{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2156237258","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1109/csmr.2008.4493302","title":"Trend Analysis and Issue Prediction in Large-Scale Open Source Systems","display_name":"Trend Analysis and Issue Prediction in Large-Scale Open Source Systems","publication_year":2008,"publication_date":"2008-04-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2156237258","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1109/csmr.2008.4493302","mag":"2156237258"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1109/csmr.2008.4493302","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1109/csmr.2008.4493302","pdf_url":null,"source":null,"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"2008 12th European Conference on Software Maintenance and Reengineering","raw_type":"proceedings-article"},"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5098374593","display_name":"Benedicte Kenmei","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I45683168","display_name":"Polytechnique Montr\u00e9al","ror":"https://ror.org/05f8d4e86","country_code":"CA","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I45683168"]}],"countries":["CA"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Benedicte Kenmei","raw_affiliation_strings":["\u00c9cole Polytechnique de Montr\u00e9al, Montreal, Canada"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"\u00c9cole Polytechnique de Montr\u00e9al, Montreal, Canada","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I45683168"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5018821149","display_name":"Giuliano Antoniol","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7892-9202"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I45683168","display_name":"Polytechnique Montr\u00e9al","ror":"https://ror.org/05f8d4e86","country_code":"CA","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I45683168"]}],"countries":["CA"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Giuliano Antoniol","raw_affiliation_strings":["\u00c9cole Polytechnique de Montr\u00e9al, Montreal, Canada"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"\u00c9cole Polytechnique de Montr\u00e9al, Montreal, Canada","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I45683168"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5025099559","display_name":"Massimiliano Di Penta","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0340-9747"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I16337185","display_name":"University of Sannio","ror":"https://ror.org/04vc81p87","country_code":"IT","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I16337185"]}],"countries":["IT"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Massimiliano di Penta","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Engineering, University of Sannio, Benevento, Italy"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Engineering, University of Sannio, Benevento, Italy","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I16337185"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":2,"institutions_distinct_count":3,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5098374593"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I45683168"],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":4.2297,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":43,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.9472392,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":true},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":89,"max":98},"biblio":{"volume":null,"issue":null,"first_page":"73","last_page":"82"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10260","display_name":"Software Engineering Research","score":0.9998999834060669,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1710","display_name":"Information Systems"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/17","display_name":"Computer Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10260","display_name":"Software Engineering Research","score":0.9998999834060669,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1710","display_name":"Information Systems"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/17","display_name":"Computer Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12127","display_name":"Software System Performance and Reliability","score":0.991100013256073,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1705","display_name":"Computer Networks and Communications"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/17","display_name":"Computer Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10639","display_name":"Advanced Software Engineering Methodologies","score":0.9897000193595886,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1702","display_name":"Artificial Intelligence"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/17","display_name":"Computer Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/eclipse","display_name":"Eclipse","score":0.8838833570480347},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-science","display_name":"Computer science","score":0.7882527709007263},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/popularity","display_name":"Popularity","score":0.6201052665710449},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/time-series","display_name":"Time series","score":0.5260838270187378},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/open-source","display_name":"Open source","score":0.5140789747238159},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/software","display_name":"Software","score":0.5120545029640198},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/series","display_name":"Series (stratigraphy)","score":0.501152515411377},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/capability-maturity-model","display_name":"Capability Maturity Model","score":0.4911896884441376},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/scale","display_name":"Scale (ratio)","score":0.4686899483203888},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/trend-analysis","display_name":"Trend analysis","score":0.45760464668273926},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/quality","display_name":"Quality (philosophy)","score":0.41841933131217957},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/real-time-computing","display_name":"Real-time computing","score":0.33483922481536865},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/operating-system","display_name":"Operating system","score":0.1306217610836029},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/machine-learning","display_name":"Machine learning","score":0.08224523067474365}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2778505590","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q141022","display_name":"Eclipse","level":2,"score":0.8838833570480347},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.7882527709007263},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2780586970","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1357284","display_name":"Popularity","level":2,"score":0.6201052665710449},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C151406439","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q186588","display_name":"Time series","level":2,"score":0.5260838270187378},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C3018397939","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3644502","display_name":"Open source","level":3,"score":0.5140789747238159},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2777904410","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7397","display_name":"Software","level":2,"score":0.5120545029640198},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C143724316","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q312468","display_name":"Series (stratigraphy)","level":2,"score":0.501152515411377},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C85890633","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q929673","display_name":"Capability Maturity Model","level":3,"score":0.4911896884441376},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2778755073","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q10858537","display_name":"Scale (ratio)","level":2,"score":0.4686899483203888},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127142870","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7838279","display_name":"Trend analysis","level":2,"score":0.45760464668273926},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2779530757","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1207505","display_name":"Quality (philosophy)","level":2,"score":0.41841933131217957},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C79403827","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3988","display_name":"Real-time computing","level":1,"score":0.33483922481536865},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C111919701","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9135","display_name":"Operating system","level":1,"score":0.1306217610836029},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C119857082","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2539","display_name":"Machine learning","level":1,"score":0.08224523067474365},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C86803240","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q420","display_name":"Biology","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C15744967","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9418","display_name":"Psychology","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C62520636","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q944","display_name":"Quantum mechanics","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C121332964","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q413","display_name":"Physics","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C111472728","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9471","display_name":"Epistemology","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C77805123","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q161272","display_name":"Social psychology","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C151730666","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7205","display_name":"Paleontology","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C1276947","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q333","display_name":"Astronomy","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C138885662","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5891","display_name":"Philosophy","level":0,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":2,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1109/csmr.2008.4493302","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1109/csmr.2008.4493302","pdf_url":null,"source":null,"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"2008 12th European Conference on Software Maintenance and Reengineering","raw_type":"proceedings-article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:publications.polymtl.ca:20620","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://publications.polymtl.ca/20620/","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401013","display_name":"PolyPublie (\u00c9cole Polytechnique de Montr\u00e9al)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I45683168","host_organization_name":"Polytechnique Montr\u00e9al","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I45683168"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"","raw_type":"Communication de conf\u00e9rence"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[],"awards":[],"funders":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320334593","display_name":"Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada","ror":"https://ror.org/01h531d29"}],"has_content":{"pdf":false,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":32,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W1588879371","https://openalex.org/W1667165204","https://openalex.org/W1785021972","https://openalex.org/W1785384640","https://openalex.org/W1869496470","https://openalex.org/W1975994995","https://openalex.org/W1998147510","https://openalex.org/W2036488048","https://openalex.org/W2046245205","https://openalex.org/W2095364399","https://openalex.org/W2097580026","https://openalex.org/W2105376034","https://openalex.org/W2106804979","https://openalex.org/W2112081648","https://openalex.org/W2116693957","https://openalex.org/W2125478006","https://openalex.org/W2128666163","https://openalex.org/W2144585445","https://openalex.org/W2145560406","https://openalex.org/W2151926297","https://openalex.org/W2156310663","https://openalex.org/W2171818077","https://openalex.org/W2180620742","https://openalex.org/W2341760625","https://openalex.org/W2571446175","https://openalex.org/W3142652567","https://openalex.org/W4230644069","https://openalex.org/W4254118911","https://openalex.org/W4297888513","https://openalex.org/W4307492541","https://openalex.org/W6638888789","https://openalex.org/W6675770679"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W137217271","https://openalex.org/W91167106","https://openalex.org/W1492637474","https://openalex.org/W1809480526","https://openalex.org/W2952911668","https://openalex.org/W4250943967","https://openalex.org/W1976082487","https://openalex.org/W1977280627","https://openalex.org/W209375746","https://openalex.org/W2539908605"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Effort":[0],"to":[1,10,24,32,39,74,79,146],"evolve":[2],"and":[3,16,31,41,58,78,109,116,135,151],"maintain":[4],"a":[5,67,95,113],"software":[6,99],"system":[7,100],"is":[8],"likely":[9],"vary":[11],"depending":[12],"on":[13,34,49],"the":[14,50,98,141,165],"amount":[15],"frequency":[17],"of":[18,52,61,143,155],"change":[19,26,54,148,162],"requests.":[20],"This":[21],"paper":[22,47,119],"proposes":[23],"model":[25,42,147],"requests":[27,55,90,163],"as":[28],"time":[29,35,144],"series":[30,36,64,145],"rely":[33],"mathematical":[37],"framework":[38],"analyze":[40],"them.":[43],"In":[44],"particular,":[45],"this":[46],"focuses":[48],"number":[51],"new":[53,92],"per":[56,59],"KLOC":[57],"unit":[60],"time.":[62],"Time":[63],"can":[65,71,84,105],"have":[66],"two-fold":[68],"application:":[69],"they":[70],"be":[72],"used":[73],"forecast":[75],"future":[76],"values":[77],"identify":[80],"trends.":[81],"Increasing":[82],"trends":[83],"indicate":[85,106],"an":[86,156],"increase":[87],"in":[88,97,159,164],"customer":[89],"for":[91,127],"features":[93],"or":[94],"decrease":[96],"quality.":[101],"A":[102],"decreasing":[103],"trend":[104,158],"application":[107,167],"stability":[108],"maturity,":[110],"but":[111],"also":[112],"reduced":[114],"popularity":[115],"adoption.":[117],"The":[118,137],"reports":[120],"case":[121,138],"studies":[122,139],"over":[123],"about":[124],"five":[125],"years":[126],"three":[128],"large":[129],"open":[130],"source":[131],"applications:":[132],"Eclipse,":[133],"Mozilla":[134],"JBoss.":[136],"show":[140],"capability":[142],"request":[149],"density":[150],"provide":[152],"empirical":[153],"evidence":[154],"increasing":[157],"newly":[160],"opened":[161],"JBoss":[166],"framework.":[168]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":4},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":4},{"year":2020,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2018,"cited_by_count":4},{"year":2017,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2016,"cited_by_count":5},{"year":2015,"cited_by_count":4},{"year":2014,"cited_by_count":4},{"year":2013,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2012,"cited_by_count":2}],"updated_date":"2025-11-06T03:46:38.306776","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}