{"id":"https://openalex.org/W4399853954","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1108/ajim-10-2023-0450","title":"Discovering and early predicting popularity evolution patterns of\u00a0social media emergency information","display_name":"Discovering and early predicting popularity evolution patterns of\u00a0social media emergency information","publication_year":2024,"publication_date":"2024-06-20","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W4399853954","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1108/ajim-10-2023-0450"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1108/ajim-10-2023-0450","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1108/ajim-10-2023-0450","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210181081","display_name":"Aslib Journal of Information Management","issn_l":"2050-3806","issn":["2050-3806","2050-3814"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319811","host_organization_name":"Emerald Publishing Limited","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319811"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Emerald Publishing Limited"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Aslib Journal of Information Management","raw_type":"journal-article"},"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5000269710","display_name":"Delin Yuan","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0009-0007-4182-9121"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I200845125","display_name":"Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology","ror":"https://ror.org/02y0rxk19","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I200845125"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I881766915","display_name":"Nanjing University","ror":"https://ror.org/01rxvg760","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I881766915"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Delin Yuan","raw_affiliation_strings":["Laboratory of Data Intelligence and Interdisciplinary Innovation, Nanjing University , ,","School of Information Management, Nanjing University , ,"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0009-0007-4182-9121","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Laboratory of Data Intelligence and Interdisciplinary Innovation, Nanjing University , ,","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I200845125"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"School of Information Management, Nanjing University , ,","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I200845125","https://openalex.org/I881766915"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5052063587","display_name":"Yang Li","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0009-0005-0246-4313"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I200845125","display_name":"Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology","ror":"https://ror.org/02y0rxk19","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I200845125"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I881766915","display_name":"Nanjing University","ror":"https://ror.org/01rxvg760","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I881766915"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Yang Li","raw_affiliation_strings":["Laboratory of Data Intelligence and Interdisciplinary Innovation, Nanjing University , ,","School of Information Management, Nanjing University , ,"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0009-0005-0246-4313","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Laboratory of Data Intelligence and Interdisciplinary Innovation, Nanjing University , ,","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I200845125"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"School of Information Management, Nanjing University , ,","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I200845125","https://openalex.org/I881766915"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":2,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5000269710"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I200845125","https://openalex.org/I881766915"],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":0.0,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":0,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.08593573,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":null,"biblio":{"volume":"77","issue":"6","first_page":"1129","last_page":"1151"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10064","display_name":"Complex Network Analysis Techniques","score":0.9991999864578247,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3109","display_name":"Statistical and Nonlinear Physics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/31","display_name":"Physics and Astronomy"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10064","display_name":"Complex Network Analysis Techniques","score":0.9991999864578247,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3109","display_name":"Statistical and Nonlinear Physics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/31","display_name":"Physics and Astronomy"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T13083","display_name":"Advanced Text Analysis Techniques","score":0.9973000288009644,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1702","display_name":"Artificial Intelligence"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/17","display_name":"Computer Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12592","display_name":"Opinion Dynamics and Social Influence","score":0.9872000217437744,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3109","display_name":"Statistical and Nonlinear Physics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/31","display_name":"Physics and Astronomy"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/popularity","display_name":"Popularity","score":0.9403544068336487},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/social-media","display_name":"Social media","score":0.7943408489227295},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/data-science","display_name":"Data science","score":0.49586376547813416},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-science","display_name":"Computer science","score":0.42183998227119446},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/internet-privacy","display_name":"Internet privacy","score":0.3505447208881378},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/world-wide-web","display_name":"World Wide Web","score":0.3455483317375183},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/psychology","display_name":"Psychology","score":0.2734624147415161},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/social-psychology","display_name":"Social psychology","score":0.10130244493484497}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2780586970","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1357284","display_name":"Popularity","level":2,"score":0.9403544068336487},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C518677369","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q202833","display_name":"Social media","level":2,"score":0.7943408489227295},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2522767166","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2374463","display_name":"Data science","level":1,"score":0.49586376547813416},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.42183998227119446},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C108827166","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q175975","display_name":"Internet privacy","level":1,"score":0.3505447208881378},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C136764020","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q466","display_name":"World Wide Web","level":1,"score":0.3455483317375183},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C15744967","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9418","display_name":"Psychology","level":0,"score":0.2734624147415161},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C77805123","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q161272","display_name":"Social psychology","level":1,"score":0.10130244493484497}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1108/ajim-10-2023-0450","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1108/ajim-10-2023-0450","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210181081","display_name":"Aslib Journal of Information Management","issn_l":"2050-3806","issn":["2050-3806","2050-3814"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319811","host_organization_name":"Emerald Publishing Limited","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319811"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Emerald Publishing Limited"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Aslib Journal of Information Management","raw_type":"journal-article"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[{"score":0.6499999761581421,"display_name":"Good health and well-being","id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/3"}],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"pdf":false,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":20,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W2037537012","https://openalex.org/W2037970810","https://openalex.org/W2112056172","https://openalex.org/W2295893477","https://openalex.org/W2347186331","https://openalex.org/W2783939666","https://openalex.org/W2790551770","https://openalex.org/W2808422878","https://openalex.org/W2810026022","https://openalex.org/W2885998864","https://openalex.org/W2938605869","https://openalex.org/W2944736719","https://openalex.org/W2952395191","https://openalex.org/W3010408744","https://openalex.org/W3011720243","https://openalex.org/W3082246766","https://openalex.org/W3087946612","https://openalex.org/W4287687124","https://openalex.org/W4383676236","https://openalex.org/W4386198267"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2748952813","https://openalex.org/W2368605798","https://openalex.org/W2518037665","https://openalex.org/W2348524959","https://openalex.org/W2477036161","https://openalex.org/W2368049389","https://openalex.org/W2384861574","https://openalex.org/W4294565801","https://openalex.org/W2093123876","https://openalex.org/W4388192780"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Purpose":[0],"When":[1],"emergencies":[2],"occur,":[3],"the":[4,7,21,35,51,55,59,65,121,134,153,172,191,203,209,213,216,221,229,233,237,242,249,268,273,292,301],"attention":[5],"of":[6,29,39,74,136,171,202,254,261,275,285,303],"public":[8,311],"towards":[9],"emergency":[10,22,42,75,137,264,278,306],"information":[11,23,43,76,115,222,234,265,279,307],"on":[12,58],"social":[13,40,262,276,304],"media":[14,41,263,277,305],"in":[15,232],"a":[16,107,129],"specific":[17],"time":[18,131,231,269],"period":[19],"forms":[20],"popularity":[24,36,77,266,280],"evolution":[25,37,78],"patterns.":[26,79,155],"The":[27,167,200],"purpose":[28],"this":[30,164],"study":[31,247],"is":[32,288],"to":[33,54,69,151,215,241,290,300],"discover":[34],"patterns":[38,73,81,253,274,287],"and":[44,63,95,103,117,142,161,176,186,224,251,256,259,271,314],"make":[45],"early":[46,101,118,122,210,283],"predictions.":[47],"Design/methodology/approach":[48],"We":[49],"collected":[50],"data":[52,124],"related":[53,286],"COVID-19":[56],"epidemic":[57],"Sina":[60],"Weibo":[61],"platform":[62],"applied":[64],"K-Shape":[66],"clustering":[67],"algorithm":[68],"identify":[70],"five":[71],"distinct":[72],"These":[80,297],"include":[82],"strong":[83],"twin":[84,87],"peaks,":[85,88],"weak":[86],"short-lived":[89],"single":[90,93,97],"peak,":[91],"slow-to-warm-up":[92],"peak":[94],"slow-to-decay":[96],"peak.":[98],"Oriented":[99],"toward":[100],"monitoring":[102],"warning,":[104],"we":[105,145],"developed":[106],"comprehensive":[108],"characteristic":[109],"system":[110],"that":[111,208],"incorporates":[112],"publisher":[113,225],"features,":[114,123],"features":[116,211,223,235],"features.":[119,226],"In":[120],"measurements":[125],"are":[126],"taken":[127],"within":[128],"1-h":[130],"window":[132],"after":[133],"release":[135,230,308],"information.":[138],"Considering":[139],"real-time":[140],"response":[141],"analysis":[143,206],"speed,":[144],"employed":[146],"classical":[147],"machine":[148],"learning":[149],"methods":[150],"predict":[152],"relevant":[154],"Multiple":[156],"classification":[157],"models":[158],"were":[159],"trained":[160],"evaluated":[162],"for":[163,194],"purpose.":[165],"Findings":[166],"combined":[168],"prediction":[169,174,197,243,284],"results":[170,201],"best":[173],"model":[175],"random":[177],"forest":[178],"(RF)":[179],"demonstrate":[180],"impressive":[181],"performance,":[182],"with":[183],"precision,":[184],"recall":[185],"F1-score":[187],"reaching":[188],"88%.":[189],"Moreover,":[190],"F1":[192],"value":[193],"each":[195],"pattern":[196,217],"surpasses":[198],"87%.":[199],"feature":[204],"importance":[205],"show":[207],"contribute":[212,299],"most":[214,238],"prediction,":[218],"followed":[219],"by":[220],"Among":[227],"them,":[228],"exhibits":[236],"substantial":[239],"contribution":[240],"outcome.":[244],"Originality/value":[245],"This":[246],"reveals":[248],"phenomena":[250],"special":[252],"growth":[255],"decline,":[257],"appearance":[258],"disappearance":[260],"from":[267],"dimension":[270],"identifies":[272],"evolution.":[281],"Meanwhile,":[282],"made":[289],"explore":[291],"role":[293],"factors":[294],"behind":[295],"them.":[296],"findings":[298],"formulation":[302],"strategies,":[309],"online":[310],"opinion":[312],"guidance":[313],"risk":[315],"monitoring.":[316]},"counts_by_year":[],"updated_date":"2025-11-06T03:46:38.306776","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}
