{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2034645672","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1109/eurmic.2003.1231558","title":"Trends in technology","display_name":"Trends in technology","publication_year":2003,"publication_date":"2003-01-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2034645672","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1109/eurmic.2003.1231558","mag":"2034645672"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1109/eurmic.2003.1231558","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1109/eurmic.2003.1231558","pdf_url":null,"source":null,"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"2003 Proceedings 29th Euromicro Conference","raw_type":"proceedings-article"},"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5097061159","display_name":"Loesch","orcid":null},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Loesch","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"affiliations":[]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":0,"institutions_distinct_count":1,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5097061159"],"corresponding_institution_ids":[],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":0.0,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":5,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.13945151,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":89,"max":96},"biblio":{"volume":null,"issue":null,"first_page":"10","last_page":"10"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10472","display_name":"Semiconductor materials and devices","score":0.9997000098228455,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2208","display_name":"Electrical and Electronic Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10472","display_name":"Semiconductor materials and devices","score":0.9997000098228455,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2208","display_name":"Electrical and Electronic Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12588","display_name":"Electronic and Structural Properties of Oxides","score":0.9994000196456909,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2505","display_name":"Materials Chemistry"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/25","display_name":"Materials Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10299","display_name":"Photonic and Optical Devices","score":0.9977999925613403,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2208","display_name":"Electrical and Electronic Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-science","display_name":"Computer science","score":0.5793358087539673},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/technology-forecasting","display_name":"Technology forecasting","score":0.5372436046600342},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/moores-law","display_name":"Moore's law","score":0.5277165770530701},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/interdependence","display_name":"Interdependence","score":0.4891822636127472},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/dependency","display_name":"Dependency (UML)","score":0.47199466824531555},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/technology-management","display_name":"Technology management","score":0.4377066195011139},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/emerging-technologies","display_name":"Emerging technologies","score":0.4274522662162781},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/technology-roadmap","display_name":"Technology roadmap","score":0.42088061571121216},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/risk-analysis","display_name":"Risk analysis (engineering)","score":0.3665323853492737},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/telecommunications","display_name":"Telecommunications","score":0.36348557472229004},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/electrical-engineering","display_name":"Electrical engineering","score":0.29837217926979065},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/engineering","display_name":"Engineering","score":0.28733545541763306},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/business","display_name":"Business","score":0.21686291694641113},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/artificial-intelligence","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","score":0.14062634110450745},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/marketing","display_name":"Marketing","score":0.13930845260620117},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/political-science","display_name":"Political science","score":0.1282961666584015},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/knowledge-management","display_name":"Knowledge management","score":0.12048619985580444},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/law","display_name":"Law","score":0.1016494631767273}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.5793358087539673},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C161657586","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1203326","display_name":"Technology forecasting","level":2,"score":0.5372436046600342},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C206891323","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q178655","display_name":"Moore's law","level":2,"score":0.5277165770530701},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C185874996","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q269699","display_name":"Interdependence","level":2,"score":0.4891822636127472},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C19768560","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q320727","display_name":"Dependency (UML)","level":2,"score":0.47199466824531555},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C143219415","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1417293","display_name":"Technology management","level":2,"score":0.4377066195011139},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C207267971","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q120208","display_name":"Emerging technologies","level":2,"score":0.4274522662162781},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2780156850","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2144097","display_name":"Technology roadmap","level":2,"score":0.42088061571121216},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C112930515","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q4389547","display_name":"Risk analysis (engineering)","level":1,"score":0.3665323853492737},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C76155785","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q418","display_name":"Telecommunications","level":1,"score":0.36348557472229004},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C119599485","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q43035","display_name":"Electrical engineering","level":1,"score":0.29837217926979065},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127413603","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11023","display_name":"Engineering","level":0,"score":0.28733545541763306},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C144133560","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q4830453","display_name":"Business","level":0,"score":0.21686291694641113},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C154945302","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11660","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","level":1,"score":0.14062634110450745},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162853370","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q39809","display_name":"Marketing","level":1,"score":0.13930845260620117},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C17744445","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q36442","display_name":"Political science","level":0,"score":0.1282961666584015},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C56739046","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q192060","display_name":"Knowledge management","level":1,"score":0.12048619985580444},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C199539241","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7748","display_name":"Law","level":1,"score":0.1016494631767273}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1109/eurmic.2003.1231558","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1109/eurmic.2003.1231558","pdf_url":null,"source":null,"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"2003 Proceedings 29th Euromicro Conference","raw_type":"proceedings-article"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":false,"pdf":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":12,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W2000917443","https://openalex.org/W2004606690","https://openalex.org/W2029017157","https://openalex.org/W2076193926","https://openalex.org/W2084782659","https://openalex.org/W2086036527","https://openalex.org/W2091167778","https://openalex.org/W2109205783","https://openalex.org/W2118608821","https://openalex.org/W2131049560","https://openalex.org/W2154380367","https://openalex.org/W2798783011"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W1603124946","https://openalex.org/W2151998100","https://openalex.org/W4238723669","https://openalex.org/W2168917649","https://openalex.org/W1645409745","https://openalex.org/W2999537838","https://openalex.org/W2043297493","https://openalex.org/W2079240962","https://openalex.org/W2526759089","https://openalex.org/W2124300624"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Any":[0],"attempt":[1],"to":[2,27,131,138,211,235],"assess":[3],"trends":[4],"or":[5,181,203,284],"future":[6],"directions":[7],"enforces":[8],"learning":[9],"modesty":[10],"in":[11,86,99,104,121,147,152,158,166,269],"view":[12],"of":[13,20,35,49,66,72,79,93,102,124,155,168,214,247,257,271],"the":[14,17,32,42,73,100,105,115,119,128,136,145,153,200,212,219,237,255,272],"interdependencies":[15],"spanning":[16],"whole":[18],"field":[19],"science":[21],"and":[22,38,41,47,88,127,135,149,163,185,208,259],"technology,":[23],"even":[24,85],"constraining":[25],"us":[26],"a":[28,52,61,222],"short":[29],"list.":[30],"But":[31],"increasing":[33],"dependency":[34],"our":[36,67],"economic":[37,209],"scientific":[39],"development":[40],"lead":[43],"time":[44],"between":[45],"laboratory":[46],"market":[48,274],"more":[50],"than":[51],"decennium":[53],"make":[54,132],"it":[55],"both":[56],"an":[57],"opportunity":[58],"as":[59,118,172,174,276],"well":[60,173],"prerequisite":[62],"for":[63,177,199,230],"meaningful":[64],"planning":[65],"future.":[68],"Everybody":[69],"is":[70,224],"aware":[71],"fact":[74],"that":[75],"continued":[76],"exponential":[77],"advancement":[78],"cannot":[80],"be":[81,139,142,191],"sustained":[82],"forever":[83],"-":[84],"semiconductor":[87,148,248],"computer":[89,150],"technology-":[90],"but":[91],"predictions":[92],"limits":[94,210],"have":[95,110],"been":[96,111,251],"proven":[97],"wrong":[98],"majority":[101],"cases":[103],"past.":[106],"The":[107,245],"predicted":[108],"boundaries":[109],"shifting":[112],"nearly":[113],"at":[114],"same":[116],"speed":[117],"improvements":[120],"technology.":[122,261],"Some":[123],"these":[125],"developments":[126,256],"impressive":[129],"efforts":[130,146],"this":[133,268],"happen":[134],"obstacles":[137],"overcome":[140],"will":[141,190,263],"discussed.":[143],"Both":[144],"technology":[151,202,249],"pursuit":[154],"Moore\u2019s":[156],"Law":[157],"lithography,":[159],"design,":[160],"interconnection,":[161],"architecture":[162],"cost":[164],"management":[165],"light":[167,270],"potential":[169],"diminishing":[170],"returns":[171],"arising":[175],"scenarios":[176],"a\u201d":[178],"beyond":[179],"transistor\u201d":[180],"\u201cpost":[182],"silicon\u201d":[183],"area":[184],"their":[186],"associated":[187],"paradigm":[188],"changes":[189],"addressed.":[192],"Can":[193],"we":[194],"already":[195],"see":[196],"upcoming":[197],"replacements":[198],"silicon":[201],"are":[204,218,227,243],"there":[205,228],"final":[206],"technical":[207],"viability":[213],"such":[215],"technologies?":[216],"What":[217],"options":[220,229],"until":[221,239],"replacement":[223],"available,":[225],"i.e.":[226],"\u201cMoore":[231],"by":[232],"other":[233],"means\u201d":[234],"bridge":[236],"gap":[238],"feasible":[240],"new":[241,264,285],"technologies":[242,266],"ready?":[244],"evolution":[246],"has":[250],"congenially":[252],"symbiotic":[253],"with":[254],"storage":[258],"communication":[260],"How":[262],"emerging":[265],"complement":[267],"changing":[273],"opportunities":[275],"e.g.":[277],"mobile":[278],"electronics,":[279,281,283],"embedded":[280],"photo":[282],"man-machine":[286],"interfaces?":[287]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2014,"cited_by_count":2}],"updated_date":"2026-03-24T05:59:24.953642","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}
