{"id":"https://openalex.org/W4205574036","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1109/ccta48906.2021.9659003","title":"A Vector Auto-Regression Based Forecast of Wind Speeds in Airborne Wind Energy Systems","display_name":"A Vector Auto-Regression Based Forecast of Wind Speeds in Airborne Wind Energy Systems","publication_year":2021,"publication_date":"2021-08-09","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W4205574036","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1109/ccta48906.2021.9659003"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1109/ccta48906.2021.9659003","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1109/ccta48906.2021.9659003","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4363608183","display_name":"2021 IEEE Conference on Control Technology and Applications (CCTA)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"conference"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"2021 IEEE Conference on Control Technology and Applications (CCTA)","raw_type":"proceedings-article"},"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5072117321","display_name":"Patrick Keyantuo","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I95457486","display_name":"University of California, Berkeley","ror":"https://ror.org/01an7q238","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I95457486"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Patrick Keyantuo","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Civil &amp; Environmental Engineering, University of California, Berkeley, CA, USA","Environmental Engineering, University of California, Berkeley, CA, USA","Department of Civil &amp"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Civil &amp; Environmental Engineering, University of California, Berkeley, CA, USA","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I95457486"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Environmental Engineering, University of California, Berkeley, CA, USA","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I95457486"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Civil &amp","institution_ids":[]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5081633441","display_name":"Laurel N. Dunn","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I95457486","display_name":"University of California, Berkeley","ror":"https://ror.org/01an7q238","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I95457486"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Laurel N. Dunn","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Civil &amp; Environmental Engineering, University of California, Berkeley, CA, USA","Environmental Engineering, University of California, Berkeley, CA, USA","Department of Civil &amp"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Civil &amp; Environmental Engineering, University of California, Berkeley, CA, USA","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I95457486"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Environmental Engineering, University of California, Berkeley, CA, USA","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I95457486"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Civil &amp","institution_ids":[]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5086486133","display_name":"Ben Haydon","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I137902535","display_name":"North Carolina State University","ror":"https://ror.org/04tj63d06","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I137902535"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Ben Haydon","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, North Carolina, USA"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, North Carolina, USA","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I137902535"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5020481434","display_name":"Christopher Vermillion","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9481-6956"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I137902535","display_name":"North Carolina State University","ror":"https://ror.org/04tj63d06","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I137902535"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Christopher Vermillion","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, North Carolina, USA"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, North Carolina, USA","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I137902535"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5111476746","display_name":"F. K. Chow","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I95457486","display_name":"University of California, Berkeley","ror":"https://ror.org/01an7q238","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I95457486"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Fotini K. Chow","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Civil &amp; Environmental Engineering, University of California, Berkeley, CA, USA","Department of Civil &amp","Environmental Engineering, University of California, Berkeley, CA, USA"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Civil &amp; Environmental Engineering, University of California, Berkeley, CA, USA","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I95457486"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Civil &amp","institution_ids":[]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Environmental Engineering, University of California, Berkeley, CA, USA","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I95457486"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5029873060","display_name":"Scott Moura","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6393-4375"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I95457486","display_name":"University of California, Berkeley","ror":"https://ror.org/01an7q238","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I95457486"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Scott J. Moura","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Civil &amp; Environmental Engineering, University of California, Berkeley, CA, USA","Environmental Engineering, University of California, Berkeley, CA, USA","Department of Civil &amp"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Civil &amp; Environmental Engineering, University of California, Berkeley, CA, USA","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I95457486"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Environmental Engineering, University of California, Berkeley, CA, USA","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I95457486"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Civil &amp","institution_ids":[]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":6,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5072117321"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I95457486"],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":0.8343,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":2,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.68135124,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":89,"max":94},"biblio":{"volume":null,"issue":null,"first_page":null,"last_page":null},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12719","display_name":"Aerospace Engineering and Energy Systems","score":0.9990000128746033,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2202","display_name":"Aerospace Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12719","display_name":"Aerospace Engineering and Energy Systems","score":0.9990000128746033,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2202","display_name":"Aerospace Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11524","display_name":"Advanced Aircraft Design and Technologies","score":0.9900000095367432,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2306","display_name":"Global and Planetary Change"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/23","display_name":"Environmental Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11276","display_name":"Solar Radiation and Photovoltaics","score":0.9887999892234802,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1702","display_name":"Artificial Intelligence"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/17","display_name":"Computer Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/wind-speed","display_name":"Wind speed","score":0.779650866985321},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/trajectory","display_name":"Trajectory","score":0.6520657539367676},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/wind-power","display_name":"Wind power","score":0.637206494808197},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-science","display_name":"Computer science","score":0.5581388473510742},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/probabilistic-logic","display_name":"Probabilistic logic","score":0.5317710041999817},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/controller","display_name":"Controller (irrigation)","score":0.46667802333831787},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/energy","display_name":"Energy (signal processing)","score":0.44683530926704407},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/meteorology","display_name":"Meteorology","score":0.4258948266506195},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/environmental-science","display_name":"Environmental science","score":0.34092068672180176},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/engineering","display_name":"Engineering","score":0.1830325424671173},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/mathematics","display_name":"Mathematics","score":0.13637828826904297},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/statistics","display_name":"Statistics","score":0.12762480974197388},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/artificial-intelligence","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","score":0.12659406661987305},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/geography","display_name":"Geography","score":0.09983676671981812}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C161067210","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1464943","display_name":"Wind speed","level":2,"score":0.779650866985321},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C13662910","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q193139","display_name":"Trajectory","level":2,"score":0.6520657539367676},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C78600449","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q43302","display_name":"Wind power","level":2,"score":0.637206494808197},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.5581388473510742},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C49937458","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2599292","display_name":"Probabilistic logic","level":2,"score":0.5317710041999817},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C203479927","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5165939","display_name":"Controller (irrigation)","level":2,"score":0.46667802333831787},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C186370098","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q442787","display_name":"Energy (signal processing)","level":2,"score":0.44683530926704407},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C153294291","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q25261","display_name":"Meteorology","level":1,"score":0.4258948266506195},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C39432304","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q188847","display_name":"Environmental science","level":0,"score":0.34092068672180176},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127413603","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11023","display_name":"Engineering","level":0,"score":0.1830325424671173},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.13637828826904297},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C105795698","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12483","display_name":"Statistics","level":1,"score":0.12762480974197388},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C154945302","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11660","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","level":1,"score":0.12659406661987305},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C205649164","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1071","display_name":"Geography","level":0,"score":0.09983676671981812},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C119599485","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q43035","display_name":"Electrical engineering","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C1276947","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q333","display_name":"Astronomy","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C121332964","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q413","display_name":"Physics","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C6557445","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q173113","display_name":"Agronomy","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C86803240","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q420","display_name":"Biology","level":0,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1109/ccta48906.2021.9659003","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1109/ccta48906.2021.9659003","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4363608183","display_name":"2021 IEEE Conference on Control Technology and Applications (CCTA)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"conference"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"2021 IEEE Conference on Control Technology and Applications (CCTA)","raw_type":"proceedings-article"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[{"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/7","display_name":"Affordable and clean energy","score":0.8999999761581421}],"awards":[],"funders":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320306076","display_name":"National Science Foundation","ror":"https://ror.org/021nxhr62"}],"has_content":{"pdf":false,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":25,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W1479638403","https://openalex.org/W1977587074","https://openalex.org/W1983189246","https://openalex.org/W2009588584","https://openalex.org/W2046580214","https://openalex.org/W2087134188","https://openalex.org/W2095491279","https://openalex.org/W2166163865","https://openalex.org/W2185918355","https://openalex.org/W2469077086","https://openalex.org/W2491855688","https://openalex.org/W2570328704","https://openalex.org/W2611273431","https://openalex.org/W2734414834","https://openalex.org/W2798056406","https://openalex.org/W2801465633","https://openalex.org/W2811507150","https://openalex.org/W2902178041","https://openalex.org/W2902843109","https://openalex.org/W2963417486","https://openalex.org/W2972756318","https://openalex.org/W3012485276","https://openalex.org/W4237847391","https://openalex.org/W6638779161","https://openalex.org/W6666287048"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2130522552","https://openalex.org/W2020847322","https://openalex.org/W2995861307","https://openalex.org/W109731997","https://openalex.org/W1966177649","https://openalex.org/W2081689675","https://openalex.org/W2062885769","https://openalex.org/W2072387635","https://openalex.org/W2914736959","https://openalex.org/W2135106586"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"This":[0],"paper":[1],"presents":[2],"two":[3],"wind":[4,13,40,66,97,134],"energy":[5,14,24,130],"forecast":[6,126],"methods":[7],"for":[8,44,137],"control":[9],"of":[10,26,64,82,113,119],"an":[11,83],"airborne":[12],"system":[15,29,47,122],"(AWE).":[16],"The":[17,42,117],"primary":[18],"objective":[19,92],"is":[20,48,76,94],"to":[21,60,78,87],"maximize":[22],"the":[23,27,38,45,65,80,91,105,114,120,124],"production":[25,131],"AWE":[28,46,121],"under":[30,123],"a":[31,51],"spatio-temporally":[32],"varying":[33],"environment":[34],"with":[35],"uncertainty":[36],"in":[37],"future":[39],"speed.":[41],"controller":[43,54],"formulated":[49],"as":[50],"model":[52,127],"predictive":[53],"(MPC).":[55],"We":[56],"employ":[57],"data-driven":[58],"models":[59],"generate":[61],"probabilistic":[62],"forecasts":[63,99],"using":[67],"vector":[68],"auto-regression":[69],"(VAR)":[70],"and":[71,85,100,111],"time-of-day":[72],"forecasts.":[73],"Bayesian":[74,102],"optimization":[75,103],"employed":[77],"find":[79],"optimum":[81],"unknown":[84],"expensive":[86],"evaluate":[88],"function.":[89],"Specifically,":[90],"function":[93],"modelled":[95],"via":[96],"speed":[98,135],"then":[101],"optimizes":[104],"altitude":[106],"trajectory":[107],"while":[108],"balancing":[109],"exploitation":[110],"exploration":[112],"available":[115],"altitudes.":[116,139],"performance":[118],"VAR":[125],"significantly":[128],"improves":[129],"by":[132],"incorporating":[133],"correlations":[136],"nearby":[138]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2025-11-06T03:46:38.306776","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}
