{"id":"https://openalex.org/W3110715446","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s12559-020-09786-6","title":"4P Model for Dynamic Prediction of COVID-19: a Statistical and Machine Learning Approach","display_name":"4P Model for Dynamic Prediction of COVID-19: a Statistical and Machine Learning Approach","publication_year":2021,"publication_date":"2021-02-17","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W3110715446","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s12559-020-09786-6","mag":"3110715446","pmid":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33619436"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1007/s12559-020-09786-6","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s12559-020-09786-6","pdf_url":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s12559-020-09786-6.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S133078663","display_name":"Cognitive Computation","issn_l":"1866-9956","issn":["1866-9956","1866-9964"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319900","host_organization_name":"Springer Science+Business Media","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319900","https://openalex.org/P4310319965"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Springer Science+Business Media","Springer Nature"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Cognitive Computation","raw_type":"journal-article"},"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref","pubmed"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"bronze","oa_url":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s12559-020-09786-6.pdf","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5048837961","display_name":"Khandaker Tabin Hasan","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9849-5720"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I103434671","display_name":"American International University-Bangladesh","ror":"https://ror.org/02j8ga255","country_code":"BD","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I103434671"]}],"countries":["BD"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Khandaker Tabin Hasan","raw_affiliation_strings":["American International University-Bangladesh, Dhaka, Bangladesh"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9849-5720","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"American International University-Bangladesh, Dhaka, Bangladesh","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I103434671"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5101902413","display_name":"M. Mostafizur Rahman","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3245-8767"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I103434671","display_name":"American International University-Bangladesh","ror":"https://ror.org/02j8ga255","country_code":"BD","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I103434671"]}],"countries":["BD"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"M. Mostafizur Rahman","raw_affiliation_strings":["American International University-Bangladesh, Dhaka, Bangladesh"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"American International University-Bangladesh, Dhaka, Bangladesh","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I103434671"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5025841226","display_name":"Md. Mortuza Ahmmed","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4735-571X"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I103434671","display_name":"American International University-Bangladesh","ror":"https://ror.org/02j8ga255","country_code":"BD","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I103434671"]}],"countries":["BD"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Md. Mortuza Ahmmed","raw_affiliation_strings":["American International University-Bangladesh, Dhaka, Bangladesh"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"American International University-Bangladesh, Dhaka, Bangladesh","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I103434671"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5012082888","display_name":"Anjir Ahmed Chowdhury","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6544-1005"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I103434671","display_name":"American International University-Bangladesh","ror":"https://ror.org/02j8ga255","country_code":"BD","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I103434671"]}],"countries":["BD"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Anjir Ahmed Chowdhury","raw_affiliation_strings":["American International University-Bangladesh, Dhaka, Bangladesh"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"American International University-Bangladesh, Dhaka, Bangladesh","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I103434671"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5060130297","display_name":"Mohammad Khairul Islam","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5432-1406"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I103434671","display_name":"American International University-Bangladesh","ror":"https://ror.org/02j8ga255","country_code":"BD","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I103434671"]}],"countries":["BD"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Mohammad Khairul Islam","raw_affiliation_strings":["American International University-Bangladesh, Dhaka, Bangladesh"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"American International University-Bangladesh, Dhaka, Bangladesh","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I103434671"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":5,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5048837961"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I103434671"],"apc_list":{"value":2190,"currency":"EUR","value_usd":2790},"apc_paid":null,"fwci":0.5445,"has_fulltext":true,"cited_by_count":6,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.61612804,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":90,"max":97},"biblio":{"volume":"16","issue":"4","first_page":"1709","last_page":"1722"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10410","display_name":"COVID-19 epidemiological studies","score":0.9997000098228455,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2611","display_name":"Modeling and Simulation"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/26","display_name":"Mathematics"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10410","display_name":"COVID-19 epidemiological studies","score":0.9997000098228455,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2611","display_name":"Modeling and Simulation"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/26","display_name":"Mathematics"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11775","display_name":"COVID-19 diagnosis using AI","score":0.9818999767303467,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2741","display_name":"Radiology, Nuclear Medicine and Imaging"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/27","display_name":"Medicine"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/4","display_name":"Health Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11512","display_name":"Anomaly Detection Techniques and Applications","score":0.9628000259399414,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1702","display_name":"Artificial Intelligence"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/17","display_name":"Computer Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/coronavirus-disease-2019","display_name":"Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)","score":0.715595006942749},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/probabilistic-logic","display_name":"Probabilistic logic","score":0.5918722748756409},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/artificial-neural-network","display_name":"Artificial neural network","score":0.5813162922859192},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-science","display_name":"Computer science","score":0.5294294953346252},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/artificial-intelligence","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","score":0.4925325810909271},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/pandemic","display_name":"Pandemic","score":0.4610516130924225},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/statistical-model","display_name":"Statistical model","score":0.45263636112213135},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/machine-learning","display_name":"Machine learning","score":0.4417261481285095},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/severe-acute-respiratory-syndrome-coronavirus-2","display_name":"Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2)","score":0.41161662340164185},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/psychology","display_name":"Psychology","score":0.38843339681625366},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/econometrics","display_name":"Econometrics","score":0.3716939389705658},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/mathematics","display_name":"Mathematics","score":0.14894157648086548},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/medicine","display_name":"Medicine","score":0.12718465924263}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C3008058167","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q84263196","display_name":"Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)","level":4,"score":0.715595006942749},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C49937458","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2599292","display_name":"Probabilistic logic","level":2,"score":0.5918722748756409},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C50644808","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q192776","display_name":"Artificial neural network","level":2,"score":0.5813162922859192},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.5294294953346252},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C154945302","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11660","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","level":1,"score":0.4925325810909271},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C89623803","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12184","display_name":"Pandemic","level":5,"score":0.4610516130924225},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C114289077","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3284399","display_name":"Statistical model","level":2,"score":0.45263636112213135},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C119857082","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2539","display_name":"Machine learning","level":1,"score":0.4417261481285095},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C3007834351","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q82069695","display_name":"Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2)","level":5,"score":0.41161662340164185},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C15744967","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9418","display_name":"Psychology","level":0,"score":0.38843339681625366},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149782125","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q160039","display_name":"Econometrics","level":1,"score":0.3716939389705658},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.14894157648086548},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C71924100","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11190","display_name":"Medicine","level":0,"score":0.12718465924263},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C524204448","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q788926","display_name":"Infectious disease (medical specialty)","level":3,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C142724271","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7208","display_name":"Pathology","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2779134260","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12136","display_name":"Disease","level":2,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":3,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1007/s12559-020-09786-6","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s12559-020-09786-6","pdf_url":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s12559-020-09786-6.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S133078663","display_name":"Cognitive Computation","issn_l":"1866-9956","issn":["1866-9956","1866-9964"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319900","host_organization_name":"Springer Science+Business Media","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319900","https://openalex.org/P4310319965"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Springer Science+Business Media","Springer Nature"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Cognitive Computation","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmid:33619436","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33619436","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306525036","display_name":"PubMed","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I1299303238","host_organization_name":"National Institutes of Health","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1299303238"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Cognitive computation","raw_type":null},{"id":"pmh:oai:pubmedcentral.nih.gov:7888531","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/7888531","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S2764455111","display_name":"PubMed Central","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I1299303238","host_organization_name":"National Institutes of Health","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1299303238"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Cognit Comput","raw_type":"Text"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.1007/s12559-020-09786-6","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s12559-020-09786-6","pdf_url":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s12559-020-09786-6.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S133078663","display_name":"Cognitive Computation","issn_l":"1866-9956","issn":["1866-9956","1866-9964"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319900","host_organization_name":"Springer Science+Business Media","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319900","https://openalex.org/P4310319965"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Springer Science+Business Media","Springer Nature"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Cognitive Computation","raw_type":"journal-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[{"score":0.5600000023841858,"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/3","display_name":"Good health and well-being"}],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":true,"pdf":true},"content_urls":{"pdf":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W3110715446.pdf","grobid_xml":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W3110715446.grobid-xml"},"referenced_works_count":44,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W595872546","https://openalex.org/W2009790751","https://openalex.org/W2075479992","https://openalex.org/W2093937857","https://openalex.org/W2102767674","https://openalex.org/W2112233927","https://openalex.org/W2122243892","https://openalex.org/W2141713914","https://openalex.org/W2148301044","https://openalex.org/W2155465530","https://openalex.org/W2920714358","https://openalex.org/W2989604721","https://openalex.org/W3009582878","https://openalex.org/W3010233963","https://openalex.org/W3010571899","https://openalex.org/W3010619285","https://openalex.org/W3012099172","https://openalex.org/W3012334552","https://openalex.org/W3012605404","https://openalex.org/W3015210835","https://openalex.org/W3015444032","https://openalex.org/W3015988827","https://openalex.org/W3016546290","https://openalex.org/W3016757915","https://openalex.org/W3016823694","https://openalex.org/W3020512604","https://openalex.org/W3021151406","https://openalex.org/W3022632670","https://openalex.org/W3022640757","https://openalex.org/W3022841295","https://openalex.org/W3023690978","https://openalex.org/W3024197715","https://openalex.org/W3024466582","https://openalex.org/W3026248828","https://openalex.org/W3028321081","https://openalex.org/W3032962362","https://openalex.org/W3035523931","https://openalex.org/W3119614971","https://openalex.org/W3122121154","https://openalex.org/W3122732327","https://openalex.org/W4399226456","https://openalex.org/W4413514429","https://openalex.org/W4413555187","https://openalex.org/W6682044371"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W3136336094","https://openalex.org/W4200558412","https://openalex.org/W2002739602","https://openalex.org/W1968042686","https://openalex.org/W2897881820","https://openalex.org/W2345647014","https://openalex.org/W2201192772","https://openalex.org/W2161960196","https://openalex.org/W3136891595","https://openalex.org/W1964819397"],"abstract_inverted_index":null,"counts_by_year":[{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":3}],"updated_date":"2026-04-28T14:05:53.105641","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}