{"id":"https://openalex.org/W230587383","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1023/a:1016709416174","title":"On Two Pseudo-Paradoxes in Bayesian Analysis","display_name":"On Two Pseudo-Paradoxes in Bayesian Analysis","publication_year":2001,"publication_date":"2001-08-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W230587383","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1023/a:1016709416174","mag":"230587383"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1023/a:1016709416174","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1023/a:1016709416174","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S90199469","display_name":"Annals of Mathematics and Artificial Intelligence","issn_l":"1012-2443","issn":["1012-2443","1573-7470"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319900","host_organization_name":"Springer Science+Business Media","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319900","https://openalex.org/P4310319965"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Springer Science+Business Media","Springer Nature"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Annals of Mathematics and Artificial Intelligence","raw_type":"journal-article"},"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"green","oa_url":"http://www.escholarship.org/uc/item/10s396wt","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5108208924","display_name":"Judea Pearl","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I161318765","display_name":"University of California, Los Angeles","ror":"https://ror.org/046rm7j60","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I161318765"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Judea Pearl","raw_affiliation_strings":["Cognitive Systems Laboratory, Computer Science Department, University of California, Los Angeles, CA, 90024, USA","Cognitive Systems Laboratory, Computer Science Department, University of California, Los Angeles, CA 90024, USA E-mail: judea@cs.ucla.edu#TAB#"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Cognitive Systems Laboratory, Computer Science Department, University of California, Los Angeles, CA, 90024, USA","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I161318765"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Cognitive Systems Laboratory, Computer Science Department, University of California, Los Angeles, CA 90024, USA E-mail: judea@cs.ucla.edu#TAB#","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I161318765"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":1,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5108208924"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I161318765"],"apc_list":{"value":2390,"currency":"EUR","value_usd":2990},"apc_paid":null,"fwci":0.0,"has_fulltext":true,"cited_by_count":1,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.02997897,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":90,"max":94},"biblio":{"volume":"32","issue":"1-4","first_page":"171","last_page":"177"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11303","display_name":"Bayesian Modeling and Causal Inference","score":0.9905999898910522,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1702","display_name":"Artificial Intelligence"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/17","display_name":"Computer Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11303","display_name":"Bayesian Modeling and Causal Inference","score":0.9905999898910522,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1702","display_name":"Artificial Intelligence"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/17","display_name":"Computer Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/bayesian-probability","display_name":"Bayesian probability","score":0.6248239278793335},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/frequentist-inference","display_name":"Frequentist inference","score":0.5855578184127808},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/probabilistic-logic","display_name":"Probabilistic logic","score":0.5668689608573914},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/conditional-probability","display_name":"Conditional probability","score":0.5435507297515869},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/conditional-independence","display_name":"Conditional independence","score":0.49797487258911133},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/axiom","display_name":"Axiom","score":0.4848659932613373},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/relevance","display_name":"Relevance (law)","score":0.4532108008861542},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/mathematical-economics","display_name":"Mathematical economics","score":0.4329952597618103},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/interpretation","display_name":"Interpretation (philosophy)","score":0.42359912395477295},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-science","display_name":"Computer science","score":0.3990916907787323},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/mathematics","display_name":"Mathematics","score":0.3563805818557739},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/bayesian-inference","display_name":"Bayesian inference","score":0.34698694944381714},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/epistemology","display_name":"Epistemology","score":0.3400709629058838},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/artificial-intelligence","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","score":0.298467218875885},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/statistics","display_name":"Statistics","score":0.18780657649040222},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/philosophy","display_name":"Philosophy","score":0.13665932416915894}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C107673813","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q812534","display_name":"Bayesian probability","level":2,"score":0.6248239278793335},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162376815","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2158281","display_name":"Frequentist inference","level":4,"score":0.5855578184127808},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C49937458","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2599292","display_name":"Probabilistic logic","level":2,"score":0.5668689608573914},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C44492722","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q327069","display_name":"Conditional probability","level":2,"score":0.5435507297515869},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C79772020","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5159264","display_name":"Conditional independence","level":2,"score":0.49797487258911133},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C167729594","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q17736","display_name":"Axiom","level":2,"score":0.4848659932613373},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C158154518","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7310970","display_name":"Relevance (law)","level":2,"score":0.4532108008861542},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C144237770","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q747534","display_name":"Mathematical economics","level":1,"score":0.4329952597618103},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C527412718","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q855395","display_name":"Interpretation (philosophy)","level":2,"score":0.42359912395477295},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.3990916907787323},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.3563805818557739},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C160234255","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q812535","display_name":"Bayesian inference","level":3,"score":0.34698694944381714},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C111472728","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9471","display_name":"Epistemology","level":1,"score":0.3400709629058838},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C154945302","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11660","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","level":1,"score":0.298467218875885},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C105795698","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12483","display_name":"Statistics","level":1,"score":0.18780657649040222},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C138885662","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5891","display_name":"Philosophy","level":0,"score":0.13665932416915894},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C199539241","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7748","display_name":"Law","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2524010","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8087","display_name":"Geometry","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C199360897","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9143","display_name":"Programming language","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C17744445","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q36442","display_name":"Political science","level":0,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":4,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1023/a:1016709416174","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1023/a:1016709416174","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S90199469","display_name":"Annals of Mathematics and Artificial Intelligence","issn_l":"1012-2443","issn":["1012-2443","1573-7470"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319900","host_organization_name":"Springer Science+Business Media","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319900","https://openalex.org/P4310319965"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Springer Science+Business Media","Springer Nature"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Annals of Mathematics and Artificial Intelligence","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmh:qt10s396wt","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"http://www.escholarship.org/uc/item/10s396wt","pdf_url":"http://www.escholarship.org/uc/item/10s396wt","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306400115","display_name":"eScholarship (California Digital Library)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I2801248553","host_organization_name":"California Digital Library","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I2801248553"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Judea Pearl. (2011). On two pseudo-paradoxes in Bayesian analysis. Department of Statistics, UCLA. UCLA: Department of Statistics, UCLA. Retrieved from: http://www.escholarship.org/uc/item/10s396wt","raw_type":"article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:escholarship.org/ark:/13030/qt10s396wt","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://escholarship.org/uc/item/10s396wt","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306400115","display_name":"eScholarship (California Digital Library)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I2801248553","host_organization_name":"California Digital Library","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I2801248553"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"","raw_type":"article"},{"id":"mag:230587383","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://escholarship.org/uc/item/10s396wt.pdf","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306507726","display_name":"Department of Statistics, UCLA","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":null,"is_accepted":false,"is_published":null,"raw_source_name":"Department of Statistics, UCLA","raw_type":null}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"pmh:qt10s396wt","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"http://www.escholarship.org/uc/item/10s396wt","pdf_url":"http://www.escholarship.org/uc/item/10s396wt","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306400115","display_name":"eScholarship (California Digital Library)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I2801248553","host_organization_name":"California Digital Library","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I2801248553"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Judea Pearl. (2011). On two pseudo-paradoxes in Bayesian analysis. Department of Statistics, UCLA. UCLA: Department of Statistics, UCLA. Retrieved from: http://www.escholarship.org/uc/item/10s396wt","raw_type":"article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":false,"pdf":true},"content_urls":{"pdf":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W230587383.pdf"},"referenced_works_count":4,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W30853191","https://openalex.org/W2071743233","https://openalex.org/W4210427261","https://openalex.org/W6630294587"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2472612437","https://openalex.org/W1990542406","https://openalex.org/W2081999356","https://openalex.org/W1964504235","https://openalex.org/W1987432611","https://openalex.org/W2953266857","https://openalex.org/W92653744","https://openalex.org/W2017682299","https://openalex.org/W1549099705","https://openalex.org/W2488520095","https://openalex.org/W2188055643","https://openalex.org/W2276781010","https://openalex.org/W2950456521","https://openalex.org/W2037606659","https://openalex.org/W120840349","https://openalex.org/W2077357460","https://openalex.org/W1900657312","https://openalex.org/W1543310696","https://openalex.org/W2482856825","https://openalex.org/W2481744215"],"abstract_inverted_index":null,"counts_by_year":[{"year":2017,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2025-11-06T03:46:38.306776","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}