{"id":"https://openalex.org/W3116389746","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1109/access.2020.3046105","title":"Saturated Demand Forecast of Regional Power Grid Based on Amended Self-Adaptive Logistic Model: A Case Study of East China","display_name":"Saturated Demand Forecast of Regional Power Grid Based on Amended Self-Adaptive Logistic Model: A Case Study of East China","publication_year":2020,"publication_date":"2020-12-21","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W3116389746","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1109/access.2020.3046105","mag":"3116389746"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1109/access.2020.3046105","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1109/access.2020.3046105","pdf_url":"https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/ielx7/6287639/9312710/09300171.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S2485537415","display_name":"IEEE Access","issn_l":"2169-3536","issn":["2169-3536"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319808","host_organization_name":"Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319808"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"IEEE Access","raw_type":"journal-article"},"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref","doaj"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"gold","oa_url":"https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/ielx7/6287639/9312710/09300171.pdf","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5086505108","display_name":"Tai-hua Yang","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I23632641","display_name":"Shanghai University of Electric Power","ror":"https://ror.org/02w4tny03","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I23632641"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Tai-Hua Yang","raw_affiliation_strings":["School of Economics and Management, Shanghai University of Electric Power, Shanghai, China"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0472-1705","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"School of Economics and Management, Shanghai University of Electric Power, Shanghai, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I23632641"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5115603444","display_name":"Rui Sun","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1788-6472"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I23632641","display_name":"Shanghai University of Electric Power","ror":"https://ror.org/02w4tny03","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I23632641"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Rui Sun","raw_affiliation_strings":["School of Economics and Management, Shanghai University of Electric Power, Shanghai, China"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1788-6472","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"School of Economics and Management, Shanghai University of Electric Power, Shanghai, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I23632641"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5024229744","display_name":"Qiming Wei","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I23632641","display_name":"Shanghai University of Electric Power","ror":"https://ror.org/02w4tny03","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I23632641"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Qiming Wei","raw_affiliation_strings":["School of Economics and Management, Shanghai University of Electric Power, Shanghai, China"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"School of Economics and Management, Shanghai University of Electric Power, Shanghai, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I23632641"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5039403729","display_name":"Yuqi Gao","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9614-062X"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I23632641","display_name":"Shanghai University of Electric Power","ror":"https://ror.org/02w4tny03","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I23632641"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Yuqi Gao","raw_affiliation_strings":["School of Economics and Management, Shanghai University of Electric Power, Shanghai, China"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"School of Economics and Management, Shanghai University of Electric Power, Shanghai, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I23632641"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":1,"corresponding_author_ids":[],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I23632641"],"apc_list":{"value":1850,"currency":"USD","value_usd":1850},"apc_paid":{"value":1850,"currency":"USD","value_usd":1850},"fwci":0.3122,"has_fulltext":true,"cited_by_count":7,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.59060171,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":89,"max":97},"biblio":{"volume":"9","issue":null,"first_page":"1190","last_page":"1196"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11052","display_name":"Energy Load and Power Forecasting","score":0.9998000264167786,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2208","display_name":"Electrical and Electronic Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11052","display_name":"Energy Load and Power Forecasting","score":0.9998000264167786,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2208","display_name":"Electrical and Electronic Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12451","display_name":"Smart Grid and Power Systems","score":0.9894000291824341,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2208","display_name":"Electrical and Electronic Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T14444","display_name":"Power Systems and Renewable Energy","score":0.9854000210762024,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2102","display_name":"Energy Engineering and Power Technology"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/21","display_name":"Energy"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/power-demand","display_name":"Power demand","score":0.6799750924110413},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/power-grid","display_name":"Power grid","score":0.6349667310714722},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/china","display_name":"China","score":0.5614545345306396},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/context","display_name":"Context (archaeology)","score":0.5557662844657898},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/grid","display_name":"Grid","score":0.5427414178848267},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-science","display_name":"Computer science","score":0.5390827655792236},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/saturation","display_name":"Saturation (graph theory)","score":0.5069537162780762},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/scale","display_name":"Scale (ratio)","score":0.48177286982536316},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/dynamic-demand","display_name":"Dynamic demand","score":0.47844627499580383},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/power","display_name":"Power (physics)","score":0.4671810269355774},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/logistic-regression","display_name":"Logistic regression","score":0.4232529103755951},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/logistic-function","display_name":"Logistic function","score":0.4163303077220917},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/operations-research","display_name":"Operations research","score":0.38479793071746826},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/econometrics","display_name":"Econometrics","score":0.37978804111480713},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/environmental-economics","display_name":"Environmental economics","score":0.37609732151031494},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/environmental-science","display_name":"Environmental science","score":0.3372451066970825},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/economics","display_name":"Economics","score":0.17412415146827698},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/engineering","display_name":"Engineering","score":0.15868547558784485},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/power-consumption","display_name":"Power consumption","score":0.14822852611541748},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/mathematics","display_name":"Mathematics","score":0.13418227434158325},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/geography","display_name":"Geography","score":0.10044029355049133},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/machine-learning","display_name":"Machine learning","score":0.07733422517776489}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2983317576","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1853339","display_name":"Power demand","level":4,"score":0.6799750924110413},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2983254600","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1096907","display_name":"Power grid","level":3,"score":0.6349667310714722},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C191935318","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q148","display_name":"China","level":2,"score":0.5614545345306396},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2779343474","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3109175","display_name":"Context (archaeology)","level":2,"score":0.5557662844657898},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C187691185","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2020720","display_name":"Grid","level":2,"score":0.5427414178848267},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.5390827655792236},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C9930424","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7426587","display_name":"Saturation (graph theory)","level":2,"score":0.5069537162780762},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2778755073","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q10858537","display_name":"Scale (ratio)","level":2,"score":0.48177286982536316},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C45872418","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5318966","display_name":"Dynamic demand","level":3,"score":0.47844627499580383},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C163258240","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q25342","display_name":"Power (physics)","level":2,"score":0.4671810269355774},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C151956035","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1132755","display_name":"Logistic regression","level":2,"score":0.4232529103755951},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C180802074","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1052379","display_name":"Logistic function","level":2,"score":0.4163303077220917},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C42475967","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q194292","display_name":"Operations research","level":1,"score":0.38479793071746826},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149782125","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q160039","display_name":"Econometrics","level":1,"score":0.37978804111480713},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C134560507","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q753291","display_name":"Environmental economics","level":1,"score":0.37609732151031494},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C39432304","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q188847","display_name":"Environmental science","level":0,"score":0.3372451066970825},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.17412415146827698},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127413603","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11023","display_name":"Engineering","level":0,"score":0.15868547558784485},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2984118289","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q29954","display_name":"Power consumption","level":3,"score":0.14822852611541748},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.13418227434158325},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C205649164","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1071","display_name":"Geography","level":0,"score":0.10044029355049133},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C119857082","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2539","display_name":"Machine learning","level":1,"score":0.07733422517776489},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C114614502","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q76592","display_name":"Combinatorics","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2524010","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8087","display_name":"Geometry","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C121332964","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q413","display_name":"Physics","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C58640448","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q42515","display_name":"Cartography","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C62520636","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q944","display_name":"Quantum mechanics","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C166957645","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q23498","display_name":"Archaeology","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":2,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1109/access.2020.3046105","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1109/access.2020.3046105","pdf_url":"https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/ielx7/6287639/9312710/09300171.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S2485537415","display_name":"IEEE Access","issn_l":"2169-3536","issn":["2169-3536"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319808","host_organization_name":"Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319808"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"IEEE Access","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:doaj.org/article:958cdb52865f4d798401e16abe77bc9c","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doaj.org/article/958cdb52865f4d798401e16abe77bc9c","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401280","display_name":"DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by-sa","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by-sa","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"IEEE Access, Vol 9, Pp 1190-1196 (2021)","raw_type":"article"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.1109/access.2020.3046105","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1109/access.2020.3046105","pdf_url":"https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/ielx7/6287639/9312710/09300171.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S2485537415","display_name":"IEEE Access","issn_l":"2169-3536","issn":["2169-3536"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319808","host_organization_name":"Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319808"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"IEEE Access","raw_type":"journal-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[],"awards":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/G8356507682","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"17BGL010","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320327557","funder_display_name":"National Office for Philosophy and Social Sciences"}],"funders":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320327557","display_name":"National Office for Philosophy and Social Sciences","ror":"https://ror.org/04m0ms912"}],"has_content":{"pdf":true,"grobid_xml":true},"content_urls":{"pdf":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W3116389746.pdf","grobid_xml":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W3116389746.grobid-xml"},"referenced_works_count":41,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W144725662","https://openalex.org/W154646596","https://openalex.org/W185455334","https://openalex.org/W1982660753","https://openalex.org/W1986181890","https://openalex.org/W1997450348","https://openalex.org/W2001165499","https://openalex.org/W2013539530","https://openalex.org/W2014664650","https://openalex.org/W2022803472","https://openalex.org/W2037123796","https://openalex.org/W2037501763","https://openalex.org/W2043876999","https://openalex.org/W2048116842","https://openalex.org/W2070457089","https://openalex.org/W2071258353","https://openalex.org/W2085892988","https://openalex.org/W2096967727","https://openalex.org/W2103732061","https://openalex.org/W2107374807","https://openalex.org/W2113350326","https://openalex.org/W2117825288","https://openalex.org/W2121387208","https://openalex.org/W2154512226","https://openalex.org/W2185592418","https://openalex.org/W2221703650","https://openalex.org/W2302964490","https://openalex.org/W2352190831","https://openalex.org/W2357598542","https://openalex.org/W2362202082","https://openalex.org/W2363898590","https://openalex.org/W2372946864","https://openalex.org/W2377169370","https://openalex.org/W2383833549","https://openalex.org/W2521449822","https://openalex.org/W2591180046","https://openalex.org/W2742652546","https://openalex.org/W2753551962","https://openalex.org/W2886816640","https://openalex.org/W6678765424","https://openalex.org/W6692574461"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W1549573481","https://openalex.org/W2550496390","https://openalex.org/W2173237427","https://openalex.org/W2493884963","https://openalex.org/W2357179255","https://openalex.org/W2134343461","https://openalex.org/W1969034472","https://openalex.org/W1522823845","https://openalex.org/W2808329654","https://openalex.org/W4388457677"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Saturated":[0],"power":[1,11,18,27,50,64],"demand":[2,28,51,65],"is":[3,15],"a":[4,56],"crucial":[5],"indicator":[6],"affecting":[7],"the":[8,23,31,36,46,63,74,79,84,91,94],"scale":[9,34],"of":[10,26,49,78],"grid":[12,19],"development.":[13],"It":[14],"essential":[16],"for":[17],"planning":[20],"to":[21,72,90],"study":[22],"saturated":[24],"trend":[25],"and":[29,33,61,76,81],"predict":[30],"time":[32],"when":[35],"order":[37],"reaches":[38],"saturation.":[39],"In":[40],"this":[41,43],"context,":[42],"paper":[44],"divides":[45],"growth":[47],"process":[48],"into":[52],"three":[53],"stages,":[54],"proposes":[55],"modified":[57],"self-adaptive":[58],"Logistic":[59],"model,":[60,80],"takes":[62],"in":[66],"East":[67],"China":[68],"as":[69],"an":[70],"example":[71],"verify":[73],"accuracy":[75],"practicability":[77],"carries":[82],"out":[83],"saturation":[85],"prediction":[86],"research.":[87],"Finally,":[88],"according":[89],"research":[92],"results,":[93],"corresponding":[95],"suggestions":[96],"are":[97],"put":[98],"forward.":[99]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2026,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2026-06-26T08:34:08.712188","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}