{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2023026072","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1080/09537320127287","title":"Foresight with Delphi Surveys in Japan","display_name":"Foresight with Delphi Surveys in Japan","publication_year":2001,"publication_date":"2001-12-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2023026072","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1080/09537320127287","mag":"2023026072"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1080/09537320127287","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1080/09537320127287","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S130699561","display_name":"Technology Analysis and Strategic Management","issn_l":"0953-7325","issn":["0953-7325","1465-3990"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320547","host_organization_name":"Taylor & Francis","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320547"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Taylor & Francis"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Technology Analysis &amp; Strategic Management","raw_type":"journal-article"},"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5050410631","display_name":"Kerstin Cuhls","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9556-3516"},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Kerstin Cuhls","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"affiliations":[]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":0,"institutions_distinct_count":1,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5050410631"],"corresponding_institution_ids":[],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":0.0,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":48,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.20618668,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":89,"max":99},"biblio":{"volume":"13","issue":"4","first_page":"555","last_page":"569"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12443","display_name":"Delphi Technique in Research","score":0.9872000217437744,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3312","display_name":"Sociology and Political Science"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12443","display_name":"Delphi Technique in Research","score":0.9872000217437744,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3312","display_name":"Sociology and Political Science"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/futures-studies","display_name":"Futures studies","score":0.978449821472168},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/delphi-method","display_name":"Delphi method","score":0.856796383857727},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/delphi","display_name":"Delphi","score":0.826815128326416},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/field","display_name":"Field (mathematics)","score":0.46357420086860657},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/management-science","display_name":"Management science","score":0.39241254329681396},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-science","display_name":"Computer science","score":0.37883469462394714},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/engineering","display_name":"Engineering","score":0.260879784822464},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/artificial-intelligence","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","score":0.12347754836082458},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/mathematics","display_name":"Mathematics","score":0.06936874985694885}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C64848388","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q188867","display_name":"Futures studies","level":2,"score":0.978449821472168},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C60641444","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q841602","display_name":"Delphi method","level":2,"score":0.856796383857727},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2779495148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q487378","display_name":"Delphi","level":2,"score":0.826815128326416},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C9652623","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q190109","display_name":"Field (mathematics)","level":2,"score":0.46357420086860657},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C539667460","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2414942","display_name":"Management science","level":1,"score":0.39241254329681396},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.37883469462394714},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127413603","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11023","display_name":"Engineering","level":0,"score":0.260879784822464},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C154945302","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11660","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","level":1,"score":0.12347754836082458},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.06936874985694885},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C202444582","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q837863","display_name":"Pure mathematics","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C111919701","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9135","display_name":"Operating system","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1080/09537320127287","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1080/09537320127287","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S130699561","display_name":"Technology Analysis and Strategic Management","issn_l":"0953-7325","issn":["0953-7325","1465-3990"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320547","host_organization_name":"Taylor & Francis","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320547"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Taylor & Francis"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Technology Analysis &amp; Strategic Management","raw_type":"journal-article"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[{"score":0.4399999976158142,"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/13","display_name":"Climate action"}],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":false,"pdf":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":9,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W1508742360","https://openalex.org/W1639510237","https://openalex.org/W2007527824","https://openalex.org/W2013155691","https://openalex.org/W2031979871","https://openalex.org/W2163884891","https://openalex.org/W2320816874","https://openalex.org/W2498277781","https://openalex.org/W4206925588"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W4296622086","https://openalex.org/W2491879497","https://openalex.org/W2293375963","https://openalex.org/W2390195701","https://openalex.org/W1584734498","https://openalex.org/W3173616380","https://openalex.org/W4206284247","https://openalex.org/W3125569072","https://openalex.org/W4378760214","https://openalex.org/W3215889558"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Foresight":[0],"activities":[1,23],"are":[2,24,97],"conducted":[3],"in":[4,14,36,60,99,121],"many":[5,18],"countries,":[6],"but":[7],"the":[8,11,27,57,69,74,82,91,103,114],"Japanese":[9],"were":[10],"most":[12],"active":[13],"this":[15,110],"field":[16],"for":[17],"years.":[19,43],"Most":[20],"of":[21,54,76,81,88,109],"their":[22,32],"based":[25],"on":[26,49],"Delphi":[28,34,58,115],"methodology.":[29],"They":[30],"published":[31],"first":[33],"study":[35],"1971":[37],"and":[38,90,102],"repeated":[39],"studies":[40],"every":[41],"five":[42],"There":[44],"is":[45,105,117],"more":[46,50,100],"knowledge":[47],"available":[48],"than":[51],"30":[52],"years":[53],"foresight":[55,71],"with":[56,73,113],"approach":[59],"Japan.":[61,122],"This":[62],"provides":[63],"an":[64,86],"excellent":[65],"opportunity":[66],"to":[67],"examine":[68],"established":[70],"system":[72],"use":[75],"some":[77],"examples.":[78],"The":[79],"forecast":[80],"fax":[83],"machine":[84],"as":[85,94,119],"example":[87],"success,":[89],"earthquake":[92],"warning":[93],"a":[95],"failure":[96],"illustrated":[98],"detail,":[101],"question":[104],"raised":[106],"why\u2014in":[107],"spite":[108],"mixed":[111],"picture\u2014foresight":[112],"method":[116],"regarded":[118],"useful":[120]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2026,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2019,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2017,"cited_by_count":4},{"year":2015,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2014,"cited_by_count":5},{"year":2013,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2012,"cited_by_count":5}],"updated_date":"2026-04-11T08:14:18.477133","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}
