{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2067905240","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1080/01969720591008922","title":"FORECASTING FUZZY TIME SERIES ON A HEURISTIC HIGH-ORDER MODEL","display_name":"FORECASTING FUZZY TIME SERIES ON A HEURISTIC HIGH-ORDER MODEL","publication_year":2005,"publication_date":"2005-09-20","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2067905240","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1080/01969720591008922","mag":"2067905240"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1080/01969720591008922","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1080/01969720591008922","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S117436046","display_name":"Cybernetics & Systems","issn_l":"0196-9722","issn":["0196-9722","1087-6553"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320547","host_organization_name":"Taylor & Francis","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320547"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Taylor & Francis"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Cybernetics and Systems","raw_type":"journal-article"},"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5090106064","display_name":"Chung\u2010Ming Own","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2106-7226"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I148099254","display_name":"National Chung Cheng University","ror":"https://ror.org/0028v3876","country_code":"TW","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I148099254"]}],"countries":["TW"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Chung-Ming Own","raw_affiliation_strings":["\n Department of Computer Science and Information Engineering, National Chung Cheng University, Chiayi, Taiwan, Republic of China","Department of Computer Science and Information Engineering, National Chung Cheng University, Chiayi, Taiwan, Republic of China#TAB#"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"\n Department of Computer Science and Information Engineering, National Chung Cheng University, Chiayi, Taiwan, Republic of China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I148099254"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Computer Science and Information Engineering, National Chung Cheng University, Chiayi, Taiwan, Republic of China#TAB#","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I148099254"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5113844352","display_name":"Pao-Ta Yu","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I148099254","display_name":"National Chung Cheng University","ror":"https://ror.org/0028v3876","country_code":"TW","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I148099254"]}],"countries":["TW"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Pao-Ta Yu","raw_affiliation_strings":["\n Department of Computer Science and Information Engineering, National Chung Cheng University, Chiayi, Taiwan, Republic of China","Department of Computer Science and Information Engineering, National Chung Cheng University, Chiayi, Taiwan, Republic of China#TAB#"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"\n Department of Computer Science and Information Engineering, National Chung Cheng University, Chiayi, Taiwan, Republic of China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I148099254"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Computer Science and Information Engineering, National Chung Cheng University, Chiayi, Taiwan, Republic of China#TAB#","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I148099254"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":2,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5113844352"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I148099254"],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":2.5319,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":63,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.90094501,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":true},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":89,"max":99},"biblio":{"volume":"36","issue":"7","first_page":"705","last_page":"717"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11326","display_name":"Stock Market Forecasting Methods","score":0.9998000264167786,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11326","display_name":"Stock Market Forecasting Methods","score":0.9998000264167786,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11918","display_name":"Forecasting Techniques and Applications","score":0.9919000267982483,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10820","display_name":"Fuzzy Logic and Control Systems","score":0.9760000109672546,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1702","display_name":"Artificial Intelligence"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/17","display_name":"Computer Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/fuzzy-logic","display_name":"Fuzzy logic","score":0.7716808915138245},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-science","display_name":"Computer science","score":0.7048695087432861},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/series","display_name":"Series (stratigraphy)","score":0.694137454032898},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/heuristic","display_name":"Heuristic","score":0.6323229074478149},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/chen","display_name":"Chen","score":0.6259109377861023},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/time-series","display_name":"Time series","score":0.5962474346160889},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/order","display_name":"Order (exchange)","score":0.5298271775245667},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/data-mining","display_name":"Data mining","score":0.3521985411643982},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/operations-research","display_name":"Operations research","score":0.33433130383491516},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/artificial-intelligence","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","score":0.3241165280342102},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/machine-learning","display_name":"Machine learning","score":0.2697460353374481},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/mathematics","display_name":"Mathematics","score":0.17714303731918335},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/economics","display_name":"Economics","score":0.0895017683506012},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/finance","display_name":"Finance","score":0.06901812553405762}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C58166","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q224821","display_name":"Fuzzy logic","level":2,"score":0.7716808915138245},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.7048695087432861},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C143724316","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q312468","display_name":"Series (stratigraphy)","level":2,"score":0.694137454032898},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C173801870","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q201413","display_name":"Heuristic","level":2,"score":0.6323229074478149},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2776085556","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q183361","display_name":"Chen","level":2,"score":0.6259109377861023},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C151406439","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q186588","display_name":"Time series","level":2,"score":0.5962474346160889},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C182306322","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1779371","display_name":"Order (exchange)","level":2,"score":0.5298271775245667},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C124101348","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q172491","display_name":"Data mining","level":1,"score":0.3521985411643982},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C42475967","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q194292","display_name":"Operations research","level":1,"score":0.33433130383491516},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C154945302","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11660","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","level":1,"score":0.3241165280342102},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C119857082","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2539","display_name":"Machine learning","level":1,"score":0.2697460353374481},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.17714303731918335},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.0895017683506012},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C10138342","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q43015","display_name":"Finance","level":1,"score":0.06901812553405762},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C151730666","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7205","display_name":"Paleontology","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C86803240","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q420","display_name":"Biology","level":0,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1080/01969720591008922","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1080/01969720591008922","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S117436046","display_name":"Cybernetics & Systems","issn_l":"0196-9722","issn":["0196-9722","1087-6553"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320547","host_organization_name":"Taylor & Francis","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320547"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Taylor & Francis"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Cybernetics and Systems","raw_type":"journal-article"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":false,"pdf":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":10,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W1971869067","https://openalex.org/W1992096620","https://openalex.org/W2017954768","https://openalex.org/W2041723679","https://openalex.org/W2052946472","https://openalex.org/W2086479460","https://openalex.org/W2122410182","https://openalex.org/W2131453387","https://openalex.org/W2149320615","https://openalex.org/W2168577773"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2370310922","https://openalex.org/W2386975637","https://openalex.org/W2891436901","https://openalex.org/W2087355708","https://openalex.org/W2388837937","https://openalex.org/W2385339070","https://openalex.org/W2156648791","https://openalex.org/W2622688551","https://openalex.org/W1550175370","https://openalex.org/W1990205660"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"ABSTRACT":[0],"Chen":[1],"first":[2],"proposed":[3,53,90],"the":[4,11,29,58,67,89,105],"high-order":[5,42],"fuzzy-time":[6,37,69],"series":[7,38,45,70],"model":[8,20,54,91],"to":[9,47,56,71],"overcome":[10,57],"drawback":[12],"of":[13,60,104,107],"existing":[14],"fuzzy":[15,43],"first-order":[16],"forecasting":[17,50,75],"models.":[18,31],"His":[19],"involved":[21],"easy":[22],"calculations":[23],"and":[24,76],"forecasted":[25],"more":[26,93],"accurately":[27],"than":[28],"other":[30],"This":[32,96],"study":[33],"proposes":[34],"an":[35],"enhanced":[36],"model,":[39,46,62],"called":[40],"heuristic":[41],"time":[44],"deal":[48],"with":[49],"problems.":[51],"The":[52,84],"aims":[55],"deficiency":[59],"Chen's":[61],"which":[63],"depends":[64],"strongly":[65],"on":[66],"highest-order":[68],"eliminate":[72],"ambiguities":[73],"at":[74],"requires":[77],"a":[78],"vast":[79],"memory":[80],"for":[81],"data":[82],"storage.":[83],"empirical":[85],"analysis":[86],"reveals":[87],"that":[88],"yields":[92],"accurate":[94],"forecasts.":[95],"work":[97],"was":[98],"supported":[99],"by":[100],"National":[101],"Science":[102],"Council":[103],"Republic":[106],"China":[108],"under":[109],"Contract":[110],"No.":[111],"NSC92-2520-S-194-001.":[112]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2026,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2020,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2019,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2018,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2017,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2016,"cited_by_count":4},{"year":2015,"cited_by_count":6},{"year":2014,"cited_by_count":5},{"year":2013,"cited_by_count":4},{"year":2012,"cited_by_count":9}],"updated_date":"2026-04-16T08:26:57.006410","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}