{"id":"https://openalex.org/W4307126717","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jag.2022.103060","title":"Forecasting vegetation dynamics in an open ecosystem by integrating deep learning and environmental variables","display_name":"Forecasting vegetation dynamics in an open ecosystem by integrating deep learning and environmental variables","publication_year":2022,"publication_date":"2022-10-22","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W4307126717","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jag.2022.103060"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1016/j.jag.2022.103060","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jag.2022.103060","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210179989","display_name":"International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation","issn_l":"1569-8432","issn":["1569-8432","1872-826X"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320990","host_organization_name":"Elsevier BV","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320990"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Elsevier BV"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by-nc-nd","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by-nc-nd","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation","raw_type":"journal-article"},"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref","doaj"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"gold","oa_url":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jag.2022.103060","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5101994055","display_name":"Yue Ma","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5904-8568"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I63190737","display_name":"University at Buffalo, State University of New York","ror":"https://ror.org/01y64my43","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I63190737"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Yue Ma","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Geography, University at Buffalo, The State University of New York, Buffalo, NY 14260, USA"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Geography, University at Buffalo, The State University of New York, Buffalo, NY 14260, USA","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I63190737"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5005042481","display_name":"Yingjie Hu","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5515-4125"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I63190737","display_name":"University at Buffalo, State University of New York","ror":"https://ror.org/01y64my43","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I63190737"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Yingjie Hu","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Geography, University at Buffalo, The State University of New York, Buffalo, NY 14260, USA"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Geography, University at Buffalo, The State University of New York, Buffalo, NY 14260, USA","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I63190737"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5081903935","display_name":"Glenn R. Moncrieff","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0066-4371"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I157614274","display_name":"University of Cape Town","ror":"https://ror.org/03p74gp79","country_code":"ZA","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I157614274"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210140899","display_name":"South African Environmental Observation Network","ror":"https://ror.org/041j42q70","country_code":"ZA","type":"facility","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210140899","https://openalex.org/I866804994"]}],"countries":["ZA"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Glenn R. Moncrieff","raw_affiliation_strings":["Centre for Statistics in Ecology, Environment and Conservation, Department of Statistical Sciences, University of Cape Town, Private Bag X3, Cape Town 7701, South Africa","Fynbos Node, South African Environmental Observation Network, Private Bag X7, Rhodes Drive, Claremont 7735, South Africa"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Centre for Statistics in Ecology, Environment and Conservation, Department of Statistical Sciences, University of Cape Town, Private Bag X3, Cape Town 7701, South Africa","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I157614274"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Fynbos Node, South African Environmental Observation Network, Private Bag X7, Rhodes Drive, Claremont 7735, South Africa","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210140899"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5075161633","display_name":"Jasper A. Slingsby","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1246-1181"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I157614274","display_name":"University of Cape Town","ror":"https://ror.org/03p74gp79","country_code":"ZA","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I157614274"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210140899","display_name":"South African Environmental Observation Network","ror":"https://ror.org/041j42q70","country_code":"ZA","type":"facility","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210140899","https://openalex.org/I866804994"]}],"countries":["ZA"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Jasper A. Slingsby","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Biological Sciences and Centre for Statistics in Ecology, Environment and Conservation, University of Cape Town, 7701 Cape Town, South Africa","Fynbos Node, South African Environmental Observation Network, Private Bag X7, Rhodes Drive, Claremont 7735, South Africa"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Biological Sciences and Centre for Statistics in Ecology, Environment and Conservation, University of Cape Town, 7701 Cape Town, South Africa","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I157614274"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Fynbos Node, South African Environmental Observation Network, Private Bag X7, Rhodes Drive, Claremont 7735, South Africa","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210140899"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5034086801","display_name":"Adam M. Wilson","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3362-7806"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I63190737","display_name":"University at Buffalo, State University of New York","ror":"https://ror.org/01y64my43","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I63190737"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Adam M. Wilson","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Geography, University at Buffalo, The State University of New York, Buffalo, NY 14260, USA"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Geography, University at Buffalo, The State University of New York, Buffalo, NY 14260, USA","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I63190737"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5059379027","display_name":"Brian Maitner","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2118-9880"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I63190737","display_name":"University at Buffalo, State University of New York","ror":"https://ror.org/01y64my43","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I63190737"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Brian Maitner","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Geography, University at Buffalo, The State University of New York, Buffalo, NY 14260, USA"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Geography, University at Buffalo, The State University of New York, Buffalo, NY 14260, USA","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I63190737"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5070467313","display_name":"Ryan Zhenqi Zhou","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7182-140X"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I63190737","display_name":"University at Buffalo, State University of New York","ror":"https://ror.org/01y64my43","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I63190737"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Ryan Zhenqi Zhou","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Geography, University at Buffalo, The State University of New York, Buffalo, NY 14260, USA"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Geography, University at Buffalo, The State University of New York, Buffalo, NY 14260, USA","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I63190737"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":2,"institutions_distinct_count":7,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5005042481"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I63190737"],"apc_list":{"value":2250,"currency":"USD","value_usd":2250},"apc_paid":{"value":2250,"currency":"USD","value_usd":2250},"fwci":7.4562,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":29,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.97159772,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":true},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":89,"max":99},"biblio":{"volume":"114","issue":null,"first_page":"103060","last_page":"103060"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10895","display_name":"Species Distribution and Climate Change","score":0.9988999962806702,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2302","display_name":"Ecological Modeling"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/23","display_name":"Environmental Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10895","display_name":"Species Distribution and Climate Change","score":0.9988999962806702,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2302","display_name":"Ecological Modeling"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/23","display_name":"Environmental Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10111","display_name":"Remote Sensing in Agriculture","score":0.9987000226974487,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2303","display_name":"Ecology"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/23","display_name":"Environmental Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11164","display_name":"Remote Sensing and LiDAR Applications","score":0.994700014591217,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2305","display_name":"Environmental Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/23","display_name":"Environmental Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/vegetation","display_name":"Vegetation (pathology)","score":0.6445640325546265},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/geography","display_name":"Geography","score":0.5529718399047852},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/ecosystem","display_name":"Ecosystem","score":0.5470113158226013},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/environmental-resource-management","display_name":"Environmental resource management","score":0.4907873570919037},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/ecosystem-approach","display_name":"Ecosystem approach","score":0.4221833348274231},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/environmental-science","display_name":"Environmental science","score":0.4095378518104553},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/ecology","display_name":"Ecology","score":0.39029791951179504},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/biology","display_name":"Biology","score":0.11355289816856384}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2776133958","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7918366","display_name":"Vegetation (pathology)","level":2,"score":0.6445640325546265},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C205649164","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1071","display_name":"Geography","level":0,"score":0.5529718399047852},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C110872660","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q37813","display_name":"Ecosystem","level":2,"score":0.5470113158226013},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C107826830","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q929380","display_name":"Environmental resource management","level":1,"score":0.4907873570919037},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2779071118","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2858927","display_name":"Ecosystem approach","level":3,"score":0.4221833348274231},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C39432304","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q188847","display_name":"Environmental science","level":0,"score":0.4095378518104553},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C18903297","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7150","display_name":"Ecology","level":1,"score":0.39029791951179504},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C86803240","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q420","display_name":"Biology","level":0,"score":0.11355289816856384},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C71924100","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11190","display_name":"Medicine","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C142724271","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7208","display_name":"Pathology","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":2,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1016/j.jag.2022.103060","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jag.2022.103060","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210179989","display_name":"International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation","issn_l":"1569-8432","issn":["1569-8432","1872-826X"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320990","host_organization_name":"Elsevier BV","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320990"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Elsevier BV"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by-nc-nd","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by-nc-nd","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:doaj.org/article:ad58e7aa22984a8da48efad0ec1c0717","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doaj.org/article/ad58e7aa22984a8da48efad0ec1c0717","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S112646816","display_name":"SHILAP Revista de lepidopterolog\u00eda","issn_l":"0300-5267","issn":["0300-5267","2340-4078"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":false,"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"International Journal of Applied Earth Observations and Geoinformation, Vol 114, Iss , Pp 103060- (2022)","raw_type":"article"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.1016/j.jag.2022.103060","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jag.2022.103060","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210179989","display_name":"International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation","issn_l":"1569-8432","issn":["1569-8432","1872-826X"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320990","host_organization_name":"Elsevier BV","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320990"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Elsevier BV"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by-nc-nd","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by-nc-nd","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation","raw_type":"journal-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[{"score":0.7599999904632568,"display_name":"Life in Land","id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/15"}],"awards":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/G2625784700","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"80NSSC21K1183","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320306101","funder_display_name":"National Aeronautics and Space Administration"}],"funders":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320306101","display_name":"National Aeronautics and Space Administration","ror":"https://ror.org/027ka1x80"}],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":false,"pdf":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":40,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W1485009520","https://openalex.org/W1536181565","https://openalex.org/W1966743036","https://openalex.org/W1994564646","https://openalex.org/W2064675550","https://openalex.org/W2098956658","https://openalex.org/W2107878631","https://openalex.org/W2113503197","https://openalex.org/W2120160157","https://openalex.org/W2162348455","https://openalex.org/W2605858619","https://openalex.org/W2786038065","https://openalex.org/W2787931125","https://openalex.org/W2791911512","https://openalex.org/W2884648474","https://openalex.org/W2947521495","https://openalex.org/W2967059064","https://openalex.org/W2994796420","https://openalex.org/W3000716014","https://openalex.org/W3033154295","https://openalex.org/W3033967492","https://openalex.org/W3043480203","https://openalex.org/W3093496738","https://openalex.org/W3104839310","https://openalex.org/W3123866823","https://openalex.org/W3145846731","https://openalex.org/W3154567769","https://openalex.org/W3158891302","https://openalex.org/W3164443880","https://openalex.org/W4205464866","https://openalex.org/W4220977107","https://openalex.org/W4297463985","https://openalex.org/W6628877408","https://openalex.org/W6674680812","https://openalex.org/W6784450866","https://openalex.org/W6789406798","https://openalex.org/W6805962754","https://openalex.org/W6809023857","https://openalex.org/W6911097187","https://openalex.org/W6948405331"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2387040017","https://openalex.org/W3016159732","https://openalex.org/W2083242912","https://openalex.org/W2128626828","https://openalex.org/W2794258324","https://openalex.org/W2028540569","https://openalex.org/W107442245","https://openalex.org/W2008021019","https://openalex.org/W2718045967","https://openalex.org/W2374475798"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Open":[0],"(i.e.,":[1],"non-forest)":[2],"ecosystems,":[3,53],"such":[4,136],"as":[5,137],"savannas,":[6],"shrublands,":[7],"and":[8,21,41,71,128,141,189],"grasslands,":[9],"contain":[10],"over":[11],"40":[12],"%":[13],"of":[14,26,86,93,109,114,132,191],"the":[15,27,91,106,110,130,145,150,174,181,187],"global":[16,118],"total":[17],"ecosystem":[18],"organic":[19],"carbon":[20,42],"harbor":[22],"a":[23,117,193,205],"substantial":[24],"portion":[25],"world\u2019s":[28],"biodiversity.":[29],"Accurately":[30],"forecasting":[31,99,179,200],"vegetation":[32,60,81,100,155,199],"dynamics":[33,101],"is":[34,76],"critical":[35],"for":[36,98,178,198],"managing":[37],"biodiversity,":[38],"fire,":[39],"water,":[40],"in":[43,83,102,170,201],"these":[44],"open":[45,54,104,202],"ecosystems.":[46,87],"Unlike":[47],"forests":[48],"or":[49],"other":[50,161],"relatively":[51],"stable":[52],"ecosystems":[55,203],"can":[56,153],"have":[57],"dramatically":[58],"changing":[59],"states":[61],"since":[62],"they":[63],"are":[64],"prone":[65],"to":[66,78,143],"natural":[67],"disturbances,":[68],"long-term":[69],"trends,":[70],"short-term":[72],"events.":[73],"Consequently,":[74],"it":[75],"challenging":[77],"accurately":[79,158],"predict":[80],"state":[82,156],"this":[84],"type":[85],"This":[88],"paper":[89],"investigates":[90],"use":[92],"deep":[94,125,194],"learning":[95,126,195],"based":[96,196],"approaches":[97],"an":[103],"ecosystem,":[105],"fynbos":[107],"shrublands":[108],"Cape":[111],"Floristic":[112],"Region":[113],"South":[115],"Africa,":[116],"biodiversity":[119],"hotspot.":[120],"We":[121,147],"experiment":[122],"with":[123],"different":[124],"models":[127],"examine":[129],"ability":[131],"thirteen":[133],"environmental":[134,166],"variables,":[135],"precipitation,":[138],"fire":[139],"history,":[140],"temperature,":[142],"enhance":[144],"forecasting.":[146],"find":[148],"that":[149],"ConvLSTM":[151],"model":[152],"forecast":[154],"more":[157],"than":[159],"four":[160],"compared":[162],"baseline":[163],"approaches.":[164],"The":[165],"variable":[167],"mean":[168],"precipitation":[169],"July":[171],"(winter)":[172],"provides":[173],"most":[175],"prominent":[176],"enhancement":[177],"among":[180],"tested":[182],"variables.":[183],"Finally,":[184],"we":[185],"discuss":[186],"pros":[188],"cons":[190],"using":[192],"approach":[197],"from":[204],"conservation":[206],"management":[207],"perspective.":[208]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":12},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":13},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2026-03-09T08:58:05.943551","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}
