{"id":"https://openalex.org/W4400410129","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1109/access.2024.3425160","title":"Predicting Voting Outcomes for Multi-Alternative Elections in Social Networks","display_name":"Predicting Voting Outcomes for Multi-Alternative Elections in Social Networks","publication_year":2024,"publication_date":"2024-01-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W4400410129","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1109/access.2024.3425160"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1109/access.2024.3425160","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1109/access.2024.3425160","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S2485537415","display_name":"IEEE Access","issn_l":"2169-3536","issn":["2169-3536"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319808","host_organization_name":"Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319808"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"IEEE Access","raw_type":"journal-article"},"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref","doaj"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"gold","oa_url":"https://doi.org/10.1109/access.2024.3425160","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5085177036","display_name":"Xiaoxue Liu","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I197274945","display_name":"Nagoya Institute of Technology","ror":"https://ror.org/055yf1005","country_code":"JP","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I197274945"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I204824540","display_name":"University of Wollongong","ror":"https://ror.org/00jtmb277","country_code":"AU","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I204824540"]}],"countries":["AU","JP"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Xiaoxue Liu","raw_affiliation_strings":["School of Computing and Information Technology, University of Wollongong, Wollongong, Australia","Department of Computer Science, Nagoya Institute of Technology, Aichi, Nagoya, Japan"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0009-0004-6107-6508","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"School of Computing and Information Technology, University of Wollongong, Wollongong, Australia","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I204824540"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Computer Science, Nagoya Institute of Technology, Aichi, Nagoya, Japan","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I197274945"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5080092678","display_name":"Fenghui Ren","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6159-7873"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I204824540","display_name":"University of Wollongong","ror":"https://ror.org/00jtmb277","country_code":"AU","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I204824540"]}],"countries":["AU"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Fenghui Ren","raw_affiliation_strings":["School of Computing and Information Technology, University of Wollongong, Wollongong, Australia"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6159-7873","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"School of Computing and Information Technology, University of Wollongong, Wollongong, Australia","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I204824540"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5060245971","display_name":"Guoxin Su","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2087-4894"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I204824540","display_name":"University of Wollongong","ror":"https://ror.org/00jtmb277","country_code":"AU","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I204824540"]}],"countries":["AU"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Guoxin Su","raw_affiliation_strings":["School of Computing and Information Technology, University of Wollongong, Wollongong, Australia"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2087-4894","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"School of Computing and Information Technology, University of Wollongong, Wollongong, Australia","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I204824540"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5100774525","display_name":"Minjie Zhang","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1326-1106"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I204824540","display_name":"University of Wollongong","ror":"https://ror.org/00jtmb277","country_code":"AU","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I204824540"]}],"countries":["AU"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Minjie Zhang","raw_affiliation_strings":["School of Computing and Information Technology, University of Wollongong, Wollongong, Australia"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1326-1106","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"School of Computing and Information Technology, University of Wollongong, Wollongong, Australia","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I204824540"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5103088878","display_name":"Wen Gu","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I177738480","display_name":"Japan Advanced Institute of Science and Technology","ror":"https://ror.org/03frj4r98","country_code":"JP","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I177738480"]}],"countries":["JP"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Wen Gu","raw_affiliation_strings":["Center for Innovative Distance Education and Research, Japan Advanced Institute of Science and Technology, Ishikawa, Nomi, Japan"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3158-6801","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Center for Innovative Distance Education and Research, Japan Advanced Institute of Science and Technology, Ishikawa, Nomi, Japan","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I177738480"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5088832778","display_name":"Sh\u014dhei Kato","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4130-2729"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I197274945","display_name":"Nagoya Institute of Technology","ror":"https://ror.org/055yf1005","country_code":"JP","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I197274945"]}],"countries":["JP"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Shohei Kato","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Computer Science, Nagoya Institute of Technology, Aichi, Nagoya, Japan"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4130-2729","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Computer Science, Nagoya Institute of Technology, Aichi, Nagoya, Japan","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I197274945"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":2,"institutions_distinct_count":6,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5085177036"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I197274945","https://openalex.org/I204824540"],"apc_list":{"value":1850,"currency":"USD","value_usd":1850},"apc_paid":{"value":1850,"currency":"USD","value_usd":1850},"fwci":1.3244,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":5,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.79097172,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":90,"max":98},"biblio":{"volume":"12","issue":null,"first_page":"98960","last_page":"98970"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12592","display_name":"Opinion Dynamics and Social Influence","score":0.9998999834060669,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3109","display_name":"Statistical and Nonlinear Physics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/31","display_name":"Physics and Astronomy"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12592","display_name":"Opinion Dynamics and Social Influence","score":0.9998999834060669,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3109","display_name":"Statistical and Nonlinear Physics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/31","display_name":"Physics and Astronomy"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10557","display_name":"Social Media and Politics","score":0.9997000098228455,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3315","display_name":"Communication"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10064","display_name":"Complex Network Analysis Techniques","score":0.9991999864578247,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3109","display_name":"Statistical and Nonlinear Physics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/31","display_name":"Physics and Astronomy"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/voting","display_name":"Voting","score":0.8691047430038452},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-science","display_name":"Computer science","score":0.7225524187088013},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/metric","display_name":"Metric (unit)","score":0.5662454962730408},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/social-network","display_name":"Social network (sociolinguistics)","score":0.5225143432617188},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/social-choice-theory","display_name":"Social choice theory","score":0.4795605540275574},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/social-media","display_name":"Social media","score":0.479032427072525},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/dominance","display_name":"Dominance (genetics)","score":0.45153385400772095},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/voting-behavior","display_name":"Voting behavior","score":0.4474126696586609},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/machine-learning","display_name":"Machine learning","score":0.3758435845375061},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/data-science","display_name":"Data science","score":0.3382485508918762},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/microeconomics","display_name":"Microeconomics","score":0.15727809071540833},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/world-wide-web","display_name":"World Wide Web","score":0.13427147269248962},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/political-science","display_name":"Political science","score":0.13194766640663147},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/economics","display_name":"Economics","score":0.0915648341178894}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C520049643","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q189760","display_name":"Voting","level":3,"score":0.8691047430038452},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.7225524187088013},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C176217482","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q860554","display_name":"Metric (unit)","level":2,"score":0.5662454962730408},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C4727928","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q17164759","display_name":"Social network (sociolinguistics)","level":3,"score":0.5225143432617188},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C189352744","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1971461","display_name":"Social choice theory","level":2,"score":0.4795605540275574},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C518677369","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q202833","display_name":"Social media","level":2,"score":0.479032427072525},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C151913843","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3454555","display_name":"Dominance (genetics)","level":3,"score":0.45153385400772095},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C177324205","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2540376","display_name":"Voting behavior","level":4,"score":0.4474126696586609},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C119857082","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2539","display_name":"Machine learning","level":1,"score":0.3758435845375061},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2522767166","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2374463","display_name":"Data science","level":1,"score":0.3382485508918762},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C175444787","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q39072","display_name":"Microeconomics","level":1,"score":0.15727809071540833},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C136764020","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q466","display_name":"World Wide Web","level":1,"score":0.13427147269248962},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C17744445","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q36442","display_name":"Political science","level":0,"score":0.13194766640663147},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.0915648341178894},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C21547014","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1423657","display_name":"Operations management","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C104317684","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7187","display_name":"Gene","level":2,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C55493867","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7094","display_name":"Biochemistry","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C199539241","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7748","display_name":"Law","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C185592680","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2329","display_name":"Chemistry","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C94625758","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7163","display_name":"Politics","level":2,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":2,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1109/access.2024.3425160","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1109/access.2024.3425160","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S2485537415","display_name":"IEEE Access","issn_l":"2169-3536","issn":["2169-3536"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319808","host_organization_name":"Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319808"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"IEEE Access","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:doaj.org/article:793dabe6ead0426d967dd5dbe6290e0b","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doaj.org/article/793dabe6ead0426d967dd5dbe6290e0b","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401280","display_name":"DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by-sa","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by-sa","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"IEEE Access, Vol 12, Pp 98960-98970 (2024)","raw_type":"article"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.1109/access.2024.3425160","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1109/access.2024.3425160","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S2485537415","display_name":"IEEE Access","issn_l":"2169-3536","issn":["2169-3536"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319808","host_organization_name":"Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319808"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"IEEE Access","raw_type":"journal-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":false,"pdf":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":34,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W1552468722","https://openalex.org/W1970744965","https://openalex.org/W1990381372","https://openalex.org/W2005825070","https://openalex.org/W2018934112","https://openalex.org/W2043031359","https://openalex.org/W2124637492","https://openalex.org/W2127048411","https://openalex.org/W2130354913","https://openalex.org/W2153204928","https://openalex.org/W2739958520","https://openalex.org/W2745888887","https://openalex.org/W2807941972","https://openalex.org/W2886307781","https://openalex.org/W2904172979","https://openalex.org/W2964873914","https://openalex.org/W2971737644","https://openalex.org/W2972275627","https://openalex.org/W2997562111","https://openalex.org/W3102641634","https://openalex.org/W4210466855","https://openalex.org/W4225986593","https://openalex.org/W4236706032","https://openalex.org/W4290844306","https://openalex.org/W4382240243","https://openalex.org/W4388164794","https://openalex.org/W6681190392","https://openalex.org/W6686416066","https://openalex.org/W6719736558","https://openalex.org/W6732346380","https://openalex.org/W6746383135","https://openalex.org/W6752021206","https://openalex.org/W6779992754","https://openalex.org/W7033838396"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2963973911","https://openalex.org/W4234607267","https://openalex.org/W1682971689","https://openalex.org/W2994859683","https://openalex.org/W1964668159","https://openalex.org/W2128134295","https://openalex.org/W1493971705","https://openalex.org/W2490264914","https://openalex.org/W1500730123","https://openalex.org/W184718913"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"In":[0,52],"multi-alternative":[1,82],"elections,":[2],"messages":[3],"in":[4,29,81,148,153,161],"support":[5],"of":[6,22,40,91,98],"or":[7,125],"against":[8],"alternatives":[9],"spread":[10],"across":[11,94],"online":[12,30],"social":[13,31,75,133],"media.":[14],"To":[15],"make":[16],"decisions,":[17],"individuals":[18,41],"integrate":[19],"various":[20],"sources":[21],"information,":[23],"including":[24],"information":[25,34,70],"from":[26],"their":[27,163],"friends":[28],"networks.":[32],"As":[33],"may":[35],"continuously":[36],"update":[37],"online,":[38],"opinions":[39],"also":[42],"become":[43],"dynamic,":[44],"making":[45],"it":[46],"challenging":[47],"to":[48,77],"predict":[49,78],"voting":[50,59,79,92,99,146],"outcomes.":[51],"this":[53,86],"paper,":[54],"we":[55],"propose":[56],"a":[57,74,89,122,126,131],"novel":[58],"metric":[60,87,117],"named":[61],"minimal":[62,140],"influence":[63,141],"gap,":[64],"which":[65],"is":[66],"based":[67],"on":[68,118,130],"the":[69,101,106,111,139,149,154],"structure":[71],"induced":[72],"within":[73],"network,":[76],"outcomes":[80,93,147],"elections.":[83],"We":[84,114],"evaluate":[85],"as":[88],"predictor":[90],"three":[95,150],"popular":[96],"models":[97],"behaviours:":[100],"Maximising":[102],"Expected":[103],"Utility":[104],"model,":[105,109],"Local":[107,155],"Dominance":[108,156],"and":[110,129],"K-Pragmatist":[112],"model.":[113],"test":[115],"our":[116],"synthetic":[119],"networks":[120],"with":[121,145],"scale-free":[123],"feature":[124],"community":[127],"structure,":[128],"real-world":[132],"network.":[134],"Experimental":[135],"results":[136],"demonstrate":[137],"that":[138],"gap":[142],"strongly":[143],"correlates":[144],"models,":[151],"particularly":[152],"model":[157],"when":[158],"voters":[159],"persist":[160],"supporting":[162],"favourite":[164],"alternative.":[165]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":4},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2026-05-06T08:25:59.206177","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}