{"id":"https://openalex.org/W3085763374","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10700-020-09339-4","title":"Analysis and prediction of confirmed COVID-19 cases in China with uncertain time series","display_name":"Analysis and prediction of confirmed COVID-19 cases in China with uncertain time series","publication_year":2020,"publication_date":"2020-09-16","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W3085763374","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10700-020-09339-4","mag":"3085763374"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1007/s10700-020-09339-4","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10700-020-09339-4","pdf_url":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s10700-020-09339-4.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S93986401","display_name":"Fuzzy Optimization and Decision Making","issn_l":"1568-4539","issn":["1568-4539","1573-2908"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319900","host_organization_name":"Springer Science+Business Media","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319900","https://openalex.org/P4310319965"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Springer Science+Business Media","Springer Nature"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Fuzzy Optimization and Decision Making","raw_type":"journal-article"},"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"bronze","oa_url":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s10700-020-09339-4.pdf","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5047116262","display_name":"Tingqing Ye","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I99065089","display_name":"Tsinghua University","ror":"https://ror.org/03cve4549","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I99065089"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Tingqing Ye","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Mathematical Sciences, Tsinghua University, Beijing, 100084, China"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Mathematical Sciences, Tsinghua University, Beijing, 100084, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I99065089"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5023866159","display_name":"Xiangfeng Yang","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9792-9566"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I146563203","display_name":"University of International Business and Economics","ror":"https://ror.org/05khqpb71","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I146563203"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Xiangfeng Yang","raw_affiliation_strings":["School of Information Technology and Management, University of International Business and Economics, Beijing, 100029, China"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9792-9566","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"School of Information Technology and Management, University of International Business and Economics, Beijing, 100029, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I146563203"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":2,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5023866159"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I146563203"],"apc_list":{"value":2590,"currency":"EUR","value_usd":3390},"apc_paid":null,"fwci":8.826,"has_fulltext":true,"cited_by_count":81,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.98567587,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":true},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":94,"max":100},"biblio":{"volume":"20","issue":"2","first_page":"209","last_page":"228"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12135","display_name":"Fuzzy Systems and Optimization","score":0.9993000030517578,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2613","display_name":"Statistics and Probability"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/26","display_name":"Mathematics"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12135","display_name":"Fuzzy Systems and Optimization","score":0.9993000030517578,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2613","display_name":"Statistics and Probability"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/26","display_name":"Mathematics"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10410","display_name":"COVID-19 epidemiological studies","score":0.9943000078201294,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2611","display_name":"Modeling and Simulation"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/26","display_name":"Mathematics"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11270","display_name":"Complex Systems and Time Series Analysis","score":0.9884999990463257,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2002","display_name":"Economics and Econometrics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/series","display_name":"Series (stratigraphy)","score":0.764767050743103},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/time-series","display_name":"Time series","score":0.6364393830299377},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/outlier","display_name":"Outlier","score":0.6358941793441772},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/coronavirus-disease-2019","display_name":"Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)","score":0.6119670867919922},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/variance","display_name":"Variance (accounting)","score":0.5616316199302673},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/term","display_name":"Term (time)","score":0.557369589805603},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/variable","display_name":"Variable (mathematics)","score":0.5505498051643372},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/econometrics","display_name":"Econometrics","score":0.45915523171424866},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/disturbance","display_name":"Disturbance (geology)","score":0.44898444414138794},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/mathematics","display_name":"Mathematics","score":0.4455462694168091},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/order-of-integration","display_name":"Order of integration (calculus)","score":0.4379054307937622},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/statistics","display_name":"Statistics","score":0.4057292342185974},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-science","display_name":"Computer science","score":0.3462245762348175},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/economics","display_name":"Economics","score":0.07671841979026794},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/medicine","display_name":"Medicine","score":0.07375183701515198},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/geology","display_name":"Geology","score":0.064272940158844}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C143724316","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q312468","display_name":"Series (stratigraphy)","level":2,"score":0.764767050743103},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C151406439","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q186588","display_name":"Time series","level":2,"score":0.6364393830299377},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C79337645","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q779824","display_name":"Outlier","level":2,"score":0.6358941793441772},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C3008058167","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q84263196","display_name":"Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)","level":4,"score":0.6119670867919922},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C196083921","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7915758","display_name":"Variance (accounting)","level":2,"score":0.5616316199302673},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C61797465","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1188986","display_name":"Term (time)","level":2,"score":0.557369589805603},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C182365436","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q50701","display_name":"Variable (mathematics)","level":2,"score":0.5505498051643372},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149782125","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q160039","display_name":"Econometrics","level":1,"score":0.45915523171424866},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2777601987","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5283581","display_name":"Disturbance (geology)","level":2,"score":0.44898444414138794},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.4455462694168091},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C38582570","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3825182","display_name":"Order of integration (calculus)","level":2,"score":0.4379054307937622},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C105795698","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12483","display_name":"Statistics","level":1,"score":0.4057292342185974},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.3462245762348175},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.07671841979026794},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C71924100","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11190","display_name":"Medicine","level":0,"score":0.07375183701515198},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127313418","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1069","display_name":"Geology","level":0,"score":0.064272940158844},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C121955636","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q4116214","display_name":"Accounting","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C142724271","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7208","display_name":"Pathology","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C62520636","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q944","display_name":"Quantum mechanics","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C121332964","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q413","display_name":"Physics","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C151730666","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7205","display_name":"Paleontology","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C134306372","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7754","display_name":"Mathematical analysis","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2779134260","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12136","display_name":"Disease","level":2,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C524204448","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q788926","display_name":"Infectious disease (medical specialty)","level":3,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":3,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1007/s10700-020-09339-4","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10700-020-09339-4","pdf_url":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s10700-020-09339-4.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S93986401","display_name":"Fuzzy Optimization and Decision Making","issn_l":"1568-4539","issn":["1568-4539","1573-2908"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319900","host_organization_name":"Springer Science+Business Media","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319900","https://openalex.org/P4310319965"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Springer Science+Business Media","Springer Nature"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Fuzzy Optimization and Decision Making","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:RePEc:spr:fuzodm:v:20:y:2021:i:2:d:10.1007_s10700-020-09339-4","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s10700-020-09339-4","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401271","display_name":"RePEc: Research Papers in Economics","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I77793887","host_organization_name":"Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I77793887"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:pubmedcentral.nih.gov:7492689","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/7492689","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S2764455111","display_name":"PubMed Central","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I1299303238","host_organization_name":"National Institutes of Health","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1299303238"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Fuzzy Optim Decis Making","raw_type":"Text"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.1007/s10700-020-09339-4","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10700-020-09339-4","pdf_url":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s10700-020-09339-4.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S93986401","display_name":"Fuzzy Optimization and Decision Making","issn_l":"1568-4539","issn":["1568-4539","1573-2908"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319900","host_organization_name":"Springer Science+Business Media","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319900","https://openalex.org/P4310319965"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Springer Science+Business Media","Springer Nature"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Fuzzy Optimization and Decision Making","raw_type":"journal-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[{"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/3","display_name":"Good health and well-being","score":0.8700000047683716}],"awards":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/G1882207716","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"18YQ06","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320312338","funder_display_name":"University of International Business and Economics"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G2467958386","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"61873329","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320321001","funder_display_name":"National Natural Science Foundation of China"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G8345918380","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"No. 61873329","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320321001","funder_display_name":"National Natural Science Foundation of China"}],"funders":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320312338","display_name":"University of International Business and Economics","ror":"https://ror.org/05khqpb71"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320321001","display_name":"National Natural Science Foundation of China","ror":"https://ror.org/01h0zpd94"}],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":true,"pdf":true},"content_urls":{"pdf":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W3085763374.pdf","grobid_xml":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W3085763374.grobid-xml"},"referenced_works_count":24,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W2151376743","https://openalex.org/W2588587052","https://openalex.org/W2808373972","https://openalex.org/W2810511349","https://openalex.org/W2852697398","https://openalex.org/W2899474162","https://openalex.org/W2902251417","https://openalex.org/W2912189486","https://openalex.org/W2915799556","https://openalex.org/W2954054751","https://openalex.org/W2971663049","https://openalex.org/W2972325118","https://openalex.org/W3001226505","https://openalex.org/W3009840816","https://openalex.org/W3015597596","https://openalex.org/W3016256529","https://openalex.org/W3023523917","https://openalex.org/W3025163272","https://openalex.org/W3025369963","https://openalex.org/W3035058975","https://openalex.org/W3083173466","https://openalex.org/W3087373714","https://openalex.org/W3181864547","https://openalex.org/W6682597882"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2038604956","https://openalex.org/W2296560746","https://openalex.org/W2338222801","https://openalex.org/W2347583731","https://openalex.org/W2106602008","https://openalex.org/W2067832159","https://openalex.org/W2153353177","https://openalex.org/W2937099569","https://openalex.org/W3005992387","https://openalex.org/W2100885243"],"abstract_inverted_index":null,"counts_by_year":[{"year":2026,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":16},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":22},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":15},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":17},{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":6},{"year":2020,"cited_by_count":2}],"updated_date":"2025-11-06T03:46:38.306776","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}
