{"id":"https://openalex.org/W4416099998","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s12530-025-09759-w","title":"Automated forecasting model leveraging large reservoirs of randomized fuzzy cognitive maps","display_name":"Automated forecasting model leveraging large reservoirs of randomized fuzzy cognitive maps","publication_year":2025,"publication_date":"2025-11-11","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W4416099998","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s12530-025-09759-w"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1007/s12530-025-09759-w","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s12530-025-09759-w","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S202254422","display_name":"Evolving Systems","issn_l":"1868-6478","issn":["1868-6478","1868-6486"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319900","host_organization_name":"Springer Science+Business Media","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319900","https://openalex.org/P4310319965"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Springer Science+Business Media","Springer Nature"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Evolving Systems","raw_type":"journal-article"},"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5038448571","display_name":"Omid Orang","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4077-3775"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I110200422","display_name":"Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais","ror":"https://ror.org/0176yjw32","country_code":"BR","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I110200422"]}],"countries":["BR"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Omid Orang","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Computer Science, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais, Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais, Brazil"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Computer Science, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais, Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais, Brazil","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I110200422"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5031720384","display_name":"Fabricio J. Erazo-Costa","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0009-0001-5968-959X"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I10824318","display_name":"Universidade Federal de Ouro Preto","ror":"https://ror.org/056s65p46","country_code":"BR","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I10824318"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I110200422","display_name":"Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais","ror":"https://ror.org/0176yjw32","country_code":"BR","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I110200422"]}],"countries":["BR"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Fabricio J. Erazo-Costa","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Electrical Engineering, Universidade Federal de Ouro Preto, Jo\u00e3o Monlevade, Brazil","Graduate Program in Electrical Engineering, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais, Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais, Brazil"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Electrical Engineering, Universidade Federal de Ouro Preto, Jo\u00e3o Monlevade, Brazil","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I10824318"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Graduate Program in Electrical Engineering, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais, Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais, Brazil","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I110200422"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5069331818","display_name":"Petr\u00f4nio C\u00e2ndido de Lima e Silva","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1202-2552"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I140062455","display_name":"Instituto Federal de Educa\u00e7\u00e3o, Ci\u00eancia e Tecnologia de Minas Gerais","ror":"https://ror.org/0553w5c95","country_code":"BR","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1293487690","https://openalex.org/I140062455","https://openalex.org/I2801200668"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210143109","display_name":"Instituto Federal de Educa\u00e7\u00e3o Ci\u00eancia e Tecnologia do Norte de Minas Gerais","ror":"https://ror.org/03w6rv149","country_code":"BR","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210143109"]}],"countries":["BR"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Petr\u00f4nio C. L. Silva","raw_affiliation_strings":["Federal Institute of Northern Minas Gerais, Janu\u00e1ria, Minas Gerais, Brazil"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Federal Institute of Northern Minas Gerais, Janu\u00e1ria, Minas Gerais, Brazil","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210143109","https://openalex.org/I140062455"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5061650545","display_name":"Guilherme A. Barreto","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7002-1216"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I243754102","display_name":"Universidade Federal do Cear\u00e1","ror":"https://ror.org/03srtnf24","country_code":"BR","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I243754102"]}],"countries":["BR"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Guilherme de Alencar Barreto","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Teleinformatics Engineering, Universidade Federal do Cear\u00e1, Fortaleza, Brazil"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Teleinformatics Engineering, Universidade Federal do Cear\u00e1, Fortaleza, Brazil","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I243754102"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5053773659","display_name":"Frederico Gadelha Guimar\u00e3es","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9238-8839"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I110200422","display_name":"Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais","ror":"https://ror.org/0176yjw32","country_code":"BR","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I110200422"]}],"countries":["BR"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Frederico Gadelha Guimar\u00e3es","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Computer Science, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais, Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais, Brazil"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Computer Science, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais, Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais, Brazil","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I110200422"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":5,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5038448571"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I110200422"],"apc_list":{"value":2590,"currency":"EUR","value_usd":3190},"apc_paid":null,"fwci":0.0,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":0,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.1822262,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":null,"biblio":{"volume":"16","issue":"4","first_page":null,"last_page":null},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12611","display_name":"Neural Networks and Reservoir Computing","score":0.9222000241279602,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1702","display_name":"Artificial Intelligence"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/17","display_name":"Computer Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12611","display_name":"Neural Networks and Reservoir Computing","score":0.9222000241279602,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1702","display_name":"Artificial Intelligence"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/17","display_name":"Computer Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12805","display_name":"Cognitive Science and Mapping","score":0.03779999911785126,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1702","display_name":"Artificial Intelligence"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/17","display_name":"Computer Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11326","display_name":"Stock Market Forecasting Methods","score":0.005400000140070915,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/fuzzy-cognitive-map","display_name":"Fuzzy cognitive map","score":0.838699996471405},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/univariate","display_name":"Univariate","score":0.6004999876022339},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/fuzzy-logic","display_name":"Fuzzy logic","score":0.5685999989509583},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/reservoir-computing","display_name":"Reservoir computing","score":0.5587999820709229},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/series","display_name":"Series (stratigraphy)","score":0.5483999848365784},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/range","display_name":"Range (aeronautics)","score":0.4945000112056732},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/time-series","display_name":"Time series","score":0.49239999055862427},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/selection","display_name":"Selection (genetic algorithm)","score":0.43560001254081726},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/neuro-fuzzy","display_name":"Neuro-fuzzy","score":0.41429999470710754}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C5041914","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5511107","display_name":"Fuzzy cognitive map","level":5,"score":0.838699996471405},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.8025000095367432},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C199163554","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1681619","display_name":"Univariate","level":3,"score":0.6004999876022339},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C58166","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q224821","display_name":"Fuzzy logic","level":2,"score":0.5685999989509583},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C135796866","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7315328","display_name":"Reservoir computing","level":4,"score":0.5587999820709229},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C124101348","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q172491","display_name":"Data mining","level":1,"score":0.5587000250816345},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C143724316","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q312468","display_name":"Series (stratigraphy)","level":2,"score":0.5483999848365784},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C154945302","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11660","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","level":1,"score":0.532800018787384},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C204323151","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q905424","display_name":"Range (aeronautics)","level":2,"score":0.4945000112056732},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C151406439","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q186588","display_name":"Time series","level":2,"score":0.49239999055862427},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C81917197","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q628760","display_name":"Selection (genetic algorithm)","level":2,"score":0.43560001254081726},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C29470771","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q4165150","display_name":"Neuro-fuzzy","level":4,"score":0.41429999470710754},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C47822265","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q854457","display_name":"Complex system","level":2,"score":0.4124999940395355},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C119857082","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2539","display_name":"Machine learning","level":1,"score":0.3718999922275543},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C12725497","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q810247","display_name":"Baseline (sea)","level":2,"score":0.3594000041484833},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C195975749","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1475705","display_name":"Fuzzy control system","level":3,"score":0.3416000008583069},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C48103436","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q599031","display_name":"State (computer science)","level":2,"score":0.321399986743927},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C50644808","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q192776","display_name":"Artificial neural network","level":2,"score":0.3091000020503998},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C172025690","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5332763","display_name":"Echo state network","level":4,"score":0.304500013589859},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C153180895","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7148389","display_name":"Pattern recognition (psychology)","level":2,"score":0.27970001101493835},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C37616216","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3218363","display_name":"Lasso (programming language)","level":2,"score":0.27160000801086426},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C186108316","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q352530","display_name":"Adaptive neuro fuzzy inference system","level":4,"score":0.2662000060081482},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127385683","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1475696","display_name":"Fuzzy classification","level":4,"score":0.260699987411499},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2779227376","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q6505497","display_name":"Layer (electronics)","level":2,"score":0.2529999911785126},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C169900460","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2200417","display_name":"Cognition","level":2,"score":0.25279998779296875}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1007/s12530-025-09759-w","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s12530-025-09759-w","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S202254422","display_name":"Evolving Systems","issn_l":"1868-6478","issn":["1868-6478","1868-6486"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319900","host_organization_name":"Springer Science+Business Media","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319900","https://openalex.org/P4310319965"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Springer Science+Business Media","Springer Nature"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Evolving Systems","raw_type":"journal-article"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"pdf":false,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":27,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W264942966","https://openalex.org/W1979559277","https://openalex.org/W2095224843","https://openalex.org/W2153733695","https://openalex.org/W2748669035","https://openalex.org/W2802161886","https://openalex.org/W2908236755","https://openalex.org/W2923573337","https://openalex.org/W2944288969","https://openalex.org/W3033827217","https://openalex.org/W3039730552","https://openalex.org/W3047780863","https://openalex.org/W3082874580","https://openalex.org/W3091604364","https://openalex.org/W3133095310","https://openalex.org/W3207924781","https://openalex.org/W3210818346","https://openalex.org/W4206189171","https://openalex.org/W4296143220","https://openalex.org/W4311536596","https://openalex.org/W4312106306","https://openalex.org/W4314935923","https://openalex.org/W4385075884","https://openalex.org/W4387123242","https://openalex.org/W4393184571","https://openalex.org/W4400035813","https://openalex.org/W6962832394"],"related_works":[],"abstract_inverted_index":null,"counts_by_year":[],"updated_date":"2026-03-27T05:58:40.876381","created_date":"2025-11-11T00:00:00"}