{"id":"https://openalex.org/W4405521073","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1109/access.2024.3519981","title":"Solar Probability Density Estimation Using Adaptive Parametric/Nonparametric Hybrid Model","display_name":"Solar Probability Density Estimation Using Adaptive Parametric/Nonparametric Hybrid Model","publication_year":2024,"publication_date":"2024-01-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W4405521073","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1109/access.2024.3519981"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1109/access.2024.3519981","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1109/access.2024.3519981","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S2485537415","display_name":"IEEE Access","issn_l":"2169-3536","issn":["2169-3536"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319808","host_organization_name":"Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319808"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"IEEE Access","raw_type":"journal-article"},"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref","doaj"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"gold","oa_url":"https://doi.org/10.1109/access.2024.3519981","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5047690025","display_name":"Maisam Wahbah","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3747-2469"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I132806614","display_name":"University of Dubai","ror":"https://ror.org/05h0z7c09","country_code":"AE","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I132806614"]}],"countries":["AE"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Maisam Wahbah","raw_affiliation_strings":["College of Engineering and Information Technology, University of Dubai, Dubai, United Arab Emirates","College of Engineering &#x0026; Information Technology, University of Dubai, Dubai, United Arab Emirates"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3747-2469","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"College of Engineering and Information Technology, University of Dubai, Dubai, United Arab Emirates","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I132806614"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"College of Engineering &#x0026; Information Technology, University of Dubai, Dubai, United Arab Emirates","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I132806614"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5088801492","display_name":"Bashar Zahawi","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2854-5374"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I176601375","display_name":"Khalifa University of Science and Technology","ror":"https://ror.org/05hffr360","country_code":"AE","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I176601375"]}],"countries":["AE"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Bashar Zahawi","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Electrical Engineering, Advanced Power and Energy Center, Khalifa University, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates","Department of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science, Advanced Power and Energy Center, Khalifa University, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2854-5374","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Electrical Engineering, Advanced Power and Energy Center, Khalifa University, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I176601375"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science, Advanced Power and Energy Center, Khalifa University, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I176601375"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5067515929","display_name":"Tarek H. M. EL-Fouly","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3349-417X"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I176601375","display_name":"Khalifa University of Science and Technology","ror":"https://ror.org/05hffr360","country_code":"AE","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I176601375"]}],"countries":["AE"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Tarek H. M. El-Fouly","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Electrical Engineering, Advanced Power and Energy Center, Khalifa University, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates","Department of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science, Advanced Power and Energy Center, Khalifa University, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3349-417X","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Electrical Engineering, Advanced Power and Energy Center, Khalifa University, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I176601375"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science, Advanced Power and Energy Center, Khalifa University, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I176601375"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":2,"corresponding_author_ids":[],"corresponding_institution_ids":[],"apc_list":{"value":1995,"currency":"USD","value_usd":1995},"apc_paid":{"value":1995,"currency":"USD","value_usd":1995},"fwci":1.1504,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":5,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.82402283,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":96,"max":98},"biblio":{"volume":"12","issue":null,"first_page":"195412","last_page":"195421"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11276","display_name":"Solar Radiation and Photovoltaics","score":0.9934999942779541,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1702","display_name":"Artificial Intelligence"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/17","display_name":"Computer Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11276","display_name":"Solar Radiation and Photovoltaics","score":0.9934999942779541,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1702","display_name":"Artificial Intelligence"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/17","display_name":"Computer Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11052","display_name":"Energy Load and Power Forecasting","score":0.9621999859809875,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2208","display_name":"Electrical and Electronic Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12368","display_name":"Grey System Theory Applications","score":0.9180999994277954,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/nonparametric-statistics","display_name":"Nonparametric statistics","score":0.7350969314575195},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/probability-density-function","display_name":"Probability density function","score":0.6546230912208557},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/density-estimation","display_name":"Density estimation","score":0.6213867664337158},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/parametric-statistics","display_name":"Parametric statistics","score":0.6171388626098633},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-science","display_name":"Computer science","score":0.526972770690918},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/multivariate-kernel-density-estimation","display_name":"Multivariate kernel density estimation","score":0.5259033441543579},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/kernel-density-estimation","display_name":"Kernel density estimation","score":0.47520479559898376},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/estimation","display_name":"Estimation","score":0.4609127640724182},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/probability-distribution","display_name":"Probability distribution","score":0.43400514125823975},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/parametric-model","display_name":"Parametric model","score":0.41045230627059937},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/statistics","display_name":"Statistics","score":0.35516291856765747},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/mathematics","display_name":"Mathematics","score":0.304159939289093},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/artificial-intelligence","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","score":0.23826277256011963},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/variable-kernel-density-estimation","display_name":"Variable kernel density estimation","score":0.1348578929901123},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/engineering","display_name":"Engineering","score":0.07220891118049622}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C102366305","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1097688","display_name":"Nonparametric statistics","level":2,"score":0.7350969314575195},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C197055811","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q207522","display_name":"Probability density function","level":2,"score":0.6546230912208557},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C189508267","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q17088227","display_name":"Density estimation","level":3,"score":0.6213867664337158},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C117251300","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1849855","display_name":"Parametric statistics","level":2,"score":0.6171388626098633},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.526972770690918},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C84894716","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q6935135","display_name":"Multivariate kernel density estimation","level":5,"score":0.5259033441543579},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C71134354","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q458825","display_name":"Kernel density estimation","level":3,"score":0.47520479559898376},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C96250715","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q965330","display_name":"Estimation","level":2,"score":0.4609127640724182},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149441793","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q200726","display_name":"Probability distribution","level":2,"score":0.43400514125823975},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C24574437","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7135228","display_name":"Parametric model","level":3,"score":0.41045230627059937},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C105795698","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12483","display_name":"Statistics","level":1,"score":0.35516291856765747},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.304159939289093},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C154945302","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11660","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","level":1,"score":0.23826277256011963},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C195699287","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7915722","display_name":"Variable kernel density estimation","level":4,"score":0.1348578929901123},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127413603","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11023","display_name":"Engineering","level":0,"score":0.07220891118049622},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C185429906","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1130160","display_name":"Estimator","level":2,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C12267149","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q282453","display_name":"Support vector machine","level":2,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C201995342","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q682496","display_name":"Systems engineering","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C122280245","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q620622","display_name":"Kernel method","level":3,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":2,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1109/access.2024.3519981","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1109/access.2024.3519981","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S2485537415","display_name":"IEEE Access","issn_l":"2169-3536","issn":["2169-3536"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319808","host_organization_name":"Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319808"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"IEEE Access","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:doaj.org/article:83501563b2f64bc987f00197b6f1cbb5","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doaj.org/article/83501563b2f64bc987f00197b6f1cbb5","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401280","display_name":"DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by-sa","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by-sa","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"IEEE Access, Vol 12, Pp 195412-195421 (2024)","raw_type":"article"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.1109/access.2024.3519981","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1109/access.2024.3519981","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S2485537415","display_name":"IEEE Access","issn_l":"2169-3536","issn":["2169-3536"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319808","host_organization_name":"Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319808"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"IEEE Access","raw_type":"journal-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[],"awards":[],"funders":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320322334","display_name":"Khalifa University of Science, Technology and Research","ror":"https://ror.org/05hffr360"}],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":false,"pdf":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":31,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W1557831866","https://openalex.org/W1576718945","https://openalex.org/W2029848703","https://openalex.org/W2057032881","https://openalex.org/W2070084003","https://openalex.org/W2116424792","https://openalex.org/W2508592458","https://openalex.org/W2737558354","https://openalex.org/W2769036885","https://openalex.org/W2796642134","https://openalex.org/W2797463362","https://openalex.org/W2808634712","https://openalex.org/W2919610617","https://openalex.org/W2927178475","https://openalex.org/W2941147753","https://openalex.org/W2962732595","https://openalex.org/W2971135123","https://openalex.org/W3096577976","https://openalex.org/W3107649504","https://openalex.org/W3128952339","https://openalex.org/W3202069436","https://openalex.org/W3202810764","https://openalex.org/W4213265417","https://openalex.org/W4292379006","https://openalex.org/W4376503206","https://openalex.org/W4399689734","https://openalex.org/W4399699796","https://openalex.org/W4401628370","https://openalex.org/W4402083262","https://openalex.org/W4403977016","https://openalex.org/W4403979390"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W1482149696","https://openalex.org/W2115980193","https://openalex.org/W2026307144","https://openalex.org/W4241010850","https://openalex.org/W2583877436","https://openalex.org/W3212687977","https://openalex.org/W2977337932","https://openalex.org/W1569550976","https://openalex.org/W2585385340","https://openalex.org/W4297926828"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"The":[0,32,48,116,132,189],"accurate":[1],"estimation":[2],"of":[3,14,24,50,94,98,143,211,217,245],"solar":[4,16,25,46,85],"irradiance":[5,86],"probability":[6,87],"distribution":[7,34,76,184,234],"is":[8,119,134,193,202],"essential":[9],"when":[10,179,229,237],"assessing":[11],"the":[12,22,74,78,92,95,99,105,112,129,138,166,182,194,199,212,232,240],"level":[13],"available":[15],"resources":[17],"and":[18,60,146,154,163,173,185,224,252],"attempting":[19],"to":[20,57,63,110,219,247],"minimize":[21],"effect":[23],"power":[26,29,42],"variability":[27],"on":[28],"system":[30],"planning.":[31],"Beta":[33,75,183,233],"has":[35,54],"long":[36],"been":[37,55],"a":[38,170],"popular":[39],"choice":[40],"in":[41,90,128,176],"systems":[43],"for":[44,84,197,205],"modeling":[45],"data.":[47],"use":[49],"parametric":[51,162],"models,":[52],"however,":[53],"shown":[56],"be":[58],"problematic":[59],"can":[61],"lead":[62],"model":[64,72,101,118,168,196],"mis-specification.":[65],"This":[66],"article":[67],"proposes":[68],"an":[69],"adaptive":[70,167],"hybrid":[71,100,117,191],"combining":[73,161],"with":[77,181,231,239],"Kernel":[79],"Density":[80],"Estimation":[81],"(KDE)":[82],"approach":[83],"density":[88],"estimation,":[89],"which":[91,198],"weights":[93],"two":[96,147],"components":[97],"are":[102],"adjusted":[103],"using":[104,121,137],"least":[106],"mean":[107],"square":[108],"algorithm":[109],"obtain":[111],"most":[113],"appropriate":[114],"combination.":[115],"evaluated":[120],"multi-year":[122],"data":[123],"at":[124],"six":[125],"different":[126],"sites":[127],"United":[130],"States.":[131],"assessment":[133],"carried":[135],"out":[136],"Kolmogorov-Smirnov":[139],"goodness-of-fit":[140],"test,":[141],"coefficient":[142],"determination":[144],"($R^{2}$),":[145,221,249],"error":[148],"measures:":[149],"Mean":[150,156],"Absolute":[151],"Error":[152,158],"(MAE)":[153],"Root":[155],"Square":[157],"(RMSE).":[159],"By":[160],"nonparametric":[164],"approaches,":[165],"achieves":[169],"better":[171],"fit":[172],"substantial":[174],"improvements":[175,216,244],"all":[177,206],"metrics":[178],"compared":[180,230,238],"other":[186],"statistical":[187,213],"models.":[188],"proposed":[190],"estimator":[192],"only":[195],"null":[200],"hypothesis":[201],"not":[203],"rejected":[204],"considered":[207],"datasets.":[208],"In":[209],"terms":[210],"metrics,":[214],"percentage":[215,243],"up":[218,246],"92.2%":[220],"30.6%":[222],"(MAE),":[223,251],"26.6%":[225],"(RMSE)":[226,254],"were":[227,255],"achieved":[228],"results.":[235],"Similarly,":[236],"threshold-based":[241],"model,":[242],"32.7%":[248],"20.6%":[250],"16.0%":[253],"obtained.":[256]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2026,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":3}],"updated_date":"2026-08-28T12:50:07.497085","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}
