{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2794339337","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1080/17477778.2018.1440946","title":"Simulating an agent\u2019s decision-making process in black-box managerial environment: An estimation-and-optimisation approach","display_name":"Simulating an agent\u2019s decision-making process in black-box managerial environment: An estimation-and-optimisation approach","publication_year":2018,"publication_date":"2018-02-23","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2794339337","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1080/17477778.2018.1440946","mag":"2794339337"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1080/17477778.2018.1440946","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1080/17477778.2018.1440946","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S207180383","display_name":"Journal of Simulation","issn_l":"1747-7778","issn":["1747-7778","1747-7786","1774-7786"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320547","host_organization_name":"Taylor & Francis","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320547"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Taylor & Francis"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Journal of Simulation","raw_type":"journal-article"},"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5027539163","display_name":"Zhou He","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6288-7215"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I165932596","display_name":"National University of Singapore","ror":"https://ror.org/01tgyzw49","country_code":"SG","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I165932596"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210165038","display_name":"University of Chinese Academy of Sciences","ror":"https://ror.org/05qbk4x57","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I19820366","https://openalex.org/I4210165038"]}],"countries":["CN","SG"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Zhou He","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Industrial Systems Engineering and Management, National University of Singapore, Singapore, Singapore","School of Economics and Management, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6288-7215","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Industrial Systems Engineering and Management, National University of Singapore, Singapore, Singapore","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I165932596"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"School of Economics and Management, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210165038"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5055631123","display_name":"Chunling Luo","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9675-2618"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I165932596","display_name":"National University of Singapore","ror":"https://ror.org/01tgyzw49","country_code":"SG","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I165932596"]}],"countries":["SG"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Chunling Luo","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Industrial Systems Engineering and Management, National University of Singapore, Singapore, Singapore"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Industrial Systems Engineering and Management, National University of Singapore, Singapore, Singapore","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I165932596"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5003190353","display_name":"Chin-Hon Tan","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I165932596","display_name":"National University of Singapore","ror":"https://ror.org/01tgyzw49","country_code":"SG","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I165932596"]}],"countries":["SG"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Chin-Hon Tan","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Industrial Systems Engineering and Management, National University of Singapore, Singapore, Singapore"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Industrial Systems Engineering and Management, National University of Singapore, Singapore, Singapore","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I165932596"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5101645574","display_name":"Hang Wu","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2614-7345"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I204983213","display_name":"Harbin Institute of Technology","ror":"https://ror.org/01yqg2h08","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I204983213"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Hang Wu","raw_affiliation_strings":["School of Management, Harbin Institute of Technology, Harbin, China"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"School of Management, Harbin Institute of Technology, Harbin, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I204983213"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5100708245","display_name":"Bo Fan","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1468-0695"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I183067930","display_name":"Shanghai Jiao Tong University","ror":"https://ror.org/0220qvk04","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I183067930"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Bo Fan","raw_affiliation_strings":["School of International and Public Affairs, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"School of International and Public Affairs, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I183067930"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":2,"institutions_distinct_count":4,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5100708245"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I183067930"],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":0.6369,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":5,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.72468025,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":89,"max":96},"biblio":{"volume":"13","issue":"2","first_page":"111","last_page":"127"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11182","display_name":"Auction Theory and Applications","score":0.9837999939918518,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11182","display_name":"Auction Theory and Applications","score":0.9837999939918518,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11252","display_name":"Evolutionary Game Theory and Cooperation","score":0.9441999793052673,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3312","display_name":"Sociology and Political Science"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11031","display_name":"Game Theory and Applications","score":0.9332000017166138,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-science","display_name":"Computer science","score":0.8266246318817139},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/black-box","display_name":"Black box","score":0.7114103436470032},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/process","display_name":"Process (computing)","score":0.6869837641716003},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/decision-making","display_name":"Decision-making","score":0.5921906232833862},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/stochastic-game","display_name":"Stochastic game","score":0.5867506265640259},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/estimation","display_name":"Estimation","score":0.5250218510627747},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/operations-research","display_name":"Operations research","score":0.4760741591453552},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/industrial-engineering","display_name":"Industrial engineering","score":0.4511902332305908},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/management-science","display_name":"Management science","score":0.3782152831554413},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/artificial-intelligence","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","score":0.2583877444267273},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/systems-engineering","display_name":"Systems engineering","score":0.2124197781085968},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/operations-management","display_name":"Operations management","score":0.11101210117340088}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.8266246318817139},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C94966114","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q29256","display_name":"Black box","level":2,"score":0.7114103436470032},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C98045186","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q205663","display_name":"Process (computing)","level":2,"score":0.6869837641716003},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C122308676","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1331926","display_name":"Decision-making","level":3,"score":0.5921906232833862},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C22171661","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1074380","display_name":"Stochastic game","level":2,"score":0.5867506265640259},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C96250715","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q965330","display_name":"Estimation","level":2,"score":0.5250218510627747},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C42475967","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q194292","display_name":"Operations research","level":1,"score":0.4760741591453552},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C13736549","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q4489420","display_name":"Industrial engineering","level":1,"score":0.4511902332305908},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C539667460","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2414942","display_name":"Management science","level":1,"score":0.3782152831554413},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C154945302","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11660","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","level":1,"score":0.2583877444267273},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C201995342","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q682496","display_name":"Systems engineering","level":1,"score":0.2124197781085968},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C21547014","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1423657","display_name":"Operations management","level":1,"score":0.11101210117340088},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C144237770","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q747534","display_name":"Mathematical economics","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127413603","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11023","display_name":"Engineering","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2778813691","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1369832","display_name":"Purchasing","level":2,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C111919701","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9135","display_name":"Operating system","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":3,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1080/17477778.2018.1440946","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1080/17477778.2018.1440946","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S207180383","display_name":"Journal of Simulation","issn_l":"1747-7778","issn":["1747-7778","1747-7786","1774-7786"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320547","host_organization_name":"Taylor & Francis","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320547"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Taylor & Francis"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Journal of Simulation","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:scholarbank.nus.edu.sg:10635/156842","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://scholarbank.nus.edu.sg/handle/10635/156842","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S7407052290","display_name":"National University of Singapore","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"Article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:RePEc:taf:tjsmxx:v:13:y:2019:i:2:p:111-127","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/17477778.2018.1440946","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401271","display_name":"RePEc: Research Papers in Economics","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I77793887","host_organization_name":"Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I77793887"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"article"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[{"score":0.5,"display_name":"Peace, Justice and strong institutions","id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/16"}],"awards":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/G4558106103","display_name":"\u57fa\u4e8e\u7a7a\u95f4\u6570\u636e\u5206\u7c7b\u6316\u6398\u7684\u5e94\u6025\u8d44\u6e90\u51c6\u5907\u7814\u7a76","funder_award_id":"71371122","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320321001","funder_display_name":"National Natural Science Foundation of China"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G634110437","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"2016YEF 0122300","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320337504","funder_display_name":"Research and Development"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G8783986306","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"16JXZD02","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320322999","funder_display_name":"Shanghai Jiao Tong University"}],"funders":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320321001","display_name":"National Natural Science Foundation of China","ror":"https://ror.org/01h0zpd94"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320322999","display_name":"Shanghai Jiao Tong University","ror":"https://ror.org/0220qvk04"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320337504","display_name":"Research and Development","ror":"https://ror.org/027s68j25"}],"has_content":{"pdf":false,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":50,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W1501796683","https://openalex.org/W1510672157","https://openalex.org/W1514217162","https://openalex.org/W1568586753","https://openalex.org/W1687012967","https://openalex.org/W1989158281","https://openalex.org/W1990236474","https://openalex.org/W1990558482","https://openalex.org/W2009875366","https://openalex.org/W2017741820","https://openalex.org/W2021985791","https://openalex.org/W2046974738","https://openalex.org/W2059575547","https://openalex.org/W2083833236","https://openalex.org/W2090509622","https://openalex.org/W2092662864","https://openalex.org/W2093345130","https://openalex.org/W2097610862","https://openalex.org/W2106112040","https://openalex.org/W2127350252","https://openalex.org/W2134384247","https://openalex.org/W2137970577","https://openalex.org/W2139589146","https://openalex.org/W2145736592","https://openalex.org/W2150312211","https://openalex.org/W2150375325","https://openalex.org/W2150704630","https://openalex.org/W2153148122","https://openalex.org/W2155850969","https://openalex.org/W2158044330","https://openalex.org/W2160274729","https://openalex.org/W2170833954","https://openalex.org/W2286398120","https://openalex.org/W2303359345","https://openalex.org/W2321202906","https://openalex.org/W2337507544","https://openalex.org/W2363930778","https://openalex.org/W2483014731","https://openalex.org/W2507581019","https://openalex.org/W2615641716","https://openalex.org/W2783505815","https://openalex.org/W3121364520","https://openalex.org/W4234761190","https://openalex.org/W4239315880","https://openalex.org/W4243099941","https://openalex.org/W4251361249","https://openalex.org/W4252485478","https://openalex.org/W4253365321","https://openalex.org/W4388151843","https://openalex.org/W4388252848"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2047881532","https://openalex.org/W2285795935","https://openalex.org/W4389072557","https://openalex.org/W4319452366","https://openalex.org/W50834308","https://openalex.org/W2091367592","https://openalex.org/W2040084813","https://openalex.org/W4293695278","https://openalex.org/W4386826952","https://openalex.org/W2727407240"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"With":[0],"the":[1,14,30,80,83,92,99,105,109,115,134,137,153],"growing":[2],"need":[3,75],"to":[4,43,76,97,132,159],"guide":[5],"decision-making":[6,47,163],"in":[7,24,49,91,112,165],"today\u2019s":[8],"complex":[9,26],"managerial":[10,27,51,167],"environment,":[11],"researchers":[12],"of":[13,63,70,136],"Operations":[15],"Research/Management":[16],"Science":[17],"community":[18],"have":[19],"shown":[20],"a":[21,60],"considerable":[22],"interest":[23],"modelling":[25,32],"systems":[28],"using":[29],"agent-based":[31,128],"and":[33,74,86,120,148],"simulation":[34,141],"technique.":[35],"This":[36],"paper":[37],"presents":[38],"an":[39,45,161],"estimation-and-optimisation":[40],"(ESTOPT)":[41],"architecture":[42],"simulate":[44,160],"agent\u2019s":[46,55,106,162],"process":[48,62,164],"black-box":[50,166],"environment.":[52,168],"An":[53],"ESTOPT":[54,138,154],"behaviour":[56],"is":[57],"considered":[58],"as":[59,122],"two-stage":[61],"solving":[64],"its":[65],"optimisation":[66,100],"problem,":[67],"some":[68],"parameters":[69],"which":[71],"are":[72,130],"uncertain":[73],"be":[77,157],"estimated.":[78],"In":[79,124],"first":[81],"stage,":[82,94],"agent":[84,116],"collects":[85],"records":[87],"information":[88,119],"for":[89],"estimation;":[90],"next":[93],"it":[95],"attempts":[96],"solve":[98],"problem.":[101],"The":[102,140],"solution":[103],"guides":[104],"actions":[107],"on":[108],"environment":[110],"which,":[111],"turn,":[113],"provides":[114],"with":[117,145],"new":[118],"payoff":[121],"feedback.":[123],"this":[125],"paper,":[126],"two":[127],"models":[129],"introduced":[131],"demonstrate":[133],"implementation":[135],"approach.":[139],"outcomes":[142],"compare":[143],"favourably":[144],"both":[146],"empirical":[147],"theoretical":[149],"results,":[150],"suggesting":[151],"that":[152],"approach":[155],"can":[156],"used":[158]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2020,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2018,"cited_by_count":2}],"updated_date":"2025-11-06T03:46:38.306776","created_date":"2018-03-29T00:00:00"}