{"id":"https://openalex.org/W7125904271","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecoinf.2026.103622","title":"Projecting Chlorophyll-a distributions under climate change using Copula-based inference and SST projections","display_name":"Projecting Chlorophyll-a distributions under climate change using Copula-based inference and SST projections","publication_year":2026,"publication_date":"2026-01-28","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W7125904271","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecoinf.2026.103622"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1016/j.ecoinf.2026.103622","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecoinf.2026.103622","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S195809937","display_name":"Ecological Informatics","issn_l":"1574-9541","issn":["1574-9541","1878-0512"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320990","host_organization_name":"Elsevier BV","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320990"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Elsevier BV"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Ecological Informatics","raw_type":"journal-article"},"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref","doaj"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"gold","oa_url":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecoinf.2026.103622","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5118665313","display_name":"Amina Ben Salah","orcid":null},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Amina Ben Salah","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"affiliations":[]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5081544583","display_name":"Bouchra Zellou","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7017-2209"},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Bouchra Zellou","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"affiliations":[]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5112023769","display_name":"Mohammed Sea\u00efd","orcid":null},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Mohammed Seaid","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"affiliations":[]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5124127813","display_name":"Mofdi El Amrani","orcid":null},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Mofdi El Amrani","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"affiliations":[]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5061973742","display_name":"Nabil El Mo\u00e7ayd","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3258-8537"},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Nabil El Mocayd","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"affiliations":[]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":0,"institutions_distinct_count":5,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5118665313"],"corresponding_institution_ids":[],"apc_list":{"value":2510,"currency":"USD","value_usd":2510},"apc_paid":{"value":2510,"currency":"USD","value_usd":2510},"fwci":0.0,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":0,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.23241508,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":null,"biblio":{"volume":"94","issue":null,"first_page":"103622","last_page":"103622"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10111","display_name":"Remote Sensing in Agriculture","score":0.24250000715255737,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2303","display_name":"Ecology"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/23","display_name":"Environmental Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10111","display_name":"Remote Sensing in Agriculture","score":0.24250000715255737,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2303","display_name":"Ecology"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/23","display_name":"Environmental Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10032","display_name":"Marine and coastal ecosystems","score":0.1103999987244606,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1910","display_name":"Oceanography"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/19","display_name":"Earth and Planetary Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10266","display_name":"Plant Water Relations and Carbon Dynamics","score":0.07720000296831131,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2306","display_name":"Global and Planetary Change"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/23","display_name":"Environmental Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/inference","display_name":"Inference","score":0.671500027179718},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/climate-change","display_name":"Climate change","score":0.6371999979019165},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/climate-model","display_name":"Climate model","score":0.37380000948905945},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/statistical-inference","display_name":"Statistical inference","score":0.30790001153945923},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/global-warming","display_name":"Global warming","score":0.30390000343322754},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/global-change","display_name":"Global change","score":0.2906000018119812}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2776214188","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q408386","display_name":"Inference","level":2,"score":0.671500027179718},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C132651083","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7942","display_name":"Climate change","level":2,"score":0.6371999979019165},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C49204034","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q52139","display_name":"Climatology","level":1,"score":0.4787999987602234},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C39432304","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q188847","display_name":"Environmental science","level":0,"score":0.4708000123500824},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.3961000144481659},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C168754636","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q620920","display_name":"Climate model","level":3,"score":0.37380000948905945},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C153294291","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q25261","display_name":"Meteorology","level":1,"score":0.3395000100135803},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C134261354","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q938438","display_name":"Statistical inference","level":2,"score":0.30790001153945923},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C115343472","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7942","display_name":"Global warming","level":3,"score":0.30390000343322754},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C199491958","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q737514","display_name":"Global change","level":3,"score":0.2906000018119812},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C203595873","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q25389927","display_name":"Change detection","level":2,"score":0.2840000092983246},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C62649853","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q199687","display_name":"Remote sensing","level":1,"score":0.2833999991416931},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2994067962","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3509184","display_name":"Climate system","level":3,"score":0.2791999876499176},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41156917","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q682831","display_name":"Downscaling","level":3,"score":0.27300000190734863},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149782125","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q160039","display_name":"Econometrics","level":1,"score":0.26429998874664307},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C57493831","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3134666","display_name":"Projection (relational algebra)","level":2,"score":0.26330000162124634}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":2,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1016/j.ecoinf.2026.103622","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecoinf.2026.103622","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S195809937","display_name":"Ecological Informatics","issn_l":"1574-9541","issn":["1574-9541","1878-0512"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320990","host_organization_name":"Elsevier BV","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320990"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Elsevier BV"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Ecological Informatics","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:doaj.org/article:8bec659364b24e3988de82315adb2312","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doaj.org/article/8bec659364b24e3988de82315adb2312","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S112646816","display_name":"SHILAP Revista de lepidopterolog\u00eda","issn_l":"0300-5267","issn":["0300-5267","2340-4078"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":false,"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Ecological Informatics, Vol 94, Iss , Pp 103622- (2026)","raw_type":"article"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.1016/j.ecoinf.2026.103622","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecoinf.2026.103622","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S195809937","display_name":"Ecological Informatics","issn_l":"1574-9541","issn":["1574-9541","1878-0512"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320990","host_organization_name":"Elsevier BV","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320990"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Elsevier BV"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Ecological Informatics","raw_type":"journal-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[{"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/13","display_name":"Climate action","score":0.8873434066772461}],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"pdf":false,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":43,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W813056709","https://openalex.org/W1844981334","https://openalex.org/W1852536134","https://openalex.org/W1895429286","https://openalex.org/W1966653370","https://openalex.org/W1985479415","https://openalex.org/W1992105816","https://openalex.org/W2001332003","https://openalex.org/W2008269266","https://openalex.org/W2010193289","https://openalex.org/W2010557655","https://openalex.org/W2023182126","https://openalex.org/W2041241275","https://openalex.org/W2054957279","https://openalex.org/W2071823598","https://openalex.org/W2072541143","https://openalex.org/W2088132954","https://openalex.org/W2118084620","https://openalex.org/W2151567220","https://openalex.org/W2158114082","https://openalex.org/W2346901351","https://openalex.org/W2462713452","https://openalex.org/W2566202023","https://openalex.org/W2752638621","https://openalex.org/W2848240535","https://openalex.org/W2892612201","https://openalex.org/W2908277783","https://openalex.org/W2989912132","https://openalex.org/W3124751990","https://openalex.org/W3136149587","https://openalex.org/W3198209947","https://openalex.org/W4226067094","https://openalex.org/W4381666002","https://openalex.org/W4382051338","https://openalex.org/W4384008699","https://openalex.org/W4385728228","https://openalex.org/W4390820342","https://openalex.org/W4393269917","https://openalex.org/W4401045453","https://openalex.org/W4401326769","https://openalex.org/W4403849797","https://openalex.org/W4406018879","https://openalex.org/W4409583461"],"related_works":[],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Sea":[0,43],"surface":[1],"temperature":[2],"(SST)":[3],"and":[4,34,45,66,89,133,152,167,217,260,268],"chlorophyll-a":[5],"(Chl-a)":[6],"are":[7,20,81,146,180],"key":[8],"indicators":[9],"of":[10,32,206,225,252],"marine":[11],"ecosystem":[12],"productivity,":[13],"particularly":[14],"for":[15],"small":[16],"pelagic":[17],"species":[18],"that":[19,130,230,240],"sensitive":[21],"to":[22,52,97,182,277,291],"climate-driven":[23],"environmental":[24],"changes.":[25],"This":[26,235],"study":[27],"investigates":[28],"the":[29,41,46,102,190,196,204,207,215,218,226,241,253,272,286],"coupled":[30],"dynamics":[31],"SST":[33,109,132,178,201],"Chl-a":[35,117,134,184],"in":[36,101,115,237],"two":[37,84,293],"ecologically":[38],"distinct":[39],"regions,":[40],"Alboran":[42],"(AS)":[44],"North":[47],"Atlantic":[48],"Moroccan":[49],"Ocean":[50],"(NAMO),":[51],"better":[53],"understand":[54],"their":[55,138],"response":[56],"under":[57,83,186,298,308],"future":[58,177,243],"climate":[59,187],"scenarios.":[60],"Historical":[61],"satellite":[62],"observations":[63],"from":[64,68,172],"MODIS-Aqua":[65],"projections":[67],"six":[69],"Coupled":[70],"Model":[71],"Intercomparison":[72],"Project":[73],"Phase":[74],"VI":[75],"(CMIP6)":[76],"General":[77],"Circulation":[78],"Models":[79],"(GCMs)":[80],"analyzed":[82],"Shared":[85],"Socioeconomic":[86],"Pathways":[87],"(SSP2-4.5":[88],"SSP5-8.5).":[90],"Multivariate":[91],"bias":[92],"correction":[93],"(MBCp)":[94],"is":[95,192,275,289],"performed":[96],"correct":[98],"systematic":[99],"biases":[100],"model":[103],"outputs.":[104],"While":[105],"GCMs":[106],"effectively":[107],"capture":[108],"trends,":[110],"they":[111],"show":[112],"significant":[113],"limitations":[114],"simulating":[116],"variability.":[118,169,270],"To":[119],"address":[120],"this":[121],"issue,":[122],"we":[123],"introduce":[124],"a":[125,211,222,249,257,279,303,309],"conditional":[126],"copula-based":[127],"inference":[128],"framework":[129],"links":[131],"distributions":[135,145],"based":[136,160],"on":[137,161],"joint":[139],"probabilistic":[140],"behavior.":[141],"In":[142,284],"addition,":[143],"marginal":[144],"identified":[147],"using":[148,199],"goodness-of-fit":[149],"tests,":[150],"AIC":[151],"BIC.":[153],"The":[154],"copula":[155],"families":[156],"have":[157],"been":[158],"selected":[159],"AIC,":[162],"taking":[163],"into":[164],"account":[165],"regional":[166],"seasonal":[168],"Conditional":[170],"simulations":[171],"fitted":[173],"copulas,":[174],"informed":[175],"by":[176,265],"projections,":[179],"used":[181],"predict":[183],"levels":[185],"change.":[188],"However,":[189],"method":[191],"initially":[193],"validated":[194],"during":[195],"historical":[197,200],"period":[198],"models,":[202],"confirming":[203],"robustness":[205],"approach.":[208],"Results":[209],"highlight":[210],"pronounced":[212],"divergence":[213],"between":[214],"optimistic":[216,300],"pessimistic":[219,310],"scenarios,":[220],"suggesting":[221],"consistent":[223],"reduction":[224],"most":[227],"productive":[228],"phases":[229],"sustain":[231],"higher":[232],"trophic":[233],"levels.":[234],"decline":[236],"productivity":[238,267],"indicates":[239],"far":[242],"ocean":[244],"will":[245],"not":[246],"merely":[247],"be":[248],"warmer":[250],"version":[251],"present":[254],"system":[255],"but":[256],"biogeochemically":[258],"altered":[259],"less":[261],"resilient":[262],"ocean,":[263],"characterized":[264],"lower":[266],"reduced":[269],"Regionally,":[271],"NAMO":[273],"region":[274,288],"projected":[276,290],"undergo":[278],"gradual":[280],"yet":[281],"persistent":[282],"weakening.":[283],"contrast,":[285],"AS":[287],"face":[292],"contrasting":[294],"futures,":[295],"partial":[296],"resilience":[297],"an":[299],"scenario":[301],"or":[302],"potential":[304],"catastrophic":[305],"ecological":[306],"transition":[307],"scenario.":[311]},"counts_by_year":[],"updated_date":"2026-03-25T14:56:36.534964","created_date":"2026-01-29T00:00:00"}