{"id":"https://openalex.org/W4391517296","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1108/gs-11-2023-0112","title":"Damping accumulated discrete MGM(1, m) power model and its\u00a0application to forecasting agricultural output value share and\u00a0employment share","display_name":"Damping accumulated discrete MGM(1, m) power model and its\u00a0application to forecasting agricultural output value share and\u00a0employment share","publication_year":2024,"publication_date":"2024-02-03","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W4391517296","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1108/gs-11-2023-0112"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1108/gs-11-2023-0112","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1108/gs-11-2023-0112","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210188239","display_name":"Grey Systems Theory and Application","issn_l":"2043-9377","issn":["2043-9377","2043-9385"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319811","host_organization_name":"Emerald Publishing Limited","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319811"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Emerald Publishing Limited"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Grey Systems: Theory and Application","raw_type":"journal-article"},"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5027324923","display_name":"Liangshuai Li","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5206-3423"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I198645480","display_name":"North China University of Water Resources and Electric Power","ror":"https://ror.org/03acrzv41","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I198645480"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Liangshuai Li","raw_affiliation_strings":["North China University of Water Resources and Electric Power, Zhengzhou, China"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5206-3423","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"North China University of Water Resources and Electric Power, Zhengzhou, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I198645480"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5004313959","display_name":"Dang Luo","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8279-1584"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I198645480","display_name":"North China University of Water Resources and Electric Power","ror":"https://ror.org/03acrzv41","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I198645480"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Dang Luo","raw_affiliation_strings":["School of Management and Economics, North China University of Water Resources and Electric Power, Zhengzhou, China"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8279-1584","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"School of Management and Economics, North China University of Water Resources and Electric Power, Zhengzhou, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I198645480"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":2,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5027324923"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I198645480"],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":2.8157,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":6,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.89949054,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":90,"max":98},"biblio":{"volume":"14","issue":"2","first_page":"396","last_page":"413"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12368","display_name":"Grey System Theory Applications","score":0.9994000196456909,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12368","display_name":"Grey System Theory Applications","score":0.9994000196456909,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T14369","display_name":"Diverse Interdisciplinary Research Innovations","score":0.9855999946594238,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11052","display_name":"Energy Load and Power Forecasting","score":0.9769999980926514,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2208","display_name":"Electrical and Electronic Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/value","display_name":"Value (mathematics)","score":0.6221793293952942},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/power","display_name":"Power (physics)","score":0.6031310558319092},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/agriculture","display_name":"Agriculture","score":0.5700597763061523},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/agricultural-economics","display_name":"Agricultural economics","score":0.5019710063934326},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/market-share","display_name":"Market share","score":0.4963751435279846},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/business","display_name":"Business","score":0.43155354261398315},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/economics","display_name":"Economics","score":0.42531847953796387},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/agricultural-science","display_name":"Agricultural science","score":0.35470831394195557},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/microeconomics","display_name":"Microeconomics","score":0.35063350200653076},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/econometrics","display_name":"Econometrics","score":0.34039247035980225},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/mathematics","display_name":"Mathematics","score":0.33977818489074707},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/environmental-science","display_name":"Environmental science","score":0.2950741946697235},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/statistics","display_name":"Statistics","score":0.21164444088935852},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/finance","display_name":"Finance","score":0.19211047887802124},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/physics","display_name":"Physics","score":0.17483487725257874},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/geography","display_name":"Geography","score":0.08796274662017822}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2776291640","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2912517","display_name":"Value (mathematics)","level":2,"score":0.6221793293952942},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C163258240","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q25342","display_name":"Power (physics)","level":2,"score":0.6031310558319092},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C118518473","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11451","display_name":"Agriculture","level":2,"score":0.5700597763061523},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C48824518","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q396340","display_name":"Agricultural economics","level":1,"score":0.5019710063934326},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C16051113","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q828814","display_name":"Market share","level":2,"score":0.4963751435279846},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C144133560","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q4830453","display_name":"Business","level":0,"score":0.43155354261398315},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.42531847953796387},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C37621935","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3606845","display_name":"Agricultural science","level":1,"score":0.35470831394195557},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C175444787","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q39072","display_name":"Microeconomics","level":1,"score":0.35063350200653076},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149782125","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q160039","display_name":"Econometrics","level":1,"score":0.34039247035980225},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.33977818489074707},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C39432304","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q188847","display_name":"Environmental science","level":0,"score":0.2950741946697235},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C105795698","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12483","display_name":"Statistics","level":1,"score":0.21164444088935852},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C10138342","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q43015","display_name":"Finance","level":1,"score":0.19211047887802124},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C121332964","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q413","display_name":"Physics","level":0,"score":0.17483487725257874},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C205649164","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1071","display_name":"Geography","level":0,"score":0.08796274662017822},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C62520636","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q944","display_name":"Quantum mechanics","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C166957645","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q23498","display_name":"Archaeology","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1108/gs-11-2023-0112","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1108/gs-11-2023-0112","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210188239","display_name":"Grey Systems Theory and Application","issn_l":"2043-9377","issn":["2043-9377","2043-9385"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319811","host_organization_name":"Emerald Publishing Limited","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319811"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Emerald Publishing Limited"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Grey Systems: Theory and Application","raw_type":"journal-article"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[{"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/2","score":0.6200000047683716,"display_name":"Zero hunger"}],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":false,"pdf":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":20,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W2013377700","https://openalex.org/W2087120645","https://openalex.org/W2358030967","https://openalex.org/W2368170644","https://openalex.org/W2385992213","https://openalex.org/W2521809296","https://openalex.org/W2976176382","https://openalex.org/W3092879208","https://openalex.org/W3111776110","https://openalex.org/W3185342505","https://openalex.org/W4224272732","https://openalex.org/W4281645204","https://openalex.org/W4283219494","https://openalex.org/W4310344635","https://openalex.org/W4313416232","https://openalex.org/W4319296028","https://openalex.org/W4366987952","https://openalex.org/W4366988118","https://openalex.org/W4379179358","https://openalex.org/W4385785783"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2355956201","https://openalex.org/W2386195957","https://openalex.org/W2327874825","https://openalex.org/W2351852648","https://openalex.org/W2613051533","https://openalex.org/W2349774843","https://openalex.org/W2775541961","https://openalex.org/W2267286817","https://openalex.org/W3122389410","https://openalex.org/W2200951064"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Purpose":[0],"The":[1,60,95,141,198,216],"damping":[2,34,53],"accumulated":[3,35,54],"discrete":[4,36,48],"MGM(1,":[5,37],"m)":[6,38],"power":[7,39,58],"model":[8,40,62,102,200,225],"is":[9,109,156],"proposed":[10,201],"for":[11,187],"the":[12,16,23,33,45,66,74,83,100,114,126,145,152,170,177,207,224],"problem":[13],"of":[14,18,25,47,85,92,99,116,128,147,154,160,169,172,179,209],"forecasting":[15],"share":[17,24,115,127,146,153,171,178],"agricultural":[19,117,129,148,165,173,190],"output":[20,118,149,174],"value":[21,119,150,175],"and":[22,57,77,81,90,97,125,151,176,193,212],"employment":[26,130,155,180],"in":[27,73,112,120,144,195,202],"China.":[28,196],"Design/methodology/approach":[29],"In":[30],"this":[31,203],"study,":[32],"was":[41,220],"developed":[42],"based":[43],"on":[44],"idea":[46],"modelling":[49],"by":[50],"introducing":[51],"a":[52,157],"generating":[55],"operator":[56],"index.":[59],"new":[61,101,199,210],"can":[63,78,181],"better":[64],"identify":[65],"non-linear":[67],"characteristics":[68],"existing":[69],"between":[70,87],"different":[71],"factors":[72],"multivariate":[75],"system":[76],"accurately":[79],"describe":[80],"forecast":[82],"trend":[84],"changes":[86],"data":[88],"series":[89],"each":[91],"them.":[93],"Findings":[94],"validity":[96],"rationality":[98],"are":[103],"verified":[104],"through":[105],"numerical":[106],"experiment.":[107],"It":[108],"forecasted":[110],"that":[111,162],"2023,":[113],"China":[121],"will":[122,131],"be":[123,132],"7.14%":[124],"21.98%,":[133],"with":[134],"an":[135,183],"overall":[136],"decreasing":[137],"trend.":[138],"Practical":[139],"implications":[140],"simultaneous":[142],"decline":[143],"common":[158],"feature":[159],"countries":[161],"have":[163],"achieved":[164],"modernisation.":[166],"Accurate":[167],"forecasts":[168],"provide":[182],"important":[184],"scientific":[185],"basis":[186],"formulating":[188],"appropriate":[189],"development":[191],"targets":[192],"policies":[194],"Originality/value":[197],"study":[204],"fully":[205],"considers":[206],"importance":[208],"information":[211],"has":[213],"higher":[214],"stability.":[215],"differential":[217],"evolutionary":[218],"algorithm":[219],"used":[221],"to":[222],"optimise":[223],"parameters.":[226]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2026,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":4},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2025-11-06T03:46:38.306776","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}
