autoregressive-integrated-moving-average","display_name":"Autoregressive integrated moving average","score":0.8096500039100647},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/coke","display_name":"Coke","score":0.7315570116043091},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/autoregressive-conditional-heteroskedasticity","display_name":"Autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity","score":0.5975033044815063},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/time-series","display_name":"Time series","score":0.5831620693206787},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/autoregressive-model","display_name":"Autoregressive model","score":0.5313459038734436},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/heteroscedasticity","display_name":"Heteroscedasticity","score":0.4201980531215668},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-science","display_name":"Computer science","score":0.40555864572525024},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/engineering","display_name":"Engineering","score":0.36621803045272827},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/econometrics","display_name":"Econometrics","score":0.35568180680274963},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/statistics","display_name":"Statistics","score":0.29132550954818726},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/mathematics","display_name":"Mathematics","score":0.29111427068710327},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/volatility","display_name":"Volatility (finance)","score":0.17191427946090698}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C24338571","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2566298","display_name":"Autoregressive integrated moving average","level":3,"score":0.8096500039100647},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2780385392","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q192795","display_name":"Coke","level":2,"score":0.7315570116043091},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C23922673","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q180752","display_name":"Autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity","level":3,"score":0.5975033044815063},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C151406439","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q186588","display_name":"Time series","level":2,"score":0.5831620693206787},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C159877910","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2202883","display_name":"Autoregressive model","level":2,"score":0.5313459038734436},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C101104100","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1063540","display_name":"Heteroscedasticity","level":2,"score":0.4201980531215668},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.40555864572525024},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127413603","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11023","display_name":"Engineering","level":0,"score":0.36621803045272827},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149782125","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q160039","display_name":"Econometrics","level":1,"score":0.35568180680274963},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C105795698","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12483","display_name":"Statistics","level":1,"score":0.29132550954818726},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.29111427068710327},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C91602232","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q756115","display_name":"Volatility (finance)","level":2,"score":0.17191427946090698},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C548081761","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q180388","display_name":"Waste management","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1109/icps58381.2023.10128081","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1109/icps58381.2023.10128081","pdf_url":null,"source":null,"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"2023 IEEE 6th International Conference on Industrial Cyber-Physical Systems (ICPS)","raw_type":"proceedings-article"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[{"display_name":"Responsible consumption and production","id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/12","score":0.4300000071525574}],"awards":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/G26576258","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"B17040","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320327912","funder_display_name":"Higher Education Discipline Innovation Project"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G7999274224","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"61973286,61603356,61733016","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320320997","funder_display_name":"Funda\u00e7\u00e3o de Amparo \u00e0 Pesquisa do Estado de S\u00e3o Paulo"}],"funders":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320320997","display_name":"Funda\u00e7\u00e3o de Amparo \u00e0 Pesquisa do Estado de S\u00e3o Paulo","ror":"https://ror.org/02ddkpn78"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320327912","display_name":"Higher Education Discipline Innovation Project","ror":null}],"has_content":{"pdf":false,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":15,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W1985594416","https://openalex.org/W2000982976","https://openalex.org/W2036681246","https://openalex.org/W2120390927","https://openalex.org/W2392696967","https://openalex.org/W2507873299","https://openalex.org/W2889386826","https://openalex.org/W2910279921","https://openalex.org/W2975523582","https://openalex.org/W2988742601","https://openalex.org/W3130808753","https://openalex.org/W3182635198","https://openalex.org/W3189366232","https://openalex.org/W3194117781","https://openalex.org/W4291747055"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W3135881084","https://openalex.org/W2380590035","https://openalex.org/W2351712633","https://openalex.org/W4388984322","https://openalex.org/W1608601224","https://openalex.org/W2017138702","https://openalex.org/W1978494725","https://openalex.org/W2776656900","https://openalex.org/W2945893251","https://openalex.org/W2031589205"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Coke":[0],"pushing":[1,12,17,23,43,60,98,183],"current":[2,18,38,99,184],"is":[3,31,85,90,113,129,149,154,188],"an":[4],"indicator":[5],"to":[6,32,52,92,115,131,190,194],"evaluate":[7],"the":[8,20,27,157,168,178],"difficulty":[9],"of":[10,37,96,107,119,139,142,159,181,197],"coke":[11,16,22,30,42,59,97,182],"operation.":[13],"The":[14,163,186],"higher":[15],"is,":[19,25],"greater":[21],"resistance":[24],"and":[26,56,77,103,122,136,145],"more":[28,47],"difficult":[29,58],"push":[33],"out.":[34],"Accurate":[35],"prediction":[36,69,170,175,180],"peak":[39],"during":[40],"future":[41],"operation":[44],"can":[45],"provide":[46],"time":[48,94,108,143],"for":[49],"production":[50,54,193,196],"personnel":[51],"adjust":[53],"status":[55],"avoid":[57],"in":[61,177],"carbonization":[62],"chamber.":[63],"In":[64],"this":[65],"paper,":[66],"a":[67,173],"combination":[68],"model":[70,112,128,134,148,171],"based":[71],"on":[72],"VMD":[73,88],"(Variational":[74],"Mode":[75],"Decomposition)":[76],"improved":[78],"ARIMA":[79,111,133],"(Autoregressive":[80],"Integrated":[81],"Moving":[82],"Average)":[83],"models":[84],"proposed.":[86],"Firstly,":[87],"algorithm":[89],"used":[91,114],"decompose":[93],"series":[95],"peak,":[100],"de-noising":[101],"data,":[102],"extracting":[104],"main":[105],"information":[106],"series.":[109],"Then,":[110],"predict":[116,132],"mean":[117],"change":[118],"linear":[120],"elasticity":[121],"GARCH":[123],"(Generalized":[124],"Autore-gressive":[125],"Conditional":[126],"Heteroskedasticity)":[127],"introduced":[130],"residual":[135],"improve":[137],"heteroscedasticity":[138],"nonlinear":[140],"part":[141],"series,":[144],"then":[146],"ARIMA-GARCH":[147],"established.":[150],"Finally,":[151],"predicted":[152],"value":[153],"obtained":[155],"by":[156],"sum":[158],"each":[160],"component":[161],"prediction.":[162],"experimental":[164],"results":[165],"show":[166],"that":[167],"proposed":[169],"has":[172],"high":[174],"accuracy":[176],"short-term":[179],"peak.":[185],"scheme":[187],"applied":[189],"actual":[191],"coking":[192],"guide":[195],"coke.":[198]},"counts_by_year":[],"updated_date":"2026-06-11T09:08:48.828518","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}
