{"id":"https://openalex.org/W4410701559","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1080/01605682.2025.2508247","title":"Predictive modelling of future tea consumption: analysing consumer behaviour with combining the machine learning and agent-based simulation approaches","display_name":"Predictive modelling of future tea consumption: analysing consumer behaviour with combining the machine learning and agent-based simulation approaches","publication_year":2025,"publication_date":"2025-05-23","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W4410701559","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1080/01605682.2025.2508247"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1080/01605682.2025.2508247","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1080/01605682.2025.2508247","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S169988927","display_name":"Journal of the Operational Research Society","issn_l":"0160-5682","issn":["0160-5682","1476-9360"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319703","host_organization_name":"Palgrave Macmillan","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319703","https://openalex.org/P4310319965"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Palgrave Macmillan","Springer Nature"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Journal of the Operational Research Society","raw_type":"journal-article"},"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"green","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5061435489","display_name":"Mehmet Sert","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6356-9240"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I59738393","display_name":"Gaziantep University","ror":"https://ror.org/020vvc407","country_code":"TR","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I59738393"]}],"countries":["TR"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Mehmet Fatih Sert","raw_affiliation_strings":["Gaziantep University","Gaziantep University, Gaziantep, Turkey"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Gaziantep University","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I59738393"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Gaziantep University, Gaziantep, Turkey","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I59738393"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5101197767","display_name":"Burcu Kartal","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I161597582","display_name":"Recep Tayyip Erdo\u011fan University","ror":"https://ror.org/0468j1635","country_code":"TR","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I161597582"]}],"countries":["TR"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Burcu Kartal","raw_affiliation_strings":["Recep Tayyip Erdo\u011fan University"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Recep Tayyip Erdo\u011fan University","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I161597582"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5071863424","display_name":"Kamer Ilg\u0131n \u00c7ak\u0131ro\u011flu","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I161597582","display_name":"Recep Tayyip Erdo\u011fan University","ror":"https://ror.org/0468j1635","country_code":"TR","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I161597582"]}],"countries":["TR"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Kamer Ilg\u0131n \u00c7ak\u0131ro\u011flu","raw_affiliation_strings":["Recep Tayyip Erdo\u011fan University"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Recep Tayyip Erdo\u011fan University","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I161597582"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5052393742","display_name":"Abdulkadir \u00d6zt\u00fcrk","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1855-8892"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I161597582","display_name":"Recep Tayyip Erdo\u011fan University","ror":"https://ror.org/0468j1635","country_code":"TR","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I161597582"]}],"countries":["TR"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Abd\u00fclkadir \u00d6zt\u00fcrk","raw_affiliation_strings":["Recep Tayyip Erdo\u011fan University"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Recep Tayyip Erdo\u011fan University","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I161597582"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":4,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5061435489"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I59738393"],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":0.0,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":0,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.10986025,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":null,"biblio":{"volume":"77","issue":"3","first_page":"830","last_page":"845"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12399","display_name":"Wine Industry and Tourism","score":0.9873999953269958,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1409","display_name":"Tourism, Leisure and Hospitality Management"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/14","display_name":"Business, Management and Accounting"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12399","display_name":"Wine Industry and Tourism","score":0.9873999953269958,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1409","display_name":"Tourism, Leisure and Hospitality Management"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/14","display_name":"Business, Management and Accounting"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11161","display_name":"Consumer Market Behavior and Pricing","score":0.978600025177002,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1406","display_name":"Marketing"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/14","display_name":"Business, Management and Accounting"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12659","display_name":"Innovation Diffusion and Forecasting","score":0.9677000045776367,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-science","display_name":"Computer science","score":0.6086735725402832},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/consumption","display_name":"Consumption (sociology)","score":0.5553191304206848},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/machine-learning","display_name":"Machine learning","score":0.5053218007087708},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/purchasing","display_name":"Purchasing","score":0.48798197507858276},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/artificial-intelligence","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","score":0.48227813839912415},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/predictive-modelling","display_name":"Predictive modelling","score":0.4277041256427765},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/scheduling","display_name":"Scheduling (production processes)","score":0.4161004424095154},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/operations-research","display_name":"Operations research","score":0.3952397108078003},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/management-science","display_name":"Management science","score":0.36563384532928467},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/marketing","display_name":"Marketing","score":0.17772457003593445},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/operations-management","display_name":"Operations management","score":0.149551659822464},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/economics","display_name":"Economics","score":0.13919785618782043},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/engineering","display_name":"Engineering","score":0.13741591572761536},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/business","display_name":"Business","score":0.1182151734828949},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/sociology","display_name":"Sociology","score":0.077328622341156}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.6086735725402832},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C30772137","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5164762","display_name":"Consumption (sociology)","level":2,"score":0.5553191304206848},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C119857082","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2539","display_name":"Machine learning","level":1,"score":0.5053218007087708},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2778813691","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1369832","display_name":"Purchasing","level":2,"score":0.48798197507858276},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C154945302","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11660","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","level":1,"score":0.48227813839912415},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C45804977","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7239673","display_name":"Predictive modelling","level":2,"score":0.4277041256427765},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C206729178","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2271896","display_name":"Scheduling (production processes)","level":2,"score":0.4161004424095154},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C42475967","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q194292","display_name":"Operations research","level":1,"score":0.3952397108078003},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C539667460","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2414942","display_name":"Management science","level":1,"score":0.36563384532928467},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162853370","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q39809","display_name":"Marketing","level":1,"score":0.17772457003593445},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C21547014","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1423657","display_name":"Operations management","level":1,"score":0.149551659822464},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.13919785618782043},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127413603","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11023","display_name":"Engineering","level":0,"score":0.13741591572761536},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C144133560","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q4830453","display_name":"Business","level":0,"score":0.1182151734828949},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C144024400","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21201","display_name":"Sociology","level":0,"score":0.077328622341156},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C36289849","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q34749","display_name":"Social science","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":2,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1080/01605682.2025.2508247","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1080/01605682.2025.2508247","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S169988927","display_name":"Journal of the Operational Research Society","issn_l":"0160-5682","issn":["0160-5682","1476-9360"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319703","host_organization_name":"Palgrave Macmillan","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319703","https://openalex.org/P4310319965"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Palgrave Macmillan","Springer Nature"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Journal of the Operational Research Society","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmh:doi:10.6084/m9.figshare.29143367","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":null,"pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4406922384","display_name":"Open MIND","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"Journal contribution"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"pmh:doi:10.6084/m9.figshare.29143367","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":null,"pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4406922384","display_name":"Open MIND","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"Journal contribution"},"sustainable_development_goals":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"pdf":false,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":22,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W1540547315","https://openalex.org/W1989158281","https://openalex.org/W1993723559","https://openalex.org/W2038286606","https://openalex.org/W2145473177","https://openalex.org/W2151610952","https://openalex.org/W2152450972","https://openalex.org/W2229456212","https://openalex.org/W2323817146","https://openalex.org/W2504019369","https://openalex.org/W2557449628","https://openalex.org/W2775036287","https://openalex.org/W2967988713","https://openalex.org/W2987610042","https://openalex.org/W3094725157","https://openalex.org/W3121590070","https://openalex.org/W3140015408","https://openalex.org/W4253887561","https://openalex.org/W4281264386","https://openalex.org/W4389795415","https://openalex.org/W6845883598","https://openalex.org/W7071364070"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2351217280","https://openalex.org/W2086836292","https://openalex.org/W2354083748","https://openalex.org/W2357949222","https://openalex.org/W2338005294","https://openalex.org/W2104192539","https://openalex.org/W2954733677","https://openalex.org/W2033865166","https://openalex.org/W2393625522","https://openalex.org/W1575721881"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"The":[0,45,56,78,95],"study":[1],"aims":[2],"to":[3,15,26,62,106],"develop":[4],"an":[5],"agent-based":[6],"simulation":[7],"model":[8,57],"combined":[9],"with":[10],"a":[11,113],"machine":[12,59],"learning":[13,60],"method":[14],"predict":[16],"changes":[17],"in":[18,91,108,130],"consumers\u2019":[19],"tea":[20,43,68,89,99,116,142],"consumption":[21,69,90,100],"habits":[22],"and":[23,29,65,71,83,93,122],"perceptions":[24],"due":[25],"various":[27],"factors":[28],"the":[30,40,53,86,109,139],"industry\u2019s":[31],"status.":[32],"It":[33],"was":[34,81],"carried":[35],"out":[36],"specifically":[37],"from":[38],"Turkey,":[39],"world\u2019s":[41],"leading":[42],"consumer.":[44],"data":[46],"were":[47],"collected":[48],"<i>via</i>":[49],"survey":[50],"based":[51],"on":[52],"whole":[54],"country.":[55],"uses":[58],"technique":[61],"analyse":[63],"brand":[64],"per":[66,101],"capita":[67,102],"data,":[70],"rules":[72],"are":[73],"generated":[74],"for":[75,138],"these":[76,145],"variables.":[77],"model,":[79],"which":[80],"verified":[82],"validated,":[84],"examined":[85],"structure":[87],"of":[88,120,141,147],"2050":[92],"2075.":[94],"results":[96],"showed":[97],"that":[98,107,133],"will":[103],"increase":[104,118],"compared":[105],"current":[110],"situation.":[111],"In":[112],"scenario":[114],"where":[115],"prices":[117],"because":[119],"agricultural":[121],"climate":[123],"factors,":[124],"there":[125],"is":[126],"no":[127],"direct":[128],"decrease":[129],"demand,":[131],"suggesting":[132],"action":[134],"should":[135],"be":[136],"taken":[137],"sustainability":[140],"before":[143],"facing":[144],"kinds":[146],"situations.":[148]},"counts_by_year":[],"updated_date":"2026-04-04T16:13:02.066488","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}
