{"id":"https://openalex.org/W4315630342","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1109/globecom48099.2022.10001059","title":"Using the (Crystal) Ball: Forecasting Network Traffic Peaks with Football Events","display_name":"Using the (Crystal) Ball: Forecasting Network Traffic Peaks with Football Events","publication_year":2022,"publication_date":"2022-12-04","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W4315630342","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1109/globecom48099.2022.10001059"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1109/globecom48099.2022.10001059","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/globecom48099.2022.10001059","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4363607705","display_name":"GLOBECOM 2022 - 2022 IEEE Global Communications Conference","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"conference"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"GLOBECOM 2022 - 2022 IEEE Global Communications Conference","raw_type":"proceedings-article"},"type":"conference-paper","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5023564578","display_name":"Andrea Pimpinella","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2846-2795"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I93860229","display_name":"Politecnico di Milano","ror":"https://ror.org/01nffqt88","country_code":"IT","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I93860229"]}],"countries":["IT"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Andrea Pimpinella","raw_affiliation_strings":["Politecnico di Milano,Dipartimento di Elettronica, Informazione e Bioingegneria","Dipartimento di Elettronica, Informazione e Bioingegneria, Politecnico di Milano"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Politecnico di Milano,Dipartimento di Elettronica, Informazione e Bioingegneria","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I93860229"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Dipartimento di Elettronica, Informazione e Bioingegneria, Politecnico di Milano","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I93860229"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5075395997","display_name":"Alessandro E. C. Redondi","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7267-7908"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I93860229","display_name":"Politecnico di Milano","ror":"https://ror.org/01nffqt88","country_code":"IT","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I93860229"]}],"countries":["IT"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Alessandro E.C. Redondi","raw_affiliation_strings":["Politecnico di Milano,Dipartimento di Elettronica, Informazione e Bioingegneria","Dipartimento di Elettronica, Informazione e Bioingegneria, Politecnico di Milano"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Politecnico di Milano,Dipartimento di Elettronica, Informazione e Bioingegneria","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I93860229"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Dipartimento di Elettronica, Informazione e Bioingegneria, Politecnico di Milano","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I93860229"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5061997078","display_name":"Andrea Pavon","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I74316835","display_name":"Vodafone (United Kingdom)","ror":"https://ror.org/01v7jrq42","country_code":"GB","type":"company","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I74316835"]}],"countries":["GB"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Andrea Pavon","raw_affiliation_strings":["Vodafone Group, Network Engineering and Delivery"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Vodafone Group, Network Engineering and Delivery","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I74316835"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5027064467","display_name":"Luisa Venturini","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I74316835","display_name":"Vodafone (United Kingdom)","ror":"https://ror.org/01v7jrq42","country_code":"GB","type":"company","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I74316835"]}],"countries":["GB"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Luisa Venturini","raw_affiliation_strings":["Vodafone Group, Network Engineering and Delivery"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Vodafone Group, Network Engineering and Delivery","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I74316835"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":2,"institutions_distinct_count":2,"corresponding_author_ids":[],"corresponding_institution_ids":[],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":null,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":2,"citation_normalized_percentile":null,"cited_by_percentile_year":null,"biblio":{"volume":null,"issue":null,"first_page":"4334","last_page":"4339"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11980","display_name":"Human Mobility and Location-Based Analysis","score":0.9988999962806702,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3313","display_name":"Transportation"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11980","display_name":"Human Mobility and Location-Based Analysis","score":0.9988999962806702,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3313","display_name":"Transportation"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10698","display_name":"Transportation Planning and Optimization","score":0.9940000176429749,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3313","display_name":"Transportation"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10064","display_name":"Complex Network Analysis Techniques","score":0.9926999807357788,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3109","display_name":"Statistical and Nonlinear Physics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/31","display_name":"Physics and Astronomy"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/exploit","display_name":"Exploit","score":0.8934340476989746},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/football","display_name":"Football","score":0.7965151071548462},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/traffic-volume","display_name":"Traffic volume","score":0.6521758437156677},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-science","display_name":"Computer science","score":0.5977264642715454},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/volume","display_name":"Volume (thermodynamics)","score":0.4294387102127075},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/data-mining","display_name":"Data mining","score":0.3432338237762451},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/geography","display_name":"Geography","score":0.15815162658691406},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/engineering","display_name":"Engineering","score":0.1566358208656311},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/transport-engineering","display_name":"Transport engineering","score":0.1547349989414215},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-security","display_name":"Computer security","score":0.1488000750541687}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C165696696","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11287","display_name":"Exploit","level":2,"score":0.8934340476989746},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2778444522","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1081491","display_name":"Football","level":2,"score":0.7965151071548462},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C168443057","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7001223","display_name":"Traffic volume","level":2,"score":0.6521758437156677},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.5977264642715454},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C20556612","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q4469374","display_name":"Volume (thermodynamics)","level":2,"score":0.4294387102127075},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C124101348","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q172491","display_name":"Data mining","level":1,"score":0.3432338237762451},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C205649164","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1071","display_name":"Geography","level":0,"score":0.15815162658691406},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127413603","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11023","display_name":"Engineering","level":0,"score":0.1566358208656311},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C22212356","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q775325","display_name":"Transport engineering","level":1,"score":0.1547349989414215},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C38652104","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3510521","display_name":"Computer security","level":1,"score":0.1488000750541687},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C166957645","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q23498","display_name":"Archaeology","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C62520636","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q944","display_name":"Quantum mechanics","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C121332964","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q413","display_name":"Physics","level":0,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":3,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1109/globecom48099.2022.10001059","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/globecom48099.2022.10001059","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4363607705","display_name":"GLOBECOM 2022 - 2022 IEEE Global Communications Conference","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"conference"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"GLOBECOM 2022 - 2022 IEEE Global Communications Conference","raw_type":"proceedings-article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:aisberg.unibg.it:10446/263896","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://hdl.handle.net/10446/263896","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4377196347","display_name":"Aisberg (University of Bergamo)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I11039511","host_organization_name":"University of Bergamo","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I11039511"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"info:eu-repo/semantics/conferenceObject"},{"id":"pmh:oai:re.public.polimi.it:11311/1233400","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://hdl.handle.net/11311/1233400","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306400312","display_name":"Virtual Community of Pathological Anatomy (University of Castilla La Mancha)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I79189158","host_organization_name":"University of Castilla-La Mancha","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I79189158"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"","raw_type":"info:eu-repo/semantics/conferenceObject"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"pdf":false,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":13,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W1966014883","https://openalex.org/W2338921688","https://openalex.org/W2514159439","https://openalex.org/W2559755935","https://openalex.org/W2774170531","https://openalex.org/W2787753888","https://openalex.org/W2807536558","https://openalex.org/W2899687878","https://openalex.org/W2907637692","https://openalex.org/W2982355056","https://openalex.org/W3092918295","https://openalex.org/W3093984672","https://openalex.org/W3158779581"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2964604098","https://openalex.org/W2997512100","https://openalex.org/W2331043530","https://openalex.org/W2393933887","https://openalex.org/W1555721731","https://openalex.org/W2152018389","https://openalex.org/W228411881","https://openalex.org/W2374725260","https://openalex.org/W1607315280","https://openalex.org/W2383403914"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Mobile":[0],"network":[1,33],"traffic":[2,23,74,100,123,134],"forecasting":[3,104,118],"is":[4,26],"a":[5,31,67,91,122],"fundamental":[6],"building":[7],"block":[8],"for":[9,30,66],"key":[10],"management":[11],"tasks":[12],"such":[13,44],"as":[14],"resources":[15],"allocation.":[16],"In":[17],"particular,":[18],"being":[19,128],"able":[20,129],"to":[21,38,42,93,98,107,121,130],"predict":[22,43,108],"volume":[24,73,135],"peaks":[25,75],"of":[27,60,69,82,113,142],"primary":[28],"importance":[29],"correct":[32],"operation.":[34],"This":[35],"paper":[36],"proposes":[37],"exploit":[39,94],"exogenous":[40],"inputs":[41],"peaks,":[45,115],"focusing":[46],"in":[47,64],"particular":[48],"on":[49,58],"football":[50,83,96],"matches.":[51],"We":[52],"show":[53],"with":[54,79,136],"an":[55,137],"analysis":[56],"conducted":[57],"4":[59],"the":[61,80,95,114,117,132,143],"major":[62],"cities":[63],"Italy":[65],"period":[68],"6":[70],"months":[71],"that":[72],"are":[76],"strongly":[77],"correlated":[78],"occurrence":[81],"matches":[84],"between":[85],"specific":[86],"teams":[87],"and":[88,127],"we":[89],"propose":[90],"methodology":[92],"calendar":[97],"forecast":[99,131],"peaks.":[101],"The":[102],"proposed":[103],"frameworks":[105],"allows":[106],"more":[109],"than":[110],"50":[111],"%":[112],"improving":[116],"performance":[119],"compared":[120],"signature":[124],"based":[125],"approach":[126],"maximum":[133],"average":[138],"overestimation":[139],"below":[140],"+10%":[141],"actual":[144],"value.":[145]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2026-07-24T06:01:01.537669","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}
