{"id":"https://openalex.org/W4402190243","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s12351-024-00852-7","title":"Business failure prediction models with high and stable predictive power over time using genetic programming","display_name":"Business failure prediction models with high and stable predictive power over time using genetic programming","publication_year":2024,"publication_date":"2024-09-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W4402190243","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s12351-024-00852-7"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1007/s12351-024-00852-7","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s12351-024-00852-7","pdf_url":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s12351-024-00852-7.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S140563256","display_name":"Operational Research","issn_l":"1109-2858","issn":["1109-2858","1866-1505"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319900","host_organization_name":"Springer Science+Business Media","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319900","https://openalex.org/P4310319965"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Springer Science+Business Media","Springer Nature"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Operational Research","raw_type":"journal-article"},"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"hybrid","oa_url":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s12351-024-00852-7.pdf","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5017374832","display_name":"\u00c1ngel Beade","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I11019714","display_name":"Universidade da Coru\u00f1a","ror":"https://ror.org/01qckj285","country_code":"ES","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I11019714"]}],"countries":["ES"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"\u00c1ngel Beade","raw_affiliation_strings":["Business Department, University of A Coru\u00f1a, Campus de Elvi\u00f1a, s/n 15071, A Coru\u00f1a, Spain"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Business Department, University of A Coru\u00f1a, Campus de Elvi\u00f1a, s/n 15071, A Coru\u00f1a, Spain","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I11019714"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5104078902","display_name":"Manuel Rodr\u00edguez","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I11019714","display_name":"Universidade da Coru\u00f1a","ror":"https://ror.org/01qckj285","country_code":"ES","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I11019714"]}],"countries":["ES"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Manuel Rodr\u00edguez","raw_affiliation_strings":["Business Department, University of A Coru\u00f1a, Campus de Elvi\u00f1a, s/n 15071, A Coru\u00f1a, Spain","C\u00e1tedra AECA-Abanca, UIE, Abanca, Spain"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Business Department, University of A Coru\u00f1a, Campus de Elvi\u00f1a, s/n 15071, A Coru\u00f1a, Spain","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I11019714"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"C\u00e1tedra AECA-Abanca, UIE, Abanca, Spain","institution_ids":[]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5089427591","display_name":"Jos\u00e9 S\u00e1ntos","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4212-1367"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I11019714","display_name":"Universidade da Coru\u00f1a","ror":"https://ror.org/01qckj285","country_code":"ES","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I11019714"]}],"countries":["ES"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Jos\u00e9 Santos","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Computer Science and Information Technologies, CITIC (Centre for Information and Communications Technology Research), University of A Coru\u00f1a, Campus de Elvi\u00f1a, s/n 15071, A Coru\u00f1a, Spain"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4212-1367","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Computer Science and Information Technologies, CITIC (Centre for Information and Communications Technology Research), University of A Coru\u00f1a, Campus de Elvi\u00f1a, s/n 15071, A Coru\u00f1a, Spain","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I11019714"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":1,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5089427591"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I11019714"],"apc_list":{"value":2990,"currency":"USD","value_usd":2990},"apc_paid":{"value":2990,"currency":"USD","value_usd":2990},"fwci":2.96,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":4,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.91827359,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":true},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":90,"max":97},"biblio":{"volume":"24","issue":"3","first_page":null,"last_page":null},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11653","display_name":"Financial Distress and Bankruptcy Prediction","score":0.9995999932289124,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1402","display_name":"Accounting"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/14","display_name":"Business, Management and Accounting"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11653","display_name":"Financial Distress and Bankruptcy Prediction","score":0.9995999932289124,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1402","display_name":"Accounting"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/14","display_name":"Business, Management and Accounting"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11652","display_name":"Imbalanced Data Classification Techniques","score":0.9961000084877014,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1702","display_name":"Artificial Intelligence"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/17","display_name":"Computer Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11975","display_name":"Evolutionary Algorithms and Applications","score":0.9848999977111816,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1702","display_name":"Artificial Intelligence"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/17","display_name":"Computer Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/genetic-programming","display_name":"Genetic programming","score":0.766025185585022},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/predictive-power","display_name":"Predictive power","score":0.7442635297775269},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computational-intelligence","display_name":"Computational intelligence","score":0.6549798250198364},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-science","display_name":"Computer science","score":0.5945432186126709},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/business-intelligence","display_name":"Business intelligence","score":0.524642288684845},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/machine-learning","display_name":"Machine learning","score":0.3119625151157379},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/data-mining","display_name":"Data mining","score":0.15956851840019226}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C110332635","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q629498","display_name":"Genetic programming","level":2,"score":0.766025185585022},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2778136018","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q10350689","display_name":"Predictive power","level":2,"score":0.7442635297775269},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C139502532","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1122090","display_name":"Computational intelligence","level":2,"score":0.6549798250198364},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.5945432186126709},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2767350","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q6662173","display_name":"Business intelligence","level":2,"score":0.524642288684845},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C119857082","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2539","display_name":"Machine learning","level":1,"score":0.3119625151157379},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C124101348","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q172491","display_name":"Data mining","level":1,"score":0.15956851840019226},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C111472728","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9471","display_name":"Epistemology","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C138885662","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5891","display_name":"Philosophy","level":0,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":3,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1007/s12351-024-00852-7","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s12351-024-00852-7","pdf_url":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s12351-024-00852-7.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S140563256","display_name":"Operational Research","issn_l":"1109-2858","issn":["1109-2858","1866-1505"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319900","host_organization_name":"Springer Science+Business Media","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319900","https://openalex.org/P4310319965"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Springer Science+Business Media","Springer Nature"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Operational Research","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:RePEc:spr:operea:v:24:y:2024:i:3:d:10.1007_s12351-024-00852-7","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s12351-024-00852-7","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401271","display_name":"RePEc: Research Papers in Economics","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I77793887","host_organization_name":"Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I77793887"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:ruc.udc.es:2183/39069","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"http://hdl.handle.net/2183/39069","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306402204","display_name":"RUC (Universidade Da Coru\u00f1a)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"info:eu-repo/semantics/article"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.1007/s12351-024-00852-7","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s12351-024-00852-7","pdf_url":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s12351-024-00852-7.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S140563256","display_name":"Operational Research","issn_l":"1109-2858","issn":["1109-2858","1866-1505"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319900","host_organization_name":"Springer Science+Business Media","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319900","https://openalex.org/P4310319965"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Springer Science+Business Media","Springer Nature"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Operational Research","raw_type":"journal-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[],"awards":[],"funders":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320328562","display_name":"Universidade da Coru\u00f1a","ror":"https://ror.org/01qckj285"}],"has_content":{"pdf":true,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":{"pdf":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W4402190243.pdf"},"referenced_works_count":72,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W297841065","https://openalex.org/W303977551","https://openalex.org/W1502049319","https://openalex.org/W1576818901","https://openalex.org/W1865324963","https://openalex.org/W1975102236","https://openalex.org/W1983476407","https://openalex.org/W1991756629","https://openalex.org/W1994642659","https://openalex.org/W1995052269","https://openalex.org/W2004532359","https://openalex.org/W2006680549","https://openalex.org/W2015618775","https://openalex.org/W2016481459","https://openalex.org/W2027536367","https://openalex.org/W2035014156","https://openalex.org/W2036152280","https://openalex.org/W2048801439","https://openalex.org/W2051815811","https://openalex.org/W2053761532","https://openalex.org/W2056003652","https://openalex.org/W2060728589","https://openalex.org/W2068935169","https://openalex.org/W2072768981","https://openalex.org/W2075806125","https://openalex.org/W2078622638","https://openalex.org/W2100907527","https://openalex.org/W2101873550","https://openalex.org/W2124532504","https://openalex.org/W2145862921","https://openalex.org/W2149115588","https://openalex.org/W2149535930","https://openalex.org/W2150598666","https://openalex.org/W2163502483","https://openalex.org/W2224039219","https://openalex.org/W2232707789","https://openalex.org/W2318977435","https://openalex.org/W2571622694","https://openalex.org/W2605910048","https://openalex.org/W2735649053","https://openalex.org/W2766659517","https://openalex.org/W2766672355","https://openalex.org/W2789282145","https://openalex.org/W2792073233","https://openalex.org/W2803031155","https://openalex.org/W2804445012","https://openalex.org/W2899574345","https://openalex.org/W2901147812","https://openalex.org/W2912154098","https://openalex.org/W2916596424","https://openalex.org/W2967131053","https://openalex.org/W2976611669","https://openalex.org/W3006922902","https://openalex.org/W3008834596","https://openalex.org/W3013123271","https://openalex.org/W3121727765","https://openalex.org/W3123800628","https://openalex.org/W3124197748","https://openalex.org/W3124240175","https://openalex.org/W3124937548","https://openalex.org/W3126216173","https://openalex.org/W3150483408","https://openalex.org/W3156783329","https://openalex.org/W3201611372","https://openalex.org/W4235242267","https://openalex.org/W4248523071","https://openalex.org/W4300962231","https://openalex.org/W4382985399","https://openalex.org/W4390293332","https://openalex.org/W4390749428","https://openalex.org/W4391850111","https://openalex.org/W6629043682"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2968285896","https://openalex.org/W206299888","https://openalex.org/W2102997898","https://openalex.org/W2549153708","https://openalex.org/W2140816515","https://openalex.org/W2381504162","https://openalex.org/W4285805598","https://openalex.org/W2736674626","https://openalex.org/W3133294580","https://openalex.org/W3109698684"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Abstract":[0],"This":[1,216],"study":[2],"focuses":[3],"on":[4,139],"the":[5,8,12,15,74,96,99,109,128,133,140,147,167,170,174,221,229,236],"deterioration":[6,97,153],"of":[7,14,18,82,98,130,150,152,161,169,200,223,231,242],"predictive":[9,16,101],"power":[10],"and":[11,43,64,88,157,196,212],"analysis":[13],"stability":[17,65,75,141,158],"business":[19,224],"failure":[20,225,243],"prediction":[21,32,59,106,226],"models,":[22],"an":[23],"aspect":[24],"not":[25],"sufficiently":[26],"analysed":[27],"in":[28,73,125,143,193],"previous":[29,144],"research.":[30],"Insolvency":[31],"is":[33,202,244],"considered":[34],"with":[35,61,117,186],"three":[36,110],"temporal":[37,111],"horizons":[38],"(1":[39],"year,":[40],"3":[41],"years":[42,45],"5":[44],"prior":[46],"to":[47,57,94,119,127,181,188,219],"failure).":[48],"The":[49,103],"Genetic":[50],"Programming":[51],"(GP)":[52],"tool":[53],"has":[54],"been":[55],"used":[56],"achieve":[58],"models":[60,107,136,172],"high":[62],"performance":[63,116],"over":[66],"time,":[67],"considering":[68],"a":[69,114,182,209,213],"long":[70],"post-learning":[71],"period":[72,207],"analysis.":[76],"In":[77],"addition,":[78],"novel":[79],"scenarios":[80],"representative":[81],"actual":[83],"model":[84],"use":[85],"are":[86,176],"proposed":[87],"considered,":[89],"as":[90,92,205,240],"well":[91],"metrics":[93],"assess":[95],"models\u2019":[100],"power.":[102],"optimised":[104],"GP":[105,135,171],"(in":[108],"horizons)":[112],"present":[113],"higher":[115],"respect":[118,187],"external":[120],"references":[121],"and,":[122],"more":[123],"importantly":[124],"relation":[126],"objective":[129],"our":[131],"study,":[132],"selected":[134],"substantially":[137],"improve":[138],"reported":[142],"studies,":[145],"meeting":[146],"pursued":[148],"requirements":[149],"degree":[151],"(less":[154],"than":[155,164,235],"5%)":[156],"(Pearson\u2019s":[159],"coefficient":[160],"variation":[162],"less":[163],"5%).":[165],"Thus,":[166],"predictions":[168],"after":[173],"learning":[175],"very":[177],"stable":[178],"(period":[179],"2008\u20132019),":[180],"certain":[183],"extent":[184],"immune,":[185],"their":[189],"environment,":[190],"responding":[191],"adequately":[192],"both":[194],"procyclical":[195],"countercyclical":[197],"modes,":[198],"all":[199],"which":[201],"particularly":[203],"relevant":[204],"this":[206],"includes":[208],"strong":[210,214],"recession":[211],"recovery.":[215],"should":[217],"help":[218],"increase":[220],"reliability":[222],"models.":[227],"Moreover,":[228],"relevance":[230],"including":[232],"variables":[233],"other":[234],"usual":[237],"financial":[238],"ratios":[239],"predictors":[241],"confirmed.":[245]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2026,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2026-07-23T08:03:31.855105","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}
