{"id":"https://openalex.org/W4409327150","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1109/access.2025.3559587","title":"Enhancing the Efficacy of Short-Term Prediction Models for Solar Photovoltaic Systems: An Influence Examination of Chronological and Meteorological Factors","display_name":"Enhancing the Efficacy of Short-Term Prediction Models for Solar Photovoltaic Systems: An Influence Examination of Chronological and Meteorological Factors","publication_year":2025,"publication_date":"2025-01-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W4409327150","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1109/access.2025.3559587"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1109/access.2025.3559587","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1109/access.2025.3559587","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S2485537415","display_name":"IEEE Access","issn_l":"2169-3536","issn":["2169-3536"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319808","host_organization_name":"Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319808"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"IEEE Access","raw_type":"journal-article"},"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref","doaj"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"gold","oa_url":"https://doi.org/10.1109/access.2025.3559587","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5027519778","display_name":"Ghalia Nassreddine","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9434-2914"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210106106","display_name":"Rafik Hariri University","ror":"https://ror.org/00x1fdr51","country_code":"LB","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210106106"]}],"countries":["LB"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Ghalia Nassreddine","raw_affiliation_strings":["Rafik Hariri University, Mechref, Lebanon","Rafik Hariri University, Meshref, 10 Damour&#x2013;Chouf, Damour, Lebanon"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Rafik Hariri University, Mechref, Lebanon","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210106106"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Rafik Hariri University, Meshref, 10 Damour&#x2013;Chouf, Damour, Lebanon","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210106106"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5009660537","display_name":"Amal El Arid","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5712-2138"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210106106","display_name":"Rafik Hariri University","ror":"https://ror.org/00x1fdr51","country_code":"LB","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210106106"]}],"countries":["LB"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Amal El Arid","raw_affiliation_strings":["Rafik Hariri University, Mechref, Lebanon","Rafik Hariri University, Meshref, 10 Damour&#x2013;Chouf, Damour, Lebanon"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Rafik Hariri University, Mechref, Lebanon","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210106106"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Rafik Hariri University, Meshref, 10 Damour&#x2013;Chouf, Damour, Lebanon","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210106106"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5069553096","display_name":"Mohamad Nassereddine","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6748-7368"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I55990551","display_name":"University of Wollongong in Dubai","ror":"https://ror.org/0447ajy94","country_code":"AE","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I204824540","https://openalex.org/I55990551"]}],"countries":["AE"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Mohamad Nassereddine","raw_affiliation_strings":["University of Wollongong in Dubai, Dubai, United Arab Emirates","University of Wollongong in Dubai, Al Sufouh-Dubai Knowledge Park, Dubai, United Arab Emirates"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"University of Wollongong in Dubai, Dubai, United Arab Emirates","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I55990551"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"University of Wollongong in Dubai, Al Sufouh-Dubai Knowledge Park, Dubai, United Arab Emirates","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I55990551"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5083724097","display_name":"Obada Al-Khatib","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9473-2365"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I55990551","display_name":"University of Wollongong in Dubai","ror":"https://ror.org/0447ajy94","country_code":"AE","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I204824540","https://openalex.org/I55990551"]}],"countries":["AE"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Obada Al-Khatib","raw_affiliation_strings":["University of Wollongong in Dubai, Dubai, United Arab Emirates","University of Wollongong in Dubai, Al Sufouh-Dubai Knowledge Park, Dubai, United Arab Emirates"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"University of Wollongong in Dubai, Dubai, United Arab Emirates","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I55990551"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"University of Wollongong in Dubai, Al Sufouh-Dubai Knowledge Park, Dubai, United Arab Emirates","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I55990551"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5117099180","display_name":"Anas W. Arram","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I119744171","display_name":"Higher Colleges of Technology","ror":"https://ror.org/00qmy9z88","country_code":"AE","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I119744171"]}],"countries":["AE"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Anas Arram","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Computer Information Science, Higher Colleges of Technology, Dubai, United Arab Emirates","Department of Computer Information Science, Higher Colleges of Technology, Dubai, UAE"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Computer Information Science, Higher Colleges of Technology, Dubai, United Arab Emirates","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I119744171"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Computer Information Science, Higher Colleges of Technology, Dubai, UAE","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I119744171"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5043808312","display_name":"Abir El Abed","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1270-5820"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I160368002","display_name":"Lebanese University","ror":"https://ror.org/05x6qnc69","country_code":"LB","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I160368002"]}],"countries":["LB"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Abir El Abed","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Electrical and Electronic Engineering, Faculty of Engineering III, Lebanese University, Beirut, Lebanon","Lebanese University, Hadath, Beirut, Lebanon"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Electrical and Electronic Engineering, Faculty of Engineering III, Lebanese University, Beirut, Lebanon","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I160368002"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Lebanese University, Hadath, Beirut, Lebanon","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I160368002"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":2,"institutions_distinct_count":6,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5027519778"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210106106"],"apc_list":{"value":1850,"currency":"USD","value_usd":1850},"apc_paid":{"value":1850,"currency":"USD","value_usd":1850},"fwci":22.1549,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":9,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.9924791,"is_in_top_1_percent":true,"is_in_top_10_percent":true},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":98,"max":100},"biblio":{"volume":"13","issue":null,"first_page":"66787","last_page":"66808"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11276","display_name":"Solar Radiation and Photovoltaics","score":0.9657999873161316,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1702","display_name":"Artificial Intelligence"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/17","display_name":"Computer Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11276","display_name":"Solar Radiation and Photovoltaics","score":0.9657999873161316,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1702","display_name":"Artificial Intelligence"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/17","display_name":"Computer Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11052","display_name":"Energy Load and Power Forecasting","score":0.9589999914169312,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2208","display_name":"Electrical and Electronic Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/term","display_name":"Term (time)","score":0.763565182685852},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/photovoltaic-system","display_name":"Photovoltaic system","score":0.7611435651779175},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-science","display_name":"Computer science","score":0.4913300573825836},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/meteorology","display_name":"Meteorology","score":0.375349760055542},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/environmental-science","display_name":"Environmental science","score":0.3636539578437805},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/remote-sensing","display_name":"Remote sensing","score":0.3448660671710968},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/engineering","display_name":"Engineering","score":0.12332168221473694},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/astronomy","display_name":"Astronomy","score":0.09468862414360046},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/geology","display_name":"Geology","score":0.09329324960708618},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/electrical-engineering","display_name":"Electrical engineering","score":0.09015125036239624},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/geography","display_name":"Geography","score":0.08345496654510498}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C61797465","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1188986","display_name":"Term (time)","level":2,"score":0.763565182685852},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41291067","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1897785","display_name":"Photovoltaic system","level":2,"score":0.7611435651779175},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.4913300573825836},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C153294291","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q25261","display_name":"Meteorology","level":1,"score":0.375349760055542},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C39432304","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q188847","display_name":"Environmental science","level":0,"score":0.3636539578437805},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C62649853","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q199687","display_name":"Remote sensing","level":1,"score":0.3448660671710968},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127413603","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11023","display_name":"Engineering","level":0,"score":0.12332168221473694},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C1276947","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q333","display_name":"Astronomy","level":1,"score":0.09468862414360046},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127313418","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1069","display_name":"Geology","level":0,"score":0.09329324960708618},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C119599485","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q43035","display_name":"Electrical engineering","level":1,"score":0.09015125036239624},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C205649164","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1071","display_name":"Geography","level":0,"score":0.08345496654510498},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C121332964","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q413","display_name":"Physics","level":0,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":2,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1109/access.2025.3559587","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1109/access.2025.3559587","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S2485537415","display_name":"IEEE Access","issn_l":"2169-3536","issn":["2169-3536"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319808","host_organization_name":"Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319808"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"IEEE Access","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:doaj.org/article:b4bc9697295d464184ae71c27a525381","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doaj.org/article/b4bc9697295d464184ae71c27a525381","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S112646816","display_name":"SHILAP Revista de lepidopterolog\u00eda","issn_l":"0300-5267","issn":["0300-5267","2340-4078"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":false,"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"IEEE Access, Vol 13, Pp 66787-66808 (2025)","raw_type":"article"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.1109/access.2025.3559587","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1109/access.2025.3559587","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S2485537415","display_name":"IEEE Access","issn_l":"2169-3536","issn":["2169-3536"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319808","host_organization_name":"Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319808"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"IEEE Access","raw_type":"journal-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[{"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/13","display_name":"Climate action","score":0.550000011920929}],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"pdf":false,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":43,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W2741676923","https://openalex.org/W2778889471","https://openalex.org/W2945020349","https://openalex.org/W2961102545","https://openalex.org/W2984960739","https://openalex.org/W2988364570","https://openalex.org/W3008838724","https://openalex.org/W3045004532","https://openalex.org/W3091820060","https://openalex.org/W3094387604","https://openalex.org/W3102100346","https://openalex.org/W3182706339","https://openalex.org/W3215109731","https://openalex.org/W4200625652","https://openalex.org/W4206234435","https://openalex.org/W4206792487","https://openalex.org/W4220712986","https://openalex.org/W4317641894","https://openalex.org/W4318053679","https://openalex.org/W4319049461","https://openalex.org/W4320168785","https://openalex.org/W4321200848","https://openalex.org/W4321371496","https://openalex.org/W4323338887","https://openalex.org/W4362732686","https://openalex.org/W4366966733","https://openalex.org/W4376566946","https://openalex.org/W4377018524","https://openalex.org/W4385144957","https://openalex.org/W4387071833","https://openalex.org/W4387687716","https://openalex.org/W4389323932","https://openalex.org/W4390973452","https://openalex.org/W4391333504","https://openalex.org/W4391345122","https://openalex.org/W4391495738","https://openalex.org/W4391755802","https://openalex.org/W4392879337","https://openalex.org/W4398206697","https://openalex.org/W4401387029","https://openalex.org/W4404756614","https://openalex.org/W4405114049","https://openalex.org/W4406887893"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2899084033","https://openalex.org/W2748952813","https://openalex.org/W2386968573","https://openalex.org/W2395064349","https://openalex.org/W2034374297","https://openalex.org/W2766130412","https://openalex.org/W2382628689","https://openalex.org/W2351171996","https://openalex.org/W2983370139","https://openalex.org/W2057543190"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"The":[0,128,207],"increasing":[1],"energy":[2,22,33,48],"demand,":[3],"driven":[4],"by":[5,161],"population":[6],"growth":[7],"and":[8,60,63,78,95,107,113,135,152,177,185,205,212],"technological":[9],"advancements,":[10],"necessitates":[11],"a":[12,28,40,71],"shift":[13],"from":[14],"traditional":[15],"fossil":[16],"fuel-based":[17],"power":[18,42,58,85,147],"generation":[19,49],"to":[20,69,81,194],"renewable":[21],"systems.":[23],"Solar":[24],"photovoltaic":[25,84,145],"panels":[26],"offer":[27],"promising":[29],"alternative;":[30],"however,":[31],"their":[32],"output":[34],"fluctuations":[35],"present":[36],"challenges":[37],"in":[38,143,214],"maintaining":[39],"reliable":[41],"source.":[43],"Accurate":[44],"estimation":[45],"of":[46,56,120,172,183,192],"solar":[47,57,83,146],"is":[50,126],"critical":[51],"for":[52],"enhancing":[53],"the":[54,118,139,157,169],"competitiveness":[55],"plants":[59],"fostering":[61],"social":[62],"economic":[64],"progress.":[65],"This":[66],"paper":[67],"aims":[68],"develop":[70],"machine":[72],"learning":[73],"model":[74,164,196,210],"that":[75,131],"utilizes":[76],"meteorological":[77],"time-related":[79],"data":[80,154],"predict":[82],"generation.":[86,148],"It":[87],"investigates":[88],"how":[89],"various":[90],"factors,":[91],"such":[92],"as":[93],"humidity":[94,133,153,176],"seasonal":[96,136,151,178],"variations,":[97],"impact":[98],"prediction":[99],"accuracy.":[100],"Three":[101],"different":[102],"ML":[103],"models":[104,122],"were":[105],"used":[106],"compared:":[108],"Support":[109],"vectore":[110],"regression,":[111],"XGBoost,":[112],"HistGradient":[114],"Boost.":[115],"To":[116],"improve":[117],"performance":[119],"these":[121],"hyperparameter":[123],"tuning":[124],"techniques":[125],"used.":[127],"findings":[129],"reveal":[130],"radiation,":[132],"levels,":[134],"variations":[137],"are":[138],"most":[140],"influential":[141],"factors":[142],"predicting":[144],"Additionally,":[149],"incorporating":[150,175],"can":[155],"enhance":[156],"machine-learning":[158],"model\u2019s":[159],"accuracy":[160,171],"17.9%.":[162],"XGBoost":[163],"outperforms":[165],"existing":[166],"methods,":[167],"achieving":[168],"highest":[170,186],"95.76%":[173],"when":[174],"factors.":[179],"Its":[180],"lowest":[181],"MAPE":[182],"4.23":[184],"<italic":[187],"xmlns:mml=\"http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML\"":[188,190],"xmlns:xlink=\"http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink\">R</i><sup":[189],"xmlns:xlink=\"http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink\">2</sup>":[191],"99.1.":[193],"assess":[195],"precision,":[197],"an":[198],"uncertainty":[199],"analysis":[200],"was":[201],"performed":[202],"using":[203],"p-factor":[204],"q-factors.":[206],"results":[208],"confirm":[209],"robustness":[211],"reliability":[213],"predictive":[215],"performance.":[216]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2026,"cited_by_count":4},{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":5}],"updated_date":"2026-04-01T17:29:45.350535","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}
