{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2788130995","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1108/gs-01-2018-0004","title":"A new coupled ARMA-FGM model and its application in the internet third-party payment forecasting in China","display_name":"A new coupled ARMA-FGM model and its application in the internet third-party payment forecasting in China","publication_year":2018,"publication_date":"2018-02-14","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2788130995","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1108/gs-01-2018-0004","mag":"2788130995"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1108/gs-01-2018-0004","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1108/gs-01-2018-0004","pdf_url":"https://www.emerald.com/insight/content/doi/10.1108/GS-01-2018-0004/full/pdf?title=a-new-coupled-arma-fgm-model-and-its-application-in-the-internet-third-party-payment-forecasting-in-china","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210188239","display_name":"Grey Systems Theory and Application","issn_l":"2043-9377","issn":["2043-9377","2043-9385"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319811","host_organization_name":"Emerald Publishing Limited","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319811"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Emerald Publishing Limited"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Grey Systems: Theory and Application","raw_type":"journal-article"},"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"bronze","oa_url":"https://www.emerald.com/insight/content/doi/10.1108/GS-01-2018-0004/full/pdf?title=a-new-coupled-arma-fgm-model-and-its-application-in-the-internet-third-party-payment-forecasting-in-china","any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5019614817","display_name":"Shuhua Mao","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0344-4646"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I196699116","display_name":"Wuhan University of Technology","ror":"https://ror.org/03fe7t173","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I196699116"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Shuhua Mao","raw_affiliation_strings":["College of Science, Wuhan University of Technology, Wuhan, China"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"College of Science, Wuhan University of Technology, Wuhan, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I196699116"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5080165465","display_name":"Xianpeng Wang","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8132-9446"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I196699116","display_name":"Wuhan University of Technology","ror":"https://ror.org/03fe7t173","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I196699116"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Xianpeng Wang","raw_affiliation_strings":["College of Science, Wuhan University of Technology, Wuhan, China"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"College of Science, Wuhan University of Technology, Wuhan, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I196699116"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5082931062","display_name":"Min Zhu","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9242-9845"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I196699116","display_name":"Wuhan University of Technology","ror":"https://ror.org/03fe7t173","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I196699116"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Min Zhu","raw_affiliation_strings":["College of Science, Wuhan University of Technology, Wuhan, China"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"College of Science, Wuhan University of Technology, Wuhan, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I196699116"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":1,"corresponding_author_ids":[],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I196699116"],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":0.4246,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":4,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.66654034,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":89,"max":95},"biblio":{"volume":"8","issue":"2","first_page":"181","last_page":"198"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12368","display_name":"Grey System Theory Applications","score":0.9998000264167786,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12368","display_name":"Grey System Theory Applications","score":0.9998000264167786,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11918","display_name":"Forecasting Techniques and Applications","score":0.9833999872207642,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11052","display_name":"Energy Load and Power Forecasting","score":0.9441999793052673,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2208","display_name":"Electrical and Electronic Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/payment","display_name":"Payment","score":0.7091505527496338},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/database-transaction","display_name":"Database transaction","score":0.5519530177116394},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/china","display_name":"China","score":0.5308374166488647},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/payment-system","display_name":"Payment system","score":0.5119291543960571},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/order","display_name":"Order (exchange)","score":0.5058071613311768},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-science","display_name":"Computer science","score":0.4814709722995758},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/econometrics","display_name":"Econometrics","score":0.4794522821903229},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/the-internet","display_name":"The Internet","score":0.4405997097492218},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/value","display_name":"Value (mathematics)","score":0.42469996213912964},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/business","display_name":"Business","score":0.327578604221344},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/economics","display_name":"Economics","score":0.3213917911052704},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/finance","display_name":"Finance","score":0.10721486806869507},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/world-wide-web","display_name":"World Wide Web","score":0.08671131730079651}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C145097563","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1148747","display_name":"Payment","level":2,"score":0.7091505527496338},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C75949130","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q848010","display_name":"Database transaction","level":2,"score":0.5519530177116394},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C191935318","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q148","display_name":"China","level":2,"score":0.5308374166488647},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2776983043","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q986008","display_name":"Payment system","level":3,"score":0.5119291543960571},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C182306322","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1779371","display_name":"Order (exchange)","level":2,"score":0.5058071613311768},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.4814709722995758},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149782125","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q160039","display_name":"Econometrics","level":1,"score":0.4794522821903229},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C110875604","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q75","display_name":"The Internet","level":2,"score":0.4405997097492218},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2776291640","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2912517","display_name":"Value (mathematics)","level":2,"score":0.42469996213912964},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C144133560","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q4830453","display_name":"Business","level":0,"score":0.327578604221344},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.3213917911052704},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C10138342","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q43015","display_name":"Finance","level":1,"score":0.10721486806869507},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C136764020","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q466","display_name":"World Wide Web","level":1,"score":0.08671131730079651},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C199539241","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7748","display_name":"Law","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C119857082","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2539","display_name":"Machine learning","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C199360897","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9143","display_name":"Programming language","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C17744445","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q36442","display_name":"Political science","level":0,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1108/gs-01-2018-0004","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1108/gs-01-2018-0004","pdf_url":"https://www.emerald.com/insight/content/doi/10.1108/GS-01-2018-0004/full/pdf?title=a-new-coupled-arma-fgm-model-and-its-application-in-the-internet-third-party-payment-forecasting-in-china","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210188239","display_name":"Grey Systems Theory and Application","issn_l":"2043-9377","issn":["2043-9377","2043-9385"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319811","host_organization_name":"Emerald Publishing Limited","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319811"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Emerald Publishing Limited"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Grey Systems: Theory and Application","raw_type":"journal-article"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.1108/gs-01-2018-0004","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1108/gs-01-2018-0004","pdf_url":"https://www.emerald.com/insight/content/doi/10.1108/GS-01-2018-0004/full/pdf?title=a-new-coupled-arma-fgm-model-and-its-application-in-the-internet-third-party-payment-forecasting-in-china","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210188239","display_name":"Grey Systems Theory and Application","issn_l":"2043-9377","issn":["2043-9377","2043-9385"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319811","host_organization_name":"Emerald Publishing Limited","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319811"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Emerald Publishing Limited"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Grey Systems: Theory and Application","raw_type":"journal-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":false,"pdf":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":29,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W1577818368","https://openalex.org/W1606326889","https://openalex.org/W1979575715","https://openalex.org/W1986528915","https://openalex.org/W1992665910","https://openalex.org/W1999996900","https://openalex.org/W2013377700","https://openalex.org/W2015568975","https://openalex.org/W2031118743","https://openalex.org/W2037277168","https://openalex.org/W2055781590","https://openalex.org/W2060482401","https://openalex.org/W2079560958","https://openalex.org/W2124357853","https://openalex.org/W2167467896","https://openalex.org/W2218802200","https://openalex.org/W2349573486","https://openalex.org/W2359126713","https://openalex.org/W2360921701","https://openalex.org/W2367743349","https://openalex.org/W2369786665","https://openalex.org/W2378165452","https://openalex.org/W2378619900","https://openalex.org/W2380648814","https://openalex.org/W2384707919","https://openalex.org/W2388997047","https://openalex.org/W2391572749","https://openalex.org/W2392314948","https://openalex.org/W2509512661"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W4387389211","https://openalex.org/W2059272164","https://openalex.org/W2626891284","https://openalex.org/W3202903190","https://openalex.org/W1895768774","https://openalex.org/W2753683332","https://openalex.org/W2359711093","https://openalex.org/W2100248832","https://openalex.org/W4243402857","https://openalex.org/W1520980463"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Purpose":[0],"With":[1],"the":[2,9,15,20,64,70,80,83,89,94,111,115,143,148,160,177,184,197,204],"rapid":[3],"development":[4,40,138,149,167,205],"of":[5,19,26,82,88,151,169,190,206],"e-commerce":[6],"in":[7,49,76],"China,":[8,50],"third-party":[10,47,131,152,172,185,207],"payment":[11,55,133,154,187,208],"system":[12],"greatly":[13],"improved":[14],"efficiency":[16],"and":[17,63,120],"volume":[18,188],"entire":[21],"trading":[22],"market.":[23],"The":[24,43,86,99,140,156],"purpose":[25],"this":[27,194],"paper":[28,127,195],"is":[29,74,97,107,162],"to":[30,37,78,109,135,164,183,202],"put":[31],"forward":[32],"a":[33],"suitable":[34,146,163],"prediction":[35],"model":[36,62,67,73,96,106,145,161,201],"analyse":[38,45],"its":[39,137,166],"trend.":[41,139],"Design/methodology/approach":[42],"authors":[44,141],"internet":[46],"payments":[48],"taking":[51],"into":[52],"account":[53],"online":[54,132,153,173,186],"transaction":[56,84],"values":[57],"coupled":[58],"with":[59,199],"an":[60],"ARMA":[61,200],"fractional":[65],"grey":[66,192],"(FGM).":[68],"First,":[69],"rolling":[71],"FGM":[72,95,198],"applied":[75],"order":[77,119],"characterise":[79],"trends":[81],"volume.":[85],"influence":[87,179],"initial":[90],"value":[91],"change":[92],"on":[93],"analysed.":[98],"optimisation":[100],"mean":[101],"absolute":[102],"percentage":[103],"error":[104],"(MAPE)":[105],"constructed":[108],"determine":[110],"optimal":[112,117,121],"translational":[113],"values,":[114],"corresponding":[116],"accumulation":[118,123],"inverse":[122],"order.":[124],"Findings":[125],"This":[126],"uses":[128],"China\u2019s":[129,170],"recent":[130,171],"data":[134,189],"quantify":[136,165],"find":[142],"coupling":[144],"for":[147],"trend":[150,168],"transaction.":[155],"results":[157],"show":[158],"that":[159,181],"payment.":[174],"Originality/value":[175],"Considering":[176],"complex":[178],"factors":[180],"lead":[182],"time-varying":[191],"feature,":[193],"combines":[196],"describe":[203],"mode.":[209]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":2}],"updated_date":"2026-05-21T06:26:12.895304","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}