{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2574055960","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1108/gs-10-2016-0038","title":"Predicting product demand from small-sized data: grey models","display_name":"Predicting product demand from small-sized data: grey models","publication_year":2017,"publication_date":"2017-01-12","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2574055960","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1108/gs-10-2016-0038","mag":"2574055960"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1108/gs-10-2016-0038","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1108/gs-10-2016-0038","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210188239","display_name":"Grey Systems Theory and Application","issn_l":"2043-9377","issn":["2043-9377","2043-9385"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319811","host_organization_name":"Emerald Publishing Limited","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319811"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Emerald Publishing Limited"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Grey Systems: Theory and Application","raw_type":"journal-article"},"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5005852608","display_name":"Asl\u0131 \u00d6zdemir","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4494-5818"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I193615760","display_name":"Dokuz Eyl\u00fcl University","ror":"https://ror.org/00dbd8b73","country_code":"TR","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I193615760"]}],"countries":["TR"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Asli \u00d6zdemir","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Business Administration, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, Dokuz Eyl\u00fcl University, Izmir, Turkey"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Business Administration, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, Dokuz Eyl\u00fcl University, Izmir, Turkey","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I193615760"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5038811670","display_name":"G\u00fczin \u00d6zda\u011fo\u011flu","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3055-3055"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I193615760","display_name":"Dokuz Eyl\u00fcl University","ror":"https://ror.org/00dbd8b73","country_code":"TR","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I193615760"]}],"countries":["TR"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"G\u00fczin \u00d6zdagoglu","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Business Administration, Faculty of Business, Dokuz Eyl\u00fcl University, Izmir, Turkey"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Business Administration, Faculty of Business, Dokuz Eyl\u00fcl University, Izmir, Turkey","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I193615760"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":1,"corresponding_author_ids":[],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I193615760"],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":3.4943,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":24,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.92460003,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":true},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":89,"max":98},"biblio":{"volume":"7","issue":"1","first_page":"80","last_page":"96"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12368","display_name":"Grey System Theory Applications","score":0.9997000098228455,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12368","display_name":"Grey System Theory Applications","score":0.9997000098228455,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11918","display_name":"Forecasting Techniques and Applications","score":0.9243000149726868,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/markov-chain","display_name":"Markov chain","score":0.7766985297203064},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/markov-model","display_name":"Markov model","score":0.6052338480949402},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-science","display_name":"Computer science","score":0.5819143652915955},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/markov-process","display_name":"Markov process","score":0.4801470637321472},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/product","display_name":"Product (mathematics)","score":0.4450725317001343},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/predictive-modelling","display_name":"Predictive modelling","score":0.43247273564338684},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/machine-learning","display_name":"Machine learning","score":0.3650120496749878},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/mathematics","display_name":"Mathematics","score":0.2749199867248535},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/statistics","display_name":"Statistics","score":0.2393433153629303}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C98763669","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q176645","display_name":"Markov chain","level":2,"score":0.7766985297203064},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C163836022","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q6771326","display_name":"Markov model","level":3,"score":0.6052338480949402},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.5819143652915955},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C159886148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q176645","display_name":"Markov process","level":2,"score":0.4801470637321472},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C90673727","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q901718","display_name":"Product (mathematics)","level":2,"score":0.4450725317001343},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C45804977","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7239673","display_name":"Predictive modelling","level":2,"score":0.43247273564338684},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C119857082","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2539","display_name":"Machine learning","level":1,"score":0.3650120496749878},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.2749199867248535},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C105795698","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12483","display_name":"Statistics","level":1,"score":0.2393433153629303},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2524010","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8087","display_name":"Geometry","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1108/gs-10-2016-0038","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1108/gs-10-2016-0038","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210188239","display_name":"Grey Systems Theory and Application","issn_l":"2043-9377","issn":["2043-9377","2043-9385"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319811","host_organization_name":"Emerald Publishing Limited","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319811"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Emerald Publishing Limited"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Grey Systems: Theory and Application","raw_type":"journal-article"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"pdf":false,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":41,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W129043815","https://openalex.org/W288510130","https://openalex.org/W1508077128","https://openalex.org/W1577818368","https://openalex.org/W1587226007","https://openalex.org/W1604975429","https://openalex.org/W1625567676","https://openalex.org/W1922449927","https://openalex.org/W1972001192","https://openalex.org/W1981705407","https://openalex.org/W1984460224","https://openalex.org/W1992407708","https://openalex.org/W1993937071","https://openalex.org/W1995770317","https://openalex.org/W1999162744","https://openalex.org/W2013377700","https://openalex.org/W2039109810","https://openalex.org/W2042747470","https://openalex.org/W2043838937","https://openalex.org/W2044448282","https://openalex.org/W2061815493","https://openalex.org/W2077023485","https://openalex.org/W2079566966","https://openalex.org/W2080064381","https://openalex.org/W2086351355","https://openalex.org/W2101490097","https://openalex.org/W2113731792","https://openalex.org/W2124970969","https://openalex.org/W2133777675","https://openalex.org/W2137587379","https://openalex.org/W2146665754","https://openalex.org/W2151985800","https://openalex.org/W2157951357","https://openalex.org/W2211202103","https://openalex.org/W2320057337","https://openalex.org/W2327205188","https://openalex.org/W2328025282","https://openalex.org/W2482615287","https://openalex.org/W2497126564","https://openalex.org/W2530926409","https://openalex.org/W2538613596"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2379651310","https://openalex.org/W2113019827","https://openalex.org/W1541249122","https://openalex.org/W2084326697","https://openalex.org/W2027903142","https://openalex.org/W2354322608","https://openalex.org/W2804608325","https://openalex.org/W2077211377","https://openalex.org/W2186675474","https://openalex.org/W2387462590"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Purpose":[0],"Prediction":[1],"problems":[2,160],"raised":[3],"in":[4,19,52,161,210],"uncertain":[5],"environments":[6],"require":[7],"different":[8],"solution":[9],"approaches":[10],"such":[11],"as":[12],"grey":[13,42,50,62],"prediction":[14,43,55,91,124,159],"models,":[15],"which":[16],"consider":[17],"uncertainty":[18],"information":[20],"and":[21,46,67,106,138,152,198],"also":[22],"enable":[23],"the":[24,38,73,79,95,99,115,127,136,139,142,174,177,189,201,206],"use":[25],"of":[26,32,41,61,81,98,141,164,169],"small":[27],"data":[28],"sets.":[29],"The":[30,58,83,167],"purpose":[31],"this":[33,170,199],"paper":[34,203],"is":[35,64,76,133,200],"to":[36,93],"investigate":[37],"comparative":[39],"performances":[40],"models":[44,51,63],"(GM)":[45],"Markov":[47],"chain":[48],"integrated":[49,70],"a":[53,88,146,194],"demand":[54,90,158,186],"problem.":[56],"Design/methodology/approach":[57],"modeling":[59,96],"process":[60],"initially":[65],"described,":[66],"then":[68],"an":[69],"model":[71,75,117,180,192,209],"called":[72],"Grey-Markov":[74,116],"presented":[77],"for":[78,149,185],"convenience":[80],"applications.":[82],"analyses":[84],"are":[85],"conducted":[86],"on":[87,119],"monthly":[89],"problem":[92],"demonstrate":[94],"accuracies":[97],"GM":[100,102,104,107,120,178,190,207],"(1,1),":[101],"(2,1),":[103],"(1,1)-Markov,":[105],"(2,1)-Markov":[108,179,191,208],"models.":[109,129],"Findings":[110],"Numerical":[111],"results":[112],"reveal":[113],"that":[114,135,176,204],"based":[118],"(2,1)":[121],"achieves":[122],"better":[123],"performance":[125],"than":[126],"other":[128],"Practical":[130],"implications":[131],"It":[132],"thought":[134],"methodology":[137],"findings":[140],"study":[143,171],"will":[144],"be":[145],"significant":[147],"reference":[148],"both":[150],"academics":[151],"executives":[153],"who":[154],"struggle":[155],"with":[156],"similar":[157],"their":[162],"fields":[163],"interest.":[165],"Originality/value":[166],"novelty":[168],"comes":[172],"from":[173],"fact":[175],"has":[181],"been":[182],"first":[183],"used":[184],"prediction.":[187],"Furthermore,":[188],"represents":[193],"relatively":[195],"new":[196],"approach,":[197],"second":[202],"addresses":[205],"any":[211],"area.":[212]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2026,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":5},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2020,"cited_by_count":4},{"year":2019,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2018,"cited_by_count":5},{"year":2017,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2026-06-26T08:34:08.712188","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}
