{"id":"https://openalex.org/W4409153648","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1109/access.2025.3558120","title":"A Comparative Analysis of Time Series Forecasting Models and the Novel ELSTMD Approach for Renewable Energy Generation","display_name":"A Comparative Analysis of Time Series Forecasting Models and the Novel ELSTMD Approach for Renewable Energy Generation","publication_year":2025,"publication_date":"2025-01-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W4409153648","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1109/access.2025.3558120"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1109/access.2025.3558120","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1109/access.2025.3558120","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S2485537415","display_name":"IEEE Access","issn_l":"2169-3536","issn":["2169-3536"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319808","host_organization_name":"Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319808"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"IEEE Access","raw_type":"journal-article"},"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref","doaj"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"gold","oa_url":"https://doi.org/10.1109/access.2025.3558120","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5004771679","display_name":"Yousef Alkhanafseh","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6229-6703"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I48912391","display_name":"Istanbul Technical University","ror":"https://ror.org/059636586","country_code":"TR","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I48912391"]}],"countries":["TR"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Yousef Alkhanafseh","raw_affiliation_strings":["Electrical Engineering Department, Istanbul Technical University, &#x0130;stanbul, T&#x00FC;rkiye","Electrical Engineering Department, Istanbul Technical University, Turkey"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6229-6703","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Electrical Engineering Department, Istanbul Technical University, &#x0130;stanbul, T&#x00FC;rkiye","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I48912391"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Electrical Engineering Department, Istanbul Technical University, Turkey","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I48912391"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5023211480","display_name":"Tahir \u00c7etin Ak\u0131nc\u0131","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4657-6617"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I103635307","display_name":"University of California, Riverside","ror":"https://ror.org/03nawhv43","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I103635307"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Tahir Cetin Akinci","raw_affiliation_strings":["Bourns College of Engineering Center for Environmental Research and Technology, University of California Riverside, Riverside, CA, USA"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4657-6617","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Bourns College of Engineering Center for Environmental Research and Technology, University of California Riverside, Riverside, CA, USA","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I103635307"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5016714126","display_name":"Alfredo A. Martinez\u2010Morales","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4204-2228"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I103635307","display_name":"University of California, Riverside","ror":"https://ror.org/03nawhv43","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I103635307"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Alfredo A. Martinez-Morales","raw_affiliation_strings":["Bourns College of Engineering Center for Environmental Research and Technology, University of California Riverside, Riverside, CA, USA"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4204-2228","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Bourns College of Engineering Center for Environmental Research and Technology, University of California Riverside, Riverside, CA, USA","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I103635307"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":2,"institutions_distinct_count":2,"corresponding_author_ids":[],"corresponding_institution_ids":[],"apc_list":{"value":1850,"currency":"USD","value_usd":1850},"apc_paid":{"value":1850,"currency":"USD","value_usd":1850},"fwci":1.5376,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":5,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.81415934,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":91,"max":99},"biblio":{"volume":"13","issue":null,"first_page":"81537","last_page":"81552"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11052","display_name":"Energy Load and Power Forecasting","score":0.975600004196167,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2208","display_name":"Electrical and Electronic Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11052","display_name":"Energy Load and Power Forecasting","score":0.975600004196167,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2208","display_name":"Electrical and Electronic Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/time-series","display_name":"Time series","score":0.6850468516349792},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-science","display_name":"Computer science","score":0.6418975591659546},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/renewable-energy","display_name":"Renewable energy","score":0.6310391426086426},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/series","display_name":"Series (stratigraphy)","score":0.6035423278808594},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/econometrics","display_name":"Econometrics","score":0.36614319682121277},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/machine-learning","display_name":"Machine learning","score":0.21465525031089783},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/engineering","display_name":"Engineering","score":0.13246381282806396},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/mathematics","display_name":"Mathematics","score":0.12160441279411316},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/electrical-engineering","display_name":"Electrical engineering","score":0.09127497673034668}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C151406439","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q186588","display_name":"Time series","level":2,"score":0.6850468516349792},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.6418975591659546},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C188573790","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12705","display_name":"Renewable energy","level":2,"score":0.6310391426086426},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C143724316","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q312468","display_name":"Series (stratigraphy)","level":2,"score":0.6035423278808594},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149782125","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q160039","display_name":"Econometrics","level":1,"score":0.36614319682121277},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C119857082","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2539","display_name":"Machine learning","level":1,"score":0.21465525031089783},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127413603","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11023","display_name":"Engineering","level":0,"score":0.13246381282806396},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.12160441279411316},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C119599485","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q43035","display_name":"Electrical engineering","level":1,"score":0.09127497673034668},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C151730666","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7205","display_name":"Paleontology","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C86803240","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q420","display_name":"Biology","level":0,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":5,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1109/access.2025.3558120","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1109/access.2025.3558120","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S2485537415","display_name":"IEEE Access","issn_l":"2169-3536","issn":["2169-3536"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319808","host_organization_name":"Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319808"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"IEEE Access","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmh:ark:/13030/qt0sg6h3zf","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":null,"pdf_url":null,"source":null,"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":null},{"id":"pmh:oai:doaj.org/article:c553dc7755a04f839525662cc64a2590","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doaj.org/article/c553dc7755a04f839525662cc64a2590","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401280","display_name":"DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by-sa","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by-sa","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"IEEE Access, Vol 13, Pp 81537-81552 (2025)","raw_type":"article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:escholarship.org:ark:/13030/qt0sg6h3zf","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://escholarship.org/uc/item/0sg6h3zf","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306400115","display_name":"eScholarship (California Digital Library)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I2801248553","host_organization_name":"California Digital Library","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I2801248553"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by-nc-nd","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by-nc-nd","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"IEEE Access, vol PP, iss 99","raw_type":"article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:polen.itu.edu.tr:11527/59546","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://hdl.handle.net/11527/59546","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306400460","display_name":"Istanbul Technical University Academic Open Archive (Istanbul Technical University)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I48912391","host_organization_name":"Istanbul Technical University","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I48912391"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"Article"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.1109/access.2025.3558120","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1109/access.2025.3558120","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S2485537415","display_name":"IEEE Access","issn_l":"2169-3536","issn":["2169-3536"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319808","host_organization_name":"Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319808"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"IEEE Access","raw_type":"journal-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[{"display_name":"Affordable and clean energy","id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/7","score":0.7900000214576721}],"awards":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/G7441522346","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"EPC-16-077","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320308020","funder_display_name":"California Energy Commission"}],"funders":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320308020","display_name":"California Energy Commission","ror":"https://ror.org/05eaakg28"}],"has_content":{"pdf":false,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":0,"referenced_works":[],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W4391375266","https://openalex.org/W2899084033","https://openalex.org/W2748952813","https://openalex.org/W2390279801","https://openalex.org/W4391913857","https://openalex.org/W2358668433","https://openalex.org/W2119012848","https://openalex.org/W2622688551","https://openalex.org/W1550175370","https://openalex.org/W1990205660"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"The":[0,59,150,183],"increasing":[1],"number":[2],"of":[3,68,102,165,187],"people":[4],"and":[5,73,81,94,113,174,210,229],"the":[6,47,78,100,125,138,171,180,198,207],"huge":[7],"industrial":[8],"evolution":[9],"have":[10,17],"led":[11],"to":[12],"serious":[13],"environmental":[14],"consequences,":[15],"which":[16,39,203],"made":[18],"energy":[19,28,57],"from":[20,31,201],"Renewable":[21],"Energy":[22],"Sources":[23],"(RESs)":[24],"inevitable.":[25],"However,":[26],"these":[27,215],"sources":[29],"suffer":[30],"intermittency":[32],"as":[33,116,118,129,193],"they":[34],"depend":[35],"on":[36,156,170,179],"natural":[37,119],"sources,":[38],"change":[40],"over":[41],"time.":[42],"Consequently,":[43],"this":[44,188],"research":[45,189],"addresses":[46],"issue":[48],"by":[49],"proposing":[50],"an":[51,141,160],"ANN":[52],"model":[53,66,80,152],"for":[54,197],"reliable":[55],"renewable":[56],"forecasting.":[58],"Encoding":[60],"Long":[61],"Short-Time":[62],"Memory":[63],"Decoding":[64],"(ELSTMD)":[65],"consists":[67],"two":[69,74],"encodings,":[70],"one":[71],"LSTM,":[72],"decoding":[75],"layers.":[76],"Moreover,":[77],"introduced":[79],"21":[82],"time":[83,131],"series":[84,132],"forecasting":[85],"models":[86,126],"are":[87,127],"evaluated,":[88],"including":[89],"statistical,":[90],"Artificial":[91],"Intelligence":[92],"(AI),":[93],"hybrid":[95],"approaches.":[96],"While":[97],"making":[98],"predictions,":[99],"impact":[101],"17":[103],"distinct":[104],"features,":[105],"categorized":[106],"into":[107],"five":[108],"primary":[109],"groups\u2014electricity,":[110],"weather,":[111],"economic,":[112],"seasonality-related":[114],"attributes,":[115],"well":[117],"disasters\u2014":[120],"has":[121],"been":[122],"analyzed.":[123],"Thus,":[124],"trained":[128],"univariate":[130],"with":[133,214],"exogenous":[134],"variables.":[135],"To":[136],"evaluate":[137],"model\u2019s":[139],"generalization,":[140],"additional":[142],"dataset":[143,173],"involving":[144],"photovoltaic":[145],"(PV)":[146],"panels":[147],"was":[148],"used.":[149],"proposed":[151],"outperforms":[153],"all":[154],"competitors":[155],"both":[157],"datasets,":[158],"achieving":[159],"(R\u00b2,":[161],"MAE,":[162],"MSE,":[163],"RMSE)":[164],"(0.56714,":[166],"0.06398,":[167],"0.00691,":[168],"0.08313)":[169],"first":[172],"(0.76574,":[175],"0.09344,":[176],"0.01417,":[177],"0.11903)":[178],"second":[181],"dataset.":[182],"most":[184],"notable":[185],"advantage":[186],"can":[190,204],"be":[191],"summarized":[192],"providing":[194],"precise":[195],"predictions":[196],"electricity":[199],"generated":[200],"RESs,":[202],"help":[205],"reduce":[206],"intermittency,":[208],"randomness,":[209],"stability":[211],"issues":[212],"associated":[213],"sources.":[216],"It":[217],"also":[218],"plays":[219],"a":[220],"crucial":[221],"role":[222],"in":[223],"optimizing":[224],"electrical":[225],"power":[226],"systems\u2019":[227],"planning":[228],"storage":[230],"efficiency.":[231]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2026,"cited_by_count":4},{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2026-07-29T09:40:50.615796","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}
