{"id":"https://openalex.org/W4415708370","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1109/icme59968.2025.11210104","title":"Counterfactual-Augmented Representation Learning based Event Prediction","display_name":"Counterfactual-Augmented Representation Learning based Event Prediction","publication_year":2025,"publication_date":"2025-06-30","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W4415708370","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1109/icme59968.2025.11210104"},"language":null,"primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1109/icme59968.2025.11210104","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1109/icme59968.2025.11210104","pdf_url":null,"source":null,"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"2025 IEEE International Conference on Multimedia and Expo (ICME)","raw_type":"proceedings-article"},"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5080724728","display_name":"Hu Cheng","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2090-1362"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I19820366","display_name":"Chinese Academy of Sciences","ror":"https://ror.org/034t30j35","country_code":"CN","type":"funder","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I19820366"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210156404","display_name":"Institute of Information Engineering","ror":"https://ror.org/04r53se39","country_code":"CN","type":"facility","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I19820366","https://openalex.org/I4210156404"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Cheng Hu","raw_affiliation_strings":["Chinese Academy of Sciences,Institute of Information Engineering,Beijing,China"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Chinese Academy of Sciences,Institute of Information Engineering,Beijing,China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210156404","https://openalex.org/I19820366"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5102878238","display_name":"Fangfang Yuan","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1255-1999"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I19820366","display_name":"Chinese Academy of Sciences","ror":"https://ror.org/034t30j35","country_code":"CN","type":"funder","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I19820366"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210156404","display_name":"Institute of Information Engineering","ror":"https://ror.org/04r53se39","country_code":"CN","type":"facility","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I19820366","https://openalex.org/I4210156404"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Fangfang Yuan","raw_affiliation_strings":["Chinese Academy of Sciences,Institute of Information Engineering,Beijing,China"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Chinese Academy of Sciences,Institute of Information Engineering,Beijing,China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210156404","https://openalex.org/I19820366"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5102823047","display_name":"Cong Cao","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6853-6421"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210156404","display_name":"Institute of Information Engineering","ror":"https://ror.org/04r53se39","country_code":"CN","type":"facility","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I19820366","https://openalex.org/I4210156404"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I19820366","display_name":"Chinese Academy of Sciences","ror":"https://ror.org/034t30j35","country_code":"CN","type":"funder","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I19820366"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Cong Cao","raw_affiliation_strings":["Chinese Academy of Sciences,Institute of Information Engineering,Beijing,China"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Chinese Academy of Sciences,Institute of Information Engineering,Beijing,China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210156404","https://openalex.org/I19820366"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5104145188","display_name":"Pu Li","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I10660446","display_name":"Kunming University of Science and Technology","ror":"https://ror.org/00xyeez13","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I10660446"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Pu Li","raw_affiliation_strings":["Kunming University of Science and Technology,Faculty of Information Engineering and Automation,Kunming,China"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Kunming University of Science and Technology,Faculty of Information Engineering and Automation,Kunming,China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I10660446"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5109637009","display_name":"Guangjie Zeng","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6395-5988"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4391767781","display_name":"State Key Laboratory of Software Development Environment","ror":"https://ror.org/017r4dj03","country_code":null,"type":"facility","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4391767781","https://openalex.org/I82880672"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I82880672","display_name":"Beihang University","ror":"https://ror.org/00wk2mp56","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I82880672"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Guangjie Zeng","raw_affiliation_strings":["Beihang University,State Key Laboratory of Software Development Environment,China"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Beihang University,State Key Laboratory of Software Development Environment,China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I82880672","https://openalex.org/I4391767781"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5101651401","display_name":"Yanbing Liu","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8068-8316"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I19820366","display_name":"Chinese Academy of Sciences","ror":"https://ror.org/034t30j35","country_code":"CN","type":"funder","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I19820366"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210156404","display_name":"Institute of Information Engineering","ror":"https://ror.org/04r53se39","country_code":"CN","type":"facility","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I19820366","https://openalex.org/I4210156404"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Yanbing Liu","raw_affiliation_strings":["Chinese Academy of Sciences,Institute of Information Engineering,Beijing,China"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Chinese Academy of Sciences,Institute of Information Engineering,Beijing,China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210156404","https://openalex.org/I19820366"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5101460572","display_name":"Hao Peng","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9558-4691"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4391767781","display_name":"State Key Laboratory of Software Development Environment","ror":"https://ror.org/017r4dj03","country_code":null,"type":"facility","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4391767781","https://openalex.org/I82880672"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I82880672","display_name":"Beihang University","ror":"https://ror.org/00wk2mp56","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I82880672"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Hao Peng","raw_affiliation_strings":["Beihang University,State Key Laboratory of Software Development Environment,China"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Beihang University,State Key Laboratory of Software Development Environment,China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I82880672","https://openalex.org/I4391767781"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5018396769","display_name":"Philip L. H. Yu","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9449-0420"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I39422238","display_name":"University of Illinois Chicago","ror":"https://ror.org/02mpq6x41","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I39422238"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Philip. S Yu","raw_affiliation_strings":["University of Illinois at Chicago,Department of Computer Science,Chicago,USA"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"University of Illinois at Chicago,Department of Computer Science,Chicago,USA","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I39422238"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":2,"institutions_distinct_count":8,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5080724728"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I19820366","https://openalex.org/I4210156404"],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":0.0,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":0,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.17528006,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":null,"biblio":{"volume":null,"issue":null,"first_page":"1","last_page":"6"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12026","display_name":"Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI)","score":0.21220000088214874,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1702","display_name":"Artificial Intelligence"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/17","display_name":"Computer Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12026","display_name":"Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI)","score":0.21220000088214874,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1702","display_name":"Artificial Intelligence"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/17","display_name":"Computer Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T13702","display_name":"Machine Learning in Healthcare","score":0.11339999735355377,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1702","display_name":"Artificial Intelligence"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/17","display_name":"Computer Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11303","display_name":"Bayesian Modeling and Causal Inference","score":0.08229999989271164,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1702","display_name":"Artificial Intelligence"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/17","display_name":"Computer Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/counterfactual-thinking","display_name":"Counterfactual thinking","score":0.9333000183105469},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/event","display_name":"Event (particle physics)","score":0.6675000190734863},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/benchmark","display_name":"Benchmark (surveying)","score":0.6089000105857849},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/representation","display_name":"Representation (politics)","score":0.5041999816894531},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/graph","display_name":"Graph","score":0.3540000021457672},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/baseline","display_name":"Baseline (sea)","score":0.3449000120162964},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/rare-events","display_name":"Rare events","score":0.3314000070095062}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C108650721","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1783253","display_name":"Counterfactual thinking","level":2,"score":0.9333000183105469},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2779662365","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5416694","display_name":"Event (particle physics)","level":2,"score":0.6675000190734863},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.6651999950408936},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C119857082","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2539","display_name":"Machine learning","level":1,"score":0.629800021648407},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C154945302","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11660","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","level":1,"score":0.6281999945640564},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C185798385","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1161707","display_name":"Benchmark (surveying)","level":2,"score":0.6089000105857849},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2776359362","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2145286","display_name":"Representation (politics)","level":3,"score":0.5041999816894531},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C124101348","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q172491","display_name":"Data mining","level":1,"score":0.373199999332428},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C132525143","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q141488","display_name":"Graph","level":2,"score":0.3540000021457672},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C12725497","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q810247","display_name":"Baseline (sea)","level":2,"score":0.3449000120162964},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2777317252","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q18393516","display_name":"Rare events","level":2,"score":0.3314000070095062},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2776760102","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5139990","display_name":"Code (set theory)","level":3,"score":0.3109999895095825},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C11671645","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5054567","display_name":"Causal model","level":2,"score":0.3043999969959259},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C45804977","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7239673","display_name":"Predictive modelling","level":2,"score":0.29580000042915344},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C32848918","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q845789","display_name":"Observable","level":2,"score":0.28209999203681946},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149782125","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q160039","display_name":"Econometrics","level":1,"score":0.2784000039100647},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C43126263","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q128751","display_name":"Source code","level":2,"score":0.27469998598098755},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C204321447","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q30642","display_name":"Natural language processing","level":1,"score":0.2694999873638153},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C116834253","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2039217","display_name":"Identification (biology)","level":2,"score":0.2612000107765198}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1109/icme59968.2025.11210104","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1109/icme59968.2025.11210104","pdf_url":null,"source":null,"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"2025 IEEE International Conference on Multimedia and Expo (ICME)","raw_type":"proceedings-article"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"pdf":false,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":16,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W2604314403","https://openalex.org/W2787894218","https://openalex.org/W2901504064","https://openalex.org/W2950369002","https://openalex.org/W2950635152","https://openalex.org/W3012735076","https://openalex.org/W3080649566","https://openalex.org/W3208231885","https://openalex.org/W4206590231","https://openalex.org/W4290874875","https://openalex.org/W4318823221","https://openalex.org/W4320060305","https://openalex.org/W4385562558","https://openalex.org/W4387396900","https://openalex.org/W4396757543","https://openalex.org/W6910546390"],"related_works":[],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Accurate":[0],"prediction":[1,118],"of":[2,14,80,91],"future":[3,26,44,83],"events":[4,16,72,92,114],"holds":[5],"significant":[6],"importance":[7],"for":[8],"decision-makers.":[9],"Current":[10],"methods":[11,32,132],"learn":[12,88],"representations":[13,90],"past":[15],"from":[17,70],"the":[18,34,51,78,81,89,94,105],"observable":[19],"graph":[20],"structure":[21],"to":[22,59,103],"predict":[23],"whether":[24,68],"a":[25],"event":[27,96,117],"will":[28],"occur.":[29],"However,":[30],"these":[31],"overlook":[33],"counterfactual":[35,74,113],"scenarios,":[36],"thus":[37],"missing":[38],"essential":[39],"factors":[40],"that":[41,126],"could":[42],"trigger":[43],"events.":[45,109],"In":[46],"this":[47,61],"paper,":[48],"we":[49,87,99,111],"propose":[50],"Predicting":[52],"Events":[53],"with":[54],"Counterfactual":[55],"Augmentation":[56],"Framework":[57],"(PECF)":[58],"address":[60],"limitation.":[62],"This":[63],"is":[64,138],"achieved":[65],"by":[66],"investigating":[67],"deviations":[69],"observed":[71],"(i.e.,":[73],"events)":[75],"can":[76],"affect":[77],"occurrence":[79],"target":[82],"event.":[84],"Specifically,":[85],"first,":[86],"through":[93,120],"temporal":[95],"graphs.":[97],"Then,":[98],"instantiate":[100],"causal":[101,106],"models":[102],"represent":[104],"relationships":[107],"between":[108],"Finally,":[110],"generate":[112],"and":[115],"enhance":[116],"accuracy":[119],"counterfactual-based":[121],"augmentation.":[122],"Experimental":[123],"results":[124],"demonstrate":[125],"our":[127],"method":[128],"outperforms":[129],"current":[130],"state-of-the-art":[131],"on":[133],"benchmark":[134],"datasets.":[135],"The":[136],"code":[137],"available":[139],"at":[140],"https://github.com/hucheng-IIE/PECF.":[141]},"counts_by_year":[],"updated_date":"2026-03-07T16:01:11.037858","created_date":"2025-10-30T00:00:00"}