{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2972599842","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1109/access.2019.2940897","title":"Wind Speed Prediction Research Considering Wind Speed Ramp and Residual Distribution","display_name":"Wind Speed Prediction Research Considering Wind Speed Ramp and Residual Distribution","publication_year":2019,"publication_date":"2019-01-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2972599842","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1109/access.2019.2940897","mag":"2972599842"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1109/access.2019.2940897","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1109/access.2019.2940897","pdf_url":"https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/ielx7/6287639/8600701/08832164.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S2485537415","display_name":"IEEE Access","issn_l":"2169-3536","issn":["2169-3536"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319808","host_organization_name":"Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319808"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"IEEE Access","raw_type":"journal-article"},"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref","doaj"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"gold","oa_url":"https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/ielx7/6287639/8600701/08832164.pdf","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5040683569","display_name":"Yagang Zhang","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8398-3027"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I155781252","display_name":"University of South Carolina","ror":"https://ror.org/02b6qw903","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I155781252"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Yagang Zhang","raw_affiliation_strings":["Interdisciplinary Mathematics Institute, University of South Carolina, Columbia, SC, USA"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8398-3027","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Interdisciplinary Mathematics Institute, University of South Carolina, Columbia, SC, USA","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I155781252"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5078248150","display_name":"Shuang Gao","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5988-9287"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I153473198","display_name":"North China Electric Power University","ror":"https://ror.org/04qr5t414","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I153473198"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Shuang Gao","raw_affiliation_strings":["State Key Laboratory of Alternate Electrical Power System with Renewable Energy Sources, North China Electric Power University, Beijing, China"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"State Key Laboratory of Alternate Electrical Power System with Renewable Energy Sources, North China Electric Power University, Beijing, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I153473198"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5112316041","display_name":"Jingyi Han","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I153473198","display_name":"North China Electric Power University","ror":"https://ror.org/04qr5t414","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I153473198"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Jingyi Han","raw_affiliation_strings":["State Key Laboratory of Alternate Electrical Power System with Renewable Energy Sources, North China Electric Power University, Beijing, China"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"State Key Laboratory of Alternate Electrical Power System with Renewable Energy Sources, North China Electric Power University, Beijing, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I153473198"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":null,"display_name":"Minghui Ban","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I153473198","display_name":"North China Electric Power University","ror":"https://ror.org/04qr5t414","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I153473198"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Minghui Ban","raw_affiliation_strings":["State Key Laboratory of Alternate Electrical Power System with Renewable Energy Sources, North China Electric Power University, Beijing, China"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"State Key Laboratory of Alternate Electrical Power System with Renewable Energy Sources, North China Electric Power University, Beijing, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I153473198"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":2,"institutions_distinct_count":4,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5040683569"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I155781252"],"apc_list":{"value":1850,"currency":"USD","value_usd":1850},"apc_paid":{"value":1850,"currency":"USD","value_usd":1850},"fwci":2.9059,"has_fulltext":true,"cited_by_count":33,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.91411249,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":true},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":90,"max":99},"biblio":{"volume":"7","issue":null,"first_page":"131873","last_page":"131887"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11052","display_name":"Energy Load and Power Forecasting","score":1.0,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2208","display_name":"Electrical and Electronic Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11052","display_name":"Energy Load and Power Forecasting","score":1.0,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2208","display_name":"Electrical and Electronic Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10680","display_name":"Wind Energy Research and Development","score":0.9866999983787537,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2202","display_name":"Aerospace Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T14502","display_name":"High-Voltage Power Transmission Systems","score":0.9699000120162964,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2208","display_name":"Electrical and Electronic Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/residual","display_name":"Residual","score":0.7123359441757202},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/wind-speed","display_name":"Wind speed","score":0.6822969913482666},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/wind-power","display_name":"Wind power","score":0.5818491578102112},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/intermittency","display_name":"Intermittency","score":0.4891086220741272},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-science","display_name":"Computer science","score":0.48749351501464844},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/reliability","display_name":"Reliability (semiconductor)","score":0.441369891166687},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/particle-swarm-optimization","display_name":"Particle swarm optimization","score":0.41449999809265137},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/kernel","display_name":"Kernel (algebra)","score":0.4133809506893158},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/control-theory","display_name":"Control theory (sociology)","score":0.37470197677612305},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/power","display_name":"Power (physics)","score":0.3411622643470764},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/algorithm","display_name":"Algorithm","score":0.3164185881614685},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/meteorology","display_name":"Meteorology","score":0.26850104331970215},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/mathematics","display_name":"Mathematics","score":0.26050886511802673},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/engineering","display_name":"Engineering","score":0.2077603042125702},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/artificial-intelligence","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","score":0.2030198574066162}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C155512373","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q287450","display_name":"Residual","level":2,"score":0.7123359441757202},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C161067210","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1464943","display_name":"Wind speed","level":2,"score":0.6822969913482666},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C78600449","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q43302","display_name":"Wind power","level":2,"score":0.5818491578102112},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2780388094","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1666248","display_name":"Intermittency","level":3,"score":0.4891086220741272},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.48749351501464844},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C43214815","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7310987","display_name":"Reliability (semiconductor)","level":3,"score":0.441369891166687},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C85617194","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2072794","display_name":"Particle swarm optimization","level":2,"score":0.41449999809265137},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C74193536","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q574844","display_name":"Kernel (algebra)","level":2,"score":0.4133809506893158},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C47446073","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5165890","display_name":"Control theory (sociology)","level":3,"score":0.37470197677612305},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C163258240","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q25342","display_name":"Power (physics)","level":2,"score":0.3411622643470764},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C11413529","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8366","display_name":"Algorithm","level":1,"score":0.3164185881614685},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C153294291","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q25261","display_name":"Meteorology","level":1,"score":0.26850104331970215},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.26050886511802673},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127413603","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11023","display_name":"Engineering","level":0,"score":0.2077603042125702},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C154945302","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11660","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","level":1,"score":0.2030198574066162},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C119599485","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q43035","display_name":"Electrical engineering","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2775924081","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q55608371","display_name":"Control (management)","level":2,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C196558001","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q190132","display_name":"Turbulence","level":2,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C62520636","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q944","display_name":"Quantum mechanics","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C114614502","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q76592","display_name":"Combinatorics","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C121332964","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q413","display_name":"Physics","level":0,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":2,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1109/access.2019.2940897","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1109/access.2019.2940897","pdf_url":"https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/ielx7/6287639/8600701/08832164.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S2485537415","display_name":"IEEE Access","issn_l":"2169-3536","issn":["2169-3536"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319808","host_organization_name":"Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319808"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"IEEE Access","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:doaj.org/article:195fa3171cd445d6b849037c92ca8ce1","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doaj.org/article/195fa3171cd445d6b849037c92ca8ce1","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401280","display_name":"DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by-sa","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by-sa","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"IEEE Access, Vol 7, Pp 131873-131887 (2019)","raw_type":"article"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.1109/access.2019.2940897","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1109/access.2019.2940897","pdf_url":"https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/ielx7/6287639/8600701/08832164.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S2485537415","display_name":"IEEE Access","issn_l":"2169-3536","issn":["2169-3536"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319808","host_organization_name":"Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319808"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"IEEE Access","raw_type":"journal-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[{"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/7","score":0.9200000166893005,"display_name":"Affordable and clean energy"}],"awards":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/G449276466","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"G2016502009","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320322163","funder_display_name":"Natural Science Foundation of Hebei Province"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G8215473963","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"2017MS166","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320335787","funder_display_name":"Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G8281013828","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"51637005","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320321001","funder_display_name":"National Natural Science Foundation of China"}],"funders":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320321001","display_name":"National Natural Science Foundation of China","ror":"https://ror.org/01h0zpd94"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320322163","display_name":"Natural Science Foundation of Hebei Province","ror":"https://ror.org/01h0zpd94"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320324733","display_name":"North China Electrical Power University","ror":"https://ror.org/04qr5t414"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320335787","display_name":"Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities","ror":null}],"has_content":{"pdf":true,"grobid_xml":true},"content_urls":{"pdf":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W2972599842.pdf","grobid_xml":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W2972599842.grobid-xml"},"referenced_works_count":42,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W138335974","https://openalex.org/W2000982976","https://openalex.org/W2013637419","https://openalex.org/W2014258304","https://openalex.org/W2036218954","https://openalex.org/W2041436074","https://openalex.org/W2113238782","https://openalex.org/W2144499799","https://openalex.org/W2153464267","https://openalex.org/W2317744239","https://openalex.org/W2345862676","https://openalex.org/W2401688955","https://openalex.org/W2413274814","https://openalex.org/W2581205918","https://openalex.org/W2605224847","https://openalex.org/W2606817745","https://openalex.org/W2609009473","https://openalex.org/W2731024278","https://openalex.org/W2733822397","https://openalex.org/W2743680082","https://openalex.org/W2755841959","https://openalex.org/W2766047633","https://openalex.org/W2766769613","https://openalex.org/W2767889422","https://openalex.org/W2775797427","https://openalex.org/W2776458183","https://openalex.org/W2778580105","https://openalex.org/W2790368141","https://openalex.org/W2792616493","https://openalex.org/W2793187554","https://openalex.org/W2793408387","https://openalex.org/W2800571504","https://openalex.org/W2801549487","https://openalex.org/W2926876256","https://openalex.org/W2928826301","https://openalex.org/W2940200036","https://openalex.org/W2943863241","https://openalex.org/W2944436518","https://openalex.org/W2947096627","https://openalex.org/W2962851212","https://openalex.org/W3098975031","https://openalex.org/W3104298728"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2564644595","https://openalex.org/W1566002589","https://openalex.org/W1589804082","https://openalex.org/W2042838258","https://openalex.org/W2733822397","https://openalex.org/W2537610172","https://openalex.org/W4380482219","https://openalex.org/W2028780417","https://openalex.org/W4377969695","https://openalex.org/W2008549418"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"The":[0],"random":[1,186],"fluctuation":[2,77,110,201],"of":[3,9,22,96,112,130,154,172,180,233],"wind":[4,10,13,47,53,71,194,225],"leads":[5],"to":[6,28,68,74,91,106,125,134,150,163,216,230],"the":[7,61,93,108,127,136,143,152,161,168,197,231],"instability":[8],"power,":[11],"particularly":[12],"power":[14,25],"intermittency":[15],"is":[16,66,123,148],"a":[17,45,221],"critical":[18],"event":[19],"in":[20],"case":[21],"grid":[23],"connected":[24],"plants,":[26],"leading":[27],"severe":[29],"consequences":[30],"like":[31],"low":[32],"system":[33],"reliability,":[34],"high":[35,39],"reserve":[36],"capacity":[37],"and":[38,57,79,99,157,185,203,209,228],"operational":[40],"costs.":[41],"This":[42,191],"paper":[43],"proposes":[44],"novel":[46],"speed":[48,54,72,195,226],"prediction":[49,128,137,170,178,227],"model":[50,105],"based":[51,188],"on":[52,189],"ramp":[55],"(WSR)":[56],"residual":[58,165,204],"distribution.":[59],"Firstly,":[60],"variational":[62],"mode":[63],"decomposition":[64,97,113],"(VMD)":[65],"used":[67,124,149],"decompose":[69],"original":[70],"series":[73],"extract":[75],"different":[76,88,213],"characteristics,":[78,218],"several":[80],"sub-sequences":[81],"are":[82,174],"obtained.":[83],"Then,":[84],"we":[85],"use":[86,100],"3":[87],"neural":[89,132],"networks":[90],"predict":[92,107],"main":[94,198],"part":[95,111,202,208],"result":[98],"auto-regressive":[101],"moving":[102],"average":[103],"(ARMA)":[104],"rest":[109],"results.":[114],"Next,":[115],"WSR":[116,181],"optimized":[117],"by":[118,140,176],"particle":[119],"swarm":[120],"optimization":[121],"(PSO)":[122],"modify":[126],"results":[129,171,179],"LSTM":[131],"network":[133],"decrease":[135],"errors":[138],"caused":[139],"one-step":[141],"lag,":[142],"kernel":[144],"density":[145],"estimation":[146],"(KDE)":[147],"fit":[151],"distribution":[153,162],"VMD":[155],"residuals":[156],"sample":[158],"randomly":[159],"from":[160],"get":[164],"series.":[166],"Finally,":[167],"final":[169],"V-PSOR-LSTM-KDE":[173],"obtained":[175],"adding":[177],"modified":[182],"LSTM,":[183],"ARMA":[184],"sampling":[187],"KDE.":[190],"study":[192],"decomposes":[193],"into":[196],"trend":[199],"part,":[200,205],"analyzing":[206],"each":[207],"makes":[210],"predictions":[211],"with":[212],"models":[214],"according":[215],"their":[217],"which":[219],"provides":[220],"new":[222],"thought":[223],"for":[224],"contributes":[229],"construction":[232],"smart":[234],"grid.":[235]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2026,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":6},{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":9},{"year":2020,"cited_by_count":8},{"year":2019,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2026-05-06T08:25:59.206177","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}