{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2986800698","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1109/access.2019.2953856","title":"Predicting Social Image Popularity Dynamics at Time Zero","display_name":"Predicting Social Image Popularity Dynamics at Time Zero","publication_year":2019,"publication_date":"2019-01-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2986800698","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1109/access.2019.2953856","mag":"2986800698"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1109/access.2019.2953856","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1109/access.2019.2953856","pdf_url":"https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/ielx7/6287639/8600701/08902084.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S2485537415","display_name":"IEEE Access","issn_l":"2169-3536","issn":["2169-3536"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319808","host_organization_name":"Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319808"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"IEEE Access","raw_type":"journal-article"},"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref","doaj"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"gold","oa_url":"https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/ielx7/6287639/8600701/08902084.pdf","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5076307306","display_name":"Alessandro Ortis","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3461-4679"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I39063666","display_name":"University of Catania","ror":"https://ror.org/03a64bh57","country_code":"IT","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I39063666"]}],"countries":["IT"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Alessandro Ortis","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Mathematics and Computer Science, Universit \u00e1 degli Studi di Catania, Catania, Italy"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3461-4679","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Mathematics and Computer Science, Universit \u00e1 degli Studi di Catania, Catania, Italy","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I39063666"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5087180022","display_name":"Giovanni Maria Farinella","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6034-0432"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I39063666","display_name":"University of Catania","ror":"https://ror.org/03a64bh57","country_code":"IT","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I39063666"]}],"countries":["IT"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Giovanni Maria Farinella","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Mathematics and Computer Science, Universit \u00e1 degli Studi di Catania, Catania, Italy"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6034-0432","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Mathematics and Computer Science, Universit \u00e1 degli Studi di Catania, Catania, Italy","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I39063666"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5042746008","display_name":"Sebastiano Battiato","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6127-2470"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I39063666","display_name":"University of Catania","ror":"https://ror.org/03a64bh57","country_code":"IT","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I39063666"]}],"countries":["IT"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Sebastiano Battiato","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Mathematics and Computer Science, Universit \u00e1 degli Studi di Catania, Catania, Italy"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6127-2470","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Mathematics and Computer Science, Universit \u00e1 degli Studi di Catania, Catania, Italy","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I39063666"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":1,"corresponding_author_ids":[],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I39063666"],"apc_list":{"value":1850,"currency":"USD","value_usd":1850},"apc_paid":{"value":1850,"currency":"USD","value_usd":1850},"fwci":1.3884,"has_fulltext":true,"cited_by_count":16,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.81855467,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":94,"max":97},"biblio":{"volume":"7","issue":null,"first_page":"171691","last_page":"171706"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10064","display_name":"Complex Network Analysis Techniques","score":0.9991999864578247,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3109","display_name":"Statistical and Nonlinear Physics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/31","display_name":"Physics and Astronomy"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10064","display_name":"Complex Network Analysis Techniques","score":0.9991999864578247,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3109","display_name":"Statistical and Nonlinear Physics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/31","display_name":"Physics and Astronomy"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12592","display_name":"Opinion Dynamics and Social Influence","score":0.992900013923645,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3109","display_name":"Statistical and Nonlinear Physics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/31","display_name":"Physics and Astronomy"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10664","display_name":"Sentiment Analysis and Opinion Mining","score":0.9767000079154968,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1702","display_name":"Artificial Intelligence"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/17","display_name":"Computer Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/popularity","display_name":"Popularity","score":0.9750290513038635},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-science","display_name":"Computer science","score":0.7608205676078796},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/task","display_name":"Task (project management)","score":0.6683471202850342},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/upload","display_name":"Upload","score":0.6657518744468689},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/social-media","display_name":"Social media","score":0.554716169834137},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/image","display_name":"Image (mathematics)","score":0.5188016295433044},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/granularity","display_name":"Granularity","score":0.4673044681549072},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/artificial-intelligence","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","score":0.464909166097641},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/machine-learning","display_name":"Machine learning","score":0.41408371925354004},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/data-mining","display_name":"Data mining","score":0.34197407960891724},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/data-science","display_name":"Data science","score":0.32841038703918457},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/world-wide-web","display_name":"World Wide Web","score":0.16486677527427673},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/psychology","display_name":"Psychology","score":0.07430428266525269}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2780586970","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1357284","display_name":"Popularity","level":2,"score":0.9750290513038635},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.7608205676078796},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2780451532","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q759676","display_name":"Task (project management)","level":2,"score":0.6683471202850342},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C71901391","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7126699","display_name":"Upload","level":2,"score":0.6657518744468689},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C518677369","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q202833","display_name":"Social media","level":2,"score":0.554716169834137},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C115961682","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q860623","display_name":"Image (mathematics)","level":2,"score":0.5188016295433044},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C177774035","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1246948","display_name":"Granularity","level":2,"score":0.4673044681549072},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C154945302","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11660","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","level":1,"score":0.464909166097641},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C119857082","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2539","display_name":"Machine learning","level":1,"score":0.41408371925354004},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C124101348","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q172491","display_name":"Data mining","level":1,"score":0.34197407960891724},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2522767166","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2374463","display_name":"Data science","level":1,"score":0.32841038703918457},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C136764020","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q466","display_name":"World Wide Web","level":1,"score":0.16486677527427673},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C15744967","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9418","display_name":"Psychology","level":0,"score":0.07430428266525269},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C187736073","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2920921","display_name":"Management","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C77805123","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q161272","display_name":"Social psychology","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C111919701","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9135","display_name":"Operating system","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":2,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1109/access.2019.2953856","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1109/access.2019.2953856","pdf_url":"https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/ielx7/6287639/8600701/08902084.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S2485537415","display_name":"IEEE Access","issn_l":"2169-3536","issn":["2169-3536"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319808","host_organization_name":"Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319808"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"IEEE Access","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:doaj.org/article:7908834b0b4349bcb0d758c8bbdc54da","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doaj.org/article/7908834b0b4349bcb0d758c8bbdc54da","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401280","display_name":"DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by-sa","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by-sa","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"IEEE Access, Vol 7, Pp 171691-171706 (2019)","raw_type":"article"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.1109/access.2019.2953856","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1109/access.2019.2953856","pdf_url":"https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/ielx7/6287639/8600701/08902084.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S2485537415","display_name":"IEEE Access","issn_l":"2169-3536","issn":["2169-3536"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319808","host_organization_name":"Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319808"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"IEEE Access","raw_type":"journal-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"pdf":true,"grobid_xml":true},"content_urls":{"pdf":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W2986800698.pdf","grobid_xml":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W2986800698.grobid-xml"},"referenced_works_count":42,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W1519496225","https://openalex.org/W1756034034","https://openalex.org/W1784731433","https://openalex.org/W1970777322","https://openalex.org/W1974846329","https://openalex.org/W2037970810","https://openalex.org/W2039355801","https://openalex.org/W2061887386","https://openalex.org/W2075456404","https://openalex.org/W2090059852","https://openalex.org/W2094643231","https://openalex.org/W2097117768","https://openalex.org/W2097343308","https://openalex.org/W2098099892","https://openalex.org/W2111995023","https://openalex.org/W2117539524","https://openalex.org/W2134670479","https://openalex.org/W2139929078","https://openalex.org/W2147612568","https://openalex.org/W2416909484","https://openalex.org/W2472257696","https://openalex.org/W2476593443","https://openalex.org/W2492381727","https://openalex.org/W2566980712","https://openalex.org/W2593055352","https://openalex.org/W2598497527","https://openalex.org/W2766908198","https://openalex.org/W2792005754","https://openalex.org/W2808064058","https://openalex.org/W2963603520","https://openalex.org/W2963759277","https://openalex.org/W2966943164","https://openalex.org/W2972219032","https://openalex.org/W2993503428","https://openalex.org/W3105117297","https://openalex.org/W3125952634","https://openalex.org/W4299802090","https://openalex.org/W6638212731","https://openalex.org/W6674618218","https://openalex.org/W6679792166","https://openalex.org/W6720560662","https://openalex.org/W6771790382"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2492381727","https://openalex.org/W4287029104","https://openalex.org/W3191602218","https://openalex.org/W2807085819","https://openalex.org/W2346997479","https://openalex.org/W4364860678","https://openalex.org/W2088753141","https://openalex.org/W2951182153","https://openalex.org/W4302563229","https://openalex.org/W2593164924"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"This":[0,18,205],"work":[1,27],"addresses":[2],"the":[3,7,31,34,48,55,58,64,128,132,140,158,171,177,183,192,199,211,222,240,244,251],"task":[4,19],"of":[5,36,47,57,90,95,98,102,144,166,179,182,218,224],"forecasting":[6],"popularity":[8,35,76,200,225],"achieved":[9],"by":[10,30,54,243],"images":[11,83],"shared":[12],"through":[13],"social":[14,37,133],"media":[15],"over":[16,173,202],"time.":[17],"is":[20,28,40,63,161,253],"known":[21],"as":[22,163],"\u201cPopularity":[23],"Dynamic":[24],"Prediction\u201d.":[25],"The":[26,151,185],"motivated":[29],"fact":[32],"that":[33,79],"images,":[38],"which":[39,157],"usually":[41],"estimated":[42],"at":[43,256],"a":[44,71,105,111,124,164,215],"precise":[45],"instant":[46],"post":[49,59],"lifecycle,":[50],"could":[51],"be":[52,248],"affected":[53],"period":[56],"(i.e.,":[60,93,255],"how":[61],"old":[62],"post).":[65],"To":[66,108],"this":[67],"aim,":[68],"we":[69],"exploited":[70],"recently":[72],"released":[73],"dataset":[74],"for":[75,148,221],"dynamic":[77],"prediction":[78,241],"includes":[80],"about":[81],"20.000":[82],"uploaded":[84],"on":[85,131,210],"Flickr":[86],"and":[87,100,115,119,176],"their":[88],"sequences":[89,226],"engagement":[91,142,159],"scores":[92,143],"number":[94,97,101,217],"views,":[96],"comments":[99],"favorites)":[103],"with":[104,227],"daily":[106,141],"granularity.":[107],"build":[109],"such":[110],"dataset,":[112],"each":[113,145],"image":[114,129,252],"its":[116],"accompanying":[117],"meta-data":[118],"statistics":[120],"are":[121,188,195],"downloaded":[122],"within":[123],"few":[125],"hours":[126],"from":[127],"posting":[130],"platform.":[134],"Then,":[135],"an":[136,154],"automatic":[137],"procedure":[138],"collected":[139],"observed":[146],"picture":[147],"30":[149],"days.":[150,204],"paper":[152,206],"presents":[153,207],"approach":[155],"in":[156],"score":[160],"formulated":[162],"composition":[165],"two":[167,186,193],"information":[168],"associated":[169],"to":[170,197],"evolution":[172],"time":[174,257],"(shape)":[175],"order":[178],"magnitude":[180],"(scale)":[181],"sequence.":[184],"properties":[187],"inferred":[189],"individually,":[190],"then":[191],"results":[194],"combined":[196],"predict":[198],"dynamics":[201],"n":[203,230],"exhaustive":[208],"experiments":[209],"addressed":[212],"task,":[213],"evaluating":[214],"large":[216],"experimental":[219],"settings":[220],"predictions":[223],"different":[228],"length":[229],"(n":[231],"=":[232],"10,":[233],"20":[234],"or":[235],"30).":[236],"In":[237],"all":[238],"settings,":[239],"performed":[242],"proposed":[245],"method":[246],"can":[247],"computed":[249],"before":[250],"posted":[254],"zero).":[258]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":4},{"year":2020,"cited_by_count":3}],"updated_date":"2025-11-06T03:46:38.306776","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}