{"id":"https://openalex.org/W4388527907","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1108/gs-06-2023-0048","title":"Memory-dependent derivative grey Bernoulli model and its application in electricity generation forecast","display_name":"Memory-dependent derivative grey Bernoulli model and its application in electricity generation forecast","publication_year":2023,"publication_date":"2023-11-09","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W4388527907","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1108/gs-06-2023-0048"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1108/gs-06-2023-0048","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1108/gs-06-2023-0048","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210188239","display_name":"Grey Systems Theory and Application","issn_l":"2043-9377","issn":["2043-9377","2043-9385"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319811","host_organization_name":"Emerald Publishing Limited","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319811"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Emerald Publishing Limited"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Grey Systems: Theory and Application","raw_type":"journal-article"},"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5083051166","display_name":"Yonghong Zhang","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0009-0001-5015-3836"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I76569877","display_name":"Southeast University","ror":"https://ror.org/04ct4d772","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I76569877"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Yonghong Zhang","raw_affiliation_strings":["School of Cyber Science and Engineering, Southeast University, Nanjing, China"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0009-0001-5015-3836","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"School of Cyber Science and Engineering, Southeast University, Nanjing, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I76569877"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5101541193","display_name":"Shouwei Li","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4726-7215"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I76569877","display_name":"Southeast University","ror":"https://ror.org/04ct4d772","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I76569877"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Shouwei Li","raw_affiliation_strings":["School of Economics and Management, Southeast University, Nanjing, China"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"School of Economics and Management, Southeast University, Nanjing, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I76569877"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5100416928","display_name":"Jingwei Li","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9052-0066"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I76569877","display_name":"Southeast University","ror":"https://ror.org/04ct4d772","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I76569877"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Jingwei Li","raw_affiliation_strings":["School of Economics and Management, Southeast University, Nanjing, China"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9052-0066","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"School of Economics and Management, Southeast University, Nanjing, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I76569877"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5026256433","display_name":"Xiaoyu Tang","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0009-0000-7373-7618"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I76569877","display_name":"Southeast University","ror":"https://ror.org/04ct4d772","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I76569877"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Xiaoyu Tang","raw_affiliation_strings":["School of Cyber Science and Engineering, Southeast University, Nanjing, China"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"School of Cyber Science and Engineering, Southeast University, Nanjing, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I76569877"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":1,"corresponding_author_ids":[],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I76569877"],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":0.6666,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":3,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.73612123,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":94,"max":97},"biblio":{"volume":"14","issue":"1","first_page":"160","last_page":"184"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12368","display_name":"Grey System Theory Applications","score":0.9998999834060669,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12368","display_name":"Grey System Theory Applications","score":0.9998999834060669,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11052","display_name":"Energy Load and Power Forecasting","score":0.9736999869346619,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2208","display_name":"Electrical and Electronic Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-science","display_name":"Computer science","score":0.6793575882911682},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/memory-model","display_name":"Memory model","score":0.5154439210891724},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/kernel","display_name":"Kernel (algebra)","score":0.48442986607551575},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/artificial-intelligence","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","score":0.37939929962158203},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/algorithm","display_name":"Algorithm","score":0.36049169301986694},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/mathematics","display_name":"Mathematics","score":0.24786296486854553},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/parallel-computing","display_name":"Parallel computing","score":0.09308099746704102},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/shared-memory","display_name":"Shared memory","score":0.07615223526954651}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.6793575882911682},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C12186640","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q6815743","display_name":"Memory model","level":3,"score":0.5154439210891724},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C74193536","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q574844","display_name":"Kernel (algebra)","level":2,"score":0.48442986607551575},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C154945302","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11660","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","level":1,"score":0.37939929962158203},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C11413529","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8366","display_name":"Algorithm","level":1,"score":0.36049169301986694},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.24786296486854553},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C173608175","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q232661","display_name":"Parallel computing","level":1,"score":0.09308099746704102},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C133875982","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q764810","display_name":"Shared memory","level":2,"score":0.07615223526954651},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C114614502","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q76592","display_name":"Combinatorics","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1108/gs-06-2023-0048","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1108/gs-06-2023-0048","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210188239","display_name":"Grey Systems Theory and Application","issn_l":"2043-9377","issn":["2043-9377","2043-9385"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319811","host_organization_name":"Emerald Publishing Limited","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319811"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Emerald Publishing Limited"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Grey Systems: Theory and Application","raw_type":"journal-article"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[{"score":0.49000000953674316,"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/7","display_name":"Affordable and clean energy"}],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"pdf":false,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":35,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W2004199150","https://openalex.org/W2085103034","https://openalex.org/W2218802200","https://openalex.org/W2290883490","https://openalex.org/W2887719172","https://openalex.org/W2958134154","https://openalex.org/W3083950749","https://openalex.org/W3095016133","https://openalex.org/W3120779329","https://openalex.org/W3129539924","https://openalex.org/W3138723290","https://openalex.org/W3139787548","https://openalex.org/W3159873881","https://openalex.org/W3171619937","https://openalex.org/W3180175816","https://openalex.org/W3180569766","https://openalex.org/W3187411832","https://openalex.org/W3198565176","https://openalex.org/W3201863202","https://openalex.org/W3211993187","https://openalex.org/W3217188649","https://openalex.org/W4205458167","https://openalex.org/W4210968281","https://openalex.org/W4211240201","https://openalex.org/W4281251059","https://openalex.org/W4281700057","https://openalex.org/W4284667427","https://openalex.org/W4303424134","https://openalex.org/W4307235836","https://openalex.org/W4307405511","https://openalex.org/W4313201657","https://openalex.org/W4313644931","https://openalex.org/W4315628240","https://openalex.org/W4320015912","https://openalex.org/W4360616077"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2748952813","https://openalex.org/W2051487156","https://openalex.org/W2073681303","https://openalex.org/W2390279801","https://openalex.org/W2358668433","https://openalex.org/W2376932109","https://openalex.org/W2001405890","https://openalex.org/W2382290278","https://openalex.org/W2350741829","https://openalex.org/W2530322880"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Purpose":[0],"This":[1,39],"paper":[2,40],"aims":[3],"to":[4,17,92,109,193,246,282],"develop":[5],"a":[6,53,184,219,264],"novel":[7,54],"grey":[8,44,57,82,166,267],"Bernoulli":[9,45,268],"model":[10,46,126,130,147,157,167,189,232,269],"with":[11,196,254],"memory":[12,22,29,73,100,117,121,135,139,181,198,215,228,243,249,276],"characteristics,":[13],"which":[14,222],"is":[15,62,79,90,148,168,190,223,278],"designed":[16],"dynamically":[18],"choose":[19],"the":[20,26,34,42,66,72,86,94,105,134,143,146,180,227,238,260,274],"optimal":[21],"kernel":[23,101,118,136,229,240],"function":[24,102,137],"and":[25,99,120,138,142,175,200,242,280,290],"length":[27,70],"of":[28,71,104,115,145,207],"dependence":[30,74,140],"period,":[31],"ultimately":[32],"enhancing":[33,251],"model's":[35],"predictive":[36],"accuracy.":[37],"Design/methodology/approach":[38],"enhances":[41],"traditional":[43],"by":[47,226],"introducing":[48],"memory-dependent":[49,55,77,176,261,265],"derivatives,":[50],"resulting":[51],"in":[52,159,233,286],"derivative":[56,262,266],"model.":[58],"Additionally,":[59],"fractional-order":[60],"accumulation":[61],"employed":[63],"for":[64,76,171],"preprocessing":[65],"original":[67],"data.":[68],"The":[69,113,129,156,165,231],"period":[75],"derivatives":[78,177],"determined":[80],"through":[81],"correlation":[83],"analysis.":[84],"Furthermore,":[85],"whale":[87],"optimization":[88],"algorithm":[89],"utilized":[91],"optimize":[93],"cumulative":[95],"order,":[96],"power":[97,283],"index":[98,103],"model,":[106],"enabling":[107],"adaptability":[108],"diverse":[110],"scenarios.":[111,256],"Findings":[112],"selection":[114],"appropriate":[116,239],"functions":[119,241],"dependency":[122,244],"lengths":[123,245],"will":[124],"improve":[125],"prediction":[127,195],"performance.":[128],"can":[131],"adaptively":[132],"select":[133],"length,":[141],"performance":[144],"better":[149],"than":[150],"other":[151],"comparison":[152],"models.":[153],"Research":[154],"limitations/implications":[155],"presented":[158],"this":[160,188,234],"article":[161],"has":[162,201],"some":[163],"limitations.":[164],"itself":[169],"suitable":[170],"small":[172],"sample":[173],"data,":[174],"mainly":[178,191],"consider":[179],"effect":[182,199,277],"on":[183,204,259],"fixed":[185],"length.":[186],"Therefore,":[187],"applicable":[192],"data":[194],"short-term":[197],"certain":[202],"limitations":[203],"time":[205],"series":[206],"long-term":[208],"memory.":[209],"Practical":[210],"implications":[211],"In":[212],"practical":[213],"systems,":[214],"effects":[216],"typically":[217],"exhibit":[218],"decaying":[220],"pattern,":[221],"effectively":[224],"characterized":[225],"function.":[230],"study":[235],"skillfully":[236],"determines":[237],"capture":[247],"these":[248],"effects,":[250],"its":[252],"alignment":[253],"real-world":[255],"Originality/value":[257],"Based":[258],"method,":[263],"that":[270],"more":[271],"accurately":[272],"reflects":[273],"actual":[275],"constructed":[279],"applied":[281],"generation":[284],"forecasting":[285],"China,":[287],"South":[288],"Korea":[289],"India.":[291]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2026,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":2}],"updated_date":"2026-05-21T06:26:12.895304","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}
