{"id":"https://openalex.org/W3124899688","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1080/03610918.2020.1854302","title":"Employing long short-term memory and Facebook prophet model in air temperature forecasting","display_name":"Employing long short-term memory and Facebook prophet model in air temperature forecasting","publication_year":2021,"publication_date":"2021-01-19","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W3124899688","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1080/03610918.2020.1854302","mag":"3124899688"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1080/03610918.2020.1854302","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1080/03610918.2020.1854302","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S153329750","display_name":"Communications in Statistics - Simulation and Computation","issn_l":"0361-0918","issn":["0361-0918","1532-4141"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320547","host_organization_name":"Taylor & Francis","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320547"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Taylor & Francis"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Communications in Statistics - Simulation and Computation","raw_type":"journal-article"},"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5059432533","display_name":"Toni Toharudin","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6077-0881"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I139264467","display_name":"Seoul National University","ror":"https://ror.org/04h9pn542","country_code":"KR","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I139264467"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I91819753","display_name":"Padjadjaran University","ror":"https://ror.org/00xqf8t64","country_code":"ID","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I91819753"]}],"countries":["ID","KR"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Toni Toharudin","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Statistics, College of Natural Science, Seoul National University, Seoul metropolis, Republic of Korea","Department of Statistics, Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Science, Padjadjaran University, Indonesia"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Statistics, College of Natural Science, Seoul National University, Seoul metropolis, Republic of Korea","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I139264467"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Statistics, Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Science, Padjadjaran University, Indonesia","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I91819753"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5063486842","display_name":"Resa Septiani Pontoh","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0189-8679"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I91819753","display_name":"Padjadjaran University","ror":"https://ror.org/00xqf8t64","country_code":"ID","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I91819753"]}],"countries":["ID"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Resa Septiani Pontoh","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Statistics, Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Science, Padjadjaran University, Indonesia"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Statistics, Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Science, Padjadjaran University, Indonesia","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I91819753"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5054788236","display_name":"Rezzy Eko Caraka","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1812-7478"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I126145234","display_name":"Chaoyang University of Technology","ror":"https://ror.org/04xwksx09","country_code":"TW","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I126145234"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I139264467","display_name":"Seoul National University","ror":"https://ror.org/04h9pn542","country_code":"KR","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I139264467"]}],"countries":["KR","TW"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Rezzy Eko Caraka","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Information Management, College of Informatics, Chaoyang University of Technology, Taiwan (R.O.C.)","Department of Statistics, College of Natural Science, Seoul National University, Seoul metropolis, Republic of Korea","Research for Basic Sciences, Lab Hierarchical Likelihood, College of Natural Science, Seoul National University, Seoul Metropolis, Republic of Korea"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Information Management, College of Informatics, Chaoyang University of Technology, Taiwan (R.O.C.)","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I126145234"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Statistics, College of Natural Science, Seoul National University, Seoul metropolis, Republic of Korea","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I139264467"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Research for Basic Sciences, Lab Hierarchical Likelihood, College of Natural Science, Seoul National University, Seoul Metropolis, Republic of Korea","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I139264467"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5113931433","display_name":"Solichatus Zahroh","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I91819753","display_name":"Padjadjaran University","ror":"https://ror.org/00xqf8t64","country_code":"ID","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I91819753"]}],"countries":["ID"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Solichatus Zahroh","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Statistics, Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Science, Padjadjaran University, Indonesia"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Statistics, Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Science, Padjadjaran University, Indonesia","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I91819753"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5014132188","display_name":"Youngjo Lee","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9820-6434"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I139264467","display_name":"Seoul National University","ror":"https://ror.org/04h9pn542","country_code":"KR","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I139264467"]}],"countries":["KR"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Youngjo Lee","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Statistics, College of Natural Science, Seoul National University, Seoul metropolis, Republic of Korea","Research for Basic Sciences, Lab Hierarchical Likelihood, College of Natural Science, Seoul National University, Seoul Metropolis, Republic of Korea"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Statistics, College of Natural Science, Seoul National University, Seoul metropolis, Republic of Korea","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I139264467"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Research for Basic Sciences, Lab Hierarchical Likelihood, College of Natural Science, Seoul National University, Seoul Metropolis, Republic of Korea","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I139264467"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5065193429","display_name":"Rung-Ching Chen","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7621-1988"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I126145234","display_name":"Chaoyang University of Technology","ror":"https://ror.org/04xwksx09","country_code":"TW","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I126145234"]}],"countries":["TW"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Rung Ching Chen","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Information Management, College of Informatics, Chaoyang University of Technology, Taiwan (R.O.C.)"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Information Management, College of Informatics, Chaoyang University of Technology, Taiwan (R.O.C.)","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I126145234"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":3,"institutions_distinct_count":6,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5054788236"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I126145234","https://openalex.org/I139264467"],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":16.7802,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":131,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.99539859,"is_in_top_1_percent":true,"is_in_top_10_percent":true},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":99,"max":100},"biblio":{"volume":"52","issue":"2","first_page":"279","last_page":"290"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11326","display_name":"Stock Market Forecasting Methods","score":0.9887999892234802,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11326","display_name":"Stock Market Forecasting Methods","score":0.9887999892234802,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12205","display_name":"Time Series Analysis and Forecasting","score":0.9728999733924866,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1711","display_name":"Signal Processing"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/17","display_name":"Computer Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10466","display_name":"Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations","score":0.9695000052452087,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1902","display_name":"Atmospheric Science"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/19","display_name":"Earth and Planetary Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/term","display_name":"Term (time)","score":0.67793208360672},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/long-short-term-memory","display_name":"Long short term memory","score":0.5347890257835388},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-science","display_name":"Computer science","score":0.3644848167896271},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/psychology","display_name":"Psychology","score":0.3459920883178711},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/econometrics","display_name":"Econometrics","score":0.3286440968513489},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/artificial-intelligence","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","score":0.28095918893814087},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/economics","display_name":"Economics","score":0.19789081811904907},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/physics","display_name":"Physics","score":0.14699849486351013},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/artificial-neural-network","display_name":"Artificial neural network","score":0.13327932357788086}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C61797465","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1188986","display_name":"Term (time)","level":2,"score":0.67793208360672},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C133488467","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q6673524","display_name":"Long short term memory","level":4,"score":0.5347890257835388},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.3644848167896271},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C15744967","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9418","display_name":"Psychology","level":0,"score":0.3459920883178711},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149782125","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q160039","display_name":"Econometrics","level":1,"score":0.3286440968513489},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C154945302","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11660","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","level":1,"score":0.28095918893814087},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.19789081811904907},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C121332964","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q413","display_name":"Physics","level":0,"score":0.14699849486351013},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C50644808","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q192776","display_name":"Artificial neural network","level":2,"score":0.13327932357788086},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C62520636","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q944","display_name":"Quantum mechanics","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C147168706","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1457734","display_name":"Recurrent neural network","level":3,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1080/03610918.2020.1854302","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1080/03610918.2020.1854302","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S153329750","display_name":"Communications in Statistics - Simulation and Computation","issn_l":"0361-0918","issn":["0361-0918","1532-4141"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320547","host_organization_name":"Taylor & Francis","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320547"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Taylor & Francis"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Communications in Statistics - Simulation and Computation","raw_type":"journal-article"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[{"score":0.6100000143051147,"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/13","display_name":"Climate action"}],"awards":[],"funders":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320322120","display_name":"National Research Foundation of Korea","ror":"https://ror.org/013aysd81"}],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":false,"pdf":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":46,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W1486074252","https://openalex.org/W1924770834","https://openalex.org/W1966198927","https://openalex.org/W1976567826","https://openalex.org/W1995341919","https://openalex.org/W2016476642","https://openalex.org/W2048267917","https://openalex.org/W2064675550","https://openalex.org/W2102148524","https://openalex.org/W2107878631","https://openalex.org/W2117829824","https://openalex.org/W2157331557","https://openalex.org/W2338073449","https://openalex.org/W2503031535","https://openalex.org/W2521003103","https://openalex.org/W2566758857","https://openalex.org/W2734788590","https://openalex.org/W2747599906","https://openalex.org/W2754051771","https://openalex.org/W2767167963","https://openalex.org/W2791644562","https://openalex.org/W2805056279","https://openalex.org/W2906578102","https://openalex.org/W2914862314","https://openalex.org/W2939587105","https://openalex.org/W2948466949","https://openalex.org/W2953521532","https://openalex.org/W2955914872","https://openalex.org/W2965581106","https://openalex.org/W2973863646","https://openalex.org/W2979880198","https://openalex.org/W2983072336","https://openalex.org/W2999088358","https://openalex.org/W3023527104","https://openalex.org/W3044853528","https://openalex.org/W3080214531","https://openalex.org/W3080881635","https://openalex.org/W3095174976","https://openalex.org/W3122598275","https://openalex.org/W3129437314","https://openalex.org/W3146166473","https://openalex.org/W4238884291","https://openalex.org/W4244698247","https://openalex.org/W4285719527","https://openalex.org/W4297802510","https://openalex.org/W4300009529"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W4391375266","https://openalex.org/W2899084033","https://openalex.org/W2748952813","https://openalex.org/W2390279801","https://openalex.org/W4391913857","https://openalex.org/W2358668433","https://openalex.org/W4396701345","https://openalex.org/W2376932109","https://openalex.org/W2001405890","https://openalex.org/W4401807425"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"One":[0],"of":[1,17,58,106,127,172],"information":[2,36],"needed":[3],"in":[4,72,87,132],"weather":[5],"forecast":[6,126],"is":[7,20,32,45,85,137,174],"air":[8,18,38,96,130,156,164],"temperature.":[9,97,165],"This":[10],"value":[11,171],"might":[12,40],"change":[13],"any":[14],"time.":[15],"Prediction":[16],"temperature":[19,39,157],"very":[21],"valuable":[22],"for":[23,111,148],"some":[24],"communities":[25],"and":[26,141],"occasions.":[27],"Therefore,":[28],"high":[29],"accuracy":[30],"prediction":[31],"needed.":[33],"Since":[34],"the":[35,80,83,125,167,170],"about":[37],"vary":[41],"over":[42],"time,":[43],"it":[44],"necessary":[46],"to":[47,53,121],"implement":[48],"methods":[49,61],"that":[50],"can":[51],"adapt":[52],"this":[54,88,135],"situation.":[55],"The":[56,144],"use":[57],"neural":[59],"network":[60],"such":[62],"as":[63],"long":[64,92],"short":[65],"term":[66],"memory":[67],"(LSTM),":[68],"nowadays,":[69],"becomes":[70],"popular":[71],"facing":[73],"big":[74],"data":[75,94,112],"including":[76],"unexpected":[77],"fluctuation":[78],"on":[79,95,134,154,162,169],"data.":[81],"Thus,":[82],"model":[84],"used":[86],"paper":[89,136],"which":[90,113],"provides":[91],"series":[93],"In":[98],"addition,":[99],"recently,":[100],"Facebook":[101,142],"announced":[102],"an":[103],"accurate":[104],"method":[105],"forecasting,":[107],"called":[108],"Prophet":[109,151],"model\u2019s,":[110],"have":[114],"trend,":[115],"seasonality,":[116],"holidays,":[117],"missing":[118],"data,":[119],"not":[120,175],"mention":[122],"outliers.":[123],"Hence,":[124],"five-year":[128],"daily":[129],"temperatures":[131],"Bandung":[133],"modeled":[138],"by":[139],"LSTM":[140,159],"Prophet.":[143],"result":[145],"shows":[146],"that,":[147],"minimum":[149,163],"temperature,":[150],"performs":[152,160],"better":[153,161],"maximum":[155],"while":[158],"However,":[166],"difference":[168],"RMSE":[173],"too":[176],"large":[177],"significant.":[178]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2026,"cited_by_count":4},{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":33},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":31},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":28},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":20},{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":15}],"updated_date":"2026-03-05T09:29:38.588285","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}
