{"id":"https://openalex.org/W4391114454","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1109/icecet58911.2023.10389358","title":"Modeling and Forecasting Photovoltaic Power Production","display_name":"Modeling and Forecasting Photovoltaic Power Production","publication_year":2023,"publication_date":"2023-11-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W4391114454","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1109/icecet58911.2023.10389358"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1109/icecet58911.2023.10389358","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/icecet58911.2023.10389358","pdf_url":null,"source":null,"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"2023 International Conference on Electrical, Computer and Energy Technologies (ICECET)","raw_type":"proceedings-article"},"type":"conference-paper","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5019776129","display_name":"Diogo Ribeiro","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6394-4090"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I155381812","display_name":"University of Tr\u00e1s-os-Montes and Alto Douro","ror":"https://ror.org/03qc8vh97","country_code":"PT","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I155381812"]}],"countries":["PT"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Diogo Ribeiro","raw_affiliation_strings":["Univ. Tr\u00e1s-os-Montes and Alto Douro","Univ. Trás-os-Montes and Alto Douro,Department of Engineering,Vila real,Portugal"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Univ. Tr\u00e1s-os-Montes and Alto Douro","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I155381812"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Univ. Trás-os-Montes and Alto Douro,Department of Engineering,Vila real,Portugal","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I155381812"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5071058431","display_name":"Adelaide Cerveira","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7494-6566"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I155381812","display_name":"University of Tr\u00e1s-os-Montes and Alto Douro","ror":"https://ror.org/03qc8vh97","country_code":"PT","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I155381812"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210166615","display_name":"INESC TEC","ror":"https://ror.org/05fa8ka61","country_code":"PT","type":"nonprofit","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210125590","https://openalex.org/I4210166615"]}],"countries":["PT"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Adelaide Cerveira","raw_affiliation_strings":["Univ. Tr\u00e1s-os-Montes and Alto Douro LIAAD-INESCTEC UTAD Pole","Univ. Trás-os-Montes and Alto Douro LIAAD-INESCTEC UTAD Pole,Department of Mathematics,Vila real,Portugal"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Univ. Tr\u00e1s-os-Montes and Alto Douro LIAAD-INESCTEC UTAD Pole","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I155381812"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Univ. Trás-os-Montes and Alto Douro LIAAD-INESCTEC UTAD Pole,Department of Mathematics,Vila real,Portugal","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210166615"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5009707287","display_name":"E. J. Solteiro Pires","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3224-4926"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I155381812","display_name":"University of Tr\u00e1s-os-Montes and Alto Douro","ror":"https://ror.org/03qc8vh97","country_code":"PT","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I155381812"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210166615","display_name":"INESC TEC","ror":"https://ror.org/05fa8ka61","country_code":"PT","type":"nonprofit","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210125590","https://openalex.org/I4210166615"]}],"countries":["PT"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"E. J. Solteiro Pires","raw_affiliation_strings":["Univ. Tr\u00e1s-os-Montes and Alto Douro CRIIS-INESCTEC UTAD Pole","Univ. Trás-os-Montes and Alto Douro CRIIS-INESCTEC UTAD Pole,Department of Engineering,Vila real,Portugal"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Univ. Tr\u00e1s-os-Montes and Alto Douro CRIIS-INESCTEC UTAD Pole","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I155381812"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Univ. Trás-os-Montes and Alto Douro CRIIS-INESCTEC UTAD Pole,Department of Engineering,Vila real,Portugal","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I155381812","https://openalex.org/I4210166615"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5042046383","display_name":"Jos\u00e9 Baptista","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0297-4709"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I155381812","display_name":"University of Tr\u00e1s-os-Montes and Alto Douro","ror":"https://ror.org/03qc8vh97","country_code":"PT","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I155381812"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210166615","display_name":"INESC TEC","ror":"https://ror.org/05fa8ka61","country_code":"PT","type":"nonprofit","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210125590","https://openalex.org/I4210166615"]}],"countries":["PT"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Jos\u00e9 Baptista","raw_affiliation_strings":["Univ. Tr\u00e1s-os-Montes and Alto Douro CPES-INESCTEC UTAD Pole","Univ. Trás-os-Montes and Alto Douro CPES-INESCTEC UTAD Pole,Department of Engineering,Vila real,Portugal"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Univ. Tr\u00e1s-os-Montes and Alto Douro CPES-INESCTEC UTAD Pole","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I155381812"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Univ. Trás-os-Montes and Alto Douro CPES-INESCTEC UTAD Pole,Department of Engineering,Vila real,Portugal","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210166615"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":2,"corresponding_author_ids":[],"corresponding_institution_ids":[],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":0.6305,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":3,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.70803388,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":94,"max":97},"biblio":{"volume":"7","issue":null,"first_page":"1","last_page":"6"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11276","display_name":"Solar Radiation and Photovoltaics","score":0.9993000030517578,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1702","display_name":"Artificial Intelligence"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/17","display_name":"Computer Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11276","display_name":"Solar Radiation and Photovoltaics","score":0.9993000030517578,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1702","display_name":"Artificial Intelligence"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/17","display_name":"Computer Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11052","display_name":"Energy Load and Power Forecasting","score":0.9973999857902527,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2208","display_name":"Electrical and Electronic Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10468","display_name":"Photovoltaic System Optimization Techniques","score":0.9901999831199646,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2105","display_name":"Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/21","display_name":"Energy"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/photovoltaic-system","display_name":"Photovoltaic system","score":0.7365086674690247},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/renewable-energy","display_name":"Renewable energy","score":0.6833820939064026},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/intermittency","display_name":"Intermittency","score":0.6263770461082458},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/probabilistic-forecasting","display_name":"Probabilistic forecasting","score":0.5828490853309631},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/production","display_name":"Production (economics)","score":0.47390520572662354},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/energy","display_name":"Energy (signal processing)","score":0.4306705892086029},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/population","display_name":"Population","score":0.4255525469779968},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-science","display_name":"Computer science","score":0.39432257413864136},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/meteorology","display_name":"Meteorology","score":0.3807638883590698},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/environmental-science","display_name":"Environmental science","score":0.35328614711761475},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/mathematics","display_name":"Mathematics","score":0.24740225076675415},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/statistics","display_name":"Statistics","score":0.2151046097278595},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/engineering","display_name":"Engineering","score":0.18512672185897827},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/artificial-intelligence","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","score":0.1089453399181366},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/geography","display_name":"Geography","score":0.07981419563293457}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41291067","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1897785","display_name":"Photovoltaic system","level":2,"score":0.7365086674690247},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C188573790","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12705","display_name":"Renewable energy","level":2,"score":0.6833820939064026},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2780388094","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1666248","display_name":"Intermittency","level":3,"score":0.6263770461082458},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C122282355","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7246855","display_name":"Probabilistic forecasting","level":3,"score":0.5828490853309631},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2778348673","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q739302","display_name":"Production (economics)","level":2,"score":0.47390520572662354},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C186370098","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q442787","display_name":"Energy (signal processing)","level":2,"score":0.4306705892086029},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2908647359","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2625603","display_name":"Population","level":2,"score":0.4255525469779968},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.39432257413864136},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C153294291","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q25261","display_name":"Meteorology","level":1,"score":0.3807638883590698},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C39432304","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q188847","display_name":"Environmental science","level":0,"score":0.35328614711761475},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.24740225076675415},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C105795698","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12483","display_name":"Statistics","level":1,"score":0.2151046097278595},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127413603","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11023","display_name":"Engineering","level":0,"score":0.18512672185897827},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C154945302","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11660","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","level":1,"score":0.1089453399181366},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C205649164","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1071","display_name":"Geography","level":0,"score":0.07981419563293457},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C49937458","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2599292","display_name":"Probabilistic logic","level":2,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C139719470","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q39680","display_name":"Macroeconomics","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C144024400","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21201","display_name":"Sociology","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149923435","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q37732","display_name":"Demography","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C196558001","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q190132","display_name":"Turbulence","level":2,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C119599485","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q43035","display_name":"Electrical engineering","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1109/icecet58911.2023.10389358","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/icecet58911.2023.10389358","pdf_url":null,"source":null,"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"2023 International Conference on Electrical, Computer and Energy Technologies (ICECET)","raw_type":"proceedings-article"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"pdf":false,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":14,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W1518194904","https://openalex.org/W2089815433","https://openalex.org/W2172064003","https://openalex.org/W2941419477","https://openalex.org/W3020381798","https://openalex.org/W3037358073","https://openalex.org/W3198884930","https://openalex.org/W4206189171","https://openalex.org/W4286521364","https://openalex.org/W4293869152","https://openalex.org/W4295886820","https://openalex.org/W6630968698","https://openalex.org/W6771917582","https://openalex.org/W6771964261"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2564644595","https://openalex.org/W1589804082","https://openalex.org/W1566002589","https://openalex.org/W2042838258","https://openalex.org/W2075007075","https://openalex.org/W2783018065","https://openalex.org/W1525560163","https://openalex.org/W4387214903","https://openalex.org/W1964264122","https://openalex.org/W3101798938"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"As":[0],"the":[1,25,33,39,51,54,74,120,126,130,141,148,154,163,167,170,174,178,181,186,190],"world's":[2],"population":[3],"grows,":[4],"there":[5],"is":[6,22,59,94,116,189,204],"a":[7],"need":[8],"to":[9,31,50,61,72,87,118,152,161,206],"find":[10,73],"new":[11],"sources":[12,28],"of":[13,24,53,129,180],"energy":[14,21,27,81,92,122],"that":[15,83],"are":[16,105,135,159],"more":[17],"sustainable.":[18],"Photovoltaic":[19],"(PV)":[20],"one":[23],"renewable":[26],"(RES)":[29],"expected":[30],"have":[32],"greatest":[34],"margin":[35],"for":[36,65,79,196],"growth":[37],"in":[38,107],"near":[40],"future.":[41],"Given":[42],"their":[43,63],"intermittency,":[44],"RES":[45],"bring":[46],"uncertainty":[47],"and":[48,100,143,145,199],"instability":[49],"management":[52],"power":[55],"system,":[56],"therefore":[57],"it":[58],"essential":[60],"predict":[62,119,153,162],"behavior":[64],"different":[66,88],"time":[67,89],"frames.":[68,90],"This":[69,202],"paper":[70],"aims":[71],"most":[75],"effective":[76],"forecasting":[77,103,184],"method":[78,203],"PV":[80,91,149],"production":[82,93,123],"could":[84],"be":[85],"applied":[86],"directly":[95],"dependent":[96],"on":[97,125,138],"solar":[98],"radiation":[99,144],"temperature.":[101],"Several":[102],"approaches":[104,134],"proposed":[106,117,136,160,183],"this":[108],"paper.":[109],"A":[110],"multiple":[111],"linear":[112],"regression":[113],"(MLR)":[114],"model":[115,188],"monthly":[121],"based":[124,137],"climatic":[127,164],"parameters":[128],"previous":[131],"year.":[132],"Different":[133],"first":[139],"predicting":[140],"temperature":[142],"then":[146],"applying":[147],"mathematical":[150],"models":[151],"produced":[155,200],"energy.":[156,201],"Three":[157],"methods":[158],"parameters:":[165],"using":[166],"average":[168],"values,":[169],"additive":[171,207],"decomposition,":[172],"or":[173],"Holt-Winters":[175],"method.":[176],"Comparing":[177],"errors":[179,195],"four":[182],"methods,":[185],"best":[187],"Holt-Winters,":[191],"which":[192],"presents":[193],"smaller":[194],"radiation,":[197],"temperature,":[198],"close":[205],"decomposition.":[208]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2026,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":2}],"updated_date":"2026-08-11T07:18:39.950985","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}