{"id":"https://openalex.org/W4381805308","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1109/access.2023.3288528","title":"An Agent-Based Model for Public Security Strategies by Predicting Crime Patterns","display_name":"An Agent-Based Model for Public Security Strategies by Predicting Crime Patterns","publication_year":2023,"publication_date":"2023-01-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W4381805308","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1109/access.2023.3288528"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1109/access.2023.3288528","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1109/access.2023.3288528","pdf_url":"https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/ielx7/6287639/6514899/10159358.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S2485537415","display_name":"IEEE Access","issn_l":"2169-3536","issn":["2169-3536"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319808","host_organization_name":"Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319808"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"IEEE Access","raw_type":"journal-article"},"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref","doaj"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"gold","oa_url":"https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/ielx7/6287639/6514899/10159358.pdf","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5067699134","display_name":"H\u00e9ctor Escobar","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8845-7069"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I193181351","display_name":"Universidad de Guadalajara","ror":"https://ror.org/043xj7k26","country_code":"MX","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I193181351"]}],"countries":["MX"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"H\u00e9ctor Escobar","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Electro-Photonic Engineering, University of Guadalajara, Guadalajara, Mexico"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8845-7069","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Electro-Photonic Engineering, University of Guadalajara, Guadalajara, Mexico","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I193181351"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5000506517","display_name":"Erik Cuevas","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0358-6049"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I193181351","display_name":"Universidad de Guadalajara","ror":"https://ror.org/043xj7k26","country_code":"MX","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I193181351"]}],"countries":["MX"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Erik Cuevas","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Electro-Photonic Engineering, University of Guadalajara, Guadalajara, Mexico"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0358-6049","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Electro-Photonic Engineering, University of Guadalajara, Guadalajara, Mexico","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I193181351"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5015203076","display_name":"Miguel Islas Toski","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0123-1655"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I193181351","display_name":"Universidad de Guadalajara","ror":"https://ror.org/043xj7k26","country_code":"MX","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I193181351"]}],"countries":["MX"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Miguel Islas Toski","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Electro-Photonic Engineering, University of Guadalajara, Guadalajara, Mexico"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0123-1655","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Electro-Photonic Engineering, University of Guadalajara, Guadalajara, Mexico","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I193181351"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5108207879","display_name":"Francisco Javier Ceron Ramirez","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I193181351","display_name":"Universidad de Guadalajara","ror":"https://ror.org/043xj7k26","country_code":"MX","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I193181351"]}],"countries":["MX"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Francisco Javier Ceron Ramirez","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Electro-Photonic Engineering, University of Guadalajara, Guadalajara, Mexico"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Electro-Photonic Engineering, University of Guadalajara, Guadalajara, Mexico","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I193181351"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5003319227","display_name":"Marco P\u00e9rez\u2010Cisneros","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6493-0408"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I193181351","display_name":"Universidad de Guadalajara","ror":"https://ror.org/043xj7k26","country_code":"MX","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I193181351"]}],"countries":["MX"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Marco P\u00e9rez-Cisneros","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Electro-Photonic Engineering, University of Guadalajara, Guadalajara, Mexico"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6493-0408","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Electro-Photonic Engineering, University of Guadalajara, Guadalajara, Mexico","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I193181351"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":1,"corresponding_author_ids":[],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I193181351"],"apc_list":{"value":1850,"currency":"USD","value_usd":1850},"apc_paid":{"value":1850,"currency":"USD","value_usd":1850},"fwci":2.6602,"has_fulltext":true,"cited_by_count":5,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.9093517,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":true},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":90,"max":97},"biblio":{"volume":"11","issue":null,"first_page":"67070","last_page":"67085"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10574","display_name":"Crime Patterns and Interventions","score":0.9994000196456909,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3312","display_name":"Sociology and Political Science"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10574","display_name":"Crime Patterns and Interventions","score":0.9994000196456909,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3312","display_name":"Sociology and Political Science"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11705","display_name":"Gambling Behavior and Treatments","score":0.9733999967575073,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3203","display_name":"Clinical Psychology"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/32","display_name":"Psychology"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10370","display_name":"Traffic and Road Safety","score":0.9304999709129333,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2213","display_name":"Safety, Risk, Reliability and Quality"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/public-security","display_name":"Public security","score":0.8046391010284424},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-science","display_name":"Computer science","score":0.7477909922599792},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/scheme","display_name":"Scheme (mathematics)","score":0.6932913064956665},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-security","display_name":"Computer security","score":0.5411216020584106},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/crime-prevention","display_name":"Crime prevention","score":0.5377922058105469},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/simple","display_name":"Simple (philosophy)","score":0.5009689331054688},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/agent-based-model","display_name":"Agent-based model","score":0.43020206689834595},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/criminal-behavior","display_name":"Criminal behavior","score":0.4214501976966858},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/human-behavior","display_name":"Human behavior","score":0.4173751473426819},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/artificial-intelligence","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","score":0.34818270802497864},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/criminology","display_name":"Criminology","score":0.2758505940437317},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/sociology","display_name":"Sociology","score":0.06790560483932495}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2986045029","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q294240","display_name":"Public security","level":2,"score":0.8046391010284424},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.7477909922599792},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C77618280","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1155772","display_name":"Scheme (mathematics)","level":2,"score":0.6932913064956665},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C38652104","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3510521","display_name":"Computer security","level":1,"score":0.5411216020584106},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2776348852","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q855848","display_name":"Crime prevention","level":2,"score":0.5377922058105469},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2780586882","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7520643","display_name":"Simple (philosophy)","level":2,"score":0.5009689331054688},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2780873155","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q392811","display_name":"Agent-based model","level":2,"score":0.43020206689834595},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2992490269","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q83267","display_name":"Criminal behavior","level":2,"score":0.4214501976966858},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C117035363","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3769299","display_name":"Human behavior","level":2,"score":0.4173751473426819},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C154945302","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11660","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","level":1,"score":0.34818270802497864},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C73484699","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q161733","display_name":"Criminology","level":1,"score":0.2758505940437317},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C144024400","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21201","display_name":"Sociology","level":0,"score":0.06790560483932495},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C138885662","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5891","display_name":"Philosophy","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C134306372","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7754","display_name":"Mathematical analysis","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C111472728","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9471","display_name":"Epistemology","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":2,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1109/access.2023.3288528","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1109/access.2023.3288528","pdf_url":"https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/ielx7/6287639/6514899/10159358.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S2485537415","display_name":"IEEE Access","issn_l":"2169-3536","issn":["2169-3536"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319808","host_organization_name":"Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319808"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"IEEE Access","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:doaj.org/article:8070e967f86646bdbac5b75de47cab3b","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doaj.org/article/8070e967f86646bdbac5b75de47cab3b","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401280","display_name":"DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by-sa","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by-sa","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"IEEE Access, Vol 11, Pp 67070-67085 (2023)","raw_type":"article"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.1109/access.2023.3288528","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1109/access.2023.3288528","pdf_url":"https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/ielx7/6287639/6514899/10159358.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S2485537415","display_name":"IEEE Access","issn_l":"2169-3536","issn":["2169-3536"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319808","host_organization_name":"Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319808"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"IEEE Access","raw_type":"journal-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[{"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/16","score":0.44999998807907104,"display_name":"Peace, Justice and strong institutions"}],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"pdf":true,"grobid_xml":true},"content_urls":{"pdf":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W4381805308.pdf","grobid_xml":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W4381805308.grobid-xml"},"referenced_works_count":43,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W761179351","https://openalex.org/W986904728","https://openalex.org/W1265389026","https://openalex.org/W1555108369","https://openalex.org/W1833565543","https://openalex.org/W1844113700","https://openalex.org/W1862383500","https://openalex.org/W1975818108","https://openalex.org/W1997166069","https://openalex.org/W2021071774","https://openalex.org/W2024173855","https://openalex.org/W2044084419","https://openalex.org/W2049261628","https://openalex.org/W2057135357","https://openalex.org/W2067274803","https://openalex.org/W2070024519","https://openalex.org/W2071962206","https://openalex.org/W2112294099","https://openalex.org/W2114745519","https://openalex.org/W2122094048","https://openalex.org/W2123460377","https://openalex.org/W2123906784","https://openalex.org/W2125270265","https://openalex.org/W2131888821","https://openalex.org/W2145408484","https://openalex.org/W2150704630","https://openalex.org/W2270986013","https://openalex.org/W2500357521","https://openalex.org/W2591455423","https://openalex.org/W2753439912","https://openalex.org/W2771219018","https://openalex.org/W2782837275","https://openalex.org/W2788766048","https://openalex.org/W3041132178","https://openalex.org/W3129648592","https://openalex.org/W3179654867","https://openalex.org/W3191477269","https://openalex.org/W4205945437","https://openalex.org/W4210679264","https://openalex.org/W4214717370","https://openalex.org/W4285498877","https://openalex.org/W4360852825","https://openalex.org/W6625786354"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W1516596535","https://openalex.org/W3006287953","https://openalex.org/W2793471035","https://openalex.org/W2782531912","https://openalex.org/W2368427438","https://openalex.org/W2350325198","https://openalex.org/W4200548410","https://openalex.org/W2389703798","https://openalex.org/W4381805308","https://openalex.org/W1548355003"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"In":[0,45],"recent":[1],"years,":[2],"statistical":[3],"methods":[4],"have":[5,17],"been":[6],"applied":[7],"to":[8,54,91,149],"the":[9,31,60,78,107,114,123,141,151],"study":[10],"of":[11,24,33,62,116,145,153],"crime":[12,56],"patterns.":[13],"However,":[14],"these":[15],"schemes":[16],"several":[18],"drawbacks":[19],"that":[20,40,87,122,130,139],"prevent":[21],"accurate":[22],"modeling":[23,32],"complex":[25],"behaviors.":[26],"Agent-based":[27],"models":[28],"(ABM)":[29],"allow":[30,140],"human":[34],"behavior":[35],"by":[36,59,109],"employing":[37],"simple":[38],"rules":[39],"consider":[41],"each":[42],"agent\u2019s":[43],"neighborhood.":[44],"this":[46,76],"paper,":[47],"a":[48],"new":[49],"agent-based":[50],"model":[51,108],"is":[52],"proposed":[53,124],"emulate":[55],"patterns":[57,134],"produced":[58],"interaction":[61],"different":[63,111],"urban":[64],"actors,":[65],"such":[66],"as":[67],"offenders":[68],"(criminals),":[69],"citizens,":[70],"and":[71,84,135,143],"defenders":[72],"(police":[73],"officers).":[74],"Using":[75],"approach,":[77],"simulation":[79],"results":[80,120],"provide":[81],"escape":[82],"trajectories":[83],"robbery":[85],"frequencies":[86],"can":[88,101],"be":[89,102],"used":[90],"create":[92],"or":[93],"improve":[94],"public":[95,146],"security":[96,147],"strategies.":[97],"Although":[98],"our":[99],"scheme":[100,125],"generically":[103],"applied,":[104],"we":[105],"validated":[106],"considering":[110],"scenarios":[112],"for":[113],"case":[115],"Guadalajara,":[117],"Mexico.":[118],"Experimental":[119],"show":[121],"creates":[126],"realistic":[127],"offender":[128],"behaviors":[129],"efficiently":[131],"predict":[132],"criminal":[133],"provides":[136],"essential":[137],"data":[138],"creation":[142],"improvement":[144],"strategies":[148],"reduce":[150],"number":[152],"crimes.":[154]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2026,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2026-06-26T08:34:08.712188","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}