{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2751985515","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-56904-8_34","title":"Are the Gambler\u2019s Fallacy or the Hot-Hand Fallacy due to an Erroneous Probability Estimate?","display_name":"Are the Gambler\u2019s Fallacy or the Hot-Hand Fallacy due to an Erroneous Probability Estimate?","publication_year":2017,"publication_date":"2017-08-29","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2751985515","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-56904-8_34","mag":"2751985515"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1007/978-3-319-56904-8_34","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-56904-8_34","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210172046","display_name":"Smart innovation, systems and technologies","issn_l":"2190-3018","issn":["2190-3018","2190-3026"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319965","host_organization_name":"Springer Nature","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319965"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Springer Nature"],"type":"book series"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Smart Innovation, Systems and Technologies","raw_type":"book-chapter"},"type":"book-chapter","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5031613051","display_name":"Olimpia Matarazzo","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0788-1002"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I197809005","display_name":"University of Campania \"Luigi Vanvitelli\"","ror":"https://ror.org/02kqnpp86","country_code":"IT","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I197809005"]}],"countries":["IT"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Olimpia Matarazzo","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Psychology, University of Campania Luigi Vanvitelli, Caserta, Italy"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Psychology, University of Campania Luigi Vanvitelli, Caserta, Italy","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I197809005"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5086629715","display_name":"Michele Carpentieri","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I197809005","display_name":"University of Campania \"Luigi Vanvitelli\"","ror":"https://ror.org/02kqnpp86","country_code":"IT","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I197809005"]}],"countries":["IT"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Michele Carpentieri","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Psychology, University of Campania Luigi Vanvitelli, Caserta, Italy"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Psychology, University of Campania Luigi Vanvitelli, Caserta, Italy","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I197809005"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5084865658","display_name":"Claudia Greco","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5871-4012"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I197809005","display_name":"University of Campania \"Luigi Vanvitelli\"","ror":"https://ror.org/02kqnpp86","country_code":"IT","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I197809005"]}],"countries":["IT"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Claudia Greco","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Psychology, University of Campania Luigi Vanvitelli, Caserta, Italy"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Psychology, University of Campania Luigi Vanvitelli, Caserta, Italy","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I197809005"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5043610229","display_name":"Barbara Pizzini","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5234-4823"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I197809005","display_name":"University of Campania \"Luigi Vanvitelli\"","ror":"https://ror.org/02kqnpp86","country_code":"IT","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I197809005"]}],"countries":["IT"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Barbara Pizzini","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Psychology, University of Campania Luigi Vanvitelli, Caserta, Italy"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Psychology, University of Campania Luigi Vanvitelli, Caserta, Italy","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I197809005"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":1,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5031613051"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I197809005"],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":0.0,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":0,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.11603025,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":null,"biblio":{"volume":null,"issue":null,"first_page":"353","last_page":"368"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11674","display_name":"Sports Analytics and Performance","score":0.9994000196456909,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2002","display_name":"Economics and Econometrics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11674","display_name":"Sports Analytics and Performance","score":0.9994000196456909,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2002","display_name":"Economics and Econometrics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11705","display_name":"Gambling Behavior and Treatments","score":0.982699990272522,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3203","display_name":"Clinical Psychology"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/32","display_name":"Psychology"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10315","display_name":"Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics","score":0.9442999958992004,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1800","display_name":"General Decision Sciences"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/fallacy","display_name":"Fallacy","score":0.977523684501648},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/mathematical-economics","display_name":"Mathematical economics","score":0.4944932460784912},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/econometrics","display_name":"Econometrics","score":0.4443924129009247},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/statistics","display_name":"Statistics","score":0.44113782048225403},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/mathematics","display_name":"Mathematics","score":0.4400365948677063},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/philosophy","display_name":"Philosophy","score":0.23370787501335144},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/epistemology","display_name":"Epistemology","score":0.21450656652450562}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2781035248","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q186150","display_name":"Fallacy","level":2,"score":0.977523684501648},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C144237770","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q747534","display_name":"Mathematical economics","level":1,"score":0.4944932460784912},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149782125","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q160039","display_name":"Econometrics","level":1,"score":0.4443924129009247},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C105795698","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12483","display_name":"Statistics","level":1,"score":0.44113782048225403},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.4400365948677063},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C138885662","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5891","display_name":"Philosophy","level":0,"score":0.23370787501335144},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C111472728","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9471","display_name":"Epistemology","level":1,"score":0.21450656652450562}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1007/978-3-319-56904-8_34","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-56904-8_34","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210172046","display_name":"Smart innovation, systems and technologies","issn_l":"2190-3018","issn":["2190-3018","2190-3026"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319965","host_organization_name":"Springer Nature","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319965"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Springer Nature"],"type":"book series"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Smart Innovation, Systems and Technologies","raw_type":"book-chapter"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":false,"pdf":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":30,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W1813082302","https://openalex.org/W1897570712","https://openalex.org/W1902339800","https://openalex.org/W1974613012","https://openalex.org/W1976624377","https://openalex.org/W1976960129","https://openalex.org/W1984426948","https://openalex.org/W1985636208","https://openalex.org/W1998780165","https://openalex.org/W2016377072","https://openalex.org/W2027939884","https://openalex.org/W2028099964","https://openalex.org/W2038702827","https://openalex.org/W2042276900","https://openalex.org/W2056189044","https://openalex.org/W2060745077","https://openalex.org/W2062735978","https://openalex.org/W2075230639","https://openalex.org/W2084335597","https://openalex.org/W2087052816","https://openalex.org/W2094094076","https://openalex.org/W2109047492","https://openalex.org/W2111571723","https://openalex.org/W2126666698","https://openalex.org/W2137524855","https://openalex.org/W2143221858","https://openalex.org/W2146299039","https://openalex.org/W2150692266","https://openalex.org/W3122654505","https://openalex.org/W3126015832"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W1624665321","https://openalex.org/W2792713223","https://openalex.org/W2078574636","https://openalex.org/W4238826761","https://openalex.org/W2904185404","https://openalex.org/W2332679904","https://openalex.org/W182927766","https://openalex.org/W2094855206","https://openalex.org/W2137828382","https://openalex.org/W2364158331"],"abstract_inverted_index":null,"counts_by_year":[],"updated_date":"2026-08-04T08:18:43.703281","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}