{"id":"https://openalex.org/W3120040055","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1080/19475683.2020.1871406","title":"Predicting land use/cover changes and its association to agricultural production on the slopes of Mount Kilimanjaro, Tanzania","display_name":"Predicting land use/cover changes and its association to agricultural production on the slopes of Mount Kilimanjaro, Tanzania","publication_year":2021,"publication_date":"2021-01-11","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W3120040055","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1080/19475683.2020.1871406","mag":"3120040055"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1080/19475683.2020.1871406","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1080/19475683.2020.1871406","pdf_url":"https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/pdf/10.1080/19475683.2020.1871406?needAccess=true","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210199948","display_name":"Annals of GIS","issn_l":"1947-5683","issn":["1947-5683","1947-5691"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320547","host_organization_name":"Taylor & Francis","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320547"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Taylor & Francis"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Annals of GIS","raw_type":"journal-article"},"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref","doaj"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"gold","oa_url":"https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/pdf/10.1080/19475683.2020.1871406?needAccess=true","any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5083358841","display_name":"Alfred Said","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5066-1657"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I28285804","display_name":"The University of Dodoma","ror":"https://ror.org/009n8zh45","country_code":"TZ","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I28285804"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I97231232","display_name":"Nelson Mandela African Institution of Science and Technology","ror":"https://ror.org/041vsn055","country_code":"TZ","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I97231232"]}],"countries":["TZ"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Mateso Said","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Environmental Engineering and Management, College of Earth Sciences and Engineering. The University of Dodoma, Dodoma, Tanzania","Department of Water and Environmental Science and Engineering, School of Materials, Energy, Water, and Environmental Sciences and Engineering, The Nelson Mandela -african Institution of Science and Technology, Arusha, Tanzania"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5066-1657","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Environmental Engineering and Management, College of Earth Sciences and Engineering. The University of Dodoma, Dodoma, Tanzania","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I28285804"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Water and Environmental Science and Engineering, School of Materials, Energy, Water, and Environmental Sciences and Engineering, The Nelson Mandela -african Institution of Science and Technology, Arusha, Tanzania","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I97231232"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5061013726","display_name":"Canute Hyandye","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3998-3908"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210134162","display_name":"Institute of Rural Development Planning","ror":"https://ror.org/02r85r585","country_code":"TZ","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210134162"]}],"countries":["TZ"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Canute Hyandye","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Environmental Planning, Institute of Rural Development Planning (IRDP), Dodoma, Tanzania"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3998-3908","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Environmental Planning, Institute of Rural Development Planning (IRDP), Dodoma, Tanzania","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210134162"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5006201151","display_name":"Hans C. Komakech","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0375-6335"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I97231232","display_name":"Nelson Mandela African Institution of Science and Technology","ror":"https://ror.org/041vsn055","country_code":"TZ","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I97231232"]}],"countries":["TZ"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Hans C. Komakech","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Water and Environmental Science and Engineering, School of Materials, Energy, Water, and Environmental Sciences and Engineering, The Nelson Mandela -african Institution of Science and Technology, Arusha, Tanzania"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0375-6335","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Water and Environmental Science and Engineering, School of Materials, Energy, Water, and Environmental Sciences and Engineering, The Nelson Mandela -african Institution of Science and Technology, Arusha, Tanzania","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I97231232"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5015002737","display_name":"Ibrahimu Chikira Mjemah","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9297-9188"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I84641585","display_name":"Sokoine University of Agriculture","ror":"https://ror.org/00jdryp44","country_code":"TZ","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I84641585"]}],"countries":["TZ"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Ibrahimu C. Mjemah","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Geography and Environmental Studies, Solomon Mahlangu College of Science and Education, Sokoine University of Agriculture, Chuo Kikuu Morogoro, Tanzania"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9297-9188","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Geography and Environmental Studies, Solomon Mahlangu College of Science and Education, Sokoine University of Agriculture, Chuo Kikuu Morogoro, Tanzania","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I84641585"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5063297072","display_name":"Linus K. Munishi","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0188-8630"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I97231232","display_name":"Nelson Mandela African Institution of Science and Technology","ror":"https://ror.org/041vsn055","country_code":"TZ","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I97231232"]}],"countries":["TZ"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Linus K. Munishi","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Sustainable Agriculture, Biodiversity and Ecosystem Management, School of Life Sciences and Bioengineering, The Nelson Mandela African Institution of Science and Technology, Arusha, Tanzania"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0188-8630","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Sustainable Agriculture, Biodiversity and Ecosystem Management, School of Life Sciences and Bioengineering, The Nelson Mandela African Institution of Science and Technology, Arusha, Tanzania","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I97231232"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":5,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5083358841"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I28285804","https://openalex.org/I97231232"],"apc_list":{"value":1500,"currency":"USD","value_usd":1500},"apc_paid":{"value":1500,"currency":"USD","value_usd":1500},"fwci":2.9315,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":39,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.9071112,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":true},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":95,"max":99},"biblio":{"volume":"27","issue":"2","first_page":"189","last_page":"209"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10226","display_name":"Land Use and Ecosystem Services","score":0.9990000128746033,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2306","display_name":"Global and Planetary Change"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/23","display_name":"Environmental Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10226","display_name":"Land Use and Ecosystem Services","score":0.9990000128746033,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2306","display_name":"Global and Planetary Change"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/23","display_name":"Environmental Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10930","display_name":"Flood Risk Assessment and Management","score":0.9907000064849854,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2306","display_name":"Global and Planetary Change"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/23","display_name":"Environmental Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10319","display_name":"Conservation, Biodiversity, and Resource Management","score":0.9839000105857849,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2306","display_name":"Global and Planetary Change"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/23","display_name":"Environmental Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/land-cover","display_name":"Land cover","score":0.6800174117088318},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/agriculture","display_name":"Agriculture","score":0.6782374382019043},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/wetland","display_name":"Wetland","score":0.6252758502960205},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/urbanization","display_name":"Urbanization","score":0.5817505121231079},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/geography","display_name":"Geography","score":0.5628415942192078},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/land-use","display_name":"Land use","score":0.536974310874939},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/agricultural-land","display_name":"Agricultural land","score":0.5155148506164551},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/watershed","display_name":"Watershed","score":0.49048706889152527},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/agricultural-productivity","display_name":"Agricultural productivity","score":0.48794955015182495},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/tanzania","display_name":"Tanzania","score":0.464460551738739},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/environmental-science","display_name":"Environmental science","score":0.3775644600391388},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/physical-geography","display_name":"Physical geography","score":0.3523619771003723},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/agroforestry","display_name":"Agroforestry","score":0.34809350967407227},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/ecology","display_name":"Ecology","score":0.13463273644447327},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/environmental-planning","display_name":"Environmental planning","score":0.10317954421043396}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2780648208","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3001793","display_name":"Land cover","level":3,"score":0.6800174117088318},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C118518473","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11451","display_name":"Agriculture","level":2,"score":0.6782374382019043},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C67715294","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q170321","display_name":"Wetland","level":2,"score":0.6252758502960205},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C39853841","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q161078","display_name":"Urbanization","level":2,"score":0.5817505121231079},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C205649164","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1071","display_name":"Geography","level":0,"score":0.5628415942192078},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C4792198","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1165944","display_name":"Land use","level":2,"score":0.536974310874939},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C502990516","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3395383","display_name":"Agricultural land","level":3,"score":0.5155148506164551},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C150547873","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q947851","display_name":"Watershed","level":2,"score":0.49048706889152527},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C128383755","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3816336","display_name":"Agricultural productivity","level":3,"score":0.48794955015182495},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2779357621","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q655495","display_name":"Tanzania","level":2,"score":0.464460551738739},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C39432304","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q188847","display_name":"Environmental science","level":0,"score":0.3775644600391388},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C100970517","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q52107","display_name":"Physical geography","level":1,"score":0.3523619771003723},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C54286561","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q397350","display_name":"Agroforestry","level":1,"score":0.34809350967407227},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C18903297","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7150","display_name":"Ecology","level":1,"score":0.13463273644447327},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C91375879","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q15473274","display_name":"Environmental planning","level":1,"score":0.10317954421043396},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C166957645","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q23498","display_name":"Archaeology","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C86803240","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q420","display_name":"Biology","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C119857082","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2539","display_name":"Machine learning","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1080/19475683.2020.1871406","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1080/19475683.2020.1871406","pdf_url":"https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/pdf/10.1080/19475683.2020.1871406?needAccess=true","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210199948","display_name":"Annals of GIS","issn_l":"1947-5683","issn":["1947-5683","1947-5691"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320547","host_organization_name":"Taylor & Francis","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320547"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Taylor & Francis"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Annals of GIS","raw_type":"journal-article"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.1080/19475683.2020.1871406","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1080/19475683.2020.1871406","pdf_url":"https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/pdf/10.1080/19475683.2020.1871406?needAccess=true","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210199948","display_name":"Annals of GIS","issn_l":"1947-5683","issn":["1947-5683","1947-5691"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320547","host_organization_name":"Taylor & Francis","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320547"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Taylor & Francis"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Annals of GIS","raw_type":"journal-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[{"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/2","display_name":"Zero hunger","score":0.5600000023841858}],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":true,"pdf":true},"content_urls":{"pdf":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W3120040055.pdf","grobid_xml":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W3120040055.grobid-xml"},"referenced_works_count":88,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W393202942","https://openalex.org/W1551533759","https://openalex.org/W1559249599","https://openalex.org/W1752626349","https://openalex.org/W1965079694","https://openalex.org/W1969035927","https://openalex.org/W1969589719","https://openalex.org/W1977566035","https://openalex.org/W1978558988","https://openalex.org/W1985610729","https://openalex.org/W1998101233","https://openalex.org/W1998303031","https://openalex.org/W2014053856","https://openalex.org/W2017133873","https://openalex.org/W2018599801","https://openalex.org/W2020582233","https://openalex.org/W2020997422","https://openalex.org/W2029945928","https://openalex.org/W2039946913","https://openalex.org/W2040925913","https://openalex.org/W2042457608","https://openalex.org/W2042967898","https://openalex.org/W2043069100","https://openalex.org/W2044717081","https://openalex.org/W2045738042","https://openalex.org/W2048097112","https://openalex.org/W2056710768","https://openalex.org/W2059078303","https://openalex.org/W2067474817","https://openalex.org/W2069099149","https://openalex.org/W2070096222","https://openalex.org/W2072091505","https://openalex.org/W2074673068","https://openalex.org/W2074675894","https://openalex.org/W2081085782","https://openalex.org/W2086873114","https://openalex.org/W2087432101","https://openalex.org/W2104896032","https://openalex.org/W2105416458","https://openalex.org/W2105536892","https://openalex.org/W2108603985","https://openalex.org/W2117630720","https://openalex.org/W2120000166","https://openalex.org/W2122594109","https://openalex.org/W2124723853","https://openalex.org/W2130811469","https://openalex.org/W2131435516","https://openalex.org/W2144479328","https://openalex.org/W2150234230","https://openalex.org/W2155347783","https://openalex.org/W2156484217","https://openalex.org/W2157231547","https://openalex.org/W2162760938","https://openalex.org/W2185004205","https://openalex.org/W2193349174","https://openalex.org/W2269505998","https://openalex.org/W2277428265","https://openalex.org/W2293159738","https://openalex.org/W2300676184","https://openalex.org/W2319224732","https://openalex.org/W2320073389","https://openalex.org/W2547038746","https://openalex.org/W2556786380","https://openalex.org/W2584727597","https://openalex.org/W2600341556","https://openalex.org/W2613992442","https://openalex.org/W2748534632","https://openalex.org/W2748758498","https://openalex.org/W2777655446","https://openalex.org/W2790037333","https://openalex.org/W2790784078","https://openalex.org/W2794007240","https://openalex.org/W2798217427","https://openalex.org/W2800504333","https://openalex.org/W2801464996","https://openalex.org/W2884260323","https://openalex.org/W2901844167","https://openalex.org/W2908402789","https://openalex.org/W2924400300","https://openalex.org/W2943597575","https://openalex.org/W2949900482","https://openalex.org/W2996141037","https://openalex.org/W3026401518","https://openalex.org/W3041890001","https://openalex.org/W4212781379","https://openalex.org/W4229573942","https://openalex.org/W4229862871","https://openalex.org/W4236277569"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W4200084543","https://openalex.org/W1544818256","https://openalex.org/W3102531215","https://openalex.org/W4213187175","https://openalex.org/W4252349849","https://openalex.org/W4200574655","https://openalex.org/W2367950326","https://openalex.org/W3216005343","https://openalex.org/W2994344719","https://openalex.org/W2356664531"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Increasing":[0],"demand":[1],"for":[2,39,50,68,185],"food":[3,112,160],"production":[4,72,162],"results":[5,98],"in":[6,21,82,151,158,172],"Land":[7],"use":[8],"and":[9,30,87,111,115,123,138,145,192,200],"land":[10,153],"cover":[11],"(LULC)":[12],"changes,":[13],"which":[14],"afflicts":[15],"the":[16,36,44,51,66,74,104,177,187],"provision":[17],"of":[18,47,189],"ecosystem":[19],"services":[20],"high":[22],"mountain":[23],"areas.":[24],"This":[25],"work":[26],"used":[27],"time-series":[28,60],"LULC":[29,37,54,79,180],"selected":[31,69],"spatial":[32],"metrics":[33],"to":[34,95,108,119,131,143],"predict":[35],"changes":[38],"Kikafu-Weruweru-Karanga":[40],"(KWK)":[41],"watershed":[42],"(on":[43],"southern":[45],"slopes":[46],"Mt.":[48],"Kilimanjaro)":[49],"next":[52,75,105],"decade.":[53,76],"maps":[55],"were":[56],"generated":[57],"by":[58,121,133],"classifying":[59],"satellite":[61],"images.":[62],"We":[63],"further":[64],"predicted":[65],"implications":[67],"staple":[70,159],"crop":[71,161,174],"over":[73],"The":[77,126],"simulated":[78],"shows":[80,154],"expansion":[81,150],"built-up":[83,146],"(by":[84,89],"32.55%/27.04":[85],"km2)":[86,91],"agriculture":[88,144],"39.52%/52.0":[90],"areas":[92],"from":[93],"2018":[94],"2030.":[96],"These":[97],"suggest":[99],"that":[100,165,195],"urbanization":[101],"is":[102,129,183],"likely":[103,130],"biggest":[106],"threat":[107],"water":[109],"availability":[110],"production.":[113,175],"Grasslands":[114],"wetlands":[116],"are":[117,196],"expected":[118],"decrease":[120],"57.24%":[122],"39.29%,":[124],"respectively.":[125,148],"forest":[127],"area":[128],"shrink":[132],"6.37%,":[134],"about":[135],"9.82":[136],"km2,":[137],"1.26":[139],"km2":[140],"being":[141],"converted":[142],"areas,":[147],"However,":[149],"agricultural":[152],"very":[155],"little":[156],"increase":[157],"records,":[163],"suggesting":[164],"farm":[166],"size":[167],"plays":[168],"a":[169],"minor":[170],"role":[171],"increasing":[173],"Predicting":[176],"near":[178],"future":[179],"around":[181],"KWK":[182],"useful":[184],"evaluating":[186],"likelihood":[188],"achieving":[190],"development":[191],"conservation":[193],"targets":[194],"set":[197],"locally,":[198],"nationally":[199],"internationally.":[201]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2026,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":10},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":7},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":8},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":8},{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":3}],"updated_date":"2025-11-06T03:46:38.306776","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}
