{"id":"https://openalex.org/W4304142030","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1109/icac55051.2022.9911105","title":"Explainable AI for Non-Experts: Energy Tariff Forecasting","display_name":"Explainable AI for Non-Experts: Energy Tariff Forecasting","publication_year":2022,"publication_date":"2022-09-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W4304142030","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1109/icac55051.2022.9911105"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1109/icac55051.2022.9911105","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1109/icac55051.2022.9911105","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4363608428","display_name":"2022 27th International Conference on Automation and Computing (ICAC)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"conference"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"2022 27th International Conference on Automation and Computing (ICAC)","raw_type":"proceedings-article"},"type":"conference-paper","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"green","oa_url":"https://research-information.bris.ac.uk/files/334626046/2022152302_1_.pdf","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5112873134","display_name":"Hongnan Ma","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2906-2486"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I36234482","display_name":"University of Bristol","ror":"https://ror.org/0524sp257","country_code":"GB","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I36234482"]}],"countries":["GB"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Hongnan Ma","raw_affiliation_strings":["University of Bristol,School of Computer Science, Electrical and Electronic Engineering, and Engineering Maths,Bristol,UK","School of Computer Science, Electrical and Electronic Engineering, and Engineering Maths, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"University of Bristol,School of Computer Science, Electrical and Electronic Engineering, and Engineering Maths,Bristol,UK","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I36234482"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"School of Computer Science, Electrical and Electronic Engineering, and Engineering Maths, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I36234482"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5090059618","display_name":"Kevin McAreavey","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I36234482","display_name":"University of Bristol","ror":"https://ror.org/0524sp257","country_code":"GB","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I36234482"]}],"countries":["GB"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Kevin McAreavey","raw_affiliation_strings":["University of Bristol,School of Computer Science, Electrical and Electronic Engineering, and Engineering Maths,Bristol,UK","School of Computer Science, Electrical and Electronic Engineering, and Engineering Maths, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"University of Bristol,School of Computer Science, Electrical and Electronic Engineering, and Engineering Maths,Bristol,UK","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I36234482"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"School of Computer Science, Electrical and Electronic Engineering, and Engineering Maths, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I36234482"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5077095301","display_name":"Ryan McConville","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7708-3110"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I36234482","display_name":"University of Bristol","ror":"https://ror.org/0524sp257","country_code":"GB","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I36234482"]}],"countries":["GB"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Ryan McConville","raw_affiliation_strings":["University of Bristol,School of Computer Science, Electrical and Electronic Engineering, and Engineering Maths,Bristol,UK","School of Computer Science, Electrical and Electronic Engineering, and Engineering Maths, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"University of Bristol,School of Computer Science, Electrical and Electronic Engineering, and Engineering Maths,Bristol,UK","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I36234482"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"School of Computer Science, Electrical and Electronic Engineering, and Engineering Maths, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I36234482"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5002349071","display_name":"Weiru Liu","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8356-1361"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I36234482","display_name":"University of Bristol","ror":"https://ror.org/0524sp257","country_code":"GB","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I36234482"]}],"countries":["GB"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Weiru Liu","raw_affiliation_strings":["University of Bristol,School of Computer Science, Electrical and Electronic Engineering, and Engineering Maths,Bristol,UK","School of Computer Science, Electrical and Electronic Engineering, and Engineering Maths, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"University of Bristol,School of Computer Science, Electrical and Electronic Engineering, and Engineering Maths,Bristol,UK","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I36234482"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"School of Computer Science, Electrical and Electronic Engineering, and Engineering Maths, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I36234482"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":1,"corresponding_author_ids":[],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I36234482"],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":1.3493,"has_fulltext":true,"cited_by_count":8,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.83552352,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":94,"max":97},"biblio":{"volume":null,"issue":null,"first_page":"1","last_page":"6"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12026","display_name":"Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI)","score":0.9993000030517578,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1702","display_name":"Artificial Intelligence"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/17","display_name":"Computer Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12026","display_name":"Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI)","score":0.9993000030517578,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1702","display_name":"Artificial Intelligence"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/17","display_name":"Computer Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11674","display_name":"Sports Analytics and Performance","score":0.9811999797821045,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2002","display_name":"Economics and Econometrics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12535","display_name":"Machine Learning and Data Classification","score":0.9587000012397766,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1702","display_name":"Artificial Intelligence"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/17","display_name":"Computer Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/counterfactual-thinking","display_name":"Counterfactual thinking","score":0.8864068984985352},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-science","display_name":"Computer science","score":0.7217521667480469},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/context","display_name":"Context (archaeology)","score":0.6520190238952637},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/perspective","display_name":"Perspective (graphical)","score":0.632436215877533},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/machine-learning","display_name":"Machine learning","score":0.4927211105823517},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/feature","display_name":"Feature (linguistics)","score":0.47788822650909424},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/artificial-intelligence","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","score":0.46793124079704285},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/recommender-system","display_name":"Recommender system","score":0.43745312094688416},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/tariff","display_name":"Tariff","score":0.4145641326904297},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/data-science","display_name":"Data science","score":0.39909717440605164},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/economics","display_name":"Economics","score":0.07153698801994324}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C108650721","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1783253","display_name":"Counterfactual thinking","level":2,"score":0.8864068984985352},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.7217521667480469},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2779343474","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3109175","display_name":"Context (archaeology)","level":2,"score":0.6520190238952637},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C12713177","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1900281","display_name":"Perspective (graphical)","level":2,"score":0.632436215877533},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C119857082","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2539","display_name":"Machine learning","level":1,"score":0.4927211105823517},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2776401178","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12050496","display_name":"Feature (linguistics)","level":2,"score":0.47788822650909424},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C154945302","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11660","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","level":1,"score":0.46793124079704285},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C557471498","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q554950","display_name":"Recommender system","level":2,"score":0.43745312094688416},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2776060655","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q52389","display_name":"Tariff","level":2,"score":0.4145641326904297},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2522767166","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2374463","display_name":"Data science","level":1,"score":0.39909717440605164},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.07153698801994324},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C155202549","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q178803","display_name":"International trade","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C151730666","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7205","display_name":"Paleontology","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41895202","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8162","display_name":"Linguistics","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C86803240","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q420","display_name":"Biology","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C138885662","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5891","display_name":"Philosophy","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C111472728","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9471","display_name":"Epistemology","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":3,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1109/icac55051.2022.9911105","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1109/icac55051.2022.9911105","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4363608428","display_name":"2022 27th International Conference on Automation and Computing (ICAC)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"conference"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"2022 27th International Conference on Automation and Computing (ICAC)","raw_type":"proceedings-article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:research-information.bris.ac.uk:publications/9e0c479c-9ed2-4ae5-9d31-9827772ed01b","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://research-information.bris.ac.uk/en/publications/9e0c479c-9ed2-4ae5-9d31-9827772ed01b","pdf_url":"https://research-information.bris.ac.uk/files/334626046/2022152302_1_.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306400895","display_name":"Bristol Research (University of Bristol)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I36234482","host_organization_name":"University of Bristol","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I36234482"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"other-oa","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/other-oa","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Ma, H, McAreavey, K, McConville, R & Liu, W 2022, Explainable AI for Non-Experts : Energy Tariff Forecasting. in C Yang & Y Xu (eds), 2022 27th International Conference on Automation and Computing : Smart Systems and Manufacturing, ICAC 2022. 2022 27th International Conference on Automation and Computing: Smart Systems and Manufacturing, ICAC 2022, Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE). https://doi.org/10.1109/ICAC55051.2022.9911105","raw_type":"info:eu-repo/semantics/conferenceObject"},{"id":"pmh:oai:research-information.bris.ac.uk:publications/9e0c479c-9ed2-4ae5-9d31-9827772ed01b","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://hdl.handle.net/1983/9e0c479c-9ed2-4ae5-9d31-9827772ed01b","pdf_url":null,"source":null,"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"","raw_type":""}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"pmh:oai:research-information.bris.ac.uk:publications/9e0c479c-9ed2-4ae5-9d31-9827772ed01b","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://research-information.bris.ac.uk/en/publications/9e0c479c-9ed2-4ae5-9d31-9827772ed01b","pdf_url":"https://research-information.bris.ac.uk/files/334626046/2022152302_1_.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306400895","display_name":"Bristol Research (University of Bristol)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I36234482","host_organization_name":"University of Bristol","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I36234482"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"other-oa","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/other-oa","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Ma, H, McAreavey, K, McConville, R & Liu, W 2022, Explainable AI for Non-Experts : Energy Tariff Forecasting. in C Yang & Y Xu (eds), 2022 27th International Conference on Automation and Computing : Smart Systems and Manufacturing, ICAC 2022. 2022 27th International Conference on Automation and Computing: Smart Systems and Manufacturing, ICAC 2022, Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE). https://doi.org/10.1109/ICAC55051.2022.9911105","raw_type":"info:eu-repo/semantics/conferenceObject"},"sustainable_development_goals":[{"display_name":"Affordable and clean energy","score":0.699999988079071,"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/7"}],"awards":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/G1126785328","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"EP/P016448/1","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320334627","funder_display_name":"Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G1552502687","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"EP/T026812/1","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320334627","funder_display_name":"Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G1884355088","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"EP/T026820/1","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320334627","funder_display_name":"Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G8578728416","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"EP/T026707/1","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320334627","funder_display_name":"Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council"}],"funders":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320334627","display_name":"Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council","ror":"https://ror.org/0439y7842"}],"has_content":{"pdf":true,"grobid_xml":true},"content_urls":{"pdf":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W4304142030.pdf","grobid_xml":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W4304142030.grobid-xml"},"referenced_works_count":33,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W48268975","https://openalex.org/W272982003","https://openalex.org/W2035683813","https://openalex.org/W2334860424","https://openalex.org/W2394669110","https://openalex.org/W2420245003","https://openalex.org/W2594475271","https://openalex.org/W2744999500","https://openalex.org/W2911964244","https://openalex.org/W2945295328","https://openalex.org/W2962862931","https://openalex.org/W2963125461","https://openalex.org/W2996764908","https://openalex.org/W2999765337","https://openalex.org/W3031898411","https://openalex.org/W3093597327","https://openalex.org/W3104149808","https://openalex.org/W3104847483","https://openalex.org/W3122765966","https://openalex.org/W3131794706","https://openalex.org/W3132191748","https://openalex.org/W3134751001","https://openalex.org/W3174464440","https://openalex.org/W3197347140","https://openalex.org/W4212793355","https://openalex.org/W4213042606","https://openalex.org/W4226328072","https://openalex.org/W4242448314","https://openalex.org/W4290875774","https://openalex.org/W6601928720","https://openalex.org/W6610086628","https://openalex.org/W6717082673","https://openalex.org/W6737947904"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2899084033","https://openalex.org/W3201448254","https://openalex.org/W4286970243","https://openalex.org/W2066431708","https://openalex.org/W4384133558","https://openalex.org/W3025615835","https://openalex.org/W173210993","https://openalex.org/W2390660599","https://openalex.org/W3028847759","https://openalex.org/W2393688264"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Non-expert":[0],"users":[1,23],"are":[2],"increasingly":[3],"affected":[4],"by":[5],"the":[6,26,47,90,97],"decisions":[7],"of":[8,28,49,92,99,102],"systems":[9],"that":[10],"rely":[11],"on":[12,54,78],"machine":[13,103],"learning":[14,104],"(ML),":[15],"yet":[16],"it":[17],"is":[18,87],"often":[19],"difficult":[20],"for":[21,44],"these":[22,93],"to":[24,39,80,88],"understand":[25],"predictions":[27,57],"ML":[29],"models.":[30,105],"In":[31],"this":[32],"paper,":[33],"we":[34,66],"propose":[35],"a":[36],"web-based":[37],"platform":[38,76],"evaluate":[40,89],"explainable":[41],"AI":[42],"(XAI)":[43],"non-experts":[45],"in":[46],"context":[48],"time":[50],"series":[51],"forecasting,":[52],"focusing":[53],"energy":[55],"price":[56],"as":[58],"an":[59],"exemplary":[60],"use":[61],"case.":[62],"The":[63,75],"XAI":[64],"methods":[65],"consider":[67],"include":[68],"local":[69],"feature":[70],"importance":[71],"and":[72],"counterfactual":[73],"explanations.":[74],"relies":[77],"gamification":[79],"encourage":[81],"user":[82],"engagement.":[83],"Our":[84],"research":[85],"objective":[86],"effectiveness":[91],"different":[94],"approaches":[95],"from":[96],"perspective":[98],"non-expert":[100],"understanding":[101]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":2}],"updated_date":"2026-08-01T09:00:35.917206","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}