{"id":"https://openalex.org/W7167672600","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eswa.2026.133486","title":"Early-warnings of critical transitions emerging from network hierarchies","display_name":"Early-warnings of critical transitions emerging from network hierarchies","publication_year":2026,"publication_date":"2026-07-08","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W7167672600","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eswa.2026.133486"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1016/j.eswa.2026.133486","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eswa.2026.133486","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S13144211","display_name":"Expert Systems with Applications","issn_l":"0957-4174","issn":["0957-4174","1873-6793"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320990","host_organization_name":"Elsevier BV","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320990"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Elsevier BV"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Expert Systems with Applications","raw_type":"journal-article"},"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5075155830","display_name":"Huichun Li","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6119-0106"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I2802541053","display_name":"Academy of Military Medical Sciences","ror":"https://ror.org/02bv3c993","country_code":"CN","type":"facility","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I2802541053"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Huichun Li","raw_affiliation_strings":["Academy of Military Medical Sciences, Academy of Military Sciences, Beijing, 100071, China"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6119-0106","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Academy of Military Medical Sciences, Academy of Military Sciences, Beijing, 100071, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I2802541053"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5053973611","display_name":"Zhenghu Zu","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I2802541053","display_name":"Academy of Military Medical Sciences","ror":"https://ror.org/02bv3c993","country_code":"CN","type":"facility","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I2802541053"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Zhenghu Zu","raw_affiliation_strings":["Academy of Military Medical Sciences, Academy of Military Sciences, Beijing, 100071, China"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0009-0008-6810-7230","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Academy of Military Medical Sciences, Academy of Military Sciences, Beijing, 100071, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I2802541053"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5100769223","display_name":"Xue Zhang","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4856-9186"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I170215575","display_name":"National University of Defense Technology","ror":"https://ror.org/05d2yfz11","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I170215575"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Xue Zhang","raw_affiliation_strings":["College of Science, National University of Defense Technology, Changsha, 410073, China"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"College of Science, National University of Defense Technology, Changsha, 410073, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I170215575"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5086200685","display_name":"Chengli Zhao","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3674-408X"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I170215575","display_name":"National University of Defense Technology","ror":"https://ror.org/05d2yfz11","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I170215575"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Chengli Zhao","raw_affiliation_strings":["College of Science, National University of Defense Technology, Changsha, 410073, China"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"College of Science, National University of Defense Technology, Changsha, 410073, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I170215575"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5100713142","display_name":"Zhengming Wang","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0009-0004-3923-1233"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I170215575","display_name":"National University of Defense Technology","ror":"https://ror.org/05d2yfz11","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I170215575"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Zhengming Wang","raw_affiliation_strings":["College of Systems Engineering, National University of Defense Technology, Changsha, 410073, China"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"College of Systems Engineering, National University of Defense Technology, Changsha, 410073, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I170215575"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":2,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5053973611","https://openalex.org/A5100769223"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I170215575","https://openalex.org/I2802541053"],"apc_list":{"value":3220,"currency":"USD","value_usd":3220},"apc_paid":null,"fwci":0.0,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":0,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.90009625,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":true},"cited_by_percentile_year":null,"biblio":{"volume":"332","issue":null,"first_page":"133486","last_page":"133486"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T13377","display_name":"Ecosystem dynamics and resilience","score":0.9934999942779541,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2306","display_name":"Global and Planetary Change"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/23","display_name":"Environmental Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T13377","display_name":"Ecosystem dynamics and resilience","score":0.9934999942779541,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2306","display_name":"Global and Planetary Change"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/23","display_name":"Environmental Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10747","display_name":"Disaster Management and Resilience","score":0.00039999998989515007,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3312","display_name":"Sociology and Political Science"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T14299","display_name":"Complex Systems and Dynamics","score":0.00039999998989515007,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3109","display_name":"Statistical and Nonlinear Physics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/31","display_name":"Physics and Astronomy"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/fragility","display_name":"Fragility","score":0.7163000106811523},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/limiting","display_name":"Limiting","score":0.6937999725341797},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/critical-infrastructure","display_name":"Critical infrastructure","score":0.5787000060081482},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/warning-system","display_name":"Warning system","score":0.5224000215530396},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/commodity","display_name":"Commodity","score":0.5202999711036682},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/complex-network","display_name":"Complex network","score":0.4616999924182892},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/systemic-risk","display_name":"Systemic risk","score":0.4226999878883362},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/complex-system","display_name":"Complex system","score":0.4020000100135803},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/transition","display_name":"Transition (genetics)","score":0.37229999899864197}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C80191262","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5477668","display_name":"Fragility","level":2,"score":0.7163000106811523},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.715499997138977},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C188198153","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1613840","display_name":"Limiting","level":2,"score":0.6937999725341797},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C29852176","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q373338","display_name":"Critical infrastructure","level":2,"score":0.5787000060081482},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C29825287","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1427940","display_name":"Warning system","level":2,"score":0.5224000215530396},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2779439359","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q317088","display_name":"Commodity","level":2,"score":0.5202999711036682},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C34947359","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q665189","display_name":"Complex network","level":2,"score":0.4616999924182892},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C144587487","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1369234","display_name":"Systemic risk","level":3,"score":0.4226999878883362},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C47822265","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q854457","display_name":"Complex system","level":2,"score":0.4020000100135803},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C194232998","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1606712","display_name":"Transition (genetics)","level":3,"score":0.37229999899864197},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C112930515","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q4389547","display_name":"Risk analysis (engineering)","level":1,"score":0.35569998621940613},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33676613","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q13415176","display_name":"Dimension (graph theory)","level":2,"score":0.3440999984741211},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C120936955","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2155640","display_name":"Empirical research","level":2,"score":0.3402000069618225},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C124527596","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q17029359","display_name":"Hierarchical control system","level":3,"score":0.3395000100135803},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2776760741","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q25325235","display_name":"Financial networks","level":4,"score":0.33899998664855957},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2780217385","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2389284","display_name":"Hierarchical organization","level":2,"score":0.3260999917984009},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C166052673","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q83021","display_name":"Empirical evidence","level":2,"score":0.3199000060558319},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C80444323","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2878974","display_name":"Theoretical computer science","level":1,"score":0.31029999256134033},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C124101348","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q172491","display_name":"Data mining","level":1,"score":0.3052999973297119},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C4727928","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q17164759","display_name":"Social network (sociolinguistics)","level":3,"score":0.2915000021457672},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C154945302","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11660","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","level":1,"score":0.29120001196861267},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2522767166","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2374463","display_name":"Data science","level":1,"score":0.29120001196861267},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2780801425","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5164392","display_name":"Construct (python library)","level":2,"score":0.27970001101493835},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C119857082","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2539","display_name":"Machine learning","level":1,"score":0.2773999869823456},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C114713312","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7551269","display_name":"Social network analysis","level":3,"score":0.27469998598098755},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2778300220","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q114380","display_name":"Financial crisis","level":2,"score":0.25679999589920044},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C104122410","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1416406","display_name":"Network model","level":2,"score":0.2533000111579895},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C123138037","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5570871","display_name":"Global network","level":2,"score":0.2529999911785126},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C144133560","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q4830453","display_name":"Business","level":0,"score":0.25060001015663147},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2988224531","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q20830730","display_name":"Network structure","level":2,"score":0.25029999017715454}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1016/j.eswa.2026.133486","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eswa.2026.133486","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S13144211","display_name":"Expert Systems with Applications","issn_l":"0957-4174","issn":["0957-4174","1873-6793"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320990","host_organization_name":"Elsevier BV","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320990"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Elsevier BV"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Expert Systems with Applications","raw_type":"journal-article"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"pdf":false,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":33,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W1571377790","https://openalex.org/W2035471593","https://openalex.org/W2074558939","https://openalex.org/W2116199452","https://openalex.org/W2141849512","https://openalex.org/W2153268540","https://openalex.org/W2157658472","https://openalex.org/W2235011776","https://openalex.org/W2273968408","https://openalex.org/W2733397209","https://openalex.org/W2754934054","https://openalex.org/W2896741302","https://openalex.org/W2907471989","https://openalex.org/W2929781862","https://openalex.org/W3045386032","https://openalex.org/W3120887917","https://openalex.org/W3123471004","https://openalex.org/W3135827963","https://openalex.org/W3139832680","https://openalex.org/W3164670850","https://openalex.org/W3201821930","https://openalex.org/W4285728870","https://openalex.org/W4316495377","https://openalex.org/W4366609069","https://openalex.org/W4376108577","https://openalex.org/W4392457913","https://openalex.org/W4402488993","https://openalex.org/W4402862739","https://openalex.org/W4405911817","https://openalex.org/W4407897482","https://openalex.org/W4408601525","https://openalex.org/W4413345235","https://openalex.org/W4416570634"],"related_works":[],"abstract_inverted_index":null,"counts_by_year":[],"updated_date":"2026-07-11T05:44:25.926202","created_date":"2026-07-09T00:00:00"}